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Tsakos Energy Navigation (TEN)
NYSE:TEN

Tsakos Energy Navigation (TEN) AI Stock Analysis

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Tsakos Energy Navigation

(NYSE:TEN)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$24.00
â–²(15.61%Upside)
The overall stock score is primarily driven by the company's robust earnings call performance and attractive valuation metrics, which highlight strong future income potential and a high dividend yield. While financial performance shows strength in profitability, challenges such as cash flow management and market volatility are notable. Technical indicators suggest overbought conditions, warranting cautious optimism.

Tsakos Energy Navigation (TEN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tsakos Energy Navigation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTsakos Energy Navigation Limited provides seaborne crude oil and petroleum product transportation services worldwide. The company offers marine transportation services for national, major, and other independent oil companies and refiners under long, medium, and short-term charters. It also operates a fleet of double-hull vessels, comprising of conventional tankers, LNG carriers, and suezmax DP2 shuttle tankers. The company was formerly known as MIF Limited and changed its name to Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited in July 2001. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is based in Athens, Greece.
How the Company Makes MoneyTsakos Energy Navigation (TEN) generates revenue primarily through the transportation of crude oil, petroleum products, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) across international waters. The company earns income by chartering its fleet of tankers to major oil companies, refineries, and traders. These charters can be on a spot market basis, where ships are hired for single voyages, or on time charters, where vessels are leased for a specific period. Additionally, TEN enters into profit-sharing agreements with its charterers, where it can earn additional revenue based on the performance of the vessel or prevailing market conditions. Key factors contributing to TEN's earnings include global oil demand, shipping rates, fleet utilization, and operational efficiency. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and alliances within the maritime and energy sectors, enhancing its market position and growth potential.

Tsakos Energy Navigation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 17, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 9.90%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a solid financial performance and strategic fleet expansion, underpinned by significant future income commitments. Despite challenges such as geopolitical tensions and stock underperformance, the company maintains strong operational and financial health, supported by high dividends.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record High Future Income Commitments
TEN has secured approximately $3.7 billion in future income through long-term charters, ensuring profitability and reduced volatility.
Fleet Expansion and Modernization
TEN is undergoing its largest fleet expansion with 21 new vessels being built, including advanced dual-fuel LNG-powered Aframax tankers.
Strong Financial Performance
TEN reported a net income of $37.7 million for Q1 2025, with an adjusted EBITDA of $99.3 million, close to the previous year's strong performance.
High Dividend Yield
The company declared a semiannual dividend of $0.60 per share, highlighting an 8-9% dividend yield, which is notable in the sector.
Negative Updates
Stock Price Underperformance
TEN’s stock is undervalued, trading at around 35% of its NAV, affected by general market nervousness and sector penalization.
Geopolitical and Market Challenges
The company navigates through geopolitical tensions and uncertainties, affecting market stability and operational conditions.
Decline in Spot Market Exposure
TEN's fleet exposure to the spot market declined from 19% in Q1 2024 to 18% in Q1 2025, potentially limiting earnings from spot market fluctuations.
Company Guidance
During the Tsakos Energy Navigation conference call discussing the first quarter of 2025 financial results, the company provided robust guidance supported by strong market fundamentals. The call highlighted a committed future income stream of approximately $3.7 billion through long-term charters, ensuring profitability and limiting volatility. The company is undergoing significant fleet renewal, with 21 state-of-the-art vessels being built, and has expanded its fleet to 82 vessels, including dual-fuel and shuttle tankers. The operating fleet achieved a high utilization rate of 97.2%, generating $197.1 million in gross revenues with an average time charter equivalent of $30,741 per day. Despite challenging geopolitical conditions, Tsakos Energy Navigation reported a net income of $37.7 million with earnings per share of $1.04 and declared a semiannual dividend of $0.60 per share. The management emphasized the undervaluation of their stock, given its strong financial performance and growth potential, and discussed potential strategies such as a spinoff to better reflect the company's value in the stock price.

Tsakos Energy Navigation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tsakos Energy Navigation exhibits strong profitability and equity growth, albeit with notable revenue fluctuations and high leverage. Cash flow management is critical, as recent high capital expenditures have pressured free cash flow. The company must address operational challenges and maintain financial discipline to enhance stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company's revenue showed notable volatility with a decline in 2024 after strong growth in prior years. Gross profit margin and net profit margin reflect solid profitability in recent years, improving significantly from 2021. However, recent declines in revenue and net income in 2024 highlight potential demand fluctuations or operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a stable equity position with a significant improvement in stockholders' equity over recent years. The debt-to-equity ratio remains relatively high, indicating substantial leverage, but a strong equity ratio provides a buffer. The return on equity is strong, reflecting effective use of equity capital despite high leverage.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The company's operating cash flow has been robust, yet free cash flow turned significantly negative in 2024 due to high capital expenditures. The free cash flow to net income ratio was negative, indicating cash flow challenges, but strong operating cash flow provides some comfort. The company must manage capital spending to improve free cash flow stability.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue804.06M889.57M860.40M546.12M644.13M
Gross Profit275.27M370.01M286.65M1.46M160.96M
EBITDA434.74M555.78M378.37M14.82M218.00M
Net Income176.23M300.18M204.23M-151.40M24.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.71B3.36B3.31B2.89B3.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments343.37M372.03M304.37M117.19M160.47M
Total Debt1.37B1.60B1.67B1.47B1.57B
Total Liabilities1.94B1.71B1.79B1.60B1.73B
Stockholders Equity1.73B1.62B1.47B1.24B1.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-342.34M96.89M-44.84M-8.12M17.18M
Operating Cash Flow307.68M395.28M288.53M53.11M205.42M
Investing Cash Flow-441.61M-137.44M-301.81M-8.00M-94.61M
Financing Cash Flow105.54M-190.58M195.53M-89.68M-136.80M

Tsakos Energy Navigation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price20.76
Price Trends
50DMA
18.69
Positive
100DMA
17.47
Positive
200DMA
18.59
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.56
Positive
RSI
60.55
Neutral
STOCH
70.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TEN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 20.76 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.07, above the 50-day MA of 18.69, and above the 200-day MA of 18.59, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.56 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TEN.

Tsakos Energy Navigation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$2.32B3.3124.68%3.52%-7.25%31.85%
TNTNK
79
Outperform
$1.54B4.7218.57%11.34%-21.27%-34.25%
79
Outperform
$1.07B12.217.38%1.29%6.38%9.47%
TETEN
77
Outperform
$625.45M4.639.22%8.67%-3.67%-8.90%
DHDHT
76
Outperform
$1.80B10.1117.04%5.35%-5.32%5.51%
FRFRO
73
Outperform
$4.25B12.2014.79%3.77%0.88%-45.41%
68
Neutral
$15.42B10.076.34%5.16%4.06%-67.04%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TEN
Tsakos Energy Navigation
20.76
-4.51
-17.85%
DHT
DHT Holdings
11.21
0.99
9.69%
FRO
Frontline
19.08
-2.82
-12.88%
STNG
Scorpio Tankers
45.41
-29.01
-38.98%
TNK
Teekay Tankers
44.08
-16.65
-27.42%
NVGS
Navigator Holdings
15.52
-1.29
-7.67%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 20, 2025