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Lendingtree Inc (TREE)
NASDAQ:TREE
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Lendingtree (TREE) AI Stock Analysis

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TREE

Lendingtree

(NASDAQ:TREE)

Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$67.00
▲(7.32% Upside)
LendingTree's overall stock score is primarily impacted by financial instability due to high leverage and negative profitability, despite strong revenue growth and positive market momentum. The strategic focus on AI and shareholder support provide a foundation for potential improvement, but significant financial restructuring is needed to enhance long-term stability.
Positive Factors
Earnings
TREE's 2Q results exceeded expectations on all fronts, with outperformance across all segments.
Guidance
TREE provided an above-consensus 3Q guidance and raised the FY25 outlook primarily due to strength in the Insurance segment.
Valuation
Shares are set to open at an inexpensive ~7x EV/FY26 EBITDA multiple, with a reiterated BUY rating and raised price target.
Negative Factors
Macro Concerns
There could be some NT choppiness given the heightened macro concerns.
Past Performance
TREE's 1Q results missed expectations on the top and bottom line, largely due to headwinds in the insurance vertical.

Lendingtree (TREE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lendingtree Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLendingTree, Inc. (TREE) is a leading online marketplace that connects consumers with multiple lenders, offering a variety of financial products including mortgages, personal loans, auto loans, and credit cards. Founded in 1996 and headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina, LendingTree operates primarily in the financial services sector, providing consumers with tools to compare loan offers from various lenders, thereby facilitating informed borrowing decisions. The company's platform enables users to receive multiple loan offers after filling out a single application, streamlining the lending process.
How the Company Makes MoneyLendingTree generates revenue primarily through a performance-based model, earning money from lenders when consumers engage with their services. The company charges lenders a fee for every lead generated through its platform, which includes completed loan applications and consumer inquiries. Key revenue streams include mortgage leads, personal loan leads, and credit card leads. Additionally, LendingTree may offer advertising services to lenders, adding another layer of revenue. Significant partnerships with various financial institutions and lenders enhance its offerings and contribute to its earnings by providing a wide range of options for consumers, which in turn attracts more users to the platform.

Lendingtree Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows how much revenue each business segment generates, indicating the company’s diversified income sources and potential growth areas.
Chart InsightsLendingTree's recent earnings call highlights a significant turnaround, with all segments showing double-digit growth. The Consumer segment's recovery is notable, driven by strong small business and personal loan revenue. The Home segment's rebound, fueled by home equity gains, contrasts with its prior decline. Insurance revenue's resurgence, overcoming earlier technical setbacks, underscores the segment's resilience. The strategic emphasis on AI is expected to enhance operational efficiency and customer engagement, positioning the company for sustained growth. This momentum suggests a promising outlook despite past challenges.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Lendingtree Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 34.11%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call for LendingTree shows a predominantly positive performance across business segments, with strong revenue growth and successful integration of AI into operations. While there were some technical challenges earlier in the year, they have been resolved, and the company is optimistic about future growth, especially in the Insurance division.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
LendingTree reported a revenue of $250 million for Q2 2025, representing a 19% year-over-year growth.
Increased Profitability
Adjusted EBITDA was $31.8 million, up 35% from the previous year.
Segment Performance
Consumer segment saw a 12% revenue growth and a 19% increase in segment profit. Small business loan revenue grew 61%, and personal loan revenue grew 14%. Home segment revenue climbed 25%, driven by a 38% increase in home equity revenue. Insurance segment achieved a 21% year-over-year growth.
AI Integration
LendingTree has adopted an AI-first strategy, with employees using AI tools like enterprise GPT. This integration is expected to enhance efficiency and improve customer guidance in transactions.
Positive Outlook for Insurance Division
The Insurance division is expected to achieve record revenue in Q3, with strong carrier relationships and increased traffic.
Negative Updates
Technical Issues in Insurance Segment
Previously experienced technical errors affecting traffic and monetization were resolved late Q1 and early Q2.
Market Dependency and Competitive Environment
The competitive environment in the insurance market remains hot, and while the company is performing well, it has to navigate this challenging landscape.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, LendingTree reported robust financial performance, with revenue reaching $250 million—a 19% increase year-over-year—and an adjusted EBITDA of $31.8 million, marking a 35% rise from the previous year. The company experienced double-digit growth across its three primary business segments: Consumer, Home, and Insurance. Specifically, Consumer segment revenue grew by 12%, with small business and personal loan revenues increasing by 61% and 14%, respectively. The Home segment saw a 25% revenue increase, driven by a 38% rise in home equity revenue. Meanwhile, the Insurance segment achieved a 21% year-over-year revenue growth. The company also emphasized its strategic focus on AI integration, which is expected to enhance operational efficiency and customer guidance. Looking forward, LendingTree anticipates maintaining its growth trajectory, bolstered by strategic investments and consistent execution across its business operations.

Lendingtree Financial Statement Overview

Summary
LendingTree's financial performance is challenged by consistent negative net income and high leverage, despite strong operational cash flow and promising revenue trends. The financial structure is strained, requiring strategic adjustments for profitability improvement.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
LendingTree has demonstrated fluctuating revenue growth with a recent increase in the TTM period, recovering from a decline in the prior year. However, consistent negative net income and low EBIT margins indicate profitability challenges. The gross profit margin remains strong, reflecting operational efficiency, but overall profitability needs improvement.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company exhibits a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage, which poses a risk in the financial structure. The equity ratio has weakened over the years, reflecting reduced shareholder equity relative to assets. Return on equity is negative, highlighting ongoing profitability issues affecting shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
LendingTree shows a positive trend in operating cash flow, with a favorable operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating strong cash generation relative to earnings. Free cash flow has shown growth, but the cash flow from financing activities is volatile, which could impact long-term cash stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.01B900.22M672.50M984.99M1.10B909.99M
Gross Profit973.10M864.15M633.74M927.22M1.04B855.50M
EBITDA86.34M73.12M21.86M16.49M47.58M53.25M
Net Income-53.98M-41.70M-122.40M-187.95M69.11M-48.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets835.76M767.67M802.76M1.20B1.30B1.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments149.13M106.59M112.05M298.85M251.23M169.93M
Total Debt563.46M544.09M611.15M912.76M740.32M703.77M
Total Liabilities717.65M658.85M678.63M991.37M851.36M824.23M
Stockholders Equity118.11M108.82M124.13M207.94M447.99M364.76M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow77.33M51.04M55.04M31.52M99.51M-3.58M
Operating Cash Flow89.17M62.26M67.57M42.97M134.57M38.57M
Investing Cash Flow-11.90M-11.22M-12.48M-27.88M10.07M-122.15M
Financing Cash Flow5.03M-56.50M-242.01M32.67M-56.96M193.29M

Lendingtree Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price62.43
Price Trends
50DMA
44.84
Positive
100DMA
43.33
Positive
200DMA
43.59
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.55
Negative
RSI
78.76
Negative
STOCH
76.12
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TREE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 62.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 55.40, above the 50-day MA of 44.84, and above the 200-day MA of 43.59, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.55 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.76 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.12 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TREE.

Lendingtree Risk Analysis

Lendingtree disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lendingtree reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lendingtree Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$511.53M2.7814.69%6.69%12.45%-36.64%
73
Outperform
$661.84M12.608.26%0.87%2.64%100.00%
65
Neutral
£5.46B9.229.66%4.98%9.83%-15.31%
59
Neutral
$845.27M-40.91%51.65%58.63%
55
Neutral
$777.62M-3.27%43.15%94.09%
51
Neutral
$608.90M-23.67%6.60%44.77%
50
Neutral
$256.57M-1.26%-5.87%94.07%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TREE
Lendingtree
62.43
5.12
8.93%
YRD
Yiren Digital
6.04
1.49
32.75%
LDI
loanDepot
1.88
-1.20
-38.96%
OPRT
Oportun Financial
5.82
2.72
87.74%
HIPO
Hippo Holdings
31.25
11.69
59.76%
WDH
Waterdrop
1.77
0.75
73.53%

Lendingtree Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
LendingTree Secures $475 Million Loan Facility
Neutral
Aug 21, 2025

On August 21, 2025, LendingTree, Inc. entered into a $475 million first lien term loan facility with Bank of America and Truist Securities. This facility, which includes $400 million in initial term loans and $75 million in revolving loans, is intended to refinance existing facilities and support general corporate purposes. The agreement imposes financial covenants and is secured by a lien on the company’s assets, impacting its financial strategy and stakeholder interests.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
LendingTree Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Positive
Jun 13, 2025

On June 11, 2025, LendingTree, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where 11,424,776 shares were represented, constituting a quorum. During the meeting, stockholders voted on three proposals: the election of nine directors, approval of executive compensation, and ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025. All proposals were approved, indicating strong support for the company’s leadership and strategic direction.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025