Computer Modelling J (TSE:CMG)
TSX:CMG
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Computer Modelling
(TSX:CMG)
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Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
C$4.00
▼(-1.72% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/23/26
The score is primarily supported by strong profitability and free cash flow with manageable/improving leverage. It is held back by technical weakness (below key moving averages with negative MACD) and a recent slowdown in revenue and earnings; valuation is reasonable with a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow
Sustained and accelerating free cash flow gives the company durable financial flexibility: it funds R&D, customer support and product development without reliant external financing, supports dividends or buybacks, and cushions investment through oil-and-gas cycle volatility.
Negative Factors
Revenue slowdown
A recent year-over-year revenue decline signals weakening demand or slower account expansion. For a niche simulation software vendor tied to oil and gas capex, prolonged top-line softness could limit scale benefits, reduce recurring license growth, and pressure long-term revenue momentum.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free cash flow
Sustained and accelerating free cash flow gives the company durable financial flexibility: it funds R&D, customer support and product development without reliant external financing, supports dividends or buybacks, and cushions investment through oil-and-gas cycle volatility.
Read all positive factors
Computer Modelling (CMG) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
C$289.36M
Dividend Yield2.32%
Average Volume (3M)246.83K
Price to Earnings (P/E)17.1
Beta (1Y)1.02
Revenue Growth-2.52%
EPS Growth-21.72%
CountryCA
Employees320
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustrySoftware - Application
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.21
Shares Outstanding77,994,000
10 Day Avg. Volume239,715
30 Day Avg. Volume246,827
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.92
Price to Book (P/B)4.50
Price to Sales (P/S)2.80
P/FCF Ratio12.29
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
C$5.00Price Target Upside22.85% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)0.26
Revenue Forecast (FY)C$128.40M
Computer Modelling Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. (CMG) is a technology firm that develops and licenses advanced software solutions for reservoir simulation, serving clients worldwide with a significant presence in Canada. Its comprehensive product portfolio aids in ...
How the Company Makes Money
CMG primarily makes money by selling licenses to its reservoir simulation and subsurface modeling software. Revenue is generated from (1) software licensing fees (including new licenses and expansions of existing deployments), (2) recurring revenu...
Computer Modelling Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
| Breakdown | Mar 2026 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 126.19M | 129.45M | 73.85M | 66.20M | 67.36M |
| Gross Profit | 93.76M | 104.51M | 56.69M | 49.92M | 51.67M |
| EBITDA | 36.71M | 43.24M | 29.51M | 30.22M | 34.84M |
| Net Income | 17.42M | 22.44M | 19.80M | 18.41M | 20.19M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 197.31M | 204.76M | 137.13M | 125.15M | 122.49M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 27.95M | 43.88M | 66.85M | 59.66M | 49.07M |
| Total Debt | 43.27M | 38.58M | 37.98M | 39.59M | 40.96M |
| Total Liabilities | 118.97M | 118.85M | 84.68M | 78.43M | 79.07M |
| Stockholders Equity | 78.33M | 85.91M | 52.45M | 46.72M | 43.42M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 28.71M | 28.50M | 23.83M | 28.01M | 26.03M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 31.27M | 29.92M | 25.88M | 28.71M | 26.43M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -27.11M | -37.96M | -2.05M | -703.00K | -397.00K |
| Financing Cash Flow | -23.58M | -13.67M | -16.64M | -17.42M | -17.47M |
Computer Modelling Technical Analysis
Negative
4.07
Price Trends
3.88
Negative
3.99
Negative
4.71
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.06
Positive
36.15
Neutral
10.37
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CMG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.80, above the 50-day MA of 3.88, and below the 200-day MA of 4.71, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.37 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:CMG.
Computer Modelling Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Outperform | C$508.75M | 85.10 | 8.57% | 1.07% | 9.33% | 98.43% | |
65 Neutral | C$289.36M | 17.08 | 20.50% | 2.32% | -2.52% | -21.72% | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% | |
58 Neutral | C$131.53M | 417.14 | 5.88% | ― | 14.22% | ― | |
47 Neutral | C$1.23B | -40.37 | -105.88% | ― | 147.88% | 2.60% | |
46 Neutral | C$76.73M | -5.25 | -42.66% | ― | -62.08% | -377.71% |
* Technology Sector Average
TSE:CMG
Computer Modelling
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-48.11%
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Computer Modelling Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
CMG Buys Rose Subsurface Assessment to Deepen Subsurface Risk Capabilities
Positive
Mar 25, 2026
Computer Modelling Group has acquired Rose Subsurface Assessment, a leading provider of probabilistic subsurface risk analysis and resource assessment software, training, consulting and operator consortium services for the global exploration and p...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.