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Toyo Co., Ltd (TOYO)
NASDAQ:TOYO
US Market

TOYO Co Ltd (TOYO) AI Stock Analysis

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TOYO

TOYO Co Ltd

(NASDAQ:TOYO)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
▲(3.50% Upside)
TOYO Co Ltd's stock score is primarily driven by strong technical indicators, suggesting bullish momentum. However, financial performance challenges, including declining profit margins and increased leverage, weigh down the score. The valuation is reasonable, supporting the stock's potential for growth.
Positive Factors
Top-line Growth
Sustained 28.9% TTM revenue growth shows durable demand for TOYO’s solar products and effective market penetration. Consistent top-line expansion supports scaling benefits, better factory utilization, and the ability to reinvest in capacity and R&D over the next several quarters.
Manufacturing Capacity Expansion
Operational 2GW facility with a roadmap to 4GW delivers structural cost advantages and scale. Increased in-house cell output reduces per‑unit costs, strengthens gross margin potential long-term, and supports volume growth in key markets as new plants reach full utilization.
Supply-chain Diversification
A U.S. polysilicon supply contract and dual-source strategy reduce regulatory and foreign‑entity risk for U.S. manufacturing. Stable, compliant inputs improve ability to serve U.S. customers, de‑risk tariff exposure and support long‑term commercial expansion of U.S. module output.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Elevated leverage (D/E 2.23) and low equity ratio constrain financial flexibility and increase refinancing risk. High debt burdens can limit capital for capex or working capital, amplify interest expense volatility, and weaken resilience to market or margin shocks over coming quarters.
Weak Cash Generation
Negative free cash flow and OCF/NI of 0.26 indicate limited internal funding for capex and expansion. Continued reliance on external financing or equity issuance raises dilution and funding risk, challenging sustainable investment in capacity and working capital over the medium term.
Margin Compression & Rising OpEx
A sharp 219.9% rise in operating expenses and falling gross margins (noted elsewhere in reports) pressure profitability. Persistent higher SG&A and public‑company costs can erode operating leverage, delaying conversion of capacity growth into durable margin recovery.

TOYO Co Ltd (TOYO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TOYO Co Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTOYO Co Ltd (TOYO) is a leading company specializing in the manufacturing and distribution of high-quality industrial materials and products. Operating primarily in the sectors of automotive, electronics, and construction, TOYO offers an extensive range of products including adhesives, coatings, and specialty chemicals. The company is known for its commitment to innovation and sustainability, providing solutions that meet the evolving needs of its diverse clientele.
How the Company Makes MoneyTOYO generates revenue through multiple streams including the sale of its core products such as adhesives and coatings to various industries like automotive and electronics. The company also engages in long-term contracts with major manufacturers, ensuring a steady income from consistent orders. Additionally, TOYO benefits from strategic partnerships with key players in the construction and manufacturing sectors, which enhance its market reach and product offerings. Research and development initiatives lead to new product launches, further driving sales and expanding their customer base.

TOYO Co Ltd Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

TOYO Co Ltd Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 08, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights several strategic advancements, including the acquisition of the VSUN brand and expansion of solar manufacturing capacity, which position TOYO for future growth. However, these are offset by significant financial challenges such as decreased gross profit margins, increased operating expenses, and a decline in net income. The sentiment is balanced with positive strategic moves and negative financial impacts.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Acquisition of VSUN Brand
TOYO Co., Ltd. acquired the VSUN brand from Vietnam Sun Energy, aiming to streamline operations and accelerate growth. This acquisition is expected to reinforce market credibility and customer confidence.
Expansion of Solar Manufacturing Capacity
The new solar cell manufacturing facility in Ethiopia is operating at full 2 gigawatt capacity, with plans to double to 4 gigawatts by October 2025. This expansion provides a compelling cost structure and access to green power.
Increase in Solar Cell Shipments
Solar cell shipments increased to 1.6 gigawatts in the first half of 2025, up from 985 megawatts in the same period last year.
Cash Position Improvement
The company had approximately $30 million in cash and current restricted cash as of June 2025, compared to $15.1 million as of December 2024.
Negative Updates
Decline in Gross Profit Margin
Gross profit margin decreased to 16.6% in the first half of 2025, compared to 19.3% in the same period last year, due to increased unit costs of raw materials.
Increase in Operating Expenses
Total operating expenses rose by 219.9% to approximately $30 million for the first half of 2025, from $4.2 million in the same period last year, primarily due to expenses related to new facilities and being a public company.
Decrease in Net Income
Net income attributable to shareholders was approximately $4 million for the first half of 2025, compared to $19.6 million for the same period last year.
Reduced Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA
Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA decreased to approximately $23 million for the first half of 2025, compared to $33 million in the same period last year, reflecting increased operating expenses and reduced sales volume to the U.S. market.
Company Guidance
During the call, TOYO Co., Ltd. provided guidance indicating a strategic focus on expanding solar cell production, projecting shipments of approximately 4.2 to 4.4 gigawatts for the full year 2025. This expansion is expected to drive revenue to a range of $375 million to $400 million, with net income anticipated between $39 million and $45 million. The company highlighted the integration of the VSUN brand to streamline operations and enhance market presence. Despite a slight decline in gross profit margin to 16.6% in the first half of 2025, compared to 19.3% in the previous year, TOYO expects margins to improve as new facilities in Ethiopia and Houston reach full capacity. The company remains committed to leveraging its manufacturing capabilities and strategic partnerships to navigate tariff-related challenges and capitalize on high-growth markets.

TOYO Co Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TOYO Co Ltd shows strong revenue growth and positive EBITDA, but faces challenges with declining profit margins and increased leverage. The balance sheet indicates higher financial risk due to increased debt levels, and cash flow metrics highlight cash generation issues despite positive growth in free cash flow.
Income Statement
TOYO Co Ltd shows a strong revenue growth rate of 28.9% in the TTM, indicating robust top-line expansion. However, the gross profit margin has decreased from 12.37% to 10.30%, and the net profit margin has also declined from 23.11% to 13.72%. The negative EBIT margin of -2.20% in the TTM suggests operational challenges, although the EBITDA margin remains positive at 11.22%.
Balance Sheet
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased significantly to 2.23 in the TTM, indicating higher leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity has decreased from 69.04% to 38.68%, reflecting reduced profitability on equity. The equity ratio stands at 18.96%, suggesting moderate equity financing relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
TOYO Co Ltd's free cash flow growth rate is positive at 166.88% in the TTM, but the free cash flow remains negative, indicating cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.26, showing limited cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue177.98M177.00M62.38M0.000.00
Gross Profit18.34M21.90M16.63M0.000.00
EBITDA19.98M32.44M14.59M-1.12M-246.89K
Net Income24.42M40.90M9.89M2.18M-246.89K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets353.62M239.80M238.28M70.72M93.86M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments28.19M13.65M18.04M746.00276.28K
Total Debt149.35M73.57M104.24M198.72K0.00
Total Liabilities283.38M180.36M181.39M5.39M3.30M
Stockholders Equity67.01M59.24M56.90M7.85M90.56M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-9.83M2.46M-126.77M-2.24M-182.13K
Operating Cash Flow64.75M46.51M-12.53M-778.98K-182.13K
Investing Cash Flow-74.65M-44.04M-114.24M26.04M-92.92M
Financing Cash Flow3.07M-2.09M146.15M-25.53M93.38M

TOYO Co Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.28
Price Trends
50DMA
6.50
Negative
100DMA
6.33
Negative
200DMA
4.93
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.19
Positive
RSI
39.99
Neutral
STOCH
55.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TOYO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.12, below the 50-day MA of 6.50, and above the 200-day MA of 4.93, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TOYO.

TOYO Co Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$212.55M8.3334.94%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
59
Neutral
$177.79M-3.00-664.69%39.53%-7.16%
49
Neutral
$112.56M-2.34-177.48%97.41%11.83%
47
Neutral
$175.42M10.01657.27%
45
Neutral
$61.56M-1.4127.17%57.71%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TOYO
TOYO Co Ltd
6.07
2.43
66.76%
FTCI
FTC Solar
12.12
8.00
194.17%
SPWR
Complete Solaria
1.62
0.03
1.89%
TYGO
Tigo Energy
1.54
0.71
85.54%
ZEO
Zeo Energy
1.05
-0.97
-48.02%

TOYO Co Ltd Corporate Events

TOYO Co., Ltd. Secures U.S. Polysilicon Supply to Bolster American Solar Expansion
Jan 9, 2026

On January 7, 2026, TOYO Co., Ltd. announced it had signed a one-year sales contract with a leading U.S. polysilicon manufacturer to secure domestically produced polysilicon for its solar manufacturing operations. The agreement, which supplements TOYO’s existing non-FEOC overseas supply, establishes a dual-source, diversified supply chain that supports solar cell production in Ethiopia and module manufacturing in the United States, bolstering the company’s ability to meet growing U.S. solar demand and align with U.S. regulatory expectations while underpinning its expansion and positioning as a key solar supplier in the American market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TOYO) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TOYO Co Ltd stock, see the TOYO Stock Forecast page.

TOYO Co., Ltd Approves Accounting Firm at 2025 AGM
Dec 11, 2025

TOYO Co., Ltd, a Cayman Islands holding company, conducted its 2025 annual general meeting on December 9, 2025. During the meeting, shareholders approved the appointment of Marcum Asia CPAs LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal years ending December 31, 2024, and December 31, 2025. This decision was made with a quorum of more than one-third of all voting shares present, indicating strong shareholder engagement. The approval of the accounting firm is expected to ensure continued financial transparency and compliance for TOYO Co., Ltd.

The most recent analyst rating on (TOYO) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TOYO Co Ltd stock, see the TOYO Stock Forecast page.

TOYO Co., Ltd Announces December 2025 Annual General Meeting
Nov 3, 2025

TOYO Co., Ltd, a company incorporated in the Cayman Islands and listed on NASDAQ, has announced its upcoming annual general meeting of shareholders scheduled for December 9, 2025. The meeting will be held virtually, and shareholders will vote on the ratification of Marcum Asia CPAs LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal years ending December 31, 2024, and December 31, 2025. The board also seeks approval to adjourn the meeting if necessary to gather more votes. The record date for determining shareholder eligibility to vote is October 23, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (TOYO) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TOYO Co Ltd stock, see the TOYO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 07, 2025