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Tempus AI, Inc. Class A (TEM)
NASDAQ:TEM
US Market

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A (TEM) AI Stock Analysis

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TEM

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A

(NASDAQ:TEM)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$56.00
▲(4.58% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak profitability, high leverage, and negative operating/free cash flow. Technicals are mixed-to-weak with negative MACD and the stock below key moving averages. These are partly offset by a positive earnings-call outlook highlighting strong operating growth and a milestone of positive adjusted EBITDA with constructive guidance.
Positive Factors
Rapid revenue and scale growth across Diagnostics and Data
Tempus reported an estimated $1.27B in 2025 revenue (~83% YoY) with Diagnostics and Data both accelerating. Durable scale increases clinical data network effects, supports model training and product adoption, and creates operating-leverage potential as fixed costs spread across higher volumes.
Large data licensing bookings and recurring contract value
The $150M in data licensing contract value and 38% Insights growth signal durable, contract-based revenue. Multi-year licensing deals increase revenue visibility, tend to be higher margin, and strengthen Tempus’s data moat by tying customers to its curated clinical datasets and analytics over time.
Milestone of positive adjusted EBITDA and growth guidance
Achieving positive adjusted EBITDA and guiding to sustained double-digit growth reflects emerging operational leverage. This milestone indicates the business model can scale toward profitability as revenue growth continues, improving long-term cash generation prospects if margins keep expanding.
Negative Factors
High leverage on balance sheet
A debt-to-equity ratio of 1.61 denotes substantial leverage that reduces financial flexibility. Elevated debt increases interest obligations and refinancing risk, potentially constraining R&D and commercialization spending and magnifying downside in slower growth scenarios.
Negative operating and free cash flows
Persistent negative operating and free cash flows mean Tempus relies on external financing to fund growth and acquisitions. Continued cash burn weakens the balance sheet over time, limits reinvestment without dilution or debt, and raises execution risk if margins or bookings slip.
Execution risk from sales-force disruption and acquisition drag
Organizational disruption from sales-force changes and near-term cost drag from the Paige acquisition impair consistent go-to-market execution and margin improvement. Such operational issues can delay customer wins and integration synergies, slowing durable cash conversion and profitability progress.

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A (TEM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTempus AI, Inc. operates as a healthcare technology company. It engages in providing next generation sequencing diagnostics, polymerase chain reaction profiling, molecular genotyping, and other anatomic and molecular pathology testing to healthcare providers, pharmaceutical companies, biotechnology companies, researchers, and other third parties. The company offers Insights, a license library of linked clinical, molecular, and imaging de-identified data, as well as a suite of analytical services to analytic and cloud-and-compute tools to pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies; and Trials that provides clinical trial matching services to pharmaceutical companies. In addition, it operates Next; Algos, a suite of algorithmic tests in oncology; Hub, a desktop and mobile platform for ordering, managing, and receiving tests and patient results; and Lens, a platform for researchers and scientists to find, access, and analyze Tempus data. The company has a strategic collaborations agreement with AstraZeneca and Pathos AI, Inc. to develop therapeutic programs in oncology. The company was formerly known as Tempus Labs, Inc. and changed its name to Tempus AI, Inc. in January 2023. Tempus AI, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyTempus AI generates revenue primarily through the sale of its AI-driven software solutions and analytics services. The company's revenue model includes subscription-based pricing for its software platforms, which provides clients with ongoing access to updates and support. Additionally, Tempus AI offers consulting services that help organizations integrate AI technologies into their operations, creating another significant revenue stream. Key partnerships with healthcare providers and financial institutions also contribute to its earnings, as these collaborations often lead to long-term contracts and joint ventures that expand the company's market reach.

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Revenue by Segment
Net Revenue by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in Genomics and significant achievements like positive adjusted EBITDA and successful data licensing deals. However, there were challenges such as the disruption caused by changes in the sales force and costs associated with the Paige acquisition. Overall, the positive achievements and strong growth trajectory indicate a healthy business outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Genomics Volume Growth
Overall growth in Genomics was 33%, with Oncology growing at 27% and Hereditary at 37%. Expectations for Hereditary growth have been revised to low to mid-20s instead of mid- to high teens.
Data Licensing Business Success
The Insights business grew 38% in the quarter, with an additional $150 million in total contract value, marking a strong bookings quarter.
Achievement of Positive Adjusted EBITDA
Tempus generated positive adjusted EBITDA for the first time, even with additional expenses from the Paige acquisition.
Sustained Growth in Oncology
Oncology volumes showed a strong performance, and growth is expected to continue at 25% for the next three years.
Foundation Model Progress
Good progress on the foundation model with AstraZeneca and Pathos, with post-training expected to begin early 2026.
Negative Updates
Sales Force Havoc
Changes to the sales force caused significant disruption, which took several quarters to resolve.
Paige Acquisition Drag
The acquisition of Paige mid-quarter contributed several million dollars worth of additional expense, impacting the financials.
Company Guidance
During the Tempus AI Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, CEO Eric Lefkofsky reported strong performance across several business segments. Genomics volume experienced a 33% growth, with Oncology and Hereditary segments growing by 27% and 37%, respectively. The company expects Hereditary growth to moderate to the low-to-mid 20s. The data licensing business saw a 38% increase, securing $150 million in total contract value. Tempus achieved positive adjusted EBITDA for the first time, despite additional expenses from the acquisition of Paige, which contributed several million dollars in costs. The company's guidance indicates a slightly positive adjusted EBITDA for the year, even with Paige's financial drag. Tempus plans to maintain a 25% growth rate over the next three years, driven by ongoing advancements and strategic investments, including MRD reimbursement and the regulatory filing of their liquid biopsy xF.

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue growth is solid (16.1% TTM) and gross margin improved (64.05% TTM), but profitability remains weak with negative net profit/EBIT/EBITDA margins. Balance sheet risk is elevated due to high leverage (debt-to-equity 1.61) and negative ROE, and cash flows are pressured by negative operating and free cash flow and declining FCF trend.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Tempus AI, Inc. shows a strong revenue growth rate of 16.1% TTM, indicating positive momentum. However, the company struggles with profitability, evidenced by negative net profit, EBIT, and EBITDA margins. The gross profit margin has improved to 64.05% TTM, but overall profitability remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reflects high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.61 TTM, although improved from previous years. The negative return on equity and low equity ratio highlight financial instability and potential risks associated with high debt levels.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with negative operating and free cash flows. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating some efficiency in cash usage relative to net losses. However, the negative growth in free cash flow TTM suggests ongoing cash management issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.11B693.40M531.82M320.67M257.85M188.00M
Gross Profit678.21M381.11M286.18M130.19M83.64M28.71M
EBITDA-89.71M-610.42M-133.33M-236.85M-219.52M-169.37M
Net Income-203.88M-705.81M-214.12M-289.81M-259.19M-209.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.28B926.12M564.05M631.36M531.35M751.92M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments759.64M448.26M197.57M302.94M277.69M513.44M
Total Debt1.34B468.09M488.14M433.03M238.95M251.45M
Total Liabilities1.77B869.78M1.95B1.76B1.34B1.26B
Stockholders Equity507.82M56.34M-1.38B-1.13B-807.49M-512.98M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-248.10M-211.17M-248.95M-186.58M-223.75M-219.98M
Operating Cash Flow-220.55M-189.04M-214.34M-168.20M-211.98M-206.56M
Investing Cash Flow-395.60M-130.39M-40.31M-57.94M-21.72M-13.42M
Financing Cash Flow887.55M494.33M117.55M251.39M-2.04M506.11M

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price53.55
Price Trends
50DMA
67.91
Negative
100DMA
75.93
Negative
200DMA
69.93
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.86
Positive
RSI
29.71
Positive
STOCH
12.09
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TEM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 53.55 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 65.28, below the 50-day MA of 67.91, and below the 200-day MA of 69.93, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.86 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.71 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.09 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TEM.

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Risk Analysis

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A disclosed 101 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tempus AI, Inc. Class A reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$6.64B28.1224.61%20.21%44.14%
71
Outperform
$2.10B109.501.62%10.67%
58
Neutral
$13.73B-33.0430.38%24.17%
58
Neutral
$750.15M25.734.90%1.30%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$9.53B-45.24-72.61%72.58%76.81%
47
Neutral
$871.39M-3.84-15.42%-2.37%77.85%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TEM
Tempus AI, Inc. Class A
53.55
-11.44
-17.60%
OMCL
Omnicell
46.69
7.26
18.41%
TDOC
Teladoc
4.91
-7.06
-58.98%
GH
Guardant Health
106.15
60.06
130.31%
GDRX
GoodRx Holdings
2.21
-2.61
-54.15%
DOCS
Doximity
35.25
-23.01
-39.50%

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Tempus AI Reports Strong Preliminary 2025 Revenue Growth
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

On January 11, 2026, Tempus AI announced select preliminary, unaudited financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025, highlighting a sharp acceleration in both its Diagnostics and Data and Applications businesses. For full year 2025, the company reported estimated revenue of about $1.27 billion, up roughly 83% year over year, including about 30% organic growth excluding its Ambry acquisition; Diagnostics revenue was approximately $955 million, up around 111% year over year on oncology testing volume growth of about 26% and hereditary testing growth of about 29%, while Data and Applications revenue reached roughly $316 million, an increase of about 31% driven by around 38% growth in data licensing. In the fourth quarter of 2025, Tempus generated an estimated $367 million in revenue, also up about 83% year over year, with Diagnostics revenue of roughly $266 million growing about 121% and Data and Applications revenue of approximately $100 million rising around 25% year over year, including an estimated 68% jump in Insights (data licensing) when adjusted for a prior-year AstraZeneca warrant impact. Management characterized 2025 as an exceptional year and said both core product lines are entering 2026 with accelerating growth and improving financial leverage, underscoring Tempus’s strengthening position in AI-driven precision medicine; the company noted these figures are preliminary and unaudited and may change when it reports full fourth-quarter and 2025 results in February 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (TEM) stock is a Hold with a $80.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tempus AI, Inc. Class A stock, see the TEM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 12, 2026