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Gentherm (THRM)
NASDAQ:THRM
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Gentherm (THRM) AI Stock Analysis

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THRM

Gentherm

(NASDAQ:THRM)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$42.00
▲(16.63% Upside)
Gentherm's overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and solid financial performance. The company's strategic expansions and new business awards are positive, though high valuation and regional revenue declines present challenges. The absence of corporate events and dividend yield slightly dampens the score.
Positive Factors
Strong Business Awards
Securing significant new business awards, including from major clients like Ford, strengthens Gentherm's market position and ensures future revenue streams, supporting long-term growth.
Product Line Growth
The growth in specific product lines indicates strong demand and successful innovation, which can drive sustained revenue increases and enhance competitive advantage in the thermal management sector.
Expansion into New Markets
Diversifying into adjacent markets reduces dependency on the automotive sector, providing new growth avenues and mitigating risks associated with industry-specific downturns.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue, even if slight, can indicate challenges in maintaining market share or pricing power, potentially impacting long-term financial stability and growth prospects.
Profitability Challenges
Decreasing margins due to higher costs can pressure profitability, affecting the company's ability to invest in growth initiatives and maintain competitive pricing.
Underperformance in Asia
Underperformance in Asia suggests regional market challenges, which could hinder global expansion efforts and limit revenue diversification opportunities.

Gentherm (THRM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gentherm Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGentherm (THRM) is a global leader in thermal management technologies, primarily serving the automotive sector. The company specializes in innovative products that enhance comfort and safety in vehicles, including heated and cooled seats, battery thermal management systems, and advanced climate control solutions. Beyond automotive, Gentherm also operates in the medical and industrial sectors, providing temperature management solutions that improve user experience and performance.
How the Company Makes MoneyGentherm generates revenue primarily through the sale of its thermal management products and systems to automotive manufacturers, which is its largest market segment. The company earns money by supplying both original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and aftermarket solutions, with a significant portion of revenue derived from long-term contracts with major automotive brands. Additionally, Gentherm has diversified its revenue streams by expanding into medical and industrial applications, leveraging its thermal technologies. Strategic partnerships with automotive companies and collaborations with research institutions also contribute to its earnings, ensuring continuous innovation and the development of new applications for its products.

Gentherm Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with significant new business awards and strategic expansions offset by revenue declines and underperformance in certain regions. The company is taking steps to address these issues, particularly in the Asian market, while also focusing on expanding into adjacent markets.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong New Business Awards
Secured over $600 million in new automotive business in Q2 and $1 billion year-to-date, including a significant award from Ford for the F-Series platform.
Adjustment in EBITDA Margin
Improved adjusted EBITDA margin performance by more than 100 basis points compared to the first quarter.
Success in Chinese Market
70% of Chinese awards were with domestic OEMs, aiming to shift customer mix from 80-20 to 60-40 in favor of domestic OEMs.
Growth in Lumbar and Massage Product Line
Lumbar and massage product line grew more than 15% year-to-date, expected to increase from $175 million in 2024 to over $300 million by 2027.
Expansion into Adjacent Markets
Secured 5 new awards in adjacent markets including commercial vehicles and powersports platforms.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Second quarter revenue decreased 0.2% compared to the same period last year, with a foreign exchange adjusted revenue decrease of 1.6%.
Underperformance in Asia
Automotive Climate and Comfort Solutions underperformed in Asia, impacting overall results despite strong performance in North America and Europe.
Decrease in Medical Revenue
Medical revenue decreased 3.8% year-over-year or 4.8% when excluding FX.
Decreased Adjusted EBITDA Margin
Adjusted EBITDA margin decreased to 12.2% from 13.3% in the second quarter of last year, due to higher material costs and unfavorable product mix.
Company Guidance
During Gentherm's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance emphasizing several key metrics and strategic priorities for the remainder of the year. They increased their revenue forecast to range between $1.43 billion and $1.5 billion and narrowed their adjusted EBITDA margin guidance to 11.7% to 12.5%. The company highlighted significant achievements, including securing over $600 million in new automotive business awards in Q2 and $1 billion year-to-date, with a notable award from Ford for their F-Series platform. Operationally, Gentherm improved its adjusted EBITDA margin by more than 100 basis points compared to the first quarter and expects further margin expansion in the second half of the year, driven by operational efficiencies. The company continues to focus on diversifying its customer mix in China, projecting a shift toward 60% global and 40% domestic OEMs by next year, and has already achieved 70% of Chinese awards with domestic OEMs in 2025. Furthermore, Gentherm is actively pursuing growth in adjacent markets, securing five new awards in commercial vehicles and powersports platforms, and anticipates rapid market entry with cycle times of less than a year.

Gentherm Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gentherm presents a strong financial position with consistent profitability and efficient cash flow management. The income statement shows solid margins and improving profitability, while the balance sheet reflects a prudent debt strategy. Cash flows are robust, though there's some volatility in free cash flow.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Gentherm's income statement shows a solid gross profit margin and consistent EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating stable operational efficiency. The net profit margin has shown improvement in the TTM, reflecting enhanced profitability. Revenue growth has been moderate, with some fluctuations over the years, but the recent period shows a positive trajectory. Overall, the company's income statement reflects a strong financial performance with room for improvement in revenue growth consistency.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet of Gentherm demonstrates a conservative debt-to-equity ratio, which suggests a balanced approach to leveraging. The equity ratio is healthy, indicating that the company has a stable capital structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity. However, the return on equity shows potential for enhancement. The overall balance sheet stability is strong, with manageable risks from debt levels.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Gentherm's cash flow statement indicates a positive free cash flow growth in the TTM, showing effective cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting efficient conversion of earnings into cash. However, fluctuations in free cash flow over the years highlight potential volatility in cash generation. Overall, cash flows are robust, with opportunities for further stabilization.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.08B1.46B1.47B1.20B1.05B913.10M
Gross Profit357.20M366.43M351.62M273.65M303.63M268.10M
EBITDA132.09M169.20M119.83M99.63M157.64M136.13M
Net Income31.64M64.95M40.34M24.44M93.43M59.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.36B1.25B1.23B1.24B935.34M1.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments128.30M134.13M149.67M153.89M190.61M268.35M
Total Debt61.19M264.77M246.71M262.78M64.21M222.70M
Total Liabilities661.66M630.61M589.65M567.03M281.54M436.51M
Stockholders Equity699.75M616.95M644.72M672.27M653.81M586.33M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow47.49M36.33M80.85M-25.25M97.05M90.33M
Operating Cash Flow114.52M109.65M119.27M14.95M143.08M110.69M
Investing Cash Flow-48.68M-53.53M-24.12M-239.90M-48.83M-18.22M
Financing Cash Flow-52.26M-51.70M-106.05M189.93M-169.14M115.48M

Gentherm Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price36.01
Price Trends
50DMA
33.59
Positive
100DMA
30.35
Positive
200DMA
32.84
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.68
Positive
RSI
56.15
Neutral
STOCH
26.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For THRM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 36.01 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.96, above the 50-day MA of 33.59, and above the 200-day MA of 32.84, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.68 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for THRM.

Gentherm Risk Analysis

Gentherm disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gentherm reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gentherm Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$3.50B11.9722.96%0.21%-3.26%-45.84%
79
Outperform
$9.63B13.7229.99%2.35%-0.98%21.64%
77
Outperform
$1.10B35.524.72%-0.78%-51.80%
76
Outperform
$5.81B12.659.51%2.82%-3.12%-8.23%
66
Neutral
$6.15B15.8816.38%1.69%2.43%-1.25%
61
Neutral
$18.09B12.97-1.60%2.98%1.42%-15.92%
61
Neutral
$2.73B-5.00%1.88%-14.46%-2170.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
THRM
Gentherm
36.01
-11.77
-24.63%
ALV
Autoliv
127.65
34.77
37.44%
DAN
Dana Incorporated
21.25
11.70
122.51%
GNTX
Gentex
28.41
-0.21
-0.73%
LEA
Lear
109.18
7.65
7.53%
VC
Visteon
128.28
37.97
42.04%

Gentherm Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Gentherm Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Jul 24, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Gentherm reported its second quarter financial results, highlighting a revenue of $375 million and securing over $600 million in new automotive business awards, including significant deals with Ford. Despite a slight decrease in product revenues and net income compared to the previous year, the company demonstrated strong performance in its Automotive Climate and Comfort Solutions segment. The gross margin decreased due to higher material and labor costs, but the company maintained a stable net leverage and liquidity. Gentherm narrowed its full-year guidance range and remains focused on executing strategic priorities amid macroeconomic uncertainties.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 01, 2025