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Instil Bio, Inc. (TIL)
NASDAQ:TIL
US Market

Instil Bio (TIL) AI Stock Analysis

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TIL

Instil Bio

(NASDAQ:TIL)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$7.00
▼(-2.51% Downside)
The score is weighed down primarily by weak financial performance (pre-revenue, sizable losses, and ongoing cash burn with shrinking equity) and bearish technicals (price far below major moving averages and negative MACD). Valuation provides limited support due to a negative P/E and no dividend, while the recent licensing termination adds incremental strategic risk.
Positive Factors
Specialized TIL/cell therapy focus
A focused, technical platform in TIL and cell-based immunotherapies represents a durable competitive position in difficult-to-treat solid tumors. Deep expertise and proprietary approaches can create high entry barriers, attract partnerships, and drive long-term value if clinical proofs succeed.
Improving cash burn trend
Lowering cash burn versus prior years is a meaningful structural improvement: it extends runway, reduces near-term financing pressure, and increases optionality to advance key trials or seek strategic partnerships without immediate dilutive capital raises.
Manageable leverage vs assets
A balance sheet with material assets and debt that is manageable relative to asset base provides financial flexibility to fund development-stage activities. This supports continued R&D and potential licensing or M&A options before cash exhaustion becomes critical.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue, negative cash flow
Being pre-revenue with sustained negative operating and free cash flow is a persistent structural risk: the business must rely on external funding or partnerships to continue trials, exposing shareholders to dilution and making long-term success contingent on clinical outcomes.
Eroding shareholders' equity
Material declines in equity over multiple years signal capital erosion from ongoing losses. This weakens the company's financial buffer, reduces flexibility to withstand trial delays, and increases the likelihood of dilutive financings or costly debt if progress stalls.
Loss of ex-China rights to two assets
Termination of the ImmuneOnco license removes ex-China rights to AXN-2510 and AXN-27M, a structural hit to pipeline breadth and potential future revenue streams. It narrows strategic options, reduces partnership-led development upside, and concentrates clinical and commercial risk.

Instil Bio (TIL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Instil Bio Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionInstil Bio, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops therapies for the treatment of patients with cancer. The company develops cell therapy of autologous tumor infiltrating lymphocyte (TIL). Its TIL product candidates in pipeline include ITIL-168 for indications, such as melanoma, cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma, non-small cell lung cancer, head and neck squamous cell carcinoma, and cervical cancer; and ITIL-306 to recognize folate receptor alpha (FOLR1) with indications, including gynecological, non-small cell lung cancer, renal caner, and others. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyInstil Bio generates revenue primarily through the development and commercialization of its TIL-based therapies. The company may enter into strategic partnerships and collaborations with other biotech firms, research institutions, or pharmaceutical companies to co-develop and commercialize therapies, which can include upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties based on sales. Additionally, as its products move through clinical trials and, if successful, receive regulatory approval, revenue can be generated from the sale of these therapies to healthcare providers and institutions treating cancer patients. Other potential revenue streams could include licensing its technology to other companies in the biotechnology and pharmaceutical sectors.

Instil Bio Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Instil Bio is facing significant financial challenges, characterized by no revenue generation, ongoing losses, and negative cash flows. While the balance sheet shows liquidity strength, the reliance on equity financing poses dilution risks. The company's financial health is precarious, requiring substantial strategic shifts to achieve sustainable operations.
Income Statement
Instil Bio has reported no revenue for several consecutive years, indicating significant challenges in monetizing its technology or products. The absence of revenue coupled with consistent and substantial net losses highlight severe profitability issues. Although there is a reduction in net loss from the prior year, the company still faces major financial hurdles.
Balance Sheet
The company maintains a reasonable cash position with cash and short-term investments of $113 million, providing some liquidity. However, the debt-to-equity ratio is low due to minimal debt, which is a positive. The equity ratio indicates a strong reliance on equity financing, suggesting potential dilution risks for investors. Overall, the balance sheet shows liquidity strength but significant equity erosion over time.
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow remains deeply negative, reflecting ongoing operational losses. There is a notable decrease in negative free cash flow from the previous year, indicating some improvement in cash management. However, consistent negative cash flow from operations poses a significant risk to financial sustainability without additional financing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.00138.00K
Gross Profit-753.00K0.000.00-5.99M0.00138.00K
EBITDA-66.93M-62.53M-147.12M-217.38M-152.51M-33.39M
Net Income-75.08M-74.14M-156.09M-223.18M-156.79M-37.74M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets211.77M263.57M325.63M482.13M609.98M319.01M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments79.67M113.31M150.36M260.92M454.10M241.71M
Total Debt84.92M86.89M86.05M79.90M0.000.00
Total Liabilities91.35M94.13M99.80M118.52M54.78M26.64M
Stockholders Equity120.42M169.44M225.83M363.61M555.20M292.37M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-40.10M-65.70M-102.69M-264.75M-179.97M-80.43M
Operating Cash Flow-40.10M-55.70M-82.03M-180.16M-122.14M-29.62M
Investing Cash Flow30.66M53.97M41.13M114.54M-474.40M-51.12M
Financing Cash Flow8.89M1.75M8.08M71.89M393.16M313.05M

Instil Bio Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.18
Price Trends
50DMA
12.71
Negative
100DMA
17.60
Negative
200DMA
20.08
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.01
Positive
RSI
30.43
Neutral
STOCH
37.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TIL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.76, below the 50-day MA of 12.71, and below the 200-day MA of 20.08, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TIL.

Instil Bio Risk Analysis

Instil Bio disclosed 84 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Instil Bio reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Instil Bio Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$128.61M-1.16-49.18%-33.76%17.54%
50
Neutral
$168.60M-0.91-63.96%-28.50%
48
Neutral
$137.09M-1.48-26.69%25.84%
48
Neutral
$58.56M-0.58-118.95%31.98%
48
Neutral
$64.69M-1.05-76.44%-10.03%11.06%
44
Neutral
$45.17M-50.60%1.40%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TIL
Instil Bio
7.18
-14.82
-67.36%
ZNTL
Zentalis Pharmaceuticals
2.42
-0.36
-12.95%
NKTX
Nkarta
2.06
-0.33
-13.81%
ALXO
ALX Oncology Holdings
1.18
-0.67
-36.22%
SRZN
Surrozen
19.97
7.16
55.89%
TCRX
TScan Therapeutics
1.18
-1.67
-58.60%

Instil Bio Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Instil Bio Ends Key Oncology Licensing Agreement with ImmuneOnco
Negative
Jan 6, 2026

On January 5, 2026, Instil Bio’s subsidiary Axion Bio and ImmuneOnco Biopharmaceuticals mutually terminated their August 1, 2024 license and collaboration agreement, which had granted Axion ex-China development and commercial rights to the drug candidates AXN-2510 and AXN-27M. The termination marks a strategic shift for Instil Bio and Axion, as they will no longer pursue these assets outside China, potentially altering the company’s pipeline composition and its future positioning in the competitive oncology and immunotherapy markets, while also affecting expectations for any previously anticipated revenue or partnership synergies tied to these programs.

The most recent analyst rating on (TIL) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Instil Bio stock, see the TIL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 08, 2026