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Tempus AI, Inc. Class A (TEM)
NASDAQ:TEM
US Market
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Tempus AI, Inc. Class A (TEM) AI Stock Analysis

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TEM

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A

(NASDAQ:TEM)

Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$61.00
▼(-8.05% Downside)
The overall stock score reflects strong revenue growth and positive sentiment from the earnings call, balanced by significant financial risks and valuation concerns. The company's high leverage and negative equity are major risks, while technical indicators show mixed momentum.
Positive Factors
Market Position
Tempus AI is well positioned for continued growth at scale.
Revenue Growth
Tempus's second-quarter results were in line with or ahead of all key metrics.
Strategic Acquisition
The strategic rationale of the Ambry acquisition is agreed upon, with potential to expand capabilities in the oncology space.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Concerns
Quarterly cash flow from operations was roughly -$106 million, largely due to timing of cash flows and 'one-timers' with Ambry.
Financial Disclosure
The lack of quarterly bookings, reliance upon Pathos (a related party relationship) for growth & flattish Performance Obligations (ex Pathos) are drawbacks.
Revenue Shortfall
Total revenue fell short of estimates by roughly 2% on the data and services side.

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A (TEM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTempus AI, Inc. operates as a healthcare technology company. It engages in providing next generation sequencing diagnostics, polymerase chain reaction profiling, molecular genotyping, and other anatomic and molecular pathology testing to healthcare providers, pharmaceutical companies, biotechnology companies, researchers, and other third parties. The company offers Insights, a license library of linked clinical, molecular, and imaging de-identified data, as well as a suite of analytical services to analytic and cloud-and-compute tools to pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies; and Trials that provides clinical trial matching services to pharmaceutical companies. In addition, it operates Next; Algos, a suite of algorithmic tests in oncology; Hub, a desktop and mobile platform for ordering, managing, and receiving tests and patient results; and Lens, a platform for researchers and scientists to find, access, and analyze Tempus data. The company has a strategic collaborations agreement with AstraZeneca and Pathos AI, Inc. to develop therapeutic programs in oncology. The company was formerly known as Tempus Labs, Inc. and changed its name to Tempus AI, Inc. in January 2023. Tempus AI, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyTempus AI generates revenue primarily through its data analytics and software solutions offered to healthcare providers, pharmaceutical companies, and research institutions. The company's revenue model includes subscription fees for its analytics platforms, service fees for consulting and implementation of its technology, and partnerships with pharmaceutical companies for data-driven research and development. Additionally, Tempus collaborates with healthcare systems to provide genomic sequencing and analysis services, which further contributes to its earnings. Strategic partnerships with key players in the healthcare sector help expand its reach and enhance its service offerings, driving additional revenue streams.

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 08, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 12.94%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The overall sentiment of the call is positive, driven by significant revenue growth, improvement in gross profit and EBITDA, and strong performance in core business areas like Genomics and Data Services. However, the call also acknowledged challenges in achieving breakeven for adjusted EBITDA and securing reimbursement for certain tests.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Revenue increased 89.6% to $314.6 million. Genomics revenue increased 115% to $241.8 million, and Data and Services revenue increased 35.7% to approximately $73 million.
Improvement in Gross Profit and EBITDA
Quarterly gross profit was $195 million, a roughly 160% increase. Adjusted EBITDA improved from a negative $16 million last quarter to a negative $5.6 million this quarter, approaching breakeven.
Strong Performance in Oncology and Hereditary Testing
Oncology volume growth increased from 20% to 26% this quarter, and hereditary testing grew to 32%.
Successful Convertible Notes Issuance
Tempus issued $750 million of 0.75% convertible notes, reducing interest expenses and increasing cash savings.
Strong Data Insights Growth
Insights, part of Data and Services, grew almost 41% driven by a large foundational model deal.
Negative Updates
Continued Negative Adjusted EBITDA
Despite improvements, the adjusted EBITDA remains negative at $5.6 million.
Lack of Reimbursement for MRD and Other Tests
Reimbursement for MRD and treatment response monitoring tests remains pending, affecting potential revenue growth.
Company Guidance
During Tempus AI's second quarter 2025 financial results call, CEO Eric Lefkofsky highlighted significant growth metrics and updated guidance. The company reported a revenue increase of 89.6% to $314.6 million, with Genomics revenue rising by 115% to $241.8 million. Oncology volume grew from 20% to 26%, and hereditary testing reached 32%. Data and Services revenue saw a 35.7% boost, totaling approximately $73 million, led by a 41% rise in data licensing through their Insights segment. Gross profit surged by roughly 160% to $195 million, while adjusted EBITDA improved from a negative $16 million to a negative $5.6 million, nearing breakeven. Tempus increased its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $1.26 billion and maintained its adjusted EBITDA forecast of around $5 million, marking an approximate $110 million improvement from the previous year. The company also strengthened its balance sheet by issuing $750 million worth of 0.75% convertible notes, reducing interest expenses and enhancing cash reserves to about $290 million. With these developments, Tempus is well-positioned for continued progress into the next quarter.

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite strong revenue growth, Tempus AI, Inc. faces significant financial challenges with persistent losses, high leverage, and negative cash flows, indicating financial instability and potential solvency risks.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Tempus AI, Inc. has shown impressive revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase from $62.1 million in 2019 to $693.4 million in 2024. However, despite the revenue uptick, the company continues to face significant challenges in managing profitability. The net profit margin remains negative due to persistent losses, and both EBIT and EBITDA margins reflect substantial operating losses. This indicates that while revenue generation is strong, cost management and operational efficiency need significant improvement.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a concerning financial structure, with high total liabilities of $869.8 million against a minimal stockholders' equity of $56.3 million in 2024, leading to an unfavorable debt-to-equity ratio. The equity ratio is extremely low, indicating heavy reliance on debt financing. Although the company has managed to maintain a reasonable level of cash and short-term investments, the negative stockholders' equity in recent years signals financial instability and potential solvency risks.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Operating cash flows are consistently negative, reflecting challenges in generating cash from core operations. Free cash flow has shown volatility, with significant negative figures, indicating that the company is struggling to cover its capital expenditures from its operations. Although there is a positive trend in financing cash flows, suggesting successful capital raising efforts, the heavy reliance on external financing poses a risk if such inflows are not sustainable.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue693.40M531.82M320.67M257.85M188.00M
Gross Profit381.11M286.18M121.68M77.39M22.83M
EBITDA-610.42M-133.33M-236.85M-219.52M-169.37M
Net Income-705.81M-214.12M-289.81M-259.19M-209.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets926.12M564.05M631.36M531.35M751.92M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments448.26M197.57M302.94M277.69M513.44M
Total Debt468.09M488.14M433.03M238.95M251.45M
Total Liabilities869.78M1.95B734.25M440.55M405.75M
Stockholders Equity56.34M-1.38B-102.88M90.80M346.17M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-211.17M-248.95M-186.58M-223.75M-219.98M
Operating Cash Flow-189.04M-214.34M-168.20M-211.98M-206.56M
Investing Cash Flow-130.39M-40.31M-57.94M-21.72M-13.42M
Financing Cash Flow494.33M117.55M251.39M-2.04M506.11M

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price66.34
Price Trends
50DMA
62.20
Negative
100DMA
57.40
Positive
200DMA
54.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.72
Negative
RSI
52.03
Neutral
STOCH
54.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TEM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 66.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 59.50, above the 50-day MA of 62.20, and above the 200-day MA of 54.68, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.72 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TEM.

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Risk Analysis

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A disclosed 97 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tempus AI, Inc. Class A reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$10.40B28.1010.81%2.61%5.15%412.41%
67
Neutral
$14.57B12.0068.11%-3.32%
66
Neutral
$21.55B-24.32%44.38%22.87%
56
Neutral
$6.76B7.33-8.93%6.21%18.12%-5.11%
52
Neutral
$7.75B-35.51%12.56%-464.28%
50
Neutral
$10.53B-97.95%59.84%76.46%
49
Neutral
$6.83B-4584.47%28.74%18.25%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TEM
Tempus AI, Inc. Class A
66.34
23.69
55.55%
EXAS
Exact Sciences
41.74
-17.08
-29.04%
ILMN
Illumina
97.38
-22.34
-18.66%
QGEN
Qiagen
48.97
3.29
7.20%
NTRA
Natera
159.81
40.79
34.27%
GH
Guardant Health
55.10
25.36
85.27%

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingFinancial Disclosures
Tempus AI Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Growth
Positive
Aug 8, 2025

On August 8, 2025, Tempus AI, Inc. reported significant financial growth for the second quarter of 2025, with a revenue increase of 89.6% year-over-year, reaching $314.6 million. The company saw substantial growth in genomics and data services, contributing to a gross profit increase of 158.3%. Tempus also issued $750 million in convertible senior notes to enhance financial flexibility. The company is expanding its AI-powered clinical tools and has reached a milestone of over 40 million clinical patient records, reflecting its leadership in AI and oncology as it approaches its 10th anniversary.

The most recent analyst rating on (TEM) stock is a Buy with a $60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tempus AI, Inc. Class A stock, see the TEM Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Tempus AI Announces $400 Million Convertible Notes Offering
Neutral
Jul 3, 2025

On June 30, 2025, Tempus AI, Inc. announced a proposed offering of $400 million in Convertible Senior Notes due in 2030, with an option for an additional $60 million. The proceeds are intended to repay outstanding term loans, reduce interest expenses, and support general corporate purposes, including strategic investments. The offering aims to optimize Tempus’s capital structure and enhance financial flexibility, potentially impacting the market price of its Class A common stock and the conversion price of the Notes.

The most recent analyst rating on (TEM) stock is a Buy with a $45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tempus AI, Inc. Class A stock, see the TEM Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tempus AI Approves Reincorporation and Elects Directors
Neutral
May 23, 2025

Tempus AI, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 20, 2025, where key decisions were made regarding the company’s governance and operational structure. During the meeting, stockholders elected nine directors to serve until the 2026 Annual Meeting, ratified the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025, and approved the reincorporation of the company from Delaware to Nevada. These decisions reflect strategic moves to potentially enhance the company’s governance and operational flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (TEM) stock is a Buy with a $46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tempus AI, Inc. Class A stock, see the TEM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 12, 2025