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Tapestry (TPR)
NYSE:TPR

Tapestry (TPR) AI Stock Analysis

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Tapestry

(NYSE:TPR)

70Outperform
Tapestry's overall score reflects strong financial performance and a positive outlook from the latest earnings call, driven by significant growth at Coach and international markets. However, high leverage and challenges in certain brands weigh on the stock. Technical indicators show bearish trends, and valuation metrics are moderate, impacting the overall score.
Positive Factors
Brand Momentum
The Coach brand will continue to be the highlight, with no slowdown expected and an acceleration in traffic data.
Growth Strategy
Tapestry is seen as well positioned for consistent, profitable growth.
Market Focus
Management continues to see enormous opportunity to grow its customer base in Asia, particularly in China.
Negative Factors
Brand Momentum Concerns
There is a wait for evidence of sustained Coach brand momentum outside of the holiday quarter, leading to an Equal-weight rating.
Luxury Segment Challenges
Citi credit card data shows a deceleration in the Luxury Leather basket, indicating potential challenges in that segment.

Tapestry (TPR) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Tapestry Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTapestry, Inc. (TPR) is a leading American multinational luxury fashion holding company based in New York City. It operates in the fashion and lifestyle sectors, primarily through its three core brands: Coach, Kate Spade, and Stuart Weitzman. These brands offer a range of products including handbags, footwear, apparel, and accessories, catering to a diverse global customer base. Tapestry is recognized for its commitment to craftsmanship and quality, blending classic designs with contemporary trends.
How the Company Makes MoneyTapestry makes money through the sale of its luxury fashion products across its core brands: Coach, Kate Spade, and Stuart Weitzman. The company operates a mix of direct-to-consumer channels including retail stores, e-commerce platforms, and wholesale distribution to department stores and specialty retailers. Revenue is primarily generated from the sale of handbags, which are a staple of the Coach and Kate Spade brands, but also from footwear and accessories under the Stuart Weitzman label. Tapestry's strategic partnerships and collaborations with designers and celebrities enhance brand visibility and attract new customer segments. Additionally, the company leverages its digital platforms to reach a broader audience and increase sales. Seasonal collections and limited-edition releases further drive customer engagement and revenue.

Tapestry Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tapestry demonstrates solid profitability and efficient cash flow generation, reflected in a healthy gross profit margin and strong operating cash flow. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio indicates significant leverage, posing potential financial risks.
Income Statement
77
Positive
Tapestry has shown a consistent revenue stream with a slight increase in TTM compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin is healthy at approximately 72.7%, reflecting strong pricing power and efficiency in cost management. The net profit margin is around 11.7%, indicating reasonable profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also solid at 17.5% and 21.0% respectively, although there has been a modest decline in net income over the last year.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet of Tapestry shows a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.07, which indicates significant leverage and potential risk in times of financial stress. The return on equity (ROE) is fair at approximately 59.6%, driven by moderate net income. The equity ratio stands at 18.4%, suggesting a low proportion of equity in the capital structure, which could limit financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Tapestry's cash flow shows a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.23, indicating efficient conversion of earnings to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is similarly robust at 1.08. However, there has been a decline in free cash flow over the recent period, which may warrant attention.
Breakdown
Jun 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
6.67B6.66B6.68B5.75B4.96B
Gross Profit
4.89B4.71B4.65B4.08B3.24B
EBIT
1.14B1.17B1.18B968.00M-550.80M
EBITDA
1.37B1.36B1.37B1.19B-315.80M
Net Income Common Stockholders
816.00M936.00M856.30M834.20M-652.10M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
7.20B741.50M953.20M2.02B1.43B
Total Assets
13.40B7.12B7.27B8.38B7.92B
Total Debt
8.77B3.29B3.26B3.44B4.49B
Net Debt
2.62B2.57B2.47B1.42B3.05B
Total Liabilities
10.50B4.84B4.98B5.12B5.65B
Stockholders Equity
2.90B2.28B2.29B3.26B2.28B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.15B791.00M759.30M1.21B201.60M
Operating Cash Flow
1.26B975.20M853.20M1.32B407.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.04B5.70M-253.60M-91.00M44.30M
Financing Cash Flow
5.21B-1.04B-1.78B-666.00M5.90M

Tapestry Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price72.76
Price Trends
50DMA
71.84
Positive
100DMA
71.38
Positive
200DMA
58.35
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Negative
RSI
60.88
Neutral
STOCH
94.91
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TPR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 72.76 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 66.02, above the 50-day MA of 71.84, and above the 200-day MA of 58.35, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.91 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TPR.

Tapestry Risk Analysis

Tapestry disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tapestry reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tapestry Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TPTPR
70
Outperform
$15.06B21.1239.82%1.92%0.74%-12.69%
SISIG
61
Neutral
$2.63B5.562.62%1.94%-6.52%-104.24%
61
Neutral
$6.65B11.643.00%3.98%2.61%-21.41%
55
Neutral
$639.49M-8.28%12.01%-23.53%
51
Neutral
$697.79M32.94%9.32%25.94%
49
Neutral
$1.83B-67.22%-12.34%-574.65%
41
Neutral
$292.94M-195.94%-22.86%-38.76%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TPR
Tapestry
72.76
34.31
89.23%
CPRI
Capri Holdings
15.55
-20.18
-56.48%
SIG
Signet Jewelers
61.24
-34.32
-35.91%
REAL
RealReal
6.17
1.96
46.56%
MYTE
MYT Netherlands
7.50
3.00
66.67%
LANV
Lanvin Group Holdings
2.02
0.42
26.25%

Tapestry Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.41%|
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong performance at Coach and impressive growth in Europe, alongside a successful customer acquisition strategy and raised fiscal year outlook. However, challenges at Kate Spade and Stuart Weitzman, along with high inventory levels, present areas of concern. Overall, the positive aspects outweigh the negatives, leading to an optimistic outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Revenue and Earnings Per Share
Tapestry achieved record quarterly revenue and earnings per share, exceeding expectations with a 5% total revenue increase and over 20% growth in earnings per share compared to the prior year.
Coach's Strong Performance
Coach reported a 10% constant currency revenue gain with significant margin expansion, highlighting 270 basis points of gross margin expansion and a 210 basis point lift in operating margin.
Impressive Growth in Europe
Revenue in Europe increased by 42% at constant currency, driven by strong performance across all brands and channels, indicating a significant runway for growth.
New Customer Acquisition
Tapestry acquired approximately 2.7 million new customers in North America, with over half being Gen Z and millennials, highlighting a focus on building lifetime value with younger consumers.
Omnichannel Strength
Digital revenue grew by high single digits, representing about one-third of revenue at accretive margins, while global brick and mortar sales also rose, contributing to strong profitability.
Raised Fiscal 2025 Outlook
Tapestry raised its outlook for fiscal year 2025, expecting over $6.85 billion in revenue, representing approximately 3% growth compared to the prior year.
Negative Updates
Decline in Kate Spade Revenue
Kate Spade experienced a 10% revenue decline, prompting strategic actions to rebuild the brand and focus on long-term growth through consumer insights and brand heat development.
Challenges at Stuart Weitzman
Stuart Weitzman faced a 16% decrease in net sales at constant currency, reflecting softness in Greater China and North America direct channels.
High Inventory Levels
Inventory levels at the end of the quarter were 14% above the prior year, indicating potential challenges in inventory management.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, Tapestry exceeded expectations with a 5% revenue increase, driven by 10% growth at Coach and a 7% rise in international revenue, including a 42% surge in Europe. In North America, sales rose by 4%, with the brand acquiring 2.7 million new customers, over half of whom were Gen Z and millennials, who also transacted at higher average unit retail (AUR) prices. The company maintained robust digital sales, representing nearly one-third of revenue, and achieved record earnings per share, up over 20% from the previous year. The brand's gross margin expanded by 280 basis points, largely due to operational efficiencies, and Tapestry raised its full-year outlook, forecasting a $6.85 billion revenue, equating to a 3% growth, and an EPS increase to $4.85-$4.90, reflecting 13% to 14% growth. With strong cash flow, the company plans to return over $2 billion to shareholders in fiscal 2025, maintaining a focus on long-term growth and shareholder value.

Tapestry Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tapestry Sells Stuart Weitzman Brand to Caleres
Neutral
Feb 19, 2025

On February 19, 2025, Tapestry, Inc. announced its agreement to sell the Stuart Weitzman brand to Caleres for $105 million in cash. This strategic move is aimed at positioning Tapestry’s brands for long-term success while allowing Caleres to expand its portfolio with a focus on global and direct-to-consumer growth, with the transaction expected to close in the summer of 2025.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.