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Gentherm (THRM)
NASDAQ:THRM

Gentherm (THRM) AI Stock Analysis

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Gentherm

(NASDAQ:THRM)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$31.00
▲(12.97%Upside)
Gentherm's overall stock score reflects a stable financial performance with strong profitability and efficient cash flow management as key strengths. The technical analysis shows moderate positive momentum, while the valuation suggests a balanced risk-reward profile. Earnings call insights indicate cautious optimism amid industry challenges, with strategic initiatives providing a buffer. Corporate events reinforce confidence in leadership. Overall, Gentherm is well-positioned within the auto-parts industry with opportunities for growth and financial refinement.

Gentherm (THRM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gentherm Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGentherm (THRM) is a global developer and marketer of innovative thermal management technologies. The company operates primarily in the automotive and medical sectors, providing a wide range of products including automotive climate comfort systems, battery performance solutions, and medical thermal management systems. Gentherm's core offerings include heated and ventilated seat systems, thermal comfort solutions, and temperature control technologies that enhance user comfort and energy efficiency.
How the Company Makes MoneyGentherm generates revenue through the sale of its thermal management products and solutions, primarily to automotive manufacturers and medical device companies. The company's key revenue streams include the automotive segment, which offers climate comfort systems, battery thermal management solutions, and automotive electronics. Gentherm maintains strategic partnerships with major automotive OEMs, which contribute significantly to its earnings. Additionally, the company invests in research and development to innovate and expand its product portfolio, which helps in maintaining competitive advantage and driving sales growth.

Gentherm Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 10.56%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
While Gentherm has made notable progress in securing new business awards and expanding its medical segment, the company faces challenges in the form of declining revenues and profitability pressures due to higher costs and industry volume declines. The overall sentiment of the earnings call reflects a cautious optimism, with focus on long-term strategic initiatives amid near-term uncertainties.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid New Business Awards
Gentherm secured $400 million in automotive new business awards during the quarter, including significant wins with a Japanese OEM and Volvo. This demonstrates progress in expanding their global business and customer diversification.
Medical Business Growth
The medical segment saw revenues increase by 6% (adjusted for foreign exchange), driven by growth in Europe. Gentherm is leveraging its core technology platforms to explore new opportunities in medical applications.
Recognition by General Motors
Gentherm was recognized as General Motors Supplier of the Year for the third time, highlighting their strong relationship and innovative technology.
Strategic Footprint Realignment
The company is realigning its production footprint to optimize capacity and lower manufacturing costs, including consolidations in North America, Europe, and Asia.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
First quarter revenues decreased by 0.6% compared to the same period last year, although they grew approximately 1% when adjusted for foreign exchange.
Profitability Pressure
Adjusted EBITDA margin decreased to 11.1% from 12.2% in the prior year, driven by higher freight costs, product mix, and costs related to footprint realignment.
Guidance Pressure from Industry Volumes
The operating backdrop is increasingly dynamic with reduced global vehicle production forecasts, including a 10% reduction in North America volumes, impacting the revenue guidance.
Company Guidance
During the Gentherm First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company maintained its revenue guidance despite industry forecasts predicting a decline in global light vehicle production, particularly a 10% reduction in North America, which constitutes 40% of Gentherm's total revenue. The company secured $400 million in new automotive business awards and continued to focus on expanding into non-automotive markets, leveraging existing technology platforms. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $39.3 million, representing 11.1% of sales, with the guidance range adjusted to reflect an increasingly dynamic operating environment. Gentherm emphasized strong customer relationships and operational excellence, with notable progress in mitigating tariff impacts and optimizing their strategic footprint.

Gentherm Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gentherm presents a strong financial position with consistent profitability and efficient cash flow management. The income statement reflects solid margins and improving profitability, while the balance sheet shows a prudent debt strategy. Cash flows are strong, though some volatility in free cash flow suggests room for stability.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Gentherm's income statement shows a solid gross profit margin and consistent EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating stable operational efficiency. The net profit margin has shown improvement in the TTM, reflecting enhanced profitability. Revenue growth has been moderate, with some fluctuations over the years, but the recent period shows a positive trajectory. Overall, the company's income statement reflects a strong financial performance with room for improvement in revenue growth consistency.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet of Gentherm demonstrates a conservative debt-to-equity ratio, which suggests a balanced approach to leveraging. The equity ratio is healthy, indicating that the company has a stable capital structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity. However, the return on equity shows potential for enhancement. The overall balance sheet stability is strong, with manageable risks from debt levels.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Gentherm's cash flow statement indicates a positive free cash flow growth in the TTM, showing effective cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting efficient conversion of earnings into cash. However, fluctuations in free cash flow over the years highlight potential volatility in cash generation. Overall, cash flows are robust, with opportunities for further stabilization.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.45B1.46B1.47B1.20B1.05B913.10M
Gross Profit
368.81M366.43M351.62M273.65M303.63M268.10M
EBIT
113.13M107.02M77.44M48.31M115.01M89.22M
EBITDA
155.27M169.20M119.83M99.63M157.64M136.13M
Net Income Common Stockholders
50.03M64.95M40.34M24.44M93.43M59.69M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
125.11M134.13M149.67M153.89M190.61M268.35M
Total Assets
1.25B1.25B1.23B1.24B935.34M1.02B
Total Debt
253.26M264.77M246.71M262.78M64.21M222.70M
Net Debt
128.16M130.64M97.04M108.89M-126.40M-45.65M
Total Liabilities
602.88M630.61M589.65M567.03M281.54M436.51M
Stockholders Equity
647.06M616.95M644.72M672.27M653.81M586.33M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
29.07M36.33M80.85M-25.25M97.05M90.33M
Operating Cash Flow
106.62M109.65M119.27M14.95M143.08M110.69M
Investing Cash Flow
-55.23M-53.53M-24.12M-239.90M-48.83M-18.22M
Financing Cash Flow
-9.43M-51.70M-106.05M189.93M-169.14M115.48M

Gentherm Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price27.44
Price Trends
50DMA
26.31
Positive
100DMA
29.82
Negative
200DMA
36.41
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.27
Negative
RSI
53.51
Neutral
STOCH
57.16
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For THRM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 27.44 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.48, above the 50-day MA of 26.31, and below the 200-day MA of 36.41, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for THRM.

Gentherm Risk Analysis

Gentherm disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gentherm reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gentherm Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
VCVC
83
Outperform
$2.45B8.4125.15%-1.35%-39.06%
LELEA
75
Outperform
$4.95B10.8510.00%3.40%-3.15%-6.70%
ALALV
75
Outperform
$8.61B12.8328.71%2.58%-2.29%35.00%
72
Outperform
$846.79M17.227.74%-0.51%9.10%
66
Neutral
$4.88B12.7315.90%2.21%-1.66%-9.20%
62
Neutral
$6.88B11.072.77%4.28%2.67%-24.94%
DADAN
61
Neutral
$2.57B-2.40%2.32%-7.00%-366.59%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
THRM
Gentherm
27.86
-23.39
-45.64%
ALV
Autoliv
111.35
2.36
2.17%
DAN
Dana Incorporated
17.61
5.27
42.71%
GNTX
Gentex
22.07
-11.53
-34.32%
LEA
Lear
92.58
-19.69
-17.54%
VC
Visteon
92.64
-12.72
-12.07%

Gentherm Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Gentherm Shareholders Approve Directors and Auditor
Positive
May 8, 2025

At the annual meeting on May 8, 2025, Gentherm shareholders elected nine directors for a one-year term, approved executive compensation, and ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent auditor for 2025. These decisions reflect shareholder confidence in the company’s leadership and strategic direction.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Gentherm Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Apr 24, 2025

On April 24, 2025, Gentherm announced its first quarter financial results, reporting $354 million in revenue, a 1% increase excluding foreign exchange impacts, driven by growth in lumbar and massage comfort solutions. Despite a challenging environment, the company secured $400 million in new automotive business awards and commenced shipments from a new facility in Morocco. However, net income decreased due to foreign currency losses and other factors. The company maintained its full-year revenue guidance while slightly adjusting its margin expectations, reflecting current market conditions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.