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Turkiye Garanti Bankasi Anonim Sirketi 144A (TKGZY)
OTHER OTC:TKGZY
US Market

Turkiye Garanti Bankasi Anonim Sirketi 144A (TKGZY) AI Stock Analysis

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Turkiye Garanti Bankasi Anonim Sirketi 144A

(OTC:TKGZY)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
Turkiye Garanti Bankasi demonstrates solid financial performance with significant income growth and a strong balance sheet. Despite this, technical indicators suggest current market weakness. The low P/E ratio and reasonable dividend yield indicate potential undervaluation, but liquidity challenges and macroeconomic concerns limit the score.

Turkiye Garanti Bankasi Anonim Sirketi 144A (TKGZY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Turkiye Garanti Bankasi Anonim Sirketi 144A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTurkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. provides various banking products and services. It offers current, savings, time and term deposit, ELMA, structured deposit, and gold accounts; and general purpose, auto, revolving, house, discount, SME project, installment, working capital, foreign currency, mortgage, and other loans, as well as spot TL and foreign currency, letters of guarantee and reference, and overdraft accounts. The company also provides various cards; and auto, liability, health, unemployment, life, house, individual accident, automobile, business premises, fire, freight, engineering, accident, loan, and agriculture insurance products, as well as pension products. In addition, it offers mutual funds, T-bills/government bonds, Eurobonds, repos, equities, dual currency deposit transactions, Turkish derivatives exchange, e-trader, forward transactions, and taxation services; cash management services; and SME specific products, such as support packages, foreign trade financing and legislation, and related services. Further, the company provides leasing, fleet management, factoring, investment and private banking, payment, safety box, and Internet and mobile/SMS banking services. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated 872 branches and 5,401 ATMs. Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey. As of May 18, 2022, Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. operates as a subsidiary of Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A.
How the Company Makes MoneyGaranti Bank generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and credit facilities provided to retail and corporate customers. Additionally, the bank earns from fees and commissions related to its broad array of financial services, such as transaction processing, asset management, and advisory services. The bank also benefits from its investment banking operations, trading activities, and strategic partnerships that enhance its product offerings and customer reach. Key factors contributing to its earnings include a strong customer base, robust digital banking platforms, and a focus on customer-centric financial solutions.

Turkiye Garanti Bankasi Anonim Sirketi 144A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 28, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 15.36%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Garanti BBVA's first quarter results indicate strong financial performance with significant growth in net income and robust core banking income. However, challenges such as increased current account deficit, higher inflation estimates, and deferred NIM recovery pose concerns.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Financial Performance
Net income reached TRY 25.4 billion, marking a 13% year-over-year growth with robust ROE at 30.5%.
Core Banking Income Surge
Core NII surged by 68% Q-on-Q due to declining funding costs and resilient loan yields.
Strong Deposit Growth
Deposit share in assets increased by 2%, reaching 74%, with TL deposits growing by 18%.
Market Share Gains
Gained market share in TL deposits, credit cards, general purpose loans, mortgages, and SME loans.
Resilient Asset Quality
NPL ratio slightly rose to 2.6%, with total coverage levels at 3.6% compared to NPL ratio.
Negative Updates
Increased Current Account Deficit
Current account deficit to GDP expected to worsen to 1.5% in 2025 due to core trade deficit and net gold imports.
Higher Inflation Estimate
Year-end inflation estimate revised up from 29% to 31%, with upside risks from uncertainty in food prices.
NIM Recovery Postponement
CBRT's current tight stance and increased funding costs may defer NIM recovery.
Rising Cost of Risk
Higher cost of risk guided due to increasing NPL inflows from unsecured loans and normalizing large ticket collections.
Company Guidance
In Garanti BBVA's first quarter 2025 financial results webcast, the management provided detailed guidance on several key metrics. They anticipate a GDP growth rate of 3.5% for Turkey, with inflation revised upwards to 31% by year-end amidst volatility in food prices. The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) may maintain a slightly higher ex-post real rate of at least 4 percentage points. The current account deficit to GDP is expected to worsen slightly to 1.5%, while the budget GDP is projected to remain at 3.5%. The bank's net income reached TRY 25.4 billion, marking a 13% year-over-year growth with an ROE of 30.5% and leverage of 9.3x. Their lending-driven asset composition remains a differentiator, with TL loans growing by 7% to TRY 1.2 trillion. Despite a slight increase in the NPL ratio to 2.6%, the bank maintains a robust total coverage level of 3.6%. The net cost of risk for Q1 stood at 1.4%, better than the year-end guidance of 2% to 2.5%. The bank's funding strategy relies on customer-driven sources, with deposits comprising 74% of assets. They project a NIM expansion towards the end of the year, despite current tight monetary conditions postponing some margin recovery. Garanti BBVA maintains its low-30s ROAE guidance, emphasizing a customer-centric approach and strong capital base to navigate market uncertainties.

Turkiye Garanti Bankasi Anonim Sirketi 144A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Turkiye Garanti Bankasi Anonim Sirketi demonstrates strong growth with revenue and net income significantly increasing over the years. The balance sheet is robust with high equity and no debt recorded in 2024. However, cash flow volatility in the latest period indicates potential liquidity challenges.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The company exhibits strong revenue growth, with total revenue increasing significantly over the years, from 39.19 billion in 2020 to 287.17 billion in 2024. The net profit margin has improved, with net income rising from 6.31 billion in 2020 to 91.24 billion in 2024. However, EBIT margins are unavailable for 2024, which may indicate changes in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet is strong with a high equity level. Stockholders' equity increased from 62.16 billion in 2020 to 329.79 billion in 2024. The company has no total debt recorded in 2024, indicating a stable financial position. The equity ratio is robust, showing a solid capital structure. However, potential risks could arise if liabilities grow faster than equity in the future.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Operating cash flows have shown volatility, with negative figures in 2024. This indicates potential liquidity challenges. Free cash flow has also declined recently, suggesting the need for careful cash management. Despite this, previous years exhibited strong cash generation, providing a cushion for short-term fluctuations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue315.55B287.17B160.16B133.01B61.57B39.19B
Gross Profit315.55B287.17B160.16B133.01B61.57B39.19B
EBITDA0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Net Income94.05B91.24B86.37B58.29B13.47B6.31B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.50T3.00T2.20T1.30T849.40B540.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments793.60B591.84B387.28B198.97B216.80B61.36B
Total Debt0.000.00153.49B104.47B97.20B58.26B
Total Liabilities3.16T2.67T1.96T1.15T770.17B478.50B
Stockholders Equity339.28B329.79B244.70B152.64B78.90B62.16B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow59.95B-155.25B186.17B43.63B31.02B8.36B
Operating Cash Flow74.06B-145.82B191.28B45.76B32.31B9.63B
Investing Cash Flow-36.79B-46.85B-81.76B-55.25B-12.41B-11.72B
Financing Cash Flow120.60B95.27B10.45B25.67B29.34B4.39B

Turkiye Garanti Bankasi Anonim Sirketi 144A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.08
Price Trends
50DMA
2.83
Positive
100DMA
3.11
Negative
200DMA
3.28
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
61.22
Neutral
STOCH
85.15
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TKGZY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.96, above the 50-day MA of 2.83, and below the 200-day MA of 3.28, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.15 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TKGZY.

Turkiye Garanti Bankasi Anonim Sirketi 144A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$3.47B8.9315.46%36.26%-48.81%0.18%
76
Outperform
$11.77B10.8724.02%5.41%18.54%65.80%
CICIB
75
Outperform
$11.62B13.2515.99%15.28%-5.45%3.43%
BMBMA
74
Outperform
$4.53B1,045.110.11%30.13%-46.30%-79.35%
BCBCH
73
Outperform
$15.12B11.4623.88%7.09%-17.02%-10.73%
67
Neutral
¥712.08B10.857.42%3.37%7.74%16.12%
66
Neutral
$12.91B4.7032.68%3.75%47.81%-21.24%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TKGZY
Turkiye Garanti Bankasi Anonim Sirketi 144A
3.08
-0.30
-8.88%
BCH
Banco De Chile
29.66
8.29
38.79%
BMA
Banco Macro SA
71.59
21.84
43.90%
BSAC
Banco Santander Chile
24.57
6.79
38.19%
CIB
Bancolombia
45.09
17.24
61.90%
BBAR
Banco BBVA Argentina
16.98
9.23
119.10%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 01, 2025