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Tempest Therapeutics (TPST)
NASDAQ:TPST

Tempest Therapeutics (TPST) AI Stock Analysis

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TPST

Tempest Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:TPST)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▲(2.74% Upside)
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance (no revenue, sizable losses, heavy cash burn, and a reduced equity cushion). Technicals also weigh heavily due to a clear downtrend across all major moving averages and negative MACD. Valuation provides limited support given the negative P/E and no dividend, while the Nasdaq noncompliance notice adds an additional risk factor.
Positive Factors
Pipeline expansion: dual-CAR T acquisition
Acquiring clinical-stage dual-targeting CD19/BCMA CAR-T assets broadens modality exposure and clinical diversity, adding an asset (TPST-2003) aimed at extramedullary disease. This materially increases long-term strategic optionality and potential milestone-driven de-risking for a small clinical-stage biotech.
Completed registered direct offering and warrants
A successful registered direct offering with a healthcare-focused institutional investor provides fresh capital and shows investor appetite. The proceeds, though modest, materially reduce near-term financing pressure, extending runway and enabling planned clinical activities and integration work tied to recent asset additions.
Leadership change and strategic focus
A new CEO and a stated strategic-alternatives process signal active management intent to reposition the company and extract value. Durable benefits include clearer execution accountability for clinical and M&A integration, and potential acceleration of partnership or licensing outcomes that can reshape long-term prospects.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue with substantial cash burn
The company remains pre-revenue with persistent, sizable operating losses and heavy free cash outflows. This structural cash burn creates ongoing dependency on external financing, elevates dilution risk, constrains multi-year trial programs, and limits flexibility to fund unforeseen development costs without material capital raises.
Eroded equity and shrinking asset base
A sharply reduced equity cushion and declining assets weaken the company’s balance-sheet resilience. This lowers protection against adverse clinical or market outcomes, increases borrowing or dilution likelihood, and reduces negotiating leverage with partners or acquirers over the medium term.
Nasdaq noncompliance notice and governance lapse
A Nasdaq noncompliance notice highlights governance and operational control shortcomings. Delisting risk or remediation obligations can impair liquidity, complicate future capital raises, and deter institutional partners, making sustained access to public markets and strategic transactions more difficult until resolved.

Tempest Therapeutics (TPST) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tempest Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTempest Therapeutics Inc., a clinical-stage oncology company, engages in developing small molecule therapeutics to treat cancer. The company's two clinical programs are TPST-1495, a dual antagonist of EP2 and EP4, receptors of prostaglandin E2, and is currently in a Phase 1 trial in solid tumors; and TPST-1120, a selective antagonist of peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor alpha that is in a Phase 1 trial in solid tumors. It also develops TREX-1, a key cellular enzyme that regulates the innate immune response in tumors. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California. Tempest Therapeutics Inc. was formerly a subsidiary of Inception Sciences, Inc.
How the Company Makes MoneyTempest Therapeutics makes money primarily through the development and potential commercialization of its therapeutic candidates. The company typically earns revenue through licensing agreements, collaboration partnerships, and milestone payments from larger pharmaceutical companies. These partnerships often involve joint development and commercialization efforts, where Tempest may receive upfront payments, research funding, and royalties from future sales of successfully developed drugs. Additionally, the company may secure funding from grants and public or private investments to support its research and clinical trials.

Tempest Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tempest Therapeutics is in the growth stage typical for a biotech company, with no revenues and high expenditures leading to losses. Financial stability shows some signs of improvement, but heavy reliance on external financing and lack of operational cash flow remain significant risks.
Income Statement
Tempest Therapeutics has consistently recorded no revenue over the years, which is typical for many early-stage biotechnology companies. Although gross profit and net income are negative, showing the company is not yet profitable, it's important to note that this aligns with the industry's norm where R&D expenditures often outweigh revenues in initial phases.
Balance Sheet
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is somewhat high, indicating a reliance on debt financing. However, the equity ratio is improving, signaling potential strengthening of the financial position. Stockholders' equity has fluctuated over the years, with recent improvements, which is positive, but the overall financial stability remains a concern.
Cash Flow
Operating and free cash flows remain negative, reflecting ongoing cash burn typical for the sector. The company has managed to secure financing consistently, which has supported cash flow but highlights reliance on external funding. The lack of any significant positive cash flow from operations poses a risk.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-133.00K-389.00K0.000.000.00-815.00K
EBITDA-35.35M-40.14M-27.66M-33.45M-26.65M-18.39M
Net Income-36.05M-41.84M-29.49M-35.71M-28.30M-19.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.13M41.49M51.60M46.09M73.24M22.86M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.51M30.27M39.23M31.23M51.83M18.82M
Total Debt8.40M15.37M20.66M22.11M18.54M2.44M
Total Liabilities10.78M22.36M24.84M27.98M37.12M91.66M
Stockholders Equity6.35M19.13M26.77M18.11M36.12M-68.79M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-33.40M-33.46M-27.53M-31.63M-26.09M-19.07M
Operating Cash Flow-33.40M-33.03M-27.36M-31.07M-25.96M-19.02M
Investing Cash Flow-3.00K-435.00K-170.00K-562.00K-97.00K-6.00K
Financing Cash Flow18.44M24.50M35.60M11.40M59.06M34.60M

Tempest Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.92
Price Trends
50DMA
5.25
Negative
100DMA
7.79
Negative
200DMA
7.58
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.56
Negative
RSI
30.97
Neutral
STOCH
24.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TPST, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.92 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.97, below the 50-day MA of 5.25, and below the 200-day MA of 7.58, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.56 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 30.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TPST.

Tempest Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Tempest Therapeutics disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tempest Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tempest Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
52
Neutral
$37.92M-1.93-104.58%1.18%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$54.35M-1.21-221.81%29.95%
51
Neutral
$76.80M-3.32-526.36%-2.46%
48
Neutral
$145.36M-2.06-4.76%8.09%
45
Neutral
$44.61M-1.29-133.09%11.11%20.65%
43
Neutral
$14.19M-0.29-405.03%49.43%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TPST
Tempest Therapeutics
2.88
-9.11
-75.98%
ATNM
Actinium Pharmaceuticals
1.43
0.17
13.49%
PDSB
PDS Biotechnology
0.99
-0.43
-30.07%
MRSN
Mersana Therapeutics
29.08
13.54
87.13%
LTRN
Lantern Pharma
3.39
-0.35
-9.36%
CALC
CalciMedica
5.33
2.43
83.79%

Tempest Therapeutics Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Tempest Therapeutics Faces Nasdaq Noncompliance, Plans Annual Meeting
Negative
Jan 9, 2026

Tempest Therapeutics disclosed that on January 8, 2026 it received a notice from Nasdaq’s Listing Qualifications Department stating the company was not in compliance with Nasdaq’s continued listing rules because it failed to hold an annual shareholders’ meeting within twelve months of its December 31, 2024 fiscal year end. The company has already scheduled its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders for January 27, 2026, and under Nasdaq rules it has until February 23, 2026 to regain compliance or submit a remediation plan, with a potential extension to June 29, 2026; holding the January 27 meeting is expected to restore compliance and reduce the near-term risk to its Nasdaq listing status for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TPST) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tempest Therapeutics stock, see the TPST Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Tempest Therapeutics Secures $4.25M in Direct Offering
Neutral
Nov 26, 2025

On November 24, 2025, Tempest Therapeutics entered into a securities purchase agreement with a healthcare-focused institutional investor to issue and sell shares of common stock and warrants in a registered direct offering and a concurrent private placement. The offering, expected to close on November 26, 2025, is anticipated to generate gross proceeds of approximately $4.25 million, with potential additional proceeds from warrant exercises. The company plans to use the funds for working capital and general corporate purposes, potentially impacting its operational capabilities and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TPST) stock is a Hold with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tempest Therapeutics stock, see the TPST Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Tempest Therapeutics Announces New Leadership and Acquisition
Neutral
Nov 19, 2025

Tempest Therapeutics, Inc. has entered into an Asset Purchase Agreement with Erigen LLC and Factor Bioscience Inc., involving the acquisition of assets related to CAR T-cell therapies. The transaction, expected to close in early 2026, will result in significant changes in the company’s leadership, with Dr. Matt Angel appointed as CEO and President. The deal includes the issuance of shares and warrants, and is subject to stockholder approval and other conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TPST) stock is a Hold with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tempest Therapeutics stock, see the TPST Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 10, 2026