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Gentherm (THRM)
NASDAQ:THRM
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Gentherm (THRM) AI Stock Analysis

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THRM

Gentherm

(NASDAQ:THRM)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$30.00
▲(0.77% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/23/26
Overall score reflects (1) acceptable but pressured fundamentals driven by a weak TTM income statement despite solid leverage and improving free cash flow, (2) a supportive earnings-call backdrop with maintained guidance and strong Q1 execution but acknowledged mid-year margin pressure, tempered by (3) soft longer-term technical trend and (4) high P/E valuation.
Positive Factors
Healthy balance sheet and liquidity
Low net leverage and substantial liquidity provide durable financial flexibility to fund working capital, absorb cyclical downturns, and invest in program ramps or M&A. This balance-sheet strength reduces refinancing risk and supports multi‑year OEM program deliveries and integration funding needs.
Negative Factors
Weak TTM revenue and compressed margins
A large trailing‑12‑month revenue decline with near‑breakeven net margins signals fragile earnings power that may persist across program cycles. Sustained top‑line weakness limits ability to absorb fixed costs and compresses ROE, undermining durable profitability until demand or mix improves.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Healthy balance sheet and liquidity
Low net leverage and substantial liquidity provide durable financial flexibility to fund working capital, absorb cyclical downturns, and invest in program ramps or M&A. This balance-sheet strength reduces refinancing risk and supports multi‑year OEM program deliveries and integration funding needs.
Read all positive factors

Gentherm (THRM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gentherm Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Gentherm Incorporated designs, develops, manufactures, and markets thermal management technologies. The company operates in two segments, Automotive and Medical. The Automotive segment offers climate comfort systems, which include seat heaters, bl...
How the Company Makes Money
Gentherm makes money primarily by selling engineered automotive components and systems to vehicle OEMs (and, in some cases, through OEM-directed Tier-1 supply channels) under multi-year vehicle platform/program awards. Revenue is largely generated...

Gentherm Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 23, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated strong operational execution and multiple growth catalysts — record quarterly revenue, double-digit segment growth, substantial new business awards, margin expansion (140 bps YoY), robust liquidity and strategic M&A to broaden markets. At the same time, management flagged a meaningful near-term cost headwind (~$20 million) from logistics and commodity inflation, expected mid-year margin pressure, inventory depletion effects, and one-time merger charges that reduced GAAP EPS. Overall the positives (revenue and margin gains, product/market diversification, balance sheet strength and clear integration plan with Modine) outweigh the near-term headwinds, but management is appropriately cautious given macro uncertainty.
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Revenue
Product revenues reached a quarterly record of $394 million, up 11.3% year-over-year (7.2% growth excluding foreign currency translation).
Negative Updates
Inflationary Cost Headwind
Company estimates approximately $20 million of incremental costs in 2026 driven by logistics (lane disruptions, fuel surcharges), petrochemical/material inflation and increased processing-related costs; estimate is gross and remains fluid.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Quarterly Revenue
Product revenues reached a quarterly record of $394 million, up 11.3% year-over-year (7.2% growth excluding foreign currency translation).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Gentherm maintained 2026 guidance (ex‑Modine) for revenue of $1.5–$1.6 billion (≈3% growth Y/Y and mid‑single‑digit growth versus a market expected to decline ~2%), adjusted EBITDA of $175–$195 million (midpoint ≈12% margin), adjusted free cash flow of $80–$100 million, and CapEx of $45–$55 million (≈3% of sales). Management noted Q1 strength but cautioned near‑term pressure: Q1 revenue was $394 million (quarterly record, +11.3% Y/Y, +7.2% ex‑FX), Automotive Climate & Comfort +13.6% Y/Y (+9.8% ex‑FX), lumbar/massage +33% Y/Y, $49.3 million adjusted EBITDA (12.5% of sales), adjusted diluted EPS $0.84 (vs $0.51 prior year) and GAAP diluted EPS $0.14 after ~ $0.70/share merger/restructuring charges; they expect margins to be depressed in Q2–Q3 as ~ $20 million of incremental inflationary costs hit (starting in Q2) with recovery timing into Q3–Q4 and inventory drawdown during a global footprint transition. Balance sheet and cash metrics highlighted Q1 net leverage of 0.2x, liquidity of $456 million, an $8 million Y/Y improvement in operational cash flow, and Q1 CapEx of $5.6 million (down $9.2 million Y/Y).

Gentherm Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: the income statement is the main weakness with TTM revenue down sharply (-23.7%) and net margin ~1.2%, but the balance sheet is solid with manageable leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.38–0.43) and cash flow has improved with positive and growing TTM free cash flow (+28.7%).
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
64
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.53B1.49B1.46B1.47B1.20B1.05B
Gross Profit362.44M351.67M366.43M351.62M273.65M303.63M
EBITDA129.70M102.91M175.60M152.63M99.63M157.64M
Net Income22.63M18.29M64.95M40.34M24.44M93.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.43B1.40B1.25B1.23B1.24B935.34M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments177.40M160.83M134.13M149.67M153.89M190.61M
Total Debt273.43M294.93M264.77M246.71M262.78M64.21M
Total Liabilities713.82M676.11M630.61M589.65M567.03M281.54M
Stockholders Equity716.47M720.32M616.95M644.72M672.27M653.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow78.64M61.12M36.33M80.85M-25.25M97.05M
Operating Cash Flow125.09M116.79M109.65M119.27M14.95M143.08M
Investing Cash Flow-47.51M-52.40M-53.53M-24.12M-239.90M-48.83M
Financing Cash Flow-55.11M-42.48M-51.70M-106.05M189.93M-169.14M

Gentherm Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price29.77
Price Trends
50DMA
29.97
Negative
100DMA
33.27
Negative
200DMA
33.88
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.19
Negative
RSI
55.23
Neutral
STOCH
60.48
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For THRM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 29.77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.51, below the 50-day MA of 29.97, and below the 200-day MA of 33.88, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for THRM.

Gentherm Risk Analysis

Gentherm disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gentherm reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gentherm Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$5.10B2.05%9.55%-1.26%
72
Outperform
$6.50B14.068.79%2.63%-0.19%-8.95%
72
Outperform
$3.03B9.5013.34%0.57%-2.04%-43.19%
65
Neutral
$3.35B18.5614.34%6.03%8.26%
63
Neutral
$4.27B38.91-2.91%1.70%-21.52%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
$934.13M50.253.17%5.81%-53.66%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
THRM
Gentherm
30.46
5.77
23.37%
DAN
Dana Incorporated
38.93
26.29
208.04%
DORM
Dorman Products
111.19
-0.12
-0.11%
GNTX
Gentex
23.88
2.53
11.84%
LEA
Lear
128.32
46.11
56.08%
VC
Visteon
113.69
34.19
43.00%

Gentherm Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Gentherm Reports Record Q1 Results, Confirms 2026 Outlook
Positive
Apr 23, 2026
On April 23, 2026, Gentherm reported first-quarter 2026 results, posting record quarterly revenue of $393.7 million, up 11.3% year over year (7.2% ex-FX), with Automotive Climate and Comfort Solutions outpacing underlying light vehicle production ...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Gentherm Amends Credit Agreement Ahead of Modine Merger
Positive
Feb 27, 2026
On February 24, 2026, Gentherm Incorporated amended its Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with a First Amendment that accommodates a planned merger and separation structure with Modine Manufacturing Company, Platinum SpinCo Inc. and Pla...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Gentherm Posts Record 2025 Revenue, Issues 2026 Outlook
Positive
Feb 19, 2026
On February 19, 2026, Gentherm reported 2025 results showing record annual product revenue of $1.5 billion and operating cash flow up 7% year over year, while net income, gross margin and adjusted EBITDA declined amid higher material costs and foo...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Gentherm to acquire Modine Performance Technologies in merger
Positive
Jan 29, 2026
On January 29, 2026, Gentherm entered into definitive agreements with Modine Manufacturing to acquire Modine’s Performance Technologies business through a Reverse Morris Trust transaction, under which Modine will first transfer the business ...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Gentherm to Merge with Modine Performance Technologies Unit
Positive
Jan 29, 2026
On January 29, 2026, Gentherm and Modine announced a definitive agreement to spin off and simultaneously combine Modine’s Performance Technologies business with Gentherm in a Reverse Morris Trust transaction valued at about $1.0 billion, cre...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 23, 2026