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Timberland (TSBK)
:TSBK
US Market

Timberland Bancorp (TSBK) AI Stock Analysis

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TSBK

Timberland Bancorp

(NASDAQ:TSBK)

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Outperform 82 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:82Outperform
Price Target:
$43.00
▲(24.35% Upside)
Timberland Bancorp's strong financial performance and positive corporate events are the most significant factors driving the high score. The technical analysis supports a bullish outlook, although caution is advised due to overbought signals. The valuation is reasonable, making the stock attractive for both growth and income investors.
Positive Factors
Strong Financial Performance
A significant increase in net income indicates strong financial performance and effective cost management, supporting long-term profitability.
Low Leverage
Minimal leverage reduces financial risk and enhances stability, providing flexibility for future investments and growth opportunities.
Growth Strategy
Expanding branch network and asset growth demonstrate a proactive growth strategy, increasing market presence and customer reach.
Negative Factors
Decline in Free Cash Flow Growth
Declining free cash flow growth can limit reinvestment capabilities and affect long-term financial flexibility, potentially impacting growth.
Gross Profit Margin Decline
A declining gross profit margin may indicate rising costs or pricing pressures, which could affect profitability if not managed effectively.
Leadership Change
Leadership changes can introduce uncertainty and require time for strategic alignment, potentially impacting operational consistency.

Timberland Bancorp (TSBK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Timberland Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTimberland Bancorp (TSBK) is a bank holding company headquartered in Olympia, Washington, primarily engaged in providing a range of financial services through its wholly-owned subsidiary, Timberland Bank. The company operates in the banking sector, offering services including personal and business banking, mortgage lending, and investment services. Timberland Bank serves a diverse customer base across Washington and Oregon, focusing on delivering high-quality financial products and community-oriented services.
How the Company Makes MoneyTimberland Bancorp generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and investments. The company earns interest from a variety of loans, including residential mortgages, commercial real estate loans, and consumer loans. Additionally, Timberland receives fee income from various banking services, such as account maintenance fees, transaction fees, and mortgage origination fees. The bank's investment portfolio, which includes securities, also contributes to its interest income. Significant partnerships with local businesses and real estate developers enhance its lending capabilities and customer reach, further bolstering its revenue streams. Overall, the company's financial health is supported by its emphasis on community banking and personalized customer service.

Timberland Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Timberland Bancorp demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and solid profitability margins. The balance sheet is particularly strong with low leverage, enhancing financial stability. However, the decline in free cash flow growth and gross profit margin warrants attention to ensure sustained financial performance.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Timberland Bancorp has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a recent growth rate of 2.61%. The company maintains strong profitability metrics, with a net profit margin of 25.44% and an EBIT margin of 31.61% in the latest year. However, there is a noticeable decline in gross profit margin over the years, which could indicate rising costs or pricing pressures.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The balance sheet is robust, with a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0035, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. The return on equity stands at 1.50%, which is relatively low, suggesting room for improvement in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is strong, reflecting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth, with a significant drop of 51.23% in the latest year. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.82, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains stable at 1.0, suggesting efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue107.68M110.49M101.55M87.23M67.33M68.62M
Gross Profit74.10M77.46M69.71M73.51M64.50M65.63M
EBITDA36.34M36.23M32.98M36.66M32.40M37.46M
Net Income27.07M29.16M24.28M27.12M23.60M27.58M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.96B2.01B1.92B1.84B1.86B1.79B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments231.32M411.56M247.19M185.68M381.06M671.85M
Total Debt21.35M23.08M21.57M36.87M2.07M7.36M
Total Liabilities1.70B1.75B1.68B1.61B1.64B1.59B
Stockholders Equity256.66M262.61M245.41M233.07M218.57M206.90M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow25.26M12.32M21.71M29.89M25.59M28.74M
Operating Cash Flow26.69M12.32M23.02M31.00M26.50M29.64M
Investing Cash Flow-21.05M-415.00K-45.80M-170.22M-335.16M37.45M
Financing Cash Flow29.07M-12.18M58.78M-48.81M45.22M198.66M

Timberland Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price34.58
Price Trends
50DMA
33.00
Positive
100DMA
33.04
Positive
200DMA
31.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.02
Negative
RSI
74.05
Negative
STOCH
89.71
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSBK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 34.58 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.50, above the 50-day MA of 33.00, and above the 200-day MA of 31.55, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.05 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.71 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSBK.

Timberland Bancorp Risk Analysis

Timberland Bancorp disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Timberland Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Timberland Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$292.12M10.0911.48%2.81%8.17%21.95%
75
Outperform
$317.17M17.598.27%2.28%7.29%33.75%
75
Outperform
$289.16M7.5313.09%3.64%15.66%
70
Neutral
$287.92M8.7611.15%2.85%12.91%21.72%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$265.16M30.962.25%2.99%9.90%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSBK
Timberland Bancorp
37.32
5.68
17.95%
PKBK
Parke Bancorp
25.23
3.68
17.08%
FRST
Primis Financial
13.38
1.39
11.59%
COSO
CoastalSouth Bancshares
23.98
2.93
13.92%
ISBA
Isabella Bank
49.06
24.90
103.06%
LNKB
LINKBANCORP
8.25
0.84
11.34%

Timberland Bancorp Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Timberland Bancorp Appoints New Chief Credit Officer
Neutral
Dec 11, 2025

Timberland Bancorp, Inc. and its subsidiary, Timberland Bank, announced the mutual agreement to cancel the employment contract of Todd Van Cise, the Chief Credit Officer, effective December 11, 2025, to allow him to pursue other career opportunities. Following his departure, Kevin Sakamoto, with over 30 years of commercial banking experience, has been appointed as the new Chief Credit Officer, effective the same date.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Timberland Bancorp Reports 20% Net Income Increase
Positive
Oct 31, 2025

On October 30, 2025, Timberland Bancorp reported a 20% increase in net income to $29.16 million for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2025, compared to the previous year. The company also announced an 8% increase in its quarterly cash dividend and plans to open a new branch in University Place, reflecting its strong financial performance and growth strategy. The company’s quarterly net interest margin rose to 3.82%, and total assets surpassed $2 billion for the first time, highlighting its robust balance sheet and effective asset-liability management.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 13, 2025