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Passage Bio (PASG)
NASDAQ:PASG
US Market

Passage Bio (PASG) AI Stock Analysis

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PASG

Passage Bio

(NASDAQ:PASG)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$11.00
▲(20.75% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial fundamentals typical of a pre-revenue biotech (ongoing losses and negative free cash flow, with signs of increasing financing reliance). Technicals are a supportive offset with strong momentum above major moving averages, but overbought readings temper the benefit. Valuation is limited by the negative P/E and the absence of a dividend yield.
Positive Factors
PBFT02 clinical progress & regulatory designations
Regulatory designations and active Phase 1/2 enrollment materially de-risk clinical and regulatory pathways. Fast Track/Orphan status can shorten development timelines and enable accelerated interactions with regulators, improving chances to reach registrational design discussions and future approval.
Improving cash burn and narrowing losses
Sustained reduction in net loss and operating cash outflows shows better cost control and a smaller spending footprint. This structural improvement lengthens runway per dollar raised and reduces near-term financing frequency, improving operational resilience while clinical programs advance.
Focused CNS AAV platform and sizable target markets
A platform that enables one-time, CNS-targeted AAV delivery addresses high unmet needs in adult neurodegenerative diseases. Durable biomarker effects and broad biodistribution support competitive differentiation and longer-term commercial potential in sizeable FTD and Huntington's disease markets.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue with negative free cash flow
No recurring commercial revenue means long-term operations depend on capital markets or partnering. Persistent negative free cash flow creates structural financing needs; repeated equity raises can dilute shareholders and constrain strategic optionality during multi-year clinical development.
Rising leverage and contracted balance sheet
Increasing debt-to-equity and severely shrinking assets indicate rising reliance on external financing and a thinner balance sheet. These structural trends reduce financial flexibility to fund trials, heighten refinancing risk, and increase vulnerability to adverse clinical or regulatory setbacks.
Limited cash runway into Q1 2027
A runway only into Q1 2027 requires near-term capital or material partnerships to sustain development beyond registrational planning. Timing-sensitive financing while pivotal programs progress can force dilutive financings or constrained R&D pacing, presenting structural execution risk.

Passage Bio (PASG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Passage Bio Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPassage Bio, Inc., a genetic medicines company, develops transformative therapies for central nervous system diseases. It develops PBGM01, which utilizes a proprietary, AAVhu68 capsid to deliver to the brain and peripheral tissues a functional GLB1 gene encoding lysosomal acid beta-galactosidase for infantile GM1; PBFT02, which utilizes an AAV1 capsid to deliver to the brain a functional granulin (GRN) and gene encoding progranulin (PGRN) for the treatment of FTD-GRN; and PBKR03, which utilizes a proprietary, AAVhu68 capsid to deliver to the brain and peripheral tissues a functional GALC gene encoding the hydrolytic enzyme galactosylceramidase for infantile Krabbe disease. The company also develops PBML04 for the treatment of metachromatic leukodystrophy; PBAL05 for the treatment of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis; and PBCM06 for the treatment of Charcot-Marie-Tooth Type 2A. Passage Bio, Inc. has a strategic research collaboration with the Trustees of the University of Pennsylvania's Gene Therapy Program; and collaboration agreement, and a development services and clinical supply agreement with Catalent Maryland, Inc. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyPassage Bio primarily generates revenue through partnerships, collaborations, and licensing agreements with other pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies. These collaborations often involve upfront payments, milestone payments based on the achievement of clinical and regulatory milestones, and royalties on future product sales. The company may also receive government grants and research funding to support its R&D initiatives. Passage Bio's focus on developing gene therapies for rare CNS disorders allows it to target markets with high unmet medical needs, potentially leading to premium pricing for successful therapies. As its products progress through clinical trials and potentially reach commercialization, the company aims to generate revenue from sales of its approved therapies.

Passage Bio Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pre-revenue with persistent operating losses and negative free cash flow, which remains the central risk. Offsetting this, net loss and cash burn have improved materially versus prior years, and equity remains positive, but shrinking assets and rising debt-to-equity suggest increasing financing dependence.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
PASG remains a pre-revenue biotech with $0 revenue across the annual periods provided and in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), so losses are expected but still material. Profitability has improved meaningfully over time, with net loss narrowing from about -$185.4M (2021) to -$64.8M (2024) and -$45.3M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), indicating better cost control and/or a smaller spending footprint. However, the company is still deeply unprofitable (negative EBIT/EBITDA and net income), and reported margin figures are not very informative given the lack of revenue.
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Leverage is moderate, with total debt of ~$24.3M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and debt-to-equity at ~0.65, up from ~0.42 in 2024 and ~0.13 in 2022—suggesting a rising reliance on debt as equity has declined. The balance sheet has clearly contracted (assets ~$355.1M in 2020 down to ~$74.2M in TTM), consistent with sustained cash burn. Equity remains positive (~$31.1M TTM), but returns on equity are strongly negative (about -1.04 TTM), highlighting ongoing dilution/burn risk if capital needs persist.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash burn remains the key issue: operating cash flow is negative in every period, though it has improved from about -$126.9M (2021) to -$48.0M (2024) and -$33.5M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Free cash flow is similarly negative (about -$33.5M TTM), and the latest free cash flow growth is sharply worse (TTM shows a sizable decline versus the prior period). A positive factor is that free cash flow roughly matches net loss (free cash flow to net income ~1.00), implying losses are largely cash-based rather than being driven by large non-cash adjustments—but the absolute level of burn still pressures funding runway.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-919.00K0.00-3.72M0.000.000.00
EBITDA-42.55M-62.09M-98.34M-131.72M-176.19M-111.10M
Net Income-45.26M-64.77M-102.06M-136.13M-185.39M-112.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets74.16M102.41M150.54M243.55M355.08M328.01M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments52.77M76.76M114.29M189.61M315.77M304.82M
Total Debt24.34M25.48M26.29M27.11M0.000.00
Total Liabilities43.04M41.15M39.26M42.18M36.42M23.29M
Stockholders Equity31.12M61.26M111.28M201.37M318.66M304.71M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-33.49M-47.99M-78.41M-123.48M-152.52M-82.17M
Operating Cash Flow-33.47M-47.96M-78.26M-118.21M-126.88M-80.52M
Investing Cash Flow53.89M54.95M65.24M25.20M-45.81M-172.11M
Financing Cash Flow61.00K8.87M135.00K-1.35M166.66M228.75M

Passage Bio Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9.11
Price Trends
50DMA
11.60
Negative
100DMA
9.70
Positive
200DMA
8.38
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.37
Positive
RSI
41.18
Neutral
STOCH
25.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PASG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.67, below the 50-day MA of 11.60, and above the 200-day MA of 8.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.37 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PASG.

Passage Bio Risk Analysis

Passage Bio disclosed 79 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Passage Bio reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Passage Bio Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
$32.98M-0.63-87.18%38.42%
47
Neutral
$90.92M-2.10-109.73%50.39%
46
Neutral
$68.38M-246.14%62.84%
44
Neutral
$11.73M-0.22-405.03%49.43%
39
Underperform
$10.03M-0.78-73.63%53.19%
39
Underperform
$37.87M-0.61-80.81%-17.82%57.32%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PASG
Passage Bio
9.11
-2.54
-21.80%
TPST
Tempest Therapeutics
2.23
-9.59
-81.13%
CMMB
Chemomab Therapeutics
1.45
-6.91
-82.66%
ANVS
Annovis Bio
2.44
-0.64
-20.78%
GBIO
Generation Bio
5.74
-2.32
-28.76%
CGTX
Cognition Therapeutics
1.00
0.36
56.09%

Passage Bio Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Passage Bio Highlights PBFT02 Progress and Extended Cash Runway
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

On January 12, 2026, Passage Bio updated its corporate presentation to highlight progress on PBFT02, its lead gene therapy candidate for frontotemporal dementia caused by GRN mutations (FTD-GRN), and to outline its broader strategy in neurodegenerative diseases. The materials emphasized PBFT02’s potential best-in-class profile as a one-time, cerebrospinal fluid–delivered AAV1 gene replacement therapy that raises progranulin levels, backed by nonhuman primate and mouse data showing broad CNS biodistribution, durable increases in CSF progranulin and improvements in markers of lysosomal dysfunction and neuroinflammation, as well as fast track and orphan drug designations and ongoing enrollment in the global Phase 1/2 upliFT-D trial. Passage Bio also underscored the sizable addressable market in FTD and Huntington’s disease and reported a cash runway expected to extend into the first quarter of 2027, positioning the company to advance its clinical and preclinical pipeline during a period of significant unmet need in adult-onset neurodegenerative conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (PASG) stock is a Hold with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Passage Bio stock, see the PASG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Passage Bio Reports Q3 Financial Results and Updates
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Passage Bio reported its third-quarter financial results and recent business highlights, including the ongoing enrollment of patients in its upliFT-D clinical trial for PBFT02. The company has aligned with the FDA on an analytical approach for its manufacturing process and is on track to seek regulatory feedback on a registrational trial design in the first half of 2026. Passage Bio’s financial results showed a decrease in net loss and expenses compared to the previous year, with a cash runway projected into the first quarter of 2027.

The most recent analyst rating on (PASG) stock is a Buy with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Passage Bio stock, see the PASG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026