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Teekay Corporation (TK)
NYSE:TK
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Teekay (TK) AI Stock Analysis

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TK

Teekay

(NYSE:TK)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$8.50
â–²(4.94% Upside)
Teekay's overall stock score reflects strong financial management and an attractive valuation, with a high dividend yield. The company's strategic moves and positive earnings call sentiment bolster its position, despite technical indicators suggesting neutral momentum and challenges from revenue volatility and geopolitical factors.

Teekay (TK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Teekay Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTeekay Corporation engages in the international crude oil and other marine transportation services worldwide. The company provides a full suite of ship-to-ship transfer services in the oil, gas, and dry bulk industries; lightering and lightering support; and operational and maintenance marine, as well as offshore production services. As of March 1, 2022, it operated a fleet of approximately 55 vessels. The company primarily serves energy and utility companies, major oil traders, large oil consumers and petroleum product producers, government agencies, and various other entities that depend upon marine transportation. Teekay Corporation was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.
How the Company Makes MoneyTeekay generates revenue primarily through time charters and spot market contracts for its vessels. The company earns income by providing transportation services for crude oil and LNG, where it is compensated based on the duration of the charter agreements or the prevailing market rates. Key revenue streams include long-term charters with major oil companies and ad-hoc contracts for spot market services. Teekay also benefits from strategic partnerships with leading energy firms, which secure a steady demand for its fleet. Additionally, the company has invested in joint ventures and partnerships in the offshore services sector, further diversifying its income sources. Factors such as global oil prices, shipping demand, and regulatory changes in the maritime industry significantly influence Teekay's earnings.

Teekay Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance and a successful fleet renewal strategy, with positive market outlooks driven by increased oil production. However, there are challenges due to geopolitical factors causing volatility and seasonal softening of rates. The strengths in financial performance and strategic moves outweigh the challenges, indicating a strong position for future growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Teekay Tankers reported GAAP net income of $62.6 million, or $1.81 per share, and adjusted net income of $48.7 million, or $1.41 per share. The company generated approximately $62.8 million in free cash flow from operations with a cash and short-term investment position of $712 million and no debt.
Successful Fleet Renewal Strategy
Teekay Tankers reduced exposure to older vessels and sold 11 vessels for total gross proceeds of $340 million, with estimated book gains on sale of approximately $100 million. The company also acquired 1 modern Suezmax and agreed to acquire the remaining 50% ownership interest in the Hong Kong Spirit VLCC.
Positive Market Outlook
Spot tanker rates improved during the second quarter, and the company secured spot rates of $31,400 per day and $28,200 per day for Suezmax and Aframax LR2 fleets, respectively. There are potential tailwinds for tanker markets towards the end of the year, with global oil production expected to increase sharply.
Dividend Declaration
Declared a regular quarterly fixed dividend of $0.25 per share.
Negative Updates
Volatility Due to Geopolitical Factors
The escalation of hostilities between Israel and Iran caused a brief period of volatility, and several geopolitical factors add complexity to the tanker market outlook, potentially leading to continued volatility.
Seasonal Softening of Rates
Spot rates softened during the remainder of the quarter in line with normal seasonal trends.
Company Guidance
During the Teekay Group's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported several key metrics and strategic decisions. Teekay Tankers achieved a GAAP net income of $62.6 million, or $1.81 per share, and an adjusted net income of $48.7 million, or $1.41 per share. The company generated approximately $62.8 million in free cash flow from operations, ending the quarter with no debt and a cash and short-term investments position of $712 million. Teekay Tankers has been actively executing its fleet renewal strategy, selling 11 vessels for total gross proceeds of $340 million and acquiring newer ships, including a modern Suezmax and the remaining 50% ownership in the Hong Kong Spirit VLCC. The company declared a regular quarterly fixed dividend of $0.25 per share and reported spot rates of $31,400 per day for Suezmax and $28,200 per day for Aframax LR2 fleets, with 43% of the spot base secured. Teekay anticipates potential tailwinds for tanker rates in the latter part of the year, driven by increased global oil production and geopolitical factors, while maintaining a disciplined capital allocation strategy focused on fleet renewal and financial strength.

Teekay Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Teekay demonstrates strong financial management with improved profitability margins and reduced leverage. However, revenue volatility and declining cash flows present potential challenges. The company's strategic debt reduction enhances financial stability, while strong cost control measures bolster profitability.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Teekay's income statement reflects a volatile revenue trajectory with a noticeable decline from 2023 to 2024, where revenue fell from $1.46 billion to $1.22 billion. Despite the revenue drop, the company maintains a strong gross profit margin of 32.3% in 2024, up from 29.5% in 2023, signaling improved cost efficiency. However, net profit margin decreased slightly to 10.96% in 2024 from 10.28% in 2023, indicating challenges in managing operating expenses. The company shows resilience with positive EBIT and EBITDA margins, but revenue volatility poses a risk.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet shows a healthy reduction in total debt from $227 million in 2023 to $65.6 million in 2024, significantly lowering the debt-to-equity ratio to 0.09, enhancing financial stability. The equity ratio remains robust at 32.9% in 2024, indicating a stable capital structure. However, the decrease in stockholders' equity from $732 million in 2023 to $710 million in 2024 suggests potential challenges in generating returns, as reflected in the reduced ROE of 18.84% in 2024 from 20.57% in 2023.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Teekay's cash flow statement shows a strong free cash flow generation of $391.8 million in 2024, despite a reduction from $623 million in 2023. The operating cash flow remains robust at $467 million in 2024, albeit down from $633 million in 2023. The company's ability to convert net income into cash is sound, with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 3.49 in 2024. The free cash flow to net income ratio also indicates strong cash generation capabilities. Despite these strengths, declining cash flows year-over-year could impact future liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.09B1.22B1.46B1.19B682.51M1.82B
Gross Profit317.38M393.86M580.63M293.03M-49.73M559.82M
EBITDA371.06M503.15M655.14M348.67M-107.93M201.71M
Net Income155.17M133.77M150.64M209.64M-277.46M90.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets0.002.15B2.20B2.16B6.53B6.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments717.77M717.77M652.68M519.86M108.98M348.79M
Total Debt0.0065.55M227.20M597.39M1.01B3.82B
Total Liabilities-1.94B217.95M396.29M795.24M4.10B4.47B
Stockholders Equity1.94B709.76M732.28M623.46M515.05M481.41M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow269.06M391.84M623.26M183.72M54.54M957.51M
Operating Cash Flow336.78M467.19M633.46M199.15M75.99M984.02M
Investing Cash Flow72.43M157.50M54.66M308.98M7.17M63.06M
Financing Cash Flow-271.58M-416.45M-524.05M-456.95M-223.53M-1.10B

Teekay Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.10
Price Trends
50DMA
7.66
Positive
100DMA
7.19
Positive
200DMA
6.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Negative
RSI
62.18
Neutral
STOCH
82.65
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.1 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.63, above the 50-day MA of 7.66, and above the 200-day MA of 6.58, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.65 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TK.

Teekay Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$650.45M4.839.22%6.88%-3.67%-8.90%
79
Outperform
$1.64B5.9115.78%4.15%-21.71%-37.58%
77
Outperform
$1.42B14.6212.50%11.04%-2.98%-17.51%
76
Outperform
$1.14B12.987.39%1.23%1.19%12.56%
75
Outperform
$131.15M2.6310.57%5.49%-2.37%32.03%
73
Outperform
$683.00M5.6118.55%24.69%-26.05%-44.48%
65
Neutral
$15.26B7.313.02%5.32%4.27%-62.52%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TK
Teekay
8.10
1.89
30.43%
TNK
Teekay Tankers
48.18
-4.87
-9.18%
TEN
Tsakos Energy Navigation
21.79
-0.72
-3.20%
NVGS
Navigator Holdings
16.25
0.15
0.93%
DLNG
Dynagas LNG Partners
3.57
-0.02
-0.56%
FLNG
FLEX LNG
27.17
3.12
12.97%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 21, 2025