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Timberland Bancorp (TSBK)
NASDAQ:TSBK
US Market
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Timberland Bancorp (TSBK) AI Stock Analysis

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TSBK

Timberland Bancorp

(NASDAQ:TSBK)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$51.00
â–²(16.44% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/30/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (profitability, conservative leverage, and steady ROE) and a clearly positive price trend versus key moving averages. Valuation is supportive with a modest P/E and a solid dividend yield, while the main risk tempering the score is cash flow volatility; recent corporate actions (dividend raise and buybacks) add a positive offset.
Positive Factors
Conservative leverage / strong balance sheet
Very low TTM debt-to-equity (~0.08) and rising equity signal a conservatively levered balance sheet. This provides resilience to credit stress, supports regulatory capital buffers, and preserves capacity to fund loan growth and dividends over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Volatile cash generation
A roughly 50% decline in TTM free cash flow and weaker operating cash flow indicate inconsistent cash conversion despite accounting profits. Persistent cash volatility can constrain lending capacity, reserve-building and steady capital returns during tighter funding or credit cycles.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative leverage / strong balance sheet
Very low TTM debt-to-equity (~0.08) and rising equity signal a conservatively levered balance sheet. This provides resilience to credit stress, supports regulatory capital buffers, and preserves capacity to fund loan growth and dividends over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Timberland Bancorp (TSBK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Timberland Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Timberland Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Timberland Bank that provides various community banking services in Washington. It offers various deposit products, including money market deposit, checking, and regular savings acc...
How the Company Makes Money
Timberland Bancorp primarily makes money through traditional banking activities conducted by Timberland Bank. The largest driver of earnings is typically net interest income: the bank earns interest and fees on loans (such as commercial real estat...

Timberland Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong fundamentals overall: sharp TTM revenue growth (+193.6%), solid profitability (about 33% EBIT margin and 27% net margin), and a conservatively levered balance sheet (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.08) with steady ROE (~11.7% TTM). The main offset is cash flow volatility, with TTM free cash flow down about -50.5% despite free cash flow still tracking close to net income (~95%).
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
69
Positive
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue109.63M110.49M101.55M87.23M67.33M68.62M
Gross Profit84.74M77.46M69.71M73.51M64.50M65.63M
EBITDA40.91M38.73M32.98M36.66M32.40M37.46M
Net Income31.51M29.16M24.28M27.12M23.60M27.58M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.06B2.01B1.92B1.84B1.86B1.79B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments32.80M281.89M247.19M185.68M381.06M671.85M
Total Debt14.32M23.08M21.57M36.87M2.07M7.36M
Total Liabilities1.79B1.75B1.68B1.61B1.64B1.59B
Stockholders Equity273.21M262.61M245.41M233.07M218.57M206.90M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow18.98M28.42M21.71M29.89M25.59M28.74M
Operating Cash Flow20.56M30.16M23.02M31.00M26.50M29.64M
Investing Cash Flow17.04M-8.25M-45.80M-170.22M-335.16M37.45M
Financing Cash Flow63.45M56.79M58.78M-48.81M45.22M198.66M

Timberland Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price43.80
Price Trends
50DMA
43.13
Positive
100DMA
41.52
Positive
200DMA
38.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.51
Negative
RSI
60.10
Neutral
STOCH
84.21
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSBK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 43.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.00, above the 50-day MA of 43.13, and above the 200-day MA of 38.44, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.51 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.21 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSBK.

Timberland Bancorp Risk Analysis

Timberland Bancorp disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Timberland Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Timberland Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$350.93M11.1811.72%2.55%6.43%17.50%
76
Outperform
$400.61M8.7813.87%2.23%10.63%49.94%
75
Outperform
$331.81M11.8110.57%0.37%5.31%-4.10%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$398.56M7.4212.24%3.06%13.04%1682.10%
64
Neutral
$291.18M14.608.48%2.86%11.11%24.27%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSBK
Timberland Bancorp
45.07
14.70
48.42%
PKBK
Parke Bancorp
34.22
14.09
70.02%
FRST
Primis Financial
16.40
5.70
53.33%
COSO
CoastalSouth Bancshares
27.28
7.44
37.50%
ISBA
Isabella Bank
40.60
8.66
27.12%

Timberland Bancorp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Timberland Bancorp Posts Strong Q3 Earnings, Raises Dividend
Positive
Jul 29, 2026
For the fiscal third quarter ended June 30, 2026, Timberland Bancorp reported net income of $7.72 million, or $0.98 per diluted share, up 9% from a year earlier and 8% from the prior quarter. Earnings for the first nine months of fiscal 2026 rose ...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Timberland Bancorp Posts Solid Q2 Results, Raises Dividend
Positive
Apr 30, 2026
Timberland Bancorp reported solid results for its second fiscal quarter ended March 31, 2026, with net income rising 6% year over year to $7.13 million, or $0.90 per diluted share, though earnings fell 13% from the prior quarter on higher credit l...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 30, 2026