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Tempus AI, Inc. Class A (TEM)
NASDAQ:TEM
US Market
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Tempus AI, Inc. Class A (TEM) AI Stock Analysis

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TEM

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A

(NASDAQ:TEM)

Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$87.00
▲(14.68% Upside)
Tempus AI, Inc. benefits from strong revenue growth and positive technical indicators, but faces challenges in profitability and valuation. The earnings call and corporate events highlight strategic progress and financial improvements, yet ongoing issues with reimbursement and ASP growth remain.
Positive Factors
Business Development
Tempus works with 19 of the top 20 pharma companies, highlighting its strong industry connections.
Revenue Growth
Tempus raised its FY'25 revenue guide by $10M, which looks conservative given the expected lift in data services.
Strategic Partnerships
Large recent $200M deal with AZN underscores the value of its data asset.
Negative Factors
Operational Challenges
The lack of quarterly bookings, reliance upon Pathos (a related party relationship) for growth & flattish Performance Obligations (ex Pathos) are drawbacks.

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A (TEM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTempus AI, Inc. operates as a healthcare technology company. It engages in providing next generation sequencing diagnostics, polymerase chain reaction profiling, molecular genotyping, and other anatomic and molecular pathology testing to healthcare providers, pharmaceutical companies, biotechnology companies, researchers, and other third parties. The company offers Insights, a license library of linked clinical, molecular, and imaging de-identified data, as well as a suite of analytical services to analytic and cloud-and-compute tools to pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies; and Trials that provides clinical trial matching services to pharmaceutical companies. In addition, it operates Next; Algos, a suite of algorithmic tests in oncology; Hub, a desktop and mobile platform for ordering, managing, and receiving tests and patient results; and Lens, a platform for researchers and scientists to find, access, and analyze Tempus data. The company has a strategic collaborations agreement with AstraZeneca and Pathos AI, Inc. to develop therapeutic programs in oncology. The company was formerly known as Tempus Labs, Inc. and changed its name to Tempus AI, Inc. in January 2023. Tempus AI, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyTempus AI generates revenue primarily through its data analytics and software solutions offered to healthcare providers, pharmaceutical companies, and research institutions. The company's revenue model includes subscription fees for its analytics platforms, service fees for consulting and implementation of its technology, and partnerships with pharmaceutical companies for data-driven research and development. Additionally, Tempus collaborates with healthcare systems to provide genomic sequencing and analysis services, which further contributes to its earnings. Strategic partnerships with key players in the healthcare sector help expand its reach and enhance its service offerings, driving additional revenue streams.

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 08, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant revenue growth, improvement in adjusted EBITDA, and strong performance in oncology and hereditary testing. The company also made successful financing and signed a large data and AI deal, positioning them well for the future. However, there are challenges in achieving reimbursement for the MRD portfolio and pressure on ASP growth due to product mix shifts.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Revenue increased 89.6% to $314.6 million, with Genomics revenue up 115% to $241.8 million and Data and Services revenue up 35.7% to approximately $73 million.
Improvement in Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA improved from a negative $16 million last quarter to a negative $5.6 million this quarter, showing progress towards breakeven.
Strong Performance in Oncology and Hereditary Testing
Oncology volume increased from 20% to 26%, and hereditary testing was at 32% for the quarter.
Successful Financing Activity
Issued $750 million of 0.75% convertible notes, improving the balance sheet and reducing interest expenses.
Large Data and AI Deal
Signed a significant deal with AstraZeneca for a foundation model, boosting the data business.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Achieving Reimbursement
MRD portfolio is growing but volume is being gated until reimbursement is achieved, which is anticipated by the end of 2025.
Pressure on ASP (Average Selling Price)
Mix shift to lower reimbursement assays like xM and xG is impacting ASP growth, though incremental gains are expected.
Company Guidance
During the Tempus AI Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, several key metrics and guidance were discussed. Revenue for the quarter increased by 89.6% to $314.6 million, with Genomics revenue surging by 115% to $241.8 million, driven by oncology volume growth from 20% to 26%. Hereditary testing grew to 32%, while Data and Services revenue rose by 35.7% to approximately $73 million, led by Insights with nearly 41% growth. The quarterly gross profit expanded by roughly 160% to $195 million. Tempus reported a sequential improvement in adjusted EBITDA, reducing it from negative $16 million in the previous quarter to negative $5.6 million. The company also raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $1.26 billion and maintained its adjusted EBITDA forecast of approximately $5 million, reflecting a $110 million improvement over the previous year. Additionally, Tempus strengthened its balance sheet by issuing $750 million of 0.75% convertible notes, resulting in significant cash savings and ending the quarter with $290 million in cash and marketable securities.

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tempus AI, Inc. is experiencing strong revenue growth, but profitability remains a significant challenge. Improvements in the debt-to-equity ratio suggest better financial management, yet the company struggles with negative returns on equity and cash flow inefficiencies. Continued focus on cost management and cash flow optimization is crucial for future stability and growth.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Tempus AI, Inc. shows a strong revenue growth rate of 18.51% in the TTM, indicating a positive trajectory in sales. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin has improved over time, but the persistent negative net profit margin highlights ongoing challenges in managing costs and achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has significantly improved to 0.18 in the TTM, reflecting better financial stability compared to previous years. However, the return on equity remains negative, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio is relatively stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure, but the negative ROE is a concern.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow metrics indicate challenges, with negative operating and free cash flows. The free cash flow growth rate is negative in the TTM, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, highlighting inefficiencies in cash generation. Despite these issues, the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to cover net losses with free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue951.98M693.40M531.82M320.67M257.85M188.00M
Gross Profit594.92M381.11M286.18M121.68M77.39M22.83M
EBITDA-174.20M-610.42M-133.33M-236.85M-219.52M-169.37M
Net Income-199.73M-705.81M-214.12M-289.81M-259.19M-209.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.63B926.12M564.05M631.36M531.35M751.92M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments291.31M448.26M197.57M302.94M277.69M513.44M
Total Debt853.25M468.09M488.14M433.03M238.95M251.45M
Total Liabilities1.32B869.78M1.95B1.76B1.34B1.26B
Stockholders Equity309.56M56.34M-1.38B-1.13B-807.49M-512.98M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-69.64M-211.17M-248.95M-186.58M-223.75M-219.98M
Operating Cash Flow-52.05M-189.04M-214.34M-168.20M-211.98M-206.56M
Investing Cash Flow-524.70M-130.39M-40.31M-57.94M-21.72M-13.42M
Financing Cash Flow-8.30M494.33M117.55M251.39M-2.04M506.11M

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price75.86
Price Trends
50DMA
64.47
Positive
100DMA
60.84
Positive
200DMA
56.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.87
Negative
RSI
60.21
Neutral
STOCH
39.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TEM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 75.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 69.48, above the 50-day MA of 64.47, and above the 200-day MA of 56.44, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.87 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TEM.

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Risk Analysis

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A disclosed 101 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tempus AI, Inc. Class A reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$10.07B27.2210.81%2.70%5.15%412.41%
70
Neutral
$23.09B-24.32%44.38%22.87%
65
Neutral
$15.36B12.6668.11%-3.32%
65
Neutral
$13.18B-97.95%59.84%76.46%
57
Neutral
$8.41B-4584.47%28.74%18.25%
55
Neutral
$6.43B-2.52-4.30%5.96%15.30%11.62%
48
Neutral
$8.98B-35.51%12.56%-464.28%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TEM
Tempus AI, Inc. Class A
75.86
23.77
45.63%
EXAS
Exact Sciences
47.42
-12.59
-20.98%
ILMN
Illumina
99.96
-30.30
-23.26%
QGEN
Qiagen
46.50
2.46
5.59%
NTRA
Natera
168.25
54.27
47.61%
GH
Guardant Health
67.42
42.85
174.40%

Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Tempus AI Files Prospectus for Stock Resale
Neutral
Aug 27, 2025

On August 8, 2025, Tempus AI, Inc. filed an automatic shelf registration statement with the SEC, followed by a prospectus supplement on August 27, 2025, for the resale of up to 1,268,033 shares of its Class A common stock. The company also provided a legal opinion from its counsel regarding the legality of these shares, potentially impacting its market operations and stakeholder interests.

Private Placements and FinancingFinancial Disclosures
Tempus AI Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Growth
Positive
Aug 8, 2025

On August 8, 2025, Tempus AI, Inc. reported significant financial growth for the second quarter of 2025, with a revenue increase of 89.6% year-over-year, reaching $314.6 million. The company saw substantial growth in genomics and data services, contributing to a gross profit increase of 158.3%. Tempus also issued $750 million in convertible senior notes to enhance financial flexibility. The company is expanding its AI-powered clinical tools and has reached a milestone of over 40 million clinical patient records, reflecting its leadership in AI and oncology as it approaches its 10th anniversary.

Private Placements and Financing
Tempus AI Announces $400 Million Convertible Notes Offering
Neutral
Jul 3, 2025

On June 30, 2025, Tempus AI, Inc. announced a proposed offering of $400 million in Convertible Senior Notes due in 2030, with an option for an additional $60 million. The proceeds are intended to repay outstanding term loans, reduce interest expenses, and support general corporate purposes, including strategic investments. The offering aims to optimize Tempus’s capital structure and enhance financial flexibility, potentially impacting the market price of its Class A common stock and the conversion price of the Notes.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 23, 2025