Tenaris SA (TS)
NYSE:TS
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Tenaris SA (TS) AI Stock Analysis

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TS

Tenaris SA

(NYSE:TS)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$45.00
â–²(9.86% Upside)
Tenaris SA's strong financial performance and robust balance sheet are the most significant factors contributing to its score. The company's valuation is attractive, with a reasonable P/E ratio and a solid dividend yield. However, technical indicators suggest the stock may be overbought in the short term. The earnings call provided a mixed outlook, with strong performance tempered by challenges such as tariffs and working capital issues.
Positive Factors
Strong Financial Health
Tenaris's strong financial health, characterized by low leverage and robust profitability, supports long-term stability and growth potential.
Operational Efficiency
Efficient operations, reflected in strong profit margins, enable Tenaris to maintain competitiveness and invest in growth opportunities.
Renewable Energy Initiatives
Investments in renewable energy enhance sustainability and reduce operational costs, aligning with global energy transition trends.
Negative Factors
Impact of Tariffs
Tariff-related cost increases can pressure margins and profitability, potentially affecting Tenaris's competitive positioning.
Inventory and Import Challenges
Excess inventory and import challenges can lead to price pressures, impacting revenue and cash flow sustainability.
Working Capital Challenges
Working capital issues, such as increased receivables, can strain liquidity and limit financial flexibility for future investments.

Tenaris SA (TS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tenaris SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTenaris S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells seamless and welded steel tubular products; and provides related services for the oil and gas industry, and other industrial applications. The company offers steel casings, tubing products, mechanical and structural pipes, cold-drawn pipes, and premium joints and couplings; coiled tubing products for oil and gas drilling and workovers, and subsea pipelines; and umbilical tubing products; and tubular accessories. It also provides sucker rods, industrial equipment, heat exchangers, and utility conduits for buildings, as well as sells energy and raw materials. In addition, it offers financial services. The company operates in North America, South America, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and the Asia Pacific. Tenaris S.A. was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. Tenaris S.A. is a subsidiary of Techint Holdings S.à r.l.
How the Company Makes MoneyTenaris generates revenue primarily through the sale of its steel pipe products to customers in the oil and gas industry. The company's revenue model is built on selling seamless and welded pipes, along with value-added services such as technical support and product customization. Key revenue streams include sales to exploration and production companies and to service companies that support these operations. Additionally, Tenaris benefits from long-term contracts with major oil companies, which provide stability and predictability in revenue. The company also engages in partnerships and alliances with other industry players to enhance its market reach and operational efficiency, contributing positively to its earnings.

Tenaris SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Tenaris' resilience and strong performance in key regions despite challenges such as tariffs and high inventory levels. The company showed positive sales and EBITDA growth, with strategic expansions and increased dividends. However, these positives were tempered by the impact of tariffs on costs and working capital challenges, leading to a mixed outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Resilient Sales and EBITDA Growth
Third quarter sales reached $3 billion, up 2% year-on-year. EBITDA increased 3% sequentially to $753 million, with an EBITDA margin of 25%.
Strong Performance in North America
Despite a slowdown in overall drill rig activity, Tenaris maintained sales levels in the U.S. and Canada due to the strength of its customer portfolio.
Increased Dividend Payment
The Board of Directors approved a 7% increase in the interim dividend per share compared to last year.
Expansion of Energy Production in Argentina
Operation commenced at a new 95-megawatt wind farm, contributing to powering operations in Campana with renewable energy.
Offshore Order Backlog Growth
Tenaris is building a strong offshore order backlog, including projects like TPAO Sakarya deepwater development in the Black Sea.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tariffs on Costs
The company is facing increased costs due to tariffs, impacting EBITDA by approximately $40 million in the fourth quarter.
Inventory and Import Challenges
High levels of imports and inventory in the U.S. are putting pressure on prices, with inventories on the ground around 7 months supply.
Lower Sales in Certain Regions
Sequential sales declined by 3%, mainly due to lower sales to the North Sea and decreased shipments for offshore line pipe projects in the Middle East.
Working Capital Challenges
An increase in receivables, particularly from PEMEX, has led to a negative movement in working capital of EUR 300 million.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, Tenaris S.A. reported sales of $3 billion, marking a 2% year-on-year increase but a 3% sequential decline, attributed to reduced sales in the North Sea and lower offshore line pipe shipments in the Middle East. The EBITDA rose 3% sequentially to $753 million, including a $34 million gain from the return of U.S. antidumping deposits, positioning the EBITDA margin at 25%. Without this gain, the EBITDA would have been $719 million or 24% of sales. The company's operating cash flow was $318 million, with capital expenditure at $185 million, resulting in a free cash flow of $133 million. Despite share buybacks totaling $351 million, the net cash position fell to $3.5 billion. The Board approved an interim dividend of $0.29 per share, up 7% from the previous year. The company maintained its sales level in the U.S. and Canada despite a slowdown in drill rig activity, due to resilient customer demand and efficient operations. Tenaris also emphasized its commitment to operational efficiency and sustainability, highlighted by its increased energy production in Argentina through new wind farms. Looking forward, Tenaris anticipates a stable sales level for the next quarter, despite potential impacts from tariffs and inventory adjustments.

Tenaris SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tenaris SA exhibits strong financial health with impressive revenue growth and profitability metrics. The balance sheet is robust, characterized by low leverage and strong equity. While cash flow generation has seen some decline, the company's overall financial position remains solid, supported by efficient operations and prudent financial management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Tenaris SA has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 42% increase in the TTM period. The company maintains healthy profitability metrics, with a gross profit margin of 33.8% and a net profit margin of 17%. Although there was a slight decline in revenue in the previous annual period, the overall trajectory remains positive. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, indicating efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is solid with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.028, reflecting minimal leverage and financial risk. The return on equity is healthy at 11.9%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at a strong 83.3%, indicating a stable financial structure with significant equity backing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth, down by 12.6% in the TTM period, which could be a concern if the trend continues. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, suggesting adequate cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.73 indicates a reasonable conversion of earnings into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.82B12.52B14.87B11.76B6.52B5.15B
Gross Profit4.02B4.39B6.47B4.67B1.91B1.06B
EBITDA3.11B3.16B5.29B3.82B1.86B86.55M
Net Income2.00B2.04B3.92B2.55B1.10B-634.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.47B20.45B21.08B17.55B14.45B13.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.99B3.05B3.61B1.53B715.98M1.46B
Total Debt477.51M582.32M203.96M840.94M448.22M919.85M
Total Liabilities3.21B3.64B4.05B3.52B2.34B2.27B
Stockholders Equity17.04B16.59B16.84B13.91B11.96B11.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.66B2.16B3.78B769.87M-125.52M1.33B
Operating Cash Flow2.35B2.87B4.40B1.17B119.08M1.52B
Investing Cash Flow-48.70M-1.40B-2.69B-163.56M267.90M-2.09B
Financing Cash Flow-2.41B-2.40B-1.13B-178.34M-647.96M-375.32M

Tenaris SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price40.96
Price Trends
50DMA
36.62
Positive
100DMA
36.66
Positive
200DMA
35.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.46
Negative
RSI
69.15
Neutral
STOCH
71.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 40.96 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.52, above the 50-day MA of 36.62, and above the 200-day MA of 35.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TS.

Tenaris SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$17.36B19.2428.72%0.53%11.73%45.70%
78
Outperform
$46.90B16.3716.83%1.94%1.51%30.09%
75
Outperform
$22.12B10.9811.69%4.16%-9.76%-18.94%
75
Outperform
$53.89B13.9415.46%3.11%-2.13%-16.76%
72
Outperform
$22.67B17.8312.77%2.52%-4.06%-47.41%
72
Outperform
$5.62B15.385.93%3.34%-1.43%-63.13%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TS
Tenaris SA
40.96
5.69
16.13%
BKR
Baker Hughes Company
47.51
5.47
13.01%
FTI
TechnipFMC
43.16
15.16
54.14%
HAL
Halliburton
27.02
-1.84
-6.38%
NOV
NOV
15.27
-0.09
-0.59%
SLB
Schlumberger
36.31
-5.61
-13.38%

Tenaris SA Corporate Events

Tenaris Launches Second Tranche of Share Buyback Program
Nov 3, 2025

Tenaris S.A. announced the commencement of a USD 600 million second tranche of its USD 1.2 billion share buyback program, initially announced on May 27, 2025. This tranche, executed through a non-discretionary agreement with a primary financial institution, will begin on November 3, 2025, and conclude by April 30, 2026. The buyback will comply with applicable regulations and the purchased shares will eventually be cancelled. This move reflects Tenaris’s strategic financial management and may impact its market positioning and shareholder value.

Tenaris S.A. Discusses Third Quarter 2025 Results and Market Outlook
Oct 31, 2025

On October 30, 2025, Tenaris S.A. held a conference call to discuss its third-quarter results, market conditions, and future outlook. The call, led by CEO Paolo Rocca and senior management, provided insights into the company’s performance and strategic direction, highlighting its positioning in the steel pipe and oil and gas industries.

Tenaris S.A. Reports Decline in Nine-Month Sales for 2025
Oct 30, 2025

Tenaris S.A. has released its consolidated condensed interim financial statements for the nine-month period ending September 30, 2025. The report highlights a decrease in net sales compared to the previous year, with sales figures dropping from $9,678,708,000 in 2024 to $8,986,024,000 in 2025. Despite the decline in sales, the company managed to maintain a stable gross profit margin, although operating income and net income showed a slight decrease. These financial results reflect the challenging market conditions and the impact on Tenaris’s operations, potentially influencing investor confidence and stakeholder decisions.

Tenaris Reports Stable Q3 2025 Results Amid Tariff Challenges
Oct 30, 2025

Tenaris S.A. announced its third-quarter results for 2025, showing a slight decline in net sales compared to the previous quarter but a year-on-year increase. The company’s operating income rose by 2% sequentially and 11% year-on-year, while net income saw a decrease. Despite challenges such as increased tariffs and fluctuating oil prices, Tenaris maintained stable sales in North America and completed shipments ahead of schedule in the Middle East. The company also announced an interim dividend payment, reflecting its commitment to shareholder returns. Looking ahead, Tenaris expects sales to remain stable in the fourth quarter, though margins may be impacted by increased tariff costs.

Tenaris Completes Share Buyback as Part of USD1.2 Billion Program
Oct 1, 2025

Tenaris S.A. announced the completion of a share buyback as part of its USD1.2 billion program, repurchasing 658,084 ordinary shares for approximately USD11.79 million between September 29 and September 30, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure, and the repurchased shares will be held in treasury with plans for cancellation, potentially impacting shareholder value and market perception.

Tenaris Completes First Tranche of Share Buyback Program
Oct 1, 2025

Tenaris S.A. has completed the first USD600 million tranche of its USD1.2 billion Share Buyback Program, which was announced on June 6, 2025. This tranche, running from June 9, 2025, to September 30, 2025, involved the purchase of 33,059,955 ordinary shares, representing 3.08% of its total issued share capital, for approximately USD600 million. The shares are currently held in treasury, with plans for cancellation in due course. This move reflects Tenaris’s strategic financial management, potentially impacting its market position and shareholder value.

Tenaris Shareholders Adjust Holdings Amid Buyback Program
Sep 19, 2025

On September 19, 2025, Tenaris S.A. announced that its controlling shareholders, San Faustin S.A. and Techint Holdings S.à r.l., filed an amendment to Schedule 13D with the SEC. This filing was in response to Tenaris’s ongoing share buyback program, which led to a passive increase in San Faustin’s beneficial ownership. To manage their portfolio, San Faustin’s board authorized Techint Holdings to sell some of its Tenaris shares, ensuring their ownership does not drop below 67%. The timing and amount of these sales will depend on market conditions, with no assurance of completion. This move highlights Tenaris’s strategic financial management amid its share repurchase efforts.

Tenaris Completes First Tranche of Share Buyback Program
Sep 19, 2025

Tenaris S.A. announced the completion of the first tranche of its USD1.2 billion Share Buyback Program, initially announced on June 6, 2025. Between September 15 and September 19, 2025, the company repurchased 179,100 ordinary shares for approximately USD3.2 million. As of September 19, 2025, Tenaris holds 29,678,298 ordinary shares in treasury, which is 2.77% of its total issued share capital. The company plans to cancel these treasury shares in due course, which could potentially impact its share value and market perception.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 03, 2025