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FTC Solar (FTCI)
NASDAQ:FTCI

FTC Solar (FTCI) AI Stock Analysis

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FTCI

FTC Solar

(NASDAQ:FTCI)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
▼(-9.95% Downside)
FTC Solar's overall stock score reflects a challenging financial performance with persistent losses and negative cash flows. However, positive technical indicators and a promising earnings call with strategic growth initiatives provide some optimism. The valuation remains a concern due to ongoing losses, but recent corporate events suggest potential for strategic improvements.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Significant revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, enhancing FTC Solar's competitive position.
Product Innovation
Innovative products like the washerless tracker improve installation efficiency, potentially increasing market share and operational effectiveness.
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition enhances domestic content capabilities, aligning with strategic goals and potentially boosting EBITDA and market reach.
Negative Factors
Persistent Losses
Ongoing losses highlight financial challenges, which could hinder investment in growth and innovation, affecting long-term sustainability.
High Accounts Receivable
High accounts receivable can strain cash flow, indicating potential collection issues that may impact liquidity and operational efficiency.
Negative Cash Flows
Negative cash flows suggest operational inefficiencies and reliance on external funding, which could limit financial flexibility and growth.

FTC Solar (FTCI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

FTC Solar Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFTC Solar (FTCI) is a leading provider of solar tracking solutions and software for the solar energy industry. The company specializes in designing and manufacturing advanced solar trackers, which are critical components that enhance the efficiency of solar energy systems by allowing solar panels to follow the sun’s trajectory throughout the day. FTC Solar operates in the renewable energy sector, focusing on utility-scale solar projects and providing innovative solutions that improve energy generation and reduce costs for solar developers and operators.
How the Company Makes MoneyFTC Solar generates revenue primarily through the sale and installation of its solar tracking systems, which are utilized in large-scale solar power projects. The company offers a range of products, including its proprietary Voyager solar tracker, which is designed to optimize energy output. Additionally, FTC Solar provides software solutions that enhance the performance and management of solar installations. Key revenue streams include direct sales to solar project developers, long-term service agreements for maintenance and support, and potential licensing of its technology. Partnerships with solar energy developers and utilities also play a significant role in driving sales and expanding the company's market reach.

FTC Solar Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in revenue and adjusted EBITDA, with positive projections for future quarters. There were notable product innovations and strategic acquisitions that could enhance future performance. However, challenges like GAAP net loss and high accounts receivable were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Third quarter revenue was up 160% year-over-year, reaching the highest quarterly revenue level in eight quarters.
Improved Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA hit the highest levels in five years, reflecting recovery and growth in company performance.
Positive Gross Margin
For the first time since late 2023, FTC Solar achieved a positive non-GAAP gross margin of 7.7%.
Strategic Acquisition
FTC Solar acquired a 55% interest in Alpha Steel, enhancing their domestic content capability and expected to be accretive to adjusted EBITDA.
Innovative Product Development
Introduced new products such as the washerless tracker and 1P Pioneer tracker, which are designed for faster installation and efficiency.
Strong Outlook
Guidance for Q4 includes revenue between $30 million and $35 million, representing a 25% sequential growth.
Negative Updates
GAAP Net Loss
Reported a GAAP net loss of $23.9 million, primarily due to a non-cash charge from the increase in the fair value of warrant liability.
High Accounts Receivable
Substantial increase in accounts receivable due to increased activity and production.
Company Guidance
During FTC Solar's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several key performance metrics and future guidance. Third quarter revenue and adjusted EBITDA both surpassed the high end of their guidance ranges, with adjusted EBITDA reaching its highest level in five years. Revenue rose by 160% compared to the previous year, marking the highest quarterly revenue in eight quarters. For the fourth quarter, FTC Solar targets revenue between $30 million and $35 million, non-GAAP gross profit between $3.8 million and $8.2 million, and adjusted EBITDA ranging from a loss of $5.4 million to breakeven. The company also highlighted strategic moves such as gaining sole ownership of Alpha Steel to enhance domestic content capabilities and access to 45X credits. Looking ahead, FTC Solar anticipates remaining on a growth trajectory, aiming for adjusted EBITDA positivity for the full year 2026, while focusing on expanding its market share with innovative, labor-efficient products.

FTC Solar Financial Statement Overview

Summary
FTC Solar is facing financial difficulties with declining revenues, consistent losses, and negative cash flows. The balance sheet remains moderately leveraged, but the company needs to address its operational inefficiencies and improve cash flow management to stabilize its financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
FTC Solar's income statement shows persistent losses, with a negative net profit margin and continuous EBIT and EBITDA losses. Revenue has decreased significantly from previous years, indicating a challenging business environment. Although the gross profit margin improved slightly in TTM, the company still faces substantial profitability concerns.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's balance sheet exhibits a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting some financial leverage but not excessively high. The equity ratio indicates a low proportion of equity to total assets, which could pose risks. However, the company has managed to maintain some level of equity despite ongoing losses.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow statement shows negative operating and free cash flows, reflecting operational and capital challenges. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, indicating cash flow deterioration. However, financing cash flows have been positive, suggesting reliance on external funding to support cash needs.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue80.03M47.35M127.00M123.07M270.52M187.35M
Gross Profit-9.61M-12.59M8.31M-27.23M-32.55M3.64M
EBITDA-58.18M-46.39M-49.00M-97.30M-105.37M-15.60M
Net Income-55.42M-48.61M-50.29M-99.61M-106.59M-15.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets111.53M89.93M123.07M134.40M243.02M71.39M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments24.37M11.25M25.23M44.38M102.19M33.37M
Total Debt17.23M10.63M1.86M1.20M1.79M2.38M
Total Liabilities125.26M70.89M60.60M67.95M100.15M63.94M
Stockholders Equity-13.73M19.04M62.47M66.45M142.87M7.45M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-43.19M-36.34M-53.47M-55.49M-133.88M373.00K
Operating Cash Flow-42.11M-34.70M-52.66M-54.51M-132.85M629.00K
Investing Cash Flow7.89M6.26M-397.00K-4.25M21.31M1.87M
Financing Cash Flow50.40M14.50M33.95M903.00K180.37M22.64M

FTC Solar Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.66
Price Trends
50DMA
9.14
Positive
100DMA
7.86
Positive
200DMA
5.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.50
Negative
RSI
67.18
Neutral
STOCH
90.42
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FTCI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.66 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.70, above the 50-day MA of 9.14, and above the 200-day MA of 5.85, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.50 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.42 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FTCI.

FTC Solar Risk Analysis

FTC Solar disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. FTC Solar reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

FTC Solar Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
59
Neutral
$171.52M-2.89-664.69%39.53%-7.16%
56
Neutral
-2.90%-29.98%-13.97%
49
Neutral
$113.27M-2.35-177.48%97.41%11.83%
40
Neutral
$33.11M-0.88-80.33%-54.56%-133.60%
40
Underperform
$142.12M10.44657.27%
39
Underperform
$55.93M-0.02-54.68%63.56%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FTCI
FTC Solar
11.66
7.46
177.62%
SOL
Emeren Group
1.94
-0.11
-5.37%
BEEM
Beam Global
1.67
-1.71
-50.59%
MAXN
Maxeon Solar Technologies
3.24
-5.47
-62.80%
SPWR
Complete Solaria
1.69
-0.16
-8.65%
TYGO
Tigo Energy
1.55
0.65
72.22%

FTC Solar Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
FTC Solar Appoints Anthony Carroll as Independent Director
Positive
Dec 15, 2025

On December 15, 2025, FTC Solar, Inc., a prominent global provider of solar tracker systems, announced the appointment of Anthony Carroll as an independent director to its Board. Carroll, who brings extensive experience in the renewables sector, is expected to contribute significantly to the company’s strategic priorities and strengthen its position in the global tracker market. His past roles include CEO of Veev, President of Powin, and leadership positions at Siemens Gamesa Electric, Schneider Electric, and Power Electronics. This appointment is seen as a strategic move to leverage Carroll’s expertise in guiding growth businesses, aligning with FTC Solar’s goals of innovation and market expansion.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025