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Tenaris (TS)
NYSE:TS
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Tenaris SA (TS) AI Stock Analysis

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TS

Tenaris SA

(NYSE:TS)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$74.00
â–²(26.26% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/05/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial quality—especially the very conservatively levered balance sheet and solid margins—tempered by normalization from the prior-cycle peak and softer recent free-cash-flow momentum. Technicals add support with a clear uptrend above major moving averages, while valuation is reasonable but not especially cheap at ~16.4x earnings despite a ~2.78% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Tenaris's extremely low debt-to-equity (~0.03) provides durable financial flexibility: it reduces refinancing and liquidity risk, supports sustained capital returns or opportunistic M&A, and preserves investment capacity through commodity cycles over the coming months.
Negative Factors
Cyclical end-market exposure
Tenaris's revenues remain tied to upstream oil & gas capital spending; historical swings (peak in 2022–23 then normalization) show earnings and volumes can reverse quickly. This cyclical demand profile limits predictability of sales and profit over multi-quarter horizons.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Tenaris's extremely low debt-to-equity (~0.03) provides durable financial flexibility: it reduces refinancing and liquidity risk, supports sustained capital returns or opportunistic M&A, and preserves investment capacity through commodity cycles over the coming months.
Read all positive factors

Tenaris SA (TS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tenaris SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Headquartered in Luxembourg and founded in 2001, Tenaris S.A., a subsidiary of Techint Holdings S.à r.l., is a prominent global manufacturer and distributor of steel tubular products. The company specializes in both seamless and welded steel pipes...
How the Company Makes Money
Tenaris makes money mainly by selling steel tubular products and providing related services that support oil and gas drilling and production activities. Its core revenue stream is the sale of OCTG (casing, tubing, and accessories) used in well con...

Tenaris SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 18, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed that Tenaris delivered resilient top-line growth and strong full-year cash generation in 2025, maintained a net cash position and increased shareholder returns, while successfully expanding services (Rig Direct, Argentina fracking, offshore backlog) and progressing sustainability projects. However, meaningful challenges persist: a pronounced U.S. tariff headwind, raw material-driven margin pressure (notably on welded/ERW products), import competition suppressing price recovery, and ongoing market/geopolitical uncertainties. On balance, the company appears financially strong and operationally resilient, with near-term margin risk from input costs and trade dynamics.
Positive Updates
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Q4 sales of $3.0 billion, up 5% year-over-year and 1% sequentially, driven by resilient Rig Direct sales in the U.S. & Canada and resumed fracking/coiled tubing services in Argentina.
Negative Updates
Tariff Headwind in U.S.
Full impact of 50% Section 232 tariffs in the U.S. is included in results; tariffs (including on steel bars) remain a material headwind for U.S. operations and seamless/welded pipe economics.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Q4 sales of $3.0 billion, up 5% year-over-year and 1% sequentially, driven by resilient Rig Direct sales in the U.S. & Canada and resumed fracking/coiled tubing services in Argentina.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided to a stable start to 2026, expecting first-quarter results and margins to be roughly in line with 4Q25 (4Q25 sales $3.0bn, EBITDA $717m or 24% of sales, operating cash flow $787m), while noting the full effect of the 50% Section 232 tariffs is already in 4Q and should be slightly lower in Q1; management warned of a tariff/raw‑material–related margin headwind that will show mainly in Q2 (hot‑rolled coil pressure) with recovery expected into Q3–Q4. For the year they expect working capital to be neutral overall with a Q1 increase in receivables, capex roughly in line with 2025 levels, and continued offshore strength (1H26 revenues > 2H25) as they ramp projects like Sakarya and Suriname; financial priorities include maintaining a net cash position (~$3.3bn at quarter end), returning capital via a proposed annual dividend of $0.89/share ($1.78/ADR, including the $0.29 interim) with a $0.60/share ($1.20/ADR) May payment up 7% YoY, and an active $1.2bn buyback program (second $600m tranche ongoing, ~$537m deployed in the quarter), supported by FY25 free cash flow of ~$2.0bn.

Tenaris SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals: TTM revenue rebounded sharply (+158%) and profitability remains solid (gross ~34%, EBIT ~20%, net ~16%). The balance sheet is a major strength with very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.03). Offsetting this, performance has normalized from the 2022–2023 peak and free cash flow momentum is softer (TTM FCF down ~7% and ~76% conversion vs net income).
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
Cash Flow
73
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.16B11.98B12.52B14.87B11.76B6.52B
Gross Profit4.17B4.12B4.39B6.20B4.67B1.91B
EBITDA2.97B3.14B3.16B5.29B3.82B1.86B
Net Income1.97B1.93B2.04B3.92B2.55B1.10B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.51B20.07B20.45B21.08B17.55B14.45B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.42B2.88B3.05B3.61B1.53B715.98M
Total Debt473.52M448.97M582.32M203.96M840.94M448.22M
Total Liabilities3.17B3.24B3.64B4.05B3.52B2.34B
Stockholders Equity17.09B16.60B16.59B16.84B13.91B11.96B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.87B1.98B2.16B3.78B769.87M-125.52M
Operating Cash Flow2.45B2.60B2.87B4.40B1.17B119.08M
Investing Cash Flow185.56M-192.60M-1.40B-2.69B-163.56M267.90M
Financing Cash Flow-2.23B-2.48B-2.40B-1.13B-178.34M-647.96M

Tenaris SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price58.61
Price Trends
50DMA
61.24
Positive
100DMA
56.03
Positive
200DMA
46.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.30
Positive
RSI
48.82
Neutral
STOCH
39.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 58.61 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 62.05, below the 50-day MA of 61.24, and above the 200-day MA of 46.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.30 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TS.

Tenaris SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$33.04B15.7311.65%4.43%1.69%16.35%
78
Outperform
$62.52B20.0216.84%2.04%0.20%6.96%
74
Outperform
$27.89B25.8632.54%0.44%9.44%36.97%
70
Outperform
$82.99B25.1813.46%2.98%-0.53%-22.59%
68
Neutral
$33.10B21.5314.67%2.41%-1.72%-23.60%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
58
Neutral
$7.47B81.701.45%3.24%-1.33%-84.10%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TS
Tenaris SA
61.47
25.76
72.15%
BKR
Baker Hughes Company
63.02
24.65
64.26%
FTI
TechnipFMC
69.95
35.80
104.81%
HAL
Halliburton
39.73
18.04
83.21%
NOV
NOV
21.08
8.04
61.71%
SLB
Schlumberger
55.51
20.77
59.78%

Tenaris SA Corporate Events

Tenaris Cuts Issued Share Capital After Treasury Share Cancellation Approved on May 12, 2026
May 13, 2026
On May 12, 2026, Tenaris shareholders met in an extraordinary general meeting in Luxembourg and approved the cancellation of 62,355,174 treasury shares acquired under its third share buyback program, which ran from June 9, 2025, to March 3, 2026. ...
Tenaris Shareholders Approve 2025 Accounts, US$0.89 Dividend and Board Mandates at May AGM
May 13, 2026
At its annual general meeting on May 12, 2026, Tenaris shareholders approved the consolidated financial statements and annual accounts for the year ended December 31, 2025, and acknowledged the company’s management and sustainability reporti...
Tenaris Shareholders Back 2025 Accounts, Dividend and Capital Reduction at May 12 Meetings
May 13, 2026
On May 12, 2026, Tenaris shareholders held their annual and extraordinary general meetings, where they approved the 2025 consolidated management report, financial statements and sustainability information, and cleared all board and governance-rela...
Tenaris Posts Higher First-Quarter 2026 Profit on Rising Sales
May 7, 2026
Tenaris S.A. reported consolidated condensed interim financial results for the three-month period ended March 31, 2026, showing net sales of $3.10 billion and income for the period of $564.2 million, up from $2.92 billion and $517.9 million a year...
Tenaris Posts Strong Q1 2026 Results but Warns of Near-Term Hit From Middle East Disruption
May 7, 2026
On May 6, 2026, Tenaris reported a solid first quarter for the period ended March 31, 2026, with net sales up 4% sequentially to $3.1 billion and 6% year on year, and EBITDA of $735 million holding margins at about 24%. Net income climbed 22% vers...
Tenaris Names Gabriel Podskubka CEO as Paolo Rocca Remains Chairman
May 7, 2026
On May 6, 2026, Luxembourg-based Tenaris S.A. announced that its board appointed long-time executive Gabriel Podskubka as Chief Executive Officer, while Paolo Rocca will remain Chairman of the Board. The move concludes a long-term leadership plann...
Tenaris Sets May 12, 2026 Shareholder Meetings and Plans Capital Reduction via Treasury Share Cancellation
Apr 13, 2026
Tenaris S.A. has called its Annual General Meeting and an Extraordinary General Meeting of Shareholders for May 12, 2026, in Luxembourg, where investors will review and vote on the company’s 2025 consolidated management report, financial sta...
Tenaris Files 2025 Annual Report with SEC and Luxembourg Stock Exchange
Apr 1, 2026
On March 30, 2026, Tenaris S.A. furnished its 2025 Annual Report to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission under Form 6-K, in parallel with its filing with the Luxembourg Stock Exchange. The submission includes consolidated management and sus...
Tenaris Files 2025 Annual Report and Form 20-F with Global Regulators
Mar 31, 2026
On March 30, 2026, Tenaris filed its 2025 Annual Report with the Luxembourg Stock Exchange, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and other regulators in markets where its securities are listed. The report, covering the year ended December 3...
Tenaris Discloses Managerial Securities Transaction Under EU Market Abuse Rules
Mar 6, 2026
On March 5, 2026, Tenaris S.A. reported that it had received a notification of a securities transaction carried out by a person discharging managerial responsibilities, in line with EU market abuse rules and applicable Luxembourg regulations. The ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 05, 2026