tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Tempus AI, Inc. Class A (TEM)
NASDAQ:TEM
US Market

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A (TEM) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
5,165 Followers

Top Page

TEM

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A

(NASDAQ:TEM)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$69.00
▲(0.12% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak profitability, high leverage, and negative operating/free cash flow. Technicals are mixed-to-weak with negative MACD and the stock below key moving averages. These are partly offset by a positive earnings-call outlook highlighting strong operating growth and a milestone of positive adjusted EBITDA with constructive guidance.
Positive Factors
Accelerating Revenue Growth
Sustained, large revenue acceleration across Diagnostics and Data lines demonstrates durable market demand and scale economics. Higher revenue run-rate improves operating leverage potential, supporting investment in product development and long-term commercial expansion.
Large Contract Backlog / Data Licensing Traction
A >$1.1B TCV and 70+ customer data agreements indicate sticky, multi-year revenue streams from data licensing. This backlog provides durable revenue visibility, strengthens pricing leverage, and increases switching costs for customers building drug discovery workflows around Tempus data.
Foundation Model & Pharma Partnerships
Progress on a foundation model with major pharma partners signals structural differentiation: exclusive training data and collaborative R&D can create defensible IP, accelerate product commercialization, and deepen enterprise relationships over multiple years.
Negative Factors
High Financial Leverage
Elevated debt-to-equity (~1.61) constrains financial flexibility for strategic investments or acquisitions, raises refinancing risk in stressed markets, and increases interest burden, all of which can pressure margins and slow execution over the coming quarters.
Negative Operating and Free Cash Flow
Persistently negative operating and free cash flow undermines the firm's ability to self-fund growth and requires external financing. Over a multi-quarter horizon this raises dilution/refinancing risk and limits capacity to invest in infrastructure or absorb integration costs.
Execution Drag: Sales Disruption and Acquisition Costs
Sales-force reorganization disruptions and near-term acquisition costs (Paige) reduce go-to-market effectiveness and compress margins. If not fully resolved, these operational frictions can delay contract conversion and impair the sustainability of recent revenue gains.

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A (TEM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTempus AI, Inc. operates as a healthcare technology company. It engages in providing next generation sequencing diagnostics, polymerase chain reaction profiling, molecular genotyping, and other anatomic and molecular pathology testing to healthcare providers, pharmaceutical companies, biotechnology companies, researchers, and other third parties. The company offers Insights, a license library of linked clinical, molecular, and imaging de-identified data, as well as a suite of analytical services to analytic and cloud-and-compute tools to pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies; and Trials that provides clinical trial matching services to pharmaceutical companies. In addition, it operates Next; Algos, a suite of algorithmic tests in oncology; Hub, a desktop and mobile platform for ordering, managing, and receiving tests and patient results; and Lens, a platform for researchers and scientists to find, access, and analyze Tempus data. The company has a strategic collaborations agreement with AstraZeneca and Pathos AI, Inc. to develop therapeutic programs in oncology. The company was formerly known as Tempus Labs, Inc. and changed its name to Tempus AI, Inc. in January 2023. Tempus AI, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyTempus AI generates revenue primarily through the sale of its AI-driven software solutions and analytics services. The company's revenue model includes subscription-based pricing for its software platforms, which provides clients with ongoing access to updates and support. Additionally, Tempus AI offers consulting services that help organizations integrate AI technologies into their operations, creating another significant revenue stream. Key partnerships with healthcare providers and financial institutions also contribute to its earnings, as these collaborations often lead to long-term contracts and joint ventures that expand the company's market reach.

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in Genomics and significant achievements like positive adjusted EBITDA and successful data licensing deals. However, there were challenges such as the disruption caused by changes in the sales force and costs associated with the Paige acquisition. Overall, the positive achievements and strong growth trajectory indicate a healthy business outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Genomics Volume Growth
Overall growth in Genomics was 33%, with Oncology growing at 27% and Hereditary at 37%. Expectations for Hereditary growth have been revised to low to mid-20s instead of mid- to high teens.
Data Licensing Business Success
The Insights business grew 38% in the quarter, with an additional $150 million in total contract value, marking a strong bookings quarter.
Achievement of Positive Adjusted EBITDA
Tempus generated positive adjusted EBITDA for the first time, even with additional expenses from the Paige acquisition.
Sustained Growth in Oncology
Oncology volumes showed a strong performance, and growth is expected to continue at 25% for the next three years.
Foundation Model Progress
Good progress on the foundation model with AstraZeneca and Pathos, with post-training expected to begin early 2026.
Negative Updates
Sales Force Havoc
Changes to the sales force caused significant disruption, which took several quarters to resolve.
Paige Acquisition Drag
The acquisition of Paige mid-quarter contributed several million dollars worth of additional expense, impacting the financials.
Company Guidance
During the Tempus AI Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, CEO Eric Lefkofsky reported strong performance across several business segments. Genomics volume experienced a 33% growth, with Oncology and Hereditary segments growing by 27% and 37%, respectively. The company expects Hereditary growth to moderate to the low-to-mid 20s. The data licensing business saw a 38% increase, securing $150 million in total contract value. Tempus achieved positive adjusted EBITDA for the first time, despite additional expenses from the acquisition of Paige, which contributed several million dollars in costs. The company's guidance indicates a slightly positive adjusted EBITDA for the year, even with Paige's financial drag. Tempus plans to maintain a 25% growth rate over the next three years, driven by ongoing advancements and strategic investments, including MRD reimbursement and the regulatory filing of their liquid biopsy xF.

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tempus AI, Inc. shows strong revenue growth but struggles with profitability and financial stability. High leverage and negative cash flows pose risks, although improvements in gross profit margin and debt management are positive signs.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Tempus AI, Inc. shows a strong revenue growth rate of 16.1% TTM, indicating positive momentum. However, the company struggles with profitability, evidenced by negative net profit, EBIT, and EBITDA margins. The gross profit margin has improved to 64.05% TTM, but overall profitability remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reflects high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.61 TTM, although improved from previous years. The negative return on equity and low equity ratio highlight financial instability and potential risks associated with high debt levels.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with negative operating and free cash flows. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating some efficiency in cash usage relative to net losses. However, the negative growth in free cash flow TTM suggests ongoing cash management issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.11B693.40M531.82M320.67M257.85M188.00M
Gross Profit678.21M381.11M286.18M130.19M83.64M28.71M
EBITDA-89.71M-610.42M-133.33M-236.85M-219.52M-169.37M
Net Income-203.88M-705.81M-214.12M-289.81M-259.19M-209.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.28B926.12M564.05M631.36M531.35M751.92M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments759.64M448.26M197.57M302.94M277.69M513.44M
Total Debt1.34B468.09M488.14M433.03M238.95M251.45M
Total Liabilities1.77B869.78M1.95B1.76B1.34B1.26B
Stockholders Equity507.82M56.34M-1.38B-1.13B-807.49M-512.98M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-248.10M-211.17M-248.95M-186.58M-223.75M-219.98M
Operating Cash Flow-220.55M-189.04M-214.34M-168.20M-211.98M-206.56M
Investing Cash Flow-395.60M-130.39M-40.31M-57.94M-21.72M-13.42M
Financing Cash Flow887.55M494.33M117.55M251.39M-2.04M506.11M

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price68.92
Price Trends
50DMA
69.96
Negative
100DMA
77.82
Negative
200DMA
68.60
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.63
Negative
RSI
51.74
Neutral
STOCH
50.36
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TEM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 68.92 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 65.27, below the 50-day MA of 69.96, and above the 200-day MA of 68.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.63 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TEM.

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Risk Analysis

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A disclosed 101 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tempus AI, Inc. Class A reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$7.58B32.7424.61%20.21%44.14%
71
Outperform
$2.28B119.561.62%10.67%
60
Neutral
$933.44M31.204.90%1.30%
58
Neutral
$14.05B-34.8530.38%24.17%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$12.33B-58.23-72.61%72.58%76.81%
47
Neutral
$1.17B-5.10-15.42%-2.37%77.85%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TEM
Tempus AI, Inc. Class A
68.92
34.17
98.33%
OMCL
Omnicell
50.98
8.84
20.98%
TDOC
Teladoc
6.53
-2.63
-28.71%
GH
Guardant Health
111.98
74.67
200.13%
GDRX
GoodRx Holdings
2.68
-1.74
-39.37%
DOCS
Doximity
41.05
-12.16
-22.85%

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Tempus AI Reports Strong Preliminary 2025 Revenue Growth
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

On January 11, 2026, Tempus AI announced select preliminary, unaudited financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025, highlighting a sharp acceleration in both its Diagnostics and Data and Applications businesses. For full year 2025, the company reported estimated revenue of about $1.27 billion, up roughly 83% year over year, including about 30% organic growth excluding its Ambry acquisition; Diagnostics revenue was approximately $955 million, up around 111% year over year on oncology testing volume growth of about 26% and hereditary testing growth of about 29%, while Data and Applications revenue reached roughly $316 million, an increase of about 31% driven by around 38% growth in data licensing. In the fourth quarter of 2025, Tempus generated an estimated $367 million in revenue, also up about 83% year over year, with Diagnostics revenue of roughly $266 million growing about 121% and Data and Applications revenue of approximately $100 million rising around 25% year over year, including an estimated 68% jump in Insights (data licensing) when adjusted for a prior-year AstraZeneca warrant impact. Management characterized 2025 as an exceptional year and said both core product lines are entering 2026 with accelerating growth and improving financial leverage, underscoring Tempus’s strengthening position in AI-driven precision medicine; the company noted these figures are preliminary and unaudited and may change when it reports full fourth-quarter and 2025 results in February 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (TEM) stock is a Hold with a $80.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tempus AI, Inc. Class A stock, see the TEM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Tempus AI Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Growth
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

Tempus AI, Inc. reported significant financial growth for the third quarter of 2025, with revenue increasing by 84.7% year-over-year to $334.2 million and gross profit improving by 98.4%. The company delivered 217,000 clinical tests, with notable growth in oncology and hereditary testing. Despite a net loss of $80 million, Tempus achieved a positive adjusted EBITDA of $1.5 million, marking an important milestone. The company also expanded its operations by acquiring Paige, an AI company specializing in digital pathology, and received FDA clearance for several AI-powered medical devices. Tempus increased its full-year revenue guidance to $1.265 billion, representing approximately 80% growth year-over-year.

The most recent analyst rating on (TEM) stock is a Buy with a $98.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tempus AI, Inc. Class A stock, see the TEM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 12, 2026