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Ftc Solar, Inc. (FTCI)
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FTC Solar (FTCI) AI Stock Analysis

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FTCI

FTC Solar

(NASDAQ:FTCI)

Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▼(-6.44% Downside)
FTC Solar's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, with persistent losses and negative cash flows weighing heavily. While technical indicators and recent corporate events provide some optimism, the company's valuation remains unattractive due to negative earnings. The mixed sentiment from the earnings call and strategic financing efforts offer potential for improvement, but substantial risks remain.
Positive Factors
Contract Wins
FTC Solar's backlog increased to $502mn, driven by Tier 1 contract wins, solidifying its position with globally diversified Tier 1s.
Financial Performance
OPEX declined for a seventh quarter in a row to the lowest level since 2020.
Strategic Initiatives
Secured a $75mn strategic financing facility, extending liquidity runway and opening new customer channels.
Negative Factors
Guidance and Expectations
3Q25 guidance below Street's expectations, implying modest sequential growth.
Margins and Scale
Margins remain under pressure due to lack of scale, with gross margins expected to stay negative.
Revenue Recognition
Sensitivity to project timelines creates potential timing risk for revenue recognition and other financial targets.

FTC Solar (FTCI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

FTC Solar Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFTC Solar, Inc. provides solar tracker systems, technology, software, and engineering services in the United States, Vietnam, and internationally. It offers two-panel in-portrait single-axis tracker solutions under the Voyager brand name. The company also provides SunPath, a software solution to enhance energy production; Atlas, a web-based enterprise-level database that allows users to manage their project portfolio; and SunDAT, a software solution enables automated design and optimization of solar panel systems across residential, commercial, and utility-scale sites. Its customers include project developers; solar asset owners; and engineering, procurement, and construction contractors that design and build solar energy projects. FTC Solar, Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyFTC Solar generates revenue primarily through the sale of its solar tracker systems to large-scale solar energy projects. These systems are designed to enhance the efficiency of solar panels by adjusting their positioning in response to the sun's movement, thereby maximizing energy production. The company's revenue model is based on direct sales of its products to solar developers and engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) firms. FTC Solar may also benefit from strategic partnerships and collaborations with key players in the solar energy industry, which can enhance its market reach and product offerings. Additionally, the company's focus on innovation and cost-effectiveness contributes to its competitive positioning and ability to capture market share in the growing renewable energy sector.

FTC Solar Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -27.23%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant revenue growth compared to the previous year and strategic financing that boosts FTC Solar's position in the market. However, challenges such as negative profit margins, a substantial accrual impact, and market uncertainty indicate financial and operational difficulties. The sentiment is mixed with substantial progress but ongoing challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth Compared to Previous Year
Revenue for the second quarter of 2025 was $20 million, representing an increase of 75% compared to the year-earlier quarter due to higher product volume.
Strategic Financing Facility
FTC Solar announced a new $75 million strategic financing facility with Cleanhill Partners and other investors, providing additional financial runway and customer confidence.
Innovative Product Advancements
FTC Solar has introduced innovations such as a high stow angle for hail protection and an extra long tracker built specifically for 2,000 volt systems, strengthening their product line.
Reduced Operating Expenses
Non-GAAP operating expenses were $6.5 million, down from $8.3 million in the same quarter last year, marking the seventh consecutive quarter of OpEx reductions.
Negative Updates
Gross Loss and Negative Profit Margins
GAAP gross loss was $3.9 million or 19.6% of revenue, and non-GAAP gross loss was $3.5 million or 17.4% of revenue, indicating ongoing margin challenges.
Impact of $4 Million Accrual
A $4 million accrual related to a joint venture facility affected financial results, which was not initially included in guidance ranges.
Regulatory and Market Uncertainty
Market uncertainty related to tariffs, trade deals, and legislative changes have slowed decision-making processes for customers, impacting revenue expectations.
Adjusted EBITDA Loss
Adjusted EBITDA loss was $10.4 million, within guidance range but indicating ongoing financial challenges.
Company Guidance
During the FTC Solar Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance highlighting key financial metrics and strategic developments. Revenue for the third quarter is anticipated to be between $18 million and $24 million, reflecting potential sequential growth of up to 20%. The non-GAAP gross profit is expected to range from a loss of $2.4 million to a gain of $600,000, translating to margins between negative 13.4% and positive 2.5%. Non-GAAP operating expenses are projected to be between $7.2 million and $7.9 million, with an adjusted EBITDA loss ranging from $10.8 million to $6.8 million. The company emphasized its focus on improving constructability and speed of installation, supported by a $75 million financing facility secured in July to bolster its growth and backlog acceleration. FTC Solar remains optimistic about its prospects in the evolving solar market, anticipating a significant revenue ramp in the fourth quarter and beyond.

FTC Solar Financial Statement Overview

Summary
FTC Solar is facing financial difficulties with declining revenues, consistent losses, and negative cash flows. The balance sheet remains moderately leveraged, but the company needs to address its operational inefficiencies and improve cash flow management to stabilize its financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
FTC Solar's income statement shows persistent losses, with a negative net profit margin and continuous EBIT and EBITDA losses. Revenue has decreased significantly from previous years, indicating a challenging business environment. Although the gross profit margin improved slightly in TTM, the company still faces substantial profitability concerns.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's balance sheet exhibits a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting some financial leverage but not excessively high. The equity ratio indicates a low proportion of equity to total assets, which could pose risks. However, the company has managed to maintain some level of equity despite ongoing losses.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow statement shows negative operating and free cash flows, reflecting operational and capital challenges. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, indicating cash flow deterioration. However, financing cash flows have been positive, suggesting reliance on external funding to support cash needs.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue64.13M47.35M127.00M123.07M270.52M187.35M
Gross Profit-15.51M-12.59M8.31M-27.23M-32.55M3.64M
EBITDA-47.69M-46.04M-49.00M-97.30M-105.37M-16.88M
Net Income-46.84M-48.61M-50.29M-99.61M-106.59M-17.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets82.95M89.93M123.07M134.40M243.02M71.39M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.52M11.25M25.23M44.38M102.19M32.36M
Total Debt11.82M10.63M1.86M1.20M1.79M1.78M
Total Liabilities73.91M70.89M60.60M67.95M100.15M63.94M
Stockholders Equity9.04M19.04M62.47M66.45M142.87M7.45M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-30.63M-36.34M-53.47M-55.49M-133.88M-767.00K
Operating Cash Flow-29.84M-34.70M-52.66M-54.51M-132.85M-511.00K
Investing Cash Flow8.10M6.26M-397.00K-4.25M21.31M1.87M
Financing Cash Flow14.50M14.50M33.95M903.00K180.37M23.78M

FTC Solar Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price4.81
Price Trends
50DMA
4.88
Negative
100DMA
4.03
Positive
200DMA
3.98
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
44.50
Neutral
STOCH
13.20
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FTCI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4.81 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.34, below the 50-day MA of 4.88, and above the 200-day MA of 3.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.20 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for FTCI.

FTC Solar Risk Analysis

FTC Solar disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. FTC Solar reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

FTC Solar Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$36.32B7.12-7.26%1.97%7.79%-9.36%
54
Neutral
$24.95M-84.64%-26.62%-65.66%
50
Neutral
$71.55M-175.83%-17.53%8.53%
50
Neutral
$36.25M-64.61%-40.34%-39.60%
48
Neutral
$24.60M-47.48%22.78%-27.59%
46
Neutral
$61.50M307.38%-54.68%63.56%
40
Underperform
$377.06K-21.91%16.55%15.72%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FTCI
FTC Solar
4.81
2.41
100.42%
BEEM
Beam Global
2.42
-2.62
-51.98%
NOVAQ
Sunnova Energy International
0.02
-8.38
-99.76%
SPRU
Spruce Power Holding
1.42
-1.65
-53.75%
MAXN
Maxeon Solar Technologies
3.79
-8.97
-70.30%
TURB
Turbo Energy, S.A. Sponsored ADR
2.30
0.96
71.64%

FTC Solar Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingFinancial Disclosures
FTC Solar Announces Board Changes Amid Revenue Surge
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

On August 5, 2025, FTC Solar announced the resignation of Dean Priddy from its Board of Directors due to retirement, with Tony Alvarez appointed as an Independent Director and Chair of the Audit Committee. The company reported a 74.9% year-over-year increase in second-quarter revenue, reaching $20 million, and secured a $75 million strategic financing facility, positioning itself for future growth and profitability.

The most recent analyst rating on (FTCI) stock is a Buy with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FTC Solar stock, see the FTCI Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
FTC Solar Secures $75 Million Financing Facility
Positive
Jul 7, 2025

On July 2, 2025, FTC Solar announced a $75 million strategic financing facility with Cleanhill Partners and other investors, which includes an initial term loan of up to $37.5 million. This financing aims to enhance the company’s balance sheet, support growth, and provide liquidity, with $14.3 million already received and an additional $23.2 million expected in the third quarter of 2025. The investment is seen as a vote of confidence in FTC Solar’s innovative technology and future potential, as the company has recently secured over 6.5 gigawatts of new business with Tier 1 customers.

The most recent analyst rating on (FTCI) stock is a Buy with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FTC Solar stock, see the FTCI Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
FTC Solar Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting on June 11
Neutral
Jun 11, 2025

FTC Solar, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 11, 2025, where key decisions were made regarding the company’s governance and financial oversight. During the meeting, stockholders elected directors to serve until 2028 and ratified the appointment of BDO USA, P.C. as the independent registered public accounting firm for the year ending December 31, 2025, reinforcing the company’s commitment to maintaining robust financial practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (FTCI) stock is a Buy with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FTC Solar stock, see the FTCI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 09, 2025