tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Lendingtree Inc (TREE)
NASDAQ:TREE

Lendingtree (TREE) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,120 Followers

Top Page

TR

Lendingtree

(NASDAQ:TREE)

Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$37.00
▼(-4.52%Downside)
LendingTree's stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance challenges, including profitability issues and high leverage, as well as bearish technical indicators. While the earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth and a positive outlook, regulatory and legal challenges pose risks. The supportive shareholder sentiment from the corporate events provides a cushion but does not fully offset the financial and technical concerns.
Positive Factors
Diversified marketplace model
Insurance advertising budgets remain healthy, and the home and consumer segments are performing well, showing that the diversified marketplace model is paying dividends.
Financial guidance
TREE established 2025 guidance with revenues and adj. EBITDA +12% Y/Y and +16% Y/Y at the midpoint, respectively.
Negative Factors
Earnings performance
TREE's 1Q results missed expectations on the top and bottom line, largely due to headwinds in the insurance vertical.
Market concerns
There could be some NT choppiness given the heightened macro concerns.

Lendingtree (TREE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lendingtree Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLendingTree, Inc., through its subsidiary, LT Intermediate Company, LLC, operates online consumer platform in the United States. It operates through three segments: Home, Consumer, and Insurance. The Home segment offers purchase mortgage, refinance mortgage, reverse mortgage, and home equity loans; lines of credit; and real estate brokerage services. The Consumer segment provides credit cards; personal, small business, student, and auto loans; deposit accounts; and other credit products, such as credit repair and debt settlement services. The Insurance segment includes information, tools, and access to insurance quote products, including home and automobile, through which consumers are matched with insurance lead aggregators to obtain insurance offers. LendingTree, Inc. also operates Student Loan Hero, a personal finance website dedicated to helping student loan borrowers manage their student debt; QuoteWizard.com, a marketplace for insurance comparison; ValuePenguin, a personal finance website that offers consumers objective analysis on various financial topics from insurance to credit cards; and Stash, a consumer investing and banking platform that offers a suite of personal investment accounts, traditional and Roth IRAs, custodial investment accounts, and banking services, including checking accounts and debit cards with a Stock-Back rewards program. The company was formerly known as Tree.com, Inc. and changed its name to LendingTree, Inc. in January 2015. LendingTree, Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyLendingTree makes money primarily through fees charged to lenders and other financial service providers who participate on its platform. The company operates a lead generation model where lenders pay LendingTree for access to qualified consumer leads. These fees are generally based on the type of loan product and the quality of the lead. Additionally, LendingTree earns revenue from advertising and sponsored listings on its platform, where financial institutions can pay for enhanced visibility to attract potential customers. Significant partnerships with banks, credit unions, and other financial institutions contribute to its earnings by expanding the range of products offered and maintaining a competitive marketplace.

Lendingtree Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows how much revenue each business segment generates, indicating the company’s diversified income sources and potential growth areas.
Chart InsightsLendingTree's Insurance segment shows remarkable growth with a 71% year-over-year increase, despite regulatory challenges. The Consumer segment is gaining momentum, particularly in small business and personal loans, setting up for record revenue in 2025. The Home segment is recovering, driven by demand for home equity loans. However, adjusted EBITDA fell short due to regulatory headwinds and legal expenses. The company remains optimistic, projecting a 15% adjusted EBITDA growth, while managing costs through zero-based budgeting to mitigate macroeconomic risks.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Lendingtree Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -28.40%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights several areas of strong growth and positive forecasts, particularly in the Insurance and Consumer segments. However, challenges remain with adjusted EBITDA falling short of expectations and legal settlements impacting financials. The Company remains optimistic about navigating these challenges with a diversified business model.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth Across All Segments
All three business segments generated solid revenue growth in the first quarter of 2025.
Insurance Segment Revenue Growth
Despite challenges, the Insurance segment grew revenue by 71% year-over-year in the first quarter.
Improvements in Small Business Lending
The Consumer segment benefited from growth in small business and personal loan products, expecting small business to generate record revenue in 2025.
Home Equity Demand Drives Growth
Increased demand for home equity loans is driving the Home segment's performance.
Strong Adjusted EBITDA Forecast
Forecasting strong adjusted EBITDA growth of 15% at the midpoint of the annual outlook.
Negative Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Below Forecast
Adjusted EBITDA came in below forecast due to temporary regulatory headwinds in the insurance business and one-time expenses related to benefits and legal fees.
Softer Insurance Performance
Disruption due to the FCC's pending one-to-one consent rule and a marketing correction led to softer insurance performance than forecasted.
Challenges in Mortgage Market
Prevailing high mortgage rates continue to suppress demand for new home buyers and refinancing.
Impact of Legal Settlement
A settlement in the Mantha vs. QuoteWizard matter resulted in a $19 million liability on the balance sheet.
Company Guidance
During the LendingTree Inc. First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided updated guidance and discussed key metrics for the year. The company experienced solid revenue growth across all three business segments, although adjusted EBITDA was slightly below forecast due to temporary regulatory challenges in the insurance business and one-time expenses. However, they remain optimistic, projecting a 15% adjusted EBITDA growth at the midpoint of their annual outlook. In the insurance segment, revenue grew by 71% year-over-year, despite lingering disruptions from regulatory changes and marketing corrections. In the lending segment, the consumer division showed strength, particularly in small business and personal loan products, with the expectation of record revenue in 2025. The home segment also performed well, driven by increased demand for home equity loans. Looking forward, the company plans to manage operating expenses through savings identified in a zero-based budgeting process, while remaining vigilant about potential macroeconomic impacts such as tariffs and interest rate fluctuations.

Lendingtree Financial Statement Overview

Summary
LendingTree exhibits strong gross profit and operational cash flow generation. However, negative net income, high leverage, and a declining stockholder's equity are concerning. The financial strategy should focus on improving profitability and reducing debt.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Lendingtree's revenue shows a mixed trend with a decline in recent periods, but TTM revenue indicates some recovery. The gross profit margin remains strong, showing efficient cost management. However, the company struggles with profitability, reflected in negative net income and narrow EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating high operational costs relative to revenue.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating considerable leverage. Stockholder's equity has decreased over time, suggesting potential risk. Nevertheless, the equity ratio is adequate, and there is some asset stability. The company's financial structure warrants caution due to high liabilities relative to equity.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow statement shows strong operating cash flow relative to net income, suggesting good cash generation from operations. Free cash flow is positive, and there has been free cash flow growth, but the overall cash position is challenged by significant financing outflows. Although operating cash flow supports liquidity, cash management remains crucial.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue972.18M900.22M672.50M984.99M1.10B909.99M
Gross Profit934.74M864.15M633.74M927.22M1.04B855.50M
EBITDA75.36M73.12M21.86M16.49M47.58M53.25M
Net Income-55.09M-41.70M-122.40M-187.95M69.11M-48.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets777.10M767.67M802.76M1.20B1.30B1.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments126.39M106.59M112.05M298.85M251.23M169.93M
Total Debt455.39M544.09M611.15M912.76M740.32M703.77M
Total Liabilities673.36M658.85M678.63M991.37M851.36M824.23M
Stockholders Equity103.74M108.82M124.13M207.94M447.99M364.76M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow44.45M51.04M55.04M31.52M99.51M-3.58M
Operating Cash Flow56.27M62.26M67.57M42.97M134.57M38.57M
Investing Cash Flow-11.89M-11.22M-12.48M-27.88M10.07M-122.15M
Financing Cash Flow-148.82M-56.50M-242.01M32.67M-56.96M193.29M

Lendingtree Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price38.75
Price Trends
50DMA
38.92
Negative
100DMA
42.42
Negative
200DMA
45.07
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Negative
RSI
59.17
Neutral
STOCH
90.99
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TREE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 38.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.93, below the 50-day MA of 38.92, and below the 200-day MA of 45.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.99 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TREE.

Lendingtree Risk Analysis

Lendingtree disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lendingtree reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lendingtree Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$736.35M10.6611.84%1.47%40.27%545.49%
68
Neutral
$528.80M17.0919.94%2.68%4.44%33.61%
67
Neutral
$16.86B11.649.71%3.83%11.61%-9.60%
59
Neutral
$1.64B-18.49%-0.65%-808.88%
55
Neutral
$518.80M-46.84%51.96%60.33%
55
Neutral
$704.40M-15.58%77.44%85.53%
LDLDI
48
Neutral
$425.58M-29.48%3.76%16.19%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TREE
Lendingtree
38.75
-2.42
-5.88%
LDI
loanDepot
1.32
-0.21
-13.73%
EQBK
Equity Bancshares
42.63
9.23
27.63%
CRD.B
Crawford & Company B
10.50
2.50
31.25%
CIFR
Cipher Mining
5.68
0.98
20.85%
HIPO
Hippo Holdings
27.60
11.97
76.58%

Lendingtree Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
LendingTree Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Positive
Jun 13, 2025

On June 11, 2025, LendingTree, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where 11,424,776 shares were represented, constituting a quorum. During the meeting, stockholders voted on three proposals: the election of nine directors, approval of executive compensation, and ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025. All proposals were approved, indicating strong support for the company’s leadership and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (TREE) stock is a Buy with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lendingtree stock, see the TREE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 27, 2025