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Primis Financial (FRST)
NASDAQ:FRST
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Primis Financial (FRST) AI Stock Analysis

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FRST

Primis Financial

(NASDAQ:FRST)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$11.00
▲(2.90% Upside)
Primis Financial's overall stock score reflects a mix of challenges and strengths. The most significant factor is the company's improved earnings and return metrics, as highlighted in the earnings call. However, financial performance issues, particularly in revenue generation and cash flow management, weigh heavily on the score. Technical indicators and valuation metrics suggest a neutral outlook, with no strong bullish or bearish signals.

Primis Financial (FRST) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Primis Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPrimis Financial (FRST) is a financial services company that specializes in providing innovative lending solutions primarily in the mortgage sector. The company operates through its core products, including residential and commercial mortgage loans, as well as other financial services designed to meet the needs of borrowers and investors. Primis aims to leverage technology to enhance the customer experience and streamline the lending process, positioning itself as a competitive player in the fintech landscape.
How the Company Makes MoneyPrimis Financial generates revenue primarily through the origination and servicing of mortgage loans. The company earns income from origination fees charged to borrowers at the time of loan closing, as well as interest income accrued on the loans over their lifetime. Additionally, Primis may generate revenue from servicing fees for managing the loans on behalf of investors. Key revenue streams include residential mortgages, commercial loans, and ancillary services such as loan refinancing. Partnerships with technology providers and real estate platforms also play a significant role in expanding their reach and enhancing efficiencies, contributing positively to their overall earnings.

Primis Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, with significant growth in net earnings, improved return metrics, and successful expansion in key business divisions. However, credit concerns with nonaccrual loans present a challenge that needs resolution.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Improvement in Net Earnings
Primis Financial reported $6.8 million in net earnings and $0.28 per share for Q3 2025, compared to $2 million and $0.08 per share in Q3 2024.
Improved Return Metrics
ROA and ROTCE improved to 70 basis points and 9.45%, with core ROA expected to reach 90 basis points, indicating strong ongoing performance.
Core Margin Growth
Core margin increased to 3.15%, up from 3.12% in Q2 2025 and 35 basis points higher than a year ago.
Noninterest-bearing Deposit Growth
Noninterest-bearing checking accounts grew by 16% year-over-year, improving the deposit mix and reducing the cost of deposits by 20%.
Mortgage Division Expansion
Monthly production in the mortgage division increased from $20 million to $100-$120 million, with pretax earnings of $1.9 million, marking the strongest quarter yet.
Panacea Division Success
Panacea's loan balances and deposits grew significantly, with deposits increasing by 50% year-over-year, and a cost of deposits at 1.37%, lower than the core bank.
Negative Updates
Credit Concerns with Nonaccrual Loans
Issues with two office real estate properties and two other loans, one with a $7.5 million exposure, led to credit concerns and nonaccrual status, impacting financial results.
Company Guidance
During the Primis Financial Corp. third quarter earnings call, the company reported $6.8 million in net earnings, translating to $0.28 per share, significantly up from $2 million and $0.08 per share in the same quarter of 2024. The company's Return on Assets (ROA) improved to 70 basis points, and Return on Tangible Common Equity (ROTCE) rose to 9.45%. They anticipate a core ROA of approximately 90 basis points, aligning with their 1% ROA target. The core margin increased to 3.15%, driven by replacing loans at yields 200 basis points higher, and is expected to improve by another 6 to 8 basis points, enhancing pretax earnings by $1.6 million per quarter. Noninterest-bearing checking accounts grew by 16%, enhancing the deposit mix and reducing the cost of deposits by nearly 20%. New and renewed loans were issued at 7.16%, while new deposit business averaged 2.51%, achieving spreads of 4.65%. The mortgage division increased production to $100 million-$120 million a month, with core results showing pretax earnings of $1.9 million. The mortgage warehouse ended with balances of $327 million, contributing $1.6 million in pretax earnings and achieving an efficiency ratio of 27%. Panacea's loan and deposit growth was notable, with loan balances averaging $530 million and deposits at $132 million, a 50% year-over-year increase, with deposit costs at 1.37%. Overall, Primis Financial Corp. highlighted significant improvements and strategic initiatives aimed at achieving long-term profitability goals.

Primis Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Primis Financial is facing a challenging financial landscape. The income statement shows declining profitability with a negative net profit margin, while the balance sheet indicates moderate leverage but weakening equity. Cash flow is positive but inconsistent, highlighting the need for strategic financial management.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement reveals a challenging period for Primis Financial, with fluctuating revenues and declining margins over recent periods. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data shows a gross profit margin of approximately 58.3% and a negative net profit margin of -1.95%, indicating struggles in converting revenue into profit. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with recent declines contributing to a negative trajectory.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
Primis Financial's balance sheet shows a moderate level of stability with a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.27, reflecting manageable leverage. However, the declining stockholders' equity over recent periods poses a concern. The equity ratio is around 9.67%, indicating a relatively low equity buffer compared to total assets, which could be a potential risk.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow statement highlights a positive operating cash flow, with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of -18.67 in the TTM period, suggesting efficient cash generation relative to reported losses. However, the free cash flow growth has been erratic, and the company faces challenges in sustaining positive cash flow trends given the considerable financing outflows.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue245.37M254.11M237.87M141.64M123.71M131.40M
Gross Profit127.10M96.74M111.42M108.78M110.47M85.81M
EBITDA3.23M-19.98M-2.09M24.77M47.78M26.91M
Net Income2.97M-16.20M-7.83M14.15M31.25M22.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.88B3.70B3.86B3.57B3.41B3.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments249.74M243.96M305.97M314.17M801.50M349.42M
Total Debt128.03M128.56M160.72M432.52M211.49M239.63M
Total Liabilities3.50B3.33B3.46B3.18B3.00B2.70B
Stockholders Equity376.42M351.76M376.16M388.97M411.88M390.55M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-37.83M18.34M26.89M11.42M24.86M25.11M
Operating Cash Flow-36.63M19.53M28.82M12.43M27.32M26.20M
Investing Cash Flow160.54M108.30M-312.76M-616.86M10.53M-200.81M
Financing Cash Flow-96.42M-140.88M283.63M152.10M296.21M338.87M

Primis Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.69
Price Trends
50DMA
10.66
Positive
100DMA
10.79
Negative
200DMA
10.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Negative
RSI
55.35
Neutral
STOCH
71.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FRST, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.28, above the 50-day MA of 10.66, and above the 200-day MA of 10.20, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FRST.

Primis Financial Risk Analysis

Primis Financial disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Primis Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Primis Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$248.74M9.8311.95%3.58%17.98%68.20%
$246.79M9.2410.87%3.26%9.16%12.12%
$264.07M16.418.27%3.19%7.29%33.63%
$256.02M7.6211.15%3.33%12.91%21.72%
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
$244.91M18.325.74%2.52%-6.25%-38.27%
$263.44M30.912.25%3.74%9.78%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FRST
Primis Financial
10.69
-0.12
-1.11%
PKBK
Parke Bancorp
21.61
1.13
5.52%
TSBK
Timberland Bancorp
31.25
2.03
6.95%
CHMG
Chemung Financial
51.12
5.02
10.89%
FDBC
Fidelity D & D Bancorp
43.60
-6.80
-13.49%
ISBA
Isabella Bank
35.59
14.87
71.77%

Primis Financial Corporate Events

Primis Financial Corp. Q3 Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Oct 25, 2025

Primis Financial Corp. recently held its earnings call, revealing a strong financial performance for the third quarter of 2025. The company reported significant growth in net earnings and improved return metrics, showcasing successful expansion in key business divisions. However, the call also highlighted challenges related to credit concerns with nonaccrual loans, which require resolution.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Primis Financial Announces Quarterly Dividend Amid Growth
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

On October 23, 2025, Primis Financial Corp. announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.10 per share, payable on November 21, 2025, reflecting its improved financial performance. The company reported significant growth in net income and earnings per share for the third quarter of 2025, driven by improved net interest margins, increased mortgage volumes, and strategic divestments. Primis has demonstrated strong operational momentum across its business lines, including its core community bank, mortgage operations, and digital platform, positioning itself for continued profitability and growth into 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (FRST) stock is a Hold with a $10.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primis Financial stock, see the FRST Stock Forecast page.

Primis Financial Corp. Reports Strong Q2 Earnings
Jul 29, 2025

The latest earnings call from Primis Financial Corp. painted a positive picture of the company’s financial health and strategic direction. The sentiment was overwhelmingly optimistic, with strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives taking center stage. The company is particularly focused on expanding its digital platforms and mortgage services, which have shown significant promise. Despite facing some challenges with consumer program volatility, Primis is well-positioned for continued growth, supported by cost-saving measures and a robust market position in specialized banking services.

Primis Financial Corp. Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings
Jul 26, 2025

Primis Financial Corp. is a financial services company primarily operating in the banking sector, offering a range of services to individuals and businesses through its subsidiary, Primis Bank, with a focus on the Virginia and Maryland regions. In its latest earnings report for the second quarter of 2025, Primis Financial Corp. announced a significant increase in net income, reporting $8.4 million, or $0.34 per diluted share, compared to $3.4 million, or $0.14 per diluted share, in the same quarter of the previous year. The company also declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.10 per share. Key financial highlights include a substantial gain from the sale of a portion of its ownership in Panacea Financial Holdings, Inc., which contributed $7.5 million in pre-tax gains. Primis Mortgage saw a 52% increase in closed loans, primarily in construction-to-permanent products, while the company also reported improvements in credit quality and a reduction in promotional loan volatility. Looking ahead, Primis Financial Corp. anticipates continued growth and profitability, with plans to reduce expenses through renegotiated contracts and further consolidation efforts, aiming for pre-tax pre-provision earnings visibility of $10.5 to $11 million.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 25, 2025