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Complete Solaria (SPWR)
NASDAQ:SPWR
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Complete Solaria (SPWR) AI Stock Analysis

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SPWR

Complete Solaria

(NASDAQ:SPWR)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▲(22.70% Upside)
The overall stock score is primarily influenced by the company's strong revenue growth but is significantly hampered by its financial instability and high leverage. Technical analysis provides some positive momentum, but the negative valuation metrics due to unprofitability weigh heavily on the score.

Complete Solaria (SPWR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Complete Solaria Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionComplete Solaria, Inc. engages in the provision of solar system sales and installation in the United States. It operates through Residential Solar Installation and New Homes Business segments. The company also installs storage and batteries. In addition, it offers a technology platform, financing solutions, and solar modules. The company sells its products to homeowners, home builders, and small to medium-sized commercial customers through third-party sales partners. Complete Solaria, Inc. is headquartered in Fremont, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyComplete Solaria generates revenue primarily through the sale of solar panels and related installation services. The company's revenue model is based on direct sales to consumers and businesses, as well as partnerships with energy service providers and distributors. Key revenue streams include the sale of solar energy systems, maintenance services, and potential long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with clients. Additionally, Complete Solaria benefits from governmental incentives and subsidies for renewable energy adoption, which further supports its earnings. Strategic partnerships with technology firms and suppliers also enhance its market presence and contribute to revenue growth.

Complete Solaria Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 22, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive shift towards profitability and strategic growth, with significant achievements in cost management and strategic partnerships. However, challenges remain with market pricing pressures and ongoing execution improvements.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Profitability Achieved
SunPower reported a non-GAAP profit of $1.27 million in Q1 2025, up from a loss of $5.9 million in the prior quarter.
Revenue In Line with Expectations
The company achieved $80 million in revenue for Q1 2025, meeting market expectations and establishing a stable baseline for future growth.
Strategic Partnerships and Board Strengthening
SunPower formed a strategic partnership with Sunder and strengthened its Board with three ex-CEO directors, enhancing governance and strategic direction.
Innovative Hiring and Cost Management
The company implemented a disciplined headcount reduction strategy, reducing employees from 1,341 to 906 and saving an annualized $1.6 million.
Investment in Technology and Talent
SunPower hired industry veterans Dick Swanson and Mehran Sedigh to drive innovation in solar technology and storage systems.
Negative Updates
Headcount Reductions
Significant layoffs occurred, reducing staff from 1,341 to 906, highlighting a dramatic cost-cutting effort.
Challenges with Solar Market Pricing
The solar market remains challenging with intense pricing pressure and potential impacts from tariffs and supply chain issues.
Execution and Quality Concerns
The company acknowledged they are 'not that good' at workforce training and are evolving towards operational excellence.
Company Guidance
During SunPower's Q1 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics indicating a positive financial trajectory. SunPower reported $80 million in revenue and achieved a $1.3 million profit, marking a significant turnaround from a $5.9 million loss in the previous quarter. The company highlighted a substantial cost-cutting initiative, reducing its workforce from 3,500 to 906 employees, and achieving a revenue per employee figure of $369,000. This lean operation has contributed to SunPower's profitability and cash flow positivity. The call also discussed strategic partnerships, including a collaboration with Sunder to bolster sales, and emphasized the importance of innovative storage solutions to enhance ROI in the solar sector. SunPower aims for future growth with an ambitious vision of reaching $1 billion in annual revenue, leveraging both organic growth and strategic acquisitions.

Complete Solaria Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Complete Solaria shows strong revenue growth but struggles with profitability and liquidity. The company is heavily leveraged with negative equity and consistent losses, posing significant financial risks.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Complete Solaria shows significant revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase from $29.38M in 2020 to $108.74M in 2024. However, profitability metrics are concerning; the company has consistently reported net losses, with a net profit margin of -51.93% in 2024. Gross profit margin improved slightly over the years, reaching 36.32% in 2024. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain negative, indicating operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals high leverage, with total debt exceeding total assets in recent years. In 2024, the debt-to-equity ratio is negative due to negative equity, which poses a risk to financial stability. The equity ratio is also negative, indicating that liabilities exceed assets, a major concern for long-term solvency.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow statements reflect a consistent negative free cash flow, indicating cash outflows exceeding inflows from operations. Although financing activities have provided cash inflows, primarily from debt, operating cash flow remains negative, raising concerns about sustainability. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, further highlighting cash constraints.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue108.74M87.62M
Gross Profit39.50M17.79M
EBITDA-35.48M-81.25M
Net Income-56.45M-269.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets144.47M47.32M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.38M2.59M
Total Debt153.06M63.21M
Total Liabilities242.00M124.14M
Stockholders Equity-97.54M-76.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-55.82M-60.59M
Operating Cash Flow-54.66M-58.61M
Investing Cash Flow-54.66M6.17M
Financing Cash Flow120.10M50.42M

Complete Solaria Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.63
Price Trends
50DMA
1.61
Positive
100DMA
1.68
Negative
200DMA
1.67
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
52.03
Neutral
STOCH
45.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SPWR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.63 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.57, above the 50-day MA of 1.61, and below the 200-day MA of 1.67, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SPWR.

Complete Solaria Risk Analysis

Complete Solaria disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Complete Solaria reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Complete Solaria Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
55
Neutral
109.63M-2.07-255.34%-17.53%8.53%
53
Neutral
97.00M-24.42-4.15%-33.25%81.55%
50
Neutral
$142.12M308.47%76.84%
47
Neutral
151.20M-2.90-3034.87%52.31%-2421.56%
42
Neutral
78.78M-1.8816.21%86.59%55.95%
41
Neutral
57.02M-2.73110.69%-27.65%16.39%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SPWR
Complete Solaria
1.63
-1.30
-44.37%
SOL
Emeren Group
1.88
-0.51
-21.34%
FTCI
FTC Solar
7.52
1.07
16.59%
TYGO
Tigo Energy
2.44
0.79
47.88%
ZEO
Zeo Energy
1.34
-0.77
-36.49%
SMXT
SolarMax Technology, Inc.
1.01
0.35
53.03%

Complete Solaria Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Complete Solaria Amends Forward Purchase Agreement
Neutral
Aug 4, 2025

Complete Solaria, Inc. announced a significant amendment to its Forward Purchase Agreement with Polar Multi-Strategy Master Fund, initially established in July 2023. The Fifth Amendment, dated August 1, 2025, extends the valuation date and modifies key financial terms, impacting the company’s financial obligations and strategic flexibility.

Delistings and Listing ChangesExecutive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Complete Solaria Joins Russell Indices Amid Q2 Results
Neutral
Jul 22, 2025

On July 22, 2025, SunPower reported its preliminary Q2 2025 financial results, revealing a revenue decline to $67.5 million, yet maintaining a $2.42 million operating profit due to significant cost-cutting measures. Despite the revenue drop, the company improved its gross margin from 39% to 43% by focusing on profitable market segments, and it anticipates modest revenue and operating profit increases in Q3 2025. The company also announced changes in its executive team and strategic initiatives, including joining the Russell 3000 and Russell Microcap Indices and establishing a low-cost finance center in India.

Business Operations and Strategy
Complete Solaria Amends Forward Purchase Agreements
Neutral
Jul 21, 2025

Complete Solaria, Inc. announced amendments to its Forward Purchase Agreements with Meteora, Sandia, and Polar, which were initially entered into in July 2023. These amendments, made in July 2025, extend the valuation dates and adjust settlement terms, impacting the company’s financial obligations and strategic positioning in the market.

Private Placements and Financing
Complete Solaria Issues $5M Convertible Promissory Note
Neutral
Jul 16, 2025

On July 10, 2025, Complete Solaria, Inc. issued a $5 million convertible promissory note to a trust controlled by its CEO, Thurman J. Rodgers. The note, which bears a 12% interest rate and matures in 2029, is convertible into common stock and includes provisions for redemption and events of default, potentially impacting the company’s financial strategy and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 23, 2025