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Ayr Wellness (TSE:AYR.A)
:AYR.A

Ayr Wellness (AYR.A) AI Stock Analysis

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Ayr Wellness

(OTC:AYR.A)

Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:
C$0.00
▼(-100.00%Downside)
Ayr Wellness is facing significant financial and operational challenges. The most impactful factors include financial instability with negative profitability, bearish technical signals, and recent corporate events that indicate regulatory compliance issues and delayed financial disclosures. The lack of earnings call data does not alter the overall negative outlook.

Ayr Wellness (AYR.A) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Ayr Wellness Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAyr Wellness Inc., a vertically-integrated cannabis multi-state operator, cultivates, manufactures, and retails cannabis products and branded cannabis packaged goods. The company's cannabis and cannabis products include concentrates, edibles, and vaporizers. It also provides administrative, consulting, and operations support services to licensed cannabis companies. As of November 1, 2022, Ayr Wellness Inc. operated 52 dispensaries. The company was formerly known as Ayr Strategies Inc. and changed its name to Ayr Wellness Inc. in February 2021. Ayr Wellness Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyAyr Wellness generates revenue through multiple streams in the cannabis industry. Primarily, the company earns income from the sale of cannabis products through its owned and operated retail dispensaries, as well as wholesale distribution to third-party dispensaries. Ayr Wellness benefits from its vertically integrated model, which allows for control over the entire supply chain from cultivation to retail. This integration enables the company to optimize production costs and maintain high product quality, contributing to its profitability. Additionally, strategic acquisitions and partnerships within key markets have expanded Ayr's footprint, enhancing its revenue potential. The company also capitalizes on branding and marketing efforts to strengthen customer loyalty and drive sales growth.

Ayr Wellness Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 21, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -51.52%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlighted strategic moves to strengthen the business through operational streamlining and market expansion, particularly in Ohio. However, significant challenges persist, including price compression and various operational difficulties, leading to a decline in profitability and substantial impairment charges.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Wholesale Revenue Growth
CPG wholesale revenue in 2024 was up 20% year-over-year, with core brands Kynd, Haze, and Later Days up 126% over the prior year.
Ohio Market Expansion
Ohio adult use sales in Q4 contributed to meaningful increases in both retail and wholesale revenues. Ohio retail sales increased 41% quarter-over-quarter.
Operational Streamlining
Efforts to streamline operations include selling assets in Illinois, consolidating facilities in Nevada and Massachusetts, and reducing SG&A costs.
New Indoor Cultivation Facility in Florida
Launch of a new indoor cultivation facility in Ocala, expected to come online in Q2, will more than double current flower production capacity.
Negative Updates
Price Compression Across Various Markets
Price compression continued to impact margins, with BDSA flower pricing decreasing sequentially across all markets, ranging from 5% to 12%.
Challenges in Florida
Florida faced price compression, seasonal greenhouse impacts, and inventory challenges stemming from the transition to a new seed-to-sale tracking system.
Q4 Gross Profit Decline
Q4 gross profit of $35.8 million represented a 17% decrease from the prior quarter and a 27% decrease from the prior year.
Impairment Charges
Q4 loss from continuing operations was $133.9 million, driven by $116 million of non-cash impairment charges, including a $94 million goodwill impairment.
Company Guidance
During the Ayr Wellness fourth quarter and full-year 2024 earnings call, Interim CEO Steven Cohen and President George DeNardo discussed the company's strategic focus on sustainable growth and profitability amidst industry challenges. The call highlighted that full-year sales remained flat at $463.6 million compared to the previous year, with retail sales declining by 4% and wholesale sales increasing by 28%. Adjusted gross margin was reported at 51.6%, down from 55% the previous year, primarily due to price compression and a shift in revenue from retail to wholesale. Ayr emphasized its commitment to core markets, including Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, and announced plans to divest non-core assets like those in Illinois. The $10 million CapEx guidance for 2025, excluding potential Virginia investments, reflects a careful approach to capital deployment. Ayr's leadership transition includes the upcoming departure of CFO Brad Asher, with a focus on building a resilient leadership team to drive future success.

Ayr Wellness Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ayr Wellness is experiencing financial challenges, including declining profitability, increasing debt levels, and negative cash flows. Operational inefficiencies and leverage issues are significant concerns.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Ayr Wellness has faced declining profitability with negative EBIT and net income over the recent years. Revenue has been stagnant, and margins, including gross profit, have decreased. The company shows no revenue growth and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a reasonable equity ratio, but the debt-to-equity ratio has been increasing, indicating rising leverage. The return on equity is negative due to ongoing losses, which suggests potential financial instability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow is a concern with negative free cash flow and declining operating cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is weak, and the company struggles to generate cash from its operations, raising liquidity risks.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue463.63M463.63M465.62M357.61M155.11M
Gross Profit176.68M202.44M190.44M138.10M103.10M
EBITDA-154.53M84.60M-67.66M87.69M17.21M
Net Income-359.31M-272.43M-245.47M-16.95M-176.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.27B1.46B1.76B1.86B615.87M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments35.48M50.77M80.64M154.34M127.24M
Total Debt621.88M597.77M621.66M483.82M190.62M
Total Liabilities904.31M889.20M928.56M839.85M465.01M
Stockholders Equity379.53M581.78M833.32M1.02B150.86M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-15.14M-12.44M-96.66M-127.78M21.74M
Operating Cash Flow9.63M27.16M-34.16M-27.78M36.51M
Investing Cash Flow-21.81M-24.15M-66.50M-219.63M-62.25M
Financing Cash Flow-3.10M-32.89M26.96M274.51M144.57M

Ayr Wellness Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.16
Price Trends
50DMA
0.26
Negative
100DMA
0.31
Negative
200DMA
0.92
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Negative
RSI
29.79
Positive
STOCH
50.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AYR.A, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.16 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.15, below the 50-day MA of 0.26, and below the 200-day MA of 0.92, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 29.79 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:AYR.A.

Ayr Wellness Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.41B0.36-61.88%2.33%16.99%1.69%
40
Underperform
$18.10M-74.75%1.48%-174.61%
OGOGI
$179.69M19.854.76%
$91.34M5.8018.60%
$21.20M-16.22%
$59.33M-39.53%
45
Neutral
C$129.50M-38.89%-6.80%11.94%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AYR.A
Ayr Wellness
0.16
-2.38
-93.87%
OGI
OrganiGram Holdings
1.35
-0.19
-12.34%
CBWTF
Auxly Cannabis Group
0.07
0.05
250.00%
MEDIF
MediPharm Labs
0.05
0.00
0.00%
PLNH
Planet 13 Holdings
0.19
-0.28
-59.57%
TSE:TSND
TerrAscend Corp
0.35
-1.38
-79.77%

Ayr Wellness Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
AYR Wellness Delays Q1 2025 Financial Filings Amid Debt Negotiations
Negative
Jun 27, 2025

AYR Wellness has announced a delay in filing its interim financial statements for Q1 2025 due to ongoing negotiations with creditors and the assessment of debt obligations. This delay has resulted in a failure-to-file cease-trade order from the Ontario Securities Commission, halting trading of AYR’s securities in Canada until the filings are completed and requirements are met.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AYR.A) stock is a Buy with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ayr Wellness stock, see the TSE:AYR.A Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
AYR Wellness Extends Waiver Agreement to Strengthen Financial Position
Neutral
Jun 20, 2025

AYR Wellness has extended its Limited Waiver Agreement with senior noteholders, allowing more time to address financial obligations. This extension provides the company with additional flexibility to negotiate with lenders and explore strategic options to strengthen its capital structure, although it does not permanently resolve existing defaults.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AYR.A) stock is a Buy with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ayr Wellness stock, see the TSE:AYR.A Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
AYR Wellness Faces Filing Delays Amid Debt Negotiations
Negative
Jun 13, 2025

AYR Wellness Inc. has announced a delay in filing its interim financial statements for the first quarter of 2025 due to ongoing negotiations with creditors and the assessment of debt obligations. This delay has led to a failure-to-file cease-trade order from the Ontario Securities Commission, suspending trading of AYR’s securities in Canadian jurisdictions. Despite this, AYR does not anticipate any impact on its regular operations and is working to complete the filings promptly, with an update expected by June 27, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AYR.A) stock is a Buy with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ayr Wellness stock, see the TSE:AYR.A Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
AYR Wellness Secures Temporary Waiver to Address Financial Obligations
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

AYR Wellness Inc. has entered into a Limited Waiver Agreement with the majority of its senior secured noteholders, providing a temporary waiver for certain defaults related to delayed financial filings and payment obligations. This agreement grants AYR additional time to negotiate with senior lenders and explore strategic alternatives to address its capital structure, while maintaining its business operations and commitment to delivering quality cannabis products.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AYR.A) stock is a Buy with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ayr Wellness stock, see the TSE:AYR.A Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
AYR Wellness Faces Cease Trade Order Amid Filing Delays
Negative
Jun 6, 2025

AYR Wellness Inc. has announced an update regarding the status of its securities following a delay in filing its interim financial statements for the quarter ending March 31, 2025. As a result of the delay, the Ontario Securities Commission has issued a Failure to File Cease Trade Order, prohibiting trading of the company’s securities in Canada, with limited exceptions. AYR is actively working to resolve the issue and does not anticipate any disruption to its regular operations or its commitment to delivering quality cannabis products.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AYR.A) stock is a Buy with a C$3.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ayr Wellness stock, see the TSE:AYR.A Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
AYR Wellness Delays Q1 2025 Financial Filings Amid Strategic Review
Negative
May 30, 2025

AYR Wellness Inc. announced a delay in filing its Q1 2025 financial statements and management discussion due to ongoing strategic review processes and negotiations with creditors. The Ontario Securities Commission will issue a cease-trade order, halting trading of AYR’s securities in Canada until the filings are completed, which is expected by June 13, 2025. Despite this, AYR does not anticipate any impact on its regular operations.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AYR.A) stock is a Buy with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ayr Wellness stock, see the TSE:AYR.A Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
AYR Wellness Announces Leadership Transition with New Interim CEO
Neutral
Apr 4, 2025

AYR Wellness Inc. has announced a leadership change with Scott Davido appointed as the new Interim Chief Executive Officer, succeeding Steven M. Cohen. This transition is part of AYR’s strategic initiatives to enhance its operational and financial performance, with Davido bringing extensive experience in leading companies through periods of transition. The company aims to leverage this leadership change to further its growth and success in the cannabis industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 28, 2025