tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Teekay Corporation (TK)
NYSE:TK
Advertisement

Teekay (TK) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
499 Followers

Top Page

TK

Teekay

(NYSE:TK)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$10.50
▲(9.15% Upside)
Teekay's overall stock score reflects a combination of strong valuation, positive technical indicators, and stable financial performance. The company's low P/E ratio and high dividend yield are significant strengths. While the earnings call was generally positive, geopolitical uncertainties and fleet aging are potential risks. The technical analysis supports a bullish outlook, contributing to the favorable score.

Teekay (TK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Teekay Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTeekay Corporation (TK) is a leading provider of marine transportation services, specializing in the transportation of crude oil, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and other petroleum products. The company operates a diverse fleet of tankers and shuttle tankers, serving customers in the oil and gas industry worldwide. Teekay’s business segments include Teekay Tankers, Teekay LNG Partners, and Teekay Offshore Partners, each focusing on different aspects of maritime logistics and energy transportation, which allows for a comprehensive service offering to meet the needs of its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyTeekay generates revenue primarily through time charters and spot market contracts for its vessels. The company earns income by providing transportation services for crude oil and LNG, where it is compensated based on the duration of the charter agreements or the prevailing market rates. Key revenue streams include long-term charters with major oil companies and ad-hoc contracts for spot market services. Teekay also benefits from strategic partnerships with leading energy firms, which secure a steady demand for its fleet. Additionally, the company has invested in joint ventures and partnerships in the offshore services sector, further diversifying its income sources. Factors such as global oil prices, shipping demand, and regulatory changes in the maritime industry significantly influence Teekay's earnings.

Teekay Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was generally positive, highlighting strong financial performance, strategic fleet renewal, and a favorable market outlook. However, concerns remain around geopolitical uncertainties and the aging fleet.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Teekay Tankers reported the best quarter in the last 12 months with GAAP net income of $92.1 million or $2.66 per share and adjusted net income of $53.3 million or $1.54 per share. The company generated approximately $69 million in free cash flow from operations and had a cash position of $775 million with no debt.
Fleet Renewal Strategy
Teekay Tankers completed the acquisition of a modern Suezmax and 50% ownership in a VLCC. Additionally, the company sold 4 Suezmax tankers, generating gross proceeds of $158.5 million with an estimated book gain on sales of $47.5 million.
Opportunistic Time Charters
The company out-chartered one Suezmax vessel for $42,500 per day and two Aframax-sized vessels for an average time charter rate of $33,275 per day, capitalizing on strong market conditions.
Positive Market Outlook
Spot tanker rates improved, supported by increased global oil supply and long-haul crude oil movements. The market is positioned for a strong winter season with potential for further rate increases.
Negative Updates
Geopolitical Uncertainties
The tanker market is facing uncertainties due to sanctions against Russia and potential impacts from the U.S.-China trade agreement, which could create trade inefficiencies and volatility.
Aging Fleet Concerns
The global tanker fleet continues to age, with 20% of the midsized tanker fleet aged 20 years or older, potentially impacting operational efficiency and competitiveness.
Company Guidance
During the Teekay Group Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, guidance was provided on various financial and operational metrics. Teekay Tankers reported a GAAP net income of $92.1 million ($2.66 per share) and an adjusted net income of $53.3 million ($1.54 per share) for the third quarter. The company generated approximately $69 million in free cash flow from operations, ending the quarter with a cash position of $775 million and no debt. Teekay Tankers secured spot rates of $63,700, $45,500, and $35,200 per day for its VLCC, Suezmax, and Aframax/LR2 fleets, respectively, with 47% to 54% of spot days booked for the fourth quarter. The company continued its fleet renewal strategy by acquiring a modern Suezmax and a 50% interest in a VLCC, while selling five vessels for gross proceeds of $158.5 million, expecting a book gain of approximately $47.5 million. Additionally, Teekay Tankers declared a regular fixed dividend of $0.25 per share and highlighted its strong balance sheet with a low free cash flow breakeven point of $11,300 per day.

Teekay Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Teekay's financial performance is stable with strong profitability and efficient operations. Despite challenges in revenue growth and cash flow expansion, the company maintains low leverage and solid margins. Continued focus on revenue growth and cash flow management will be crucial for sustaining financial health.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Teekay's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue by 8.58%, reflecting challenges in maintaining growth. However, the company maintains healthy margins with a gross profit margin of 29.20% and a net profit margin of 14.28%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong at 26.05% and 34.14%, respectively, indicating efficient operations. Despite the revenue decline, profitability remains robust.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a solid equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02, showcasing low leverage. The return on equity (ROE) stands at 14.53%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is not provided, limiting a full assessment of asset financing. Overall, the balance sheet reflects financial stability with manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth by 26.30% in the TTM period, suggesting potential cash flow challenges. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is not available, limiting insights into cash flow efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 79.89%, indicating good cash conversion. Despite the decline in growth, cash flow remains relatively strong.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue993.69M1.22B1.46B1.19B682.51M1.82B
Gross Profit279.20M393.86M580.63M293.03M-49.73M559.82M
EBITDA385.10M503.15M655.14M348.67M-107.93M201.71M
Net Income183.96M133.77M150.64M209.64M-277.46M90.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.06B2.15B2.20B2.16B6.53B6.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments711.87M717.77M652.68M519.86M120.99M129.60M
Total Debt40.66M65.55M227.20M610.16M1.02B997.47M
Total Liabilities212.18M217.95M396.29M795.24M4.10B4.47B
Stockholders Equity1.85B709.76M732.28M623.46M515.05M481.41M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow240.56M391.84M623.26M183.72M54.54M957.51M
Operating Cash Flow306.30M467.19M633.46M199.15M75.99M984.02M
Investing Cash Flow95.21M157.50M54.66M308.98M7.17M63.06M
Financing Cash Flow-267.09M-416.45M-520.41M-456.95M-223.53M-1.10B

Teekay Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.62
Price Trends
50DMA
8.46
Positive
100DMA
8.04
Positive
200DMA
7.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.33
Negative
RSI
71.58
Negative
STOCH
93.02
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.57, above the 50-day MA of 8.46, and above the 200-day MA of 7.17, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.58 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.02 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TK.

Teekay Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$820.29M6.7421.41%-26.05%-44.48%
$734.51M8.726.31%6.15%-5.32%-50.38%
$2.03B7.4917.02%3.32%-21.71%-37.58%
$1.37B14.0112.50%11.55%-2.98%-17.51%
$1.14B13.047.39%1.22%1.19%12.56%
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TK
Teekay
9.62
3.38
54.17%
TNK
Teekay Tankers
61.00
16.37
36.68%
TEN
Tsakos Energy Navigation
24.38
4.39
21.96%
NVGS
Navigator Holdings
16.44
1.24
8.16%
MARPS
Marine Petroleum
4.69
1.06
29.20%
FLNG
FLEX LNG
25.97
4.46
20.73%

Teekay Corporate Events

Teekay Corporation Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results and Fleet Renewal Progress
Oct 29, 2025

On October 29, 2025, Teekay Corporation Ltd. reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a net income of $29.6 million, or $0.34 per share, under U.S. GAAP. The company completed significant fleet renewal activities, including acquiring a Suezmax tanker and the remaining interest in the Hong Kong Spirit VLCC tanker. Additionally, Teekay Tankers completed four out of five planned vessel sales, with total expected proceeds of $158.5 million. A regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.25 per share was declared, payable in November 2025. These developments reflect Teekay’s strategic focus on fleet optimization and shareholder returns, potentially enhancing its market position and financial stability.

Teekay Corporation Reports Decline in Revenue for H1 2025
Aug 1, 2025

Teekay Corporation Ltd. released its financial results for the six-month period ending June 30, 2025, reporting a decrease in revenues to $463.3 million from $691.2 million in the same period of 2024. Despite the drop in revenue, the company managed to achieve a net income attributable to shareholders of $33.6 million, down from $88.5 million in the previous year. The report highlights a significant gain on the sale and write-down of assets, contributing to the overall financial performance. The financial results reflect the company’s ongoing efforts to manage expenses and optimize asset utilization amidst challenging market conditions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025