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Ayr Wellness Inc. (TSE:AYR.A)
:AYR.A
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Ayr Wellness (AYR.A) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:AYR.A

Ayr Wellness

(OTC:AYR.A)

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Underperform 40 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:
C$0.00
▼(-100.00% Downside)
Ayr Wellness faces significant financial and operational challenges. Declining profitability, high leverage, negative cash flow, and adverse corporate events weigh heavily on the stock. Technical indicators also suggest bearish momentum. Investors should be cautious given the financial instability and strategic uncertainties.

Ayr Wellness (AYR.A) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Ayr Wellness Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAyr Wellness Inc., a vertically-integrated cannabis multi-state operator, cultivates, manufactures, and retails cannabis products and branded cannabis packaged goods. The company's cannabis and cannabis products include concentrates, edibles, and vaporizers. It also provides administrative, consulting, and operations support services to licensed cannabis companies. As of November 1, 2022, Ayr Wellness Inc. operated 52 dispensaries. The company was formerly known as Ayr Strategies Inc. and changed its name to Ayr Wellness Inc. in February 2021. Ayr Wellness Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyAyr Wellness generates revenue primarily through the sale of cannabis products in its retail dispensaries and through wholesale distribution to other licensed retailers. The company operates multiple cultivation facilities, which allow it to produce its own cannabis at scale, reducing costs and increasing profit margins. Key revenue streams include direct sales from dispensaries, wholesale product sales, and potential licensing agreements. Additionally, strategic partnerships with other cannabis brands and businesses enhance its market presence and distribution capabilities, contributing to overall earnings.

Ayr Wellness Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 12, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 25, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlighted strategic moves to strengthen the business through operational streamlining and market expansion, particularly in Ohio. However, significant challenges persist, including price compression and various operational difficulties, leading to a decline in profitability and substantial impairment charges.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Wholesale Revenue Growth
CPG wholesale revenue in 2024 was up 20% year-over-year, with core brands Kynd, Haze, and Later Days up 126% over the prior year.
Ohio Market Expansion
Ohio adult use sales in Q4 contributed to meaningful increases in both retail and wholesale revenues. Ohio retail sales increased 41% quarter-over-quarter.
Operational Streamlining
Efforts to streamline operations include selling assets in Illinois, consolidating facilities in Nevada and Massachusetts, and reducing SG&A costs.
New Indoor Cultivation Facility in Florida
Launch of a new indoor cultivation facility in Ocala, expected to come online in Q2, will more than double current flower production capacity.
Negative Updates
Price Compression Across Various Markets
Price compression continued to impact margins, with BDSA flower pricing decreasing sequentially across all markets, ranging from 5% to 12%.
Challenges in Florida
Florida faced price compression, seasonal greenhouse impacts, and inventory challenges stemming from the transition to a new seed-to-sale tracking system.
Q4 Gross Profit Decline
Q4 gross profit of $35.8 million represented a 17% decrease from the prior quarter and a 27% decrease from the prior year.
Impairment Charges
Q4 loss from continuing operations was $133.9 million, driven by $116 million of non-cash impairment charges, including a $94 million goodwill impairment.
Company Guidance
During the Ayr Wellness fourth quarter and full-year 2024 earnings call, Interim CEO Steven Cohen and President George DeNardo discussed the company's strategic focus on sustainable growth and profitability amidst industry challenges. The call highlighted that full-year sales remained flat at $463.6 million compared to the previous year, with retail sales declining by 4% and wholesale sales increasing by 28%. Adjusted gross margin was reported at 51.6%, down from 55% the previous year, primarily due to price compression and a shift in revenue from retail to wholesale. Ayr emphasized its commitment to core markets, including Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, and announced plans to divest non-core assets like those in Illinois. The $10 million CapEx guidance for 2025, excluding potential Virginia investments, reflects a careful approach to capital deployment. Ayr's leadership transition includes the upcoming departure of CFO Brad Asher, with a focus on building a resilient leadership team to drive future success.

Ayr Wellness Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ayr Wellness is experiencing financial challenges, with declining profitability, increasing debt levels, and negative cash flows. The company needs to improve operational efficiency and manage its leverage to stabilize its financial position.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Ayr Wellness has faced declining profitability with negative EBIT and net income over the recent years. Revenue has been stagnant, and margins, including gross profit, have decreased. The company shows no revenue growth and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a reasonable equity ratio, but the debt-to-equity ratio has been increasing, indicating rising leverage. The return on equity is negative due to ongoing losses, which suggests potential financial instability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow is a concern with negative free cash flow and declining operating cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is weak, and the company struggles to generate cash from its operations, raising liquidity risks.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue463.63M463.63M465.62M357.61M155.11M
Gross Profit176.68M202.44M190.44M138.10M103.10M
EBITDA-154.53M84.60M-67.66M87.69M17.21M
Net Income-359.31M-272.43M-245.47M-16.95M-176.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.27B1.46B1.76B1.86B615.87M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments35.48M50.77M80.64M154.34M127.24M
Total Debt621.88M597.77M621.66M483.82M190.62M
Total Liabilities904.31M889.20M928.56M839.85M465.01M
Stockholders Equity379.53M581.78M833.32M1.02B150.86M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-15.14M-12.44M-96.66M-127.78M21.74M
Operating Cash Flow9.63M27.16M-34.16M-27.78M36.51M
Investing Cash Flow-21.81M-24.15M-66.50M-219.63M-62.25M
Financing Cash Flow-3.10M-32.89M26.96M274.51M144.57M

Ayr Wellness Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.16
Price Trends
50DMA
0.15
Positive
100DMA
0.16
Negative
200DMA
0.27
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
29.79
Positive
STOCH
50.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AYR.A, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.16 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.16, above the 50-day MA of 0.15, and below the 200-day MA of 0.27, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 29.79 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:AYR.A.

Ayr Wellness Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$195.50M6.7122.40%27.24%
C$298.20M74.001.86%38.86%
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
$31.56M-3.59-19.58%17.74%37.61%
$100.86M-1.47-38.44%18.62%52.09%
C$366.03M-1.78-45.36%-12.25%-47.36%
C$18.10M0.63%-31.86%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AYR.A
Ayr Wellness
0.16
-3.15
-95.30%
TSE:OGI
OrganiGram Holdings
2.27
-0.14
-5.81%
TSE:XLY
Auxly Cannabis Group
0.16
0.11
220.00%
TSE:LABS
MediPharm Labs
0.08
<0.01
7.14%
TSE:PLTH
Planet 13 Holdings
0.28
-0.49
-63.64%
TSE:TSND
TerrAscend Corp
0.99
-0.50
-33.56%

Ayr Wellness Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyLegal ProceedingsPrivate Placements and Financing
AYR Wellness Initiates Article 9 Proceedings in Debt Restructuring
Neutral
Oct 13, 2025

AYR Wellness has announced the commencement of Article 9 proceedings as part of its debt restructuring process with senior noteholders. This phase involves a foreclosure sale of certain assets and equity interests in specified subsidiaries across several states, scheduled for November 10, 2025. The company will continue operations and maintain product quality during the transition of asset ownership to the successful bidder. This restructuring step is crucial for AYR’s ongoing efforts to stabilize its financial standing and maintain cooperative relations with stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AYR.A) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ayr Wellness stock, see the TSE:AYR.A Stock Forecast page.

Ayr Wellness Inc. Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results
Sep 24, 2025

Ayr Wellness Inc. is a vertically integrated cannabis multi-state operator in the United States, focusing on cultivation, manufacturing, and retailing of cannabis products. The company recently released its earnings report for the first quarter of 2025, highlighting a challenging financial period. Ayr Wellness reported a net loss of $57.1 million for the quarter, compared to a loss of $106.1 million in the same period last year. Revenues decreased to $107.3 million from $118 million, reflecting a decline in sales. The company faced increased operating expenses, including a $7.3 million impairment of assets, contributing to a loss from operations of $28.2 million. Despite the financial challenges, Ayr Wellness is focusing on strategic initiatives to improve its financial position. The company is actively working on cost-saving measures, optimizing efficiency, and exploring new market opportunities. Additionally, Ayr Wellness is restructuring its operations, including the sale of non-core assets, to focus on its core competencies in vertically integrated markets. Looking ahead, Ayr Wellness remains committed to executing its business plans and addressing financial challenges. The management is optimistic about mitigating the substantial doubt regarding its ability to continue as a going concern through strategic initiatives and potential financing opportunities.

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
AYR Wellness Releases Q1 2025 Financial Statements and MD&A
Neutral
Sep 12, 2025

AYR Wellness has announced the filing of its unaudited interim financial statements and Management’s Discussion and Analysis (MD&A) for the first quarter of 2025. These documents, available on SEDAR+ and the SEC’s EDGAR system, offer insights into the company’s operating performance and liquidity position. The release emphasizes the use of non-GAAP measures like Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Gross Profit to provide greater transparency and understanding of the company’s financial health, which may be beneficial for investors and stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AYR.A) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ayr Wellness stock, see the TSE:AYR.A Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
AYR Wellness Secures $50 Million Bridge Loan for Restructuring
Neutral
Aug 29, 2025

AYR Wellness Inc. has executed a senior secured bridge credit agreement to secure up to $50 million in funding. This agreement is part of AYR’s ongoing restructuring efforts to support operations, transition its core business, and preserve asset value, with implications for stakeholders and the company’s future positioning in the cannabis industry.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AYR.A) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ayr Wellness stock, see the TSE:AYR.A Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
AYR Wellness Announces Restructuring Agreement with Senior Noteholders
Neutral
Jul 30, 2025

AYR Wellness has entered into a Restructuring Support Agreement with its senior noteholders to ensure the continued operation and transition of its core business under new ownership. The agreement includes an asset sale transaction and a bridge facility to provide liquidity for ongoing operations, with senior noteholders receiving new equity interests in the post-sale entity.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AYR.A) stock is a Buy with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ayr Wellness stock, see the TSE:AYR.A Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
AYR Wellness Extends Waiver Agreement with Senior Noteholders
Neutral
Jul 28, 2025

AYR Wellness has announced an extension of its Limited Waiver Agreement with the majority of its senior noteholders, pushing the temporary waiver period to July 29, 2025. This extension allows AYR to continue its operations without the immediate threat of default-related actions, as it addresses delays in financial filings and payment defaults, while also exploring growth opportunities in key markets.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AYR.A) stock is a Buy with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ayr Wellness stock, see the TSE:AYR.A Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 04, 2025