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FTC Solar (FTCI)
NASDAQ:FTCI

FTC Solar (FTCI) AI Stock Analysis

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FTC Solar

(NASDAQ:FTCI)

Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▼(-0.22%Downside)
FTC Solar's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges despite strong technical indicators and positive sentiment from recent earnings. While the technical analysis and earnings call suggest potential for growth, the financial performance and valuation concerns warrant caution.
Positive Factors
Backlog and Contracts
FTC Solar's backlog increased to $502mn, driven by Tier 1 contract wins, solidifying its position with globally diversified Tier 1s.
Strategic Agreements
FTC Solar signed a 5 year, 5 GW supply agreement with Recurrent Energy, indicating growing commercial traction.
Negative Factors
Cash Reserves
The decrease in cash reserves raises concerns about sustainability in the absence of a turnaround in profitability.
Margins and Scale
Margins remain under pressure due to lack of scale, with gross margins expected to stay negative.

FTC Solar (FTCI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

FTC Solar Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFTC Solar (FTCI) is a company that specializes in providing innovative solar tracker solutions for utility-scale solar projects. Operating in the renewable energy sector, FTC Solar focuses on the design, engineering, and supply of advanced solar tracking systems to enhance the efficiency and performance of solar power plants worldwide. The company's core products include the Voyager solar tracker and related software and hardware components that optimize energy output and reduce costs for solar developers and operators.
How the Company Makes MoneyFTC Solar generates revenue primarily through the sale of its solar tracking systems, including the Voyager tracker, which is designed to increase the energy output of solar panels by enabling them to follow the sun's path across the sky. The company earns money by contracting with solar project developers and operators, providing them with tailored solar tracker systems and related services. Key revenue streams include equipment sales, installation services, and ongoing maintenance and support. Additionally, FTC Solar may engage in partnerships or collaborations with other firms in the renewable energy sector, contributing to its revenue through co-developed projects or shared technology solutions.

FTC Solar Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 41.38%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant backlog and revenue growth alongside product innovation and reduced operating expenses, suggesting positive momentum. However, ongoing gross loss, net loss, and market uncertainty due to tariffs present challenges. The overall sentiment is cautiously optimistic with strong growth potential but current financial challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Backlog and Revenue Growth
Contracted portion of the company’s backlog now stands at $482 million. Revenue for Q1 2025 came in at $20.8 million, which represents an increase of 58% compared to the prior quarter and 65% compared to the year-earlier quarter due to higher product volumes.
1P Product Innovation and Customer Engagement
FTC Solar introduced its first 1P solution, Pioneer, and has greatly expanded the 1P product line. Customer visits to product demonstration facilities have increased 100% and 240% over the past six to nine months compared to the previous year.
Reduced Operating Expenses
Non-GAAP operating expenses were $6.6 million, down from $8.7 million in the same quarter last year and $7.4 million in the prior quarter, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of OpEx reductions.
Negative Updates
Ongoing Gross Loss
GAAP gross loss was $3.4 million or 16.6% of revenue, compared to gross loss of $3.8 million or 29.1% of revenue in the prior quarter. Non-GAAP gross loss was $3 million or 14.4% of revenue.
Net Loss and EBITDA Challenges
GAAP net loss was $3.8 million, with an adjusted EBITDA loss of $9.8 million, which was better than the top end of guidance range but still indicates challenges in achieving profitability.
Tariff and Market Uncertainty
Uncertainty in the market due to tariffs and duties, affecting timing and flexibility in project execution, with some customers waiting for additional clarity.
Company Guidance
During the FTC Solar First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance highlighting robust growth metrics and strategic advancements. Revenue for the quarter was $20.8 million, exceeding the high end of their guidance range, reflecting a sequential growth of 58% from the previous quarter and a 65% increase from the same quarter last year. The company has significantly expanded its backlog to $482 million and secured agreements totaling over 6.5 gigawatts with Tier 1 accounts. Their 1P product line now accounts for 90% of bidding activity, with bid volume up 60% year-over-year, and average project size increasing by 65%. FTC Solar expects to achieve adjusted EBITDA breakeven within 2025, driven by continued revenue growth, a diversified supply chain, and ongoing innovation in their product offerings. Despite market uncertainties, such as tariff implications, FTC Solar remains optimistic about its long-term growth potential, underpinned by strong market demand and legislative support for solar energy.

FTC Solar Financial Statement Overview

Summary
FTC Solar's financial performance is weak with persistent losses, negative cash flows, and a moderate leverage on the balance sheet. Despite slight improvements in the gross profit margin, the overall financial health is concerning.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
FTC Solar's income statement shows persistent losses, with a negative net profit margin and continuous EBIT and EBITDA losses. Revenue has decreased significantly from previous years, indicating a challenging business environment. Although the gross profit margin improved slightly in TTM, the company still faces substantial profitability concerns.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's balance sheet exhibits a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting some financial leverage but not excessively high. The equity ratio indicates a low proportion of equity to total assets, which could pose risks. However, the company has managed to maintain some level of equity despite ongoing losses.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow statement shows negative operating and free cash flows, reflecting operational and capital challenges. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, indicating cash flow deterioration. However, financing cash flows have been positive, suggesting reliance on external funding to support cash needs.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
55.57M47.35M127.00M123.07M270.52M187.35M
Gross Profit
-13.93M-12.59M8.31M-27.23M-32.55M3.64M
EBIT
-50.89M-52.83M-50.78M-99.57M-126.80M-16.93M
EBITDA
-44.85M-46.04M-49.00M-97.30M-105.37M-16.88M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-43.65M-48.61M-50.29M-99.61M-106.59M-17.32M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
5.91M11.25M25.23M44.38M102.19M32.36M
Total Assets
84.06M89.93M123.07M134.40M243.02M71.39M
Total Debt
11.14M10.63M1.86M1.20M1.79M1.78M
Net Debt
5.23M-615.00K-23.37M-43.18M-100.39M-30.57M
Total Liabilities
68.53M70.89M60.60M67.95M100.15M63.94M
Stockholders Equity
15.53M19.04M62.47M66.45M142.87M7.45M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-32.62M-36.34M-53.47M-55.49M-133.88M-767.00K
Operating Cash Flow
-31.32M-34.70M-52.66M-54.51M-132.85M-511.00K
Investing Cash Flow
6.77M6.26M-397.00K-4.25M21.31M1.87M
Financing Cash Flow
14.50M14.50M33.95M903.00K180.37M23.78M

FTC Solar Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.51
Price Trends
50DMA
3.41
Positive
100DMA
3.33
Positive
200DMA
3.87
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.28
Negative
RSI
66.58
Neutral
STOCH
88.39
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FTCI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.08, above the 50-day MA of 3.41, and above the 200-day MA of 3.87, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.39 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FTCI.

FTC Solar Risk Analysis

FTC Solar disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. FTC Solar reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

FTC Solar Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$11.93B10.60-7.51%3.00%7.40%-8.09%
60
Neutral
$58.88M-123.52%-43.69%12.75%
54
Neutral
$25.78M-84.64%-52.61%-987.53%
43
Neutral
$33.87M-49.28%8.97%-68.08%
40
Neutral
$24.06M-64.61%-40.34%-39.60%
40
Underperform
$1.89M
16.55%15.72%
40
Underperform
$57.87M307.38%-54.68%63.56%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FTCI
FTC Solar
4.51
0.30
7.13%
BEEM
Beam Global
1.52
-4.31
-73.93%
NOVAQ
Sunnova Energy International
0.02
-5.45
-99.63%
SPRU
Spruce Power Holding
1.91
-1.55
-44.80%
MAXN
Maxeon Solar Technologies
3.19
-140.81
-97.78%
TURB
Turbo Energy, S.A. Sponsored ADR
2.28
1.14
100.00%

FTC Solar Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
FTC Solar Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting on June 11
Neutral
Jun 11, 2025

FTC Solar, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 11, 2025, where key decisions were made regarding the company’s governance and financial oversight. During the meeting, stockholders elected directors to serve until 2028 and ratified the appointment of BDO USA, P.C. as the independent registered public accounting firm for the year ending December 31, 2025, reinforcing the company’s commitment to maintaining robust financial practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (FTCI) stock is a Buy with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FTC Solar stock, see the FTCI Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
FTC Solar Enters New At-The-Market Offering Agreement
Neutral
May 1, 2025

On May 1, 2025, FTC Solar, Inc. entered into an At The Market Offering Agreement with H.C. Wainwright & Co., LLC to sell shares of its common stock, valued up to $11,350,576, through an at-the-market offering program. The agreement allows FTC Solar to raise capital for working capital and general corporate purposes, but the company is not obligated to sell any shares, and the agreement can be terminated by either party. This move could impact the company’s financial strategy and market position, offering flexibility in capital management.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
FTC Solar Appoints New Independent Directors Amid Growth
Positive
May 1, 2025

FTC Solar announced its first-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a 58% quarter-over-quarter revenue increase to $20.8 million, surpassing targets. The company also reported cost efficiencies and increased customer interest, with bid activity up 60% year-over-year. The board was strengthened with the appointment of Darrell Jackson and Maximillian Sultan as independent directors on April 28, 2025. These developments, along with an expanded product line and strategic agreements, position FTC Solar to capture significant market share in the growing solar industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.