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Guardant Health (GH)
NASDAQ:GH
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Guardant Health (GH) AI Stock Analysis

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GH

Guardant Health

(NASDAQ:GH)

Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$46.00
▼(-23.79% Downside)
Guardant Health's strong earnings call performance and revenue growth are overshadowed by significant financial risks and challenging valuation metrics. The technical analysis suggests neutral momentum, but the company's financial instability remains a major concern.
Positive Factors
Product Launch and Portfolio Expansion
GH is benefiting from the launch of multiple products including its Shield CRC screening blood-based assay, Reveal MRD and G360 Tissue—driving 31% growth in the quarter.
Regulatory and Market Recognition
Shield MCED received a Breakthrough Device designation from the FDA, highlighting its potential impact in the diagnostics market.
Negative Factors
Competitive Pressure
Upcoming blood-based colorectal cancer screening data from a competitor may cause a near-term overhang for Guardant Health shares.
Investor Concerns and Delays
The perceived delay and no formal timeline for V2 data unveiling is likely to impact investor positioning, especially in the near term.

Guardant Health (GH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Guardant Health Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGuardant Health, Inc., a precision oncology company, provides blood tests, data sets, and analytics in the United States and internationally. The company offers Guardant360, Guardant360 LDT, Guardant360 CDx, and GuardantOMNI liquid biopsy-based tests for advanced stage cancer; and GuardantINFORM, an in-silico research platform that comprise a clinical-genomic liquid biopsy dataset of advanced cancer patients. It is also developing LUNAR-2 test for the early detection of colorectal cancer in asymptomatic individuals eligible; and GuardantConnect, an integrated software-based solution for clinical and biopharmaceutical customers seeking to connect patients tested with the Guardant360 assay with actionable alterations with potentially relevant clinical trials. In addition, the company offers Guardant Reveal Test for neoadjuvant and adjuvant treatment selection in early-stage cancer patients; Guardant360 tissue genotyping product; and Guardant-19 for use in the detection of the novel coronavirus. Further, it offers development services, including companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval, clinical study setup, monitoring and maintenance, testing development and support, and kits fulfillment related services to biopharmaceutical companies and medical institutions. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Redwood City, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyGuardant Health generates revenue primarily through the sale of its genomic testing services, which are offered to oncologists and healthcare institutions. The company charges for each test performed, with pricing models that may vary based on the specific test and the complexity of the analysis. Additionally, Guardant Health has established partnerships with various pharmaceutical companies for clinical trials, which can provide additional revenue streams through collaborations and service agreements. The growth of precision medicine and the increasing demand for non-invasive cancer testing further bolster the company’s earnings potential, as more healthcare providers adopt these advanced diagnostics in their treatment protocols.

Guardant Health Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes income from different business units or product lines, highlighting which areas drive growth and profitability, and where strategic focus might be needed.
Chart InsightsGuardant Health's Precision Oncology Testing segment has shown consistent growth, with recent quarters reflecting a strong upward trajectory. This aligns with the earnings call, where a 22% revenue increase was noted, driven by a 30% rise in test volumes, particularly from the Guardant360 Liquid test. Despite the Development Services segment's fluctuations, the company's overall revenue growth and increased guidance underscore a robust strategic focus on expanding oncology and screening capabilities, although potential ASP adjustments and regulatory uncertainties could pose challenges.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Guardant Health Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 33.57%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance across all major business segments, with significant revenue growth and improved gross margins. While there are minor concerns about ASP adjustments and regulatory uncertainties, the overall outlook remains positive due to strong execution and increased guidance.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Q2 revenue grew 31% year-over-year to $232 million, driven by strong performance across oncology, biopharma, and screening segments.
Oncology Segment Performance
Oncology revenue increased 22% to $159 million with a 30% year-over-year increase in test volumes. Guardant360 Liquid saw over 20% growth, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of acceleration.
Biopharma Segment Achievements
Biopharma and data business achieved record revenue of $56 million, a 28% increase year-over-year, with new companion diagnostic deals signed.
Shield Screening Success
Shield testing generated $15 million in Q2, with approximately 16,000 tests conducted and a high adherence rate of over 90%.
Gross Margin Improvement
Non-GAAP gross margin improved to 66%, with Shield's non-GAAP gross margin increasing to 48% from 18% in Q1 2025.
Guidance Increase
Full-year 2025 revenue guidance increased to $915-$925 million, reflecting expected growth in oncology and Shield revenues.
Negative Updates
ASP Challenges
Shield ASP is expected to decrease slightly in the second half of 2025 due to potential changes in the mix of Medicare and commercial pay tests.
Regulatory and Reimbursement Uncertainties
Future inclusion of Shield in American Cancer Society and USPSTF guidelines remains uncertain, which could affect commercial coverage and patient access.
Shield V2 Delays
Launch of Shield V2 may be delayed beyond the previously expected year-end timeline, impacting the rollout of the upgraded test.
Company Guidance
During the Guardant Health Q2 2025 earnings call, the company reported significant growth across its business lines, with Q2 revenue increasing 31% year-over-year to $232 million. The oncology segment saw a 22% increase in revenue to $159 million, driven by a 30% rise in oncology test volumes, largely due to the Guardant360 Liquid test. The biopharma and data business achieved a record 28% increase in revenue, reaching $56 million. Additionally, the screening segment, which includes the Shield test, contributed $15 million in revenue with 16,000 tests performed, reflecting strong market traction and high adherence rates. The company also adjusted its full-year 2025 guidance, raising expected revenue to $915-$925 million and projecting further growth in its oncology and Shield businesses. Non-GAAP gross margin improved to 66%, and the company plans to reinvest incremental gross profits into sales and marketing to support ongoing growth.

Guardant Health Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Guardant Health shows strong revenue growth but faces significant financial risks due to persistent operational losses and negative equity. The company needs to improve profitability and stabilize its financial structure.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Guardant Health shows consistent revenue growth, with a significant 48.4% increase in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue compared to the previous year. However, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by negative net and EBIT margins over the years. The TTM gross profit margin is strong at 62.8%, but the net profit margin is -49.9%, indicating high operational costs and ongoing losses.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet shows a concerning negative stockholders' equity of -$305 million, indicating that liabilities exceed assets significantly. The debt-to-equity ratio cannot be calculated due to negative equity, signaling high financial risk. The equity ratio is also negative, reinforcing the financial instability despite a decrease in total debt.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Operating cash flow remains negative, showing inefficiencies in generating cash from operations. The free cash flow has improved slightly but remains negative. The free cash flow to net income ratio is close to 1, suggesting that cash losses are translating directly to net losses. The company needs to enhance its cash generation capabilities to improve financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue828.85M739.02M563.95M449.54M373.65M286.73M
Gross Profit520.84M449.22M336.90M293.21M250.74M194.19M
EBITDA-368.35M-390.12M-433.31M-614.91M-359.62M-225.07M
Net Income-413.82M-436.37M-479.45M-654.59M-405.67M-253.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.33B1.49B1.79B1.61B2.20B2.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments629.14M839.98M1.17B1.01B932.75M1.79B
Total Debt1.33B1.34B1.35B1.37B1.37B854.49M
Total Liabilities1.64B1.63B1.63B1.55B1.56B916.19M
Stockholders Equity-305.48M-139.65M158.68M60.18M645.00M1.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-271.73M-274.94M-345.46M-386.92M-284.05M-157.99M
Operating Cash Flow-238.55M-239.86M-324.98M-309.46M-209.02M-103.93M
Investing Cash Flow7.92M-261.31M840.25M149.82M-63.16M-617.09M
Financing Cash Flow-71.05M-996.00K477.38M-189.09M-66.82M1.41B

Guardant Health Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price60.36
Price Trends
50DMA
49.14
Positive
100DMA
46.06
Positive
200DMA
41.84
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.88
Negative
RSI
70.04
Negative
STOCH
95.85
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 60.36 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 48.49, above the 50-day MA of 49.14, and above the 200-day MA of 41.84, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.88 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.04 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.85 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GH.

Guardant Health Risk Analysis

Guardant Health disclosed 68 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Guardant Health reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Guardant Health Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$12.89B34.1189.38%9.94%25.30%
67
Neutral
$21.93B-24.32%44.38%22.87%
65
Neutral
¥341.81B11.08-0.17%2.40%9.51%-9.51%
65
Neutral
$4.48B188.295.14%2.40%-40.03%
58
Neutral
$12.44B-97.95%59.84%76.46%
49
Neutral
$7.53B-4584.47%28.74%18.25%
48
Neutral
$8.52B-35.51%12.56%-464.28%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GH
Guardant Health
60.36
32.41
115.96%
EXAS
Exact Sciences
45.60
-13.15
-22.38%
NTRA
Natera
158.44
34.46
27.79%
MEDP
Medpace Holdings
457.85
70.73
18.27%
SHC
Sotera Health
15.76
0.79
5.28%
TEM
Tempus AI, Inc. Class A
73.78
22.90
45.01%

Guardant Health Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Guardant Health Elects Board and Approves Auditor
Neutral
Jun 20, 2025

At the annual meeting of stockholders held on June 18, 2025, Guardant Health, Inc. elected all nominees for its board of directors, including Vijaya Gadde, Roberto Mignone, Myrtle Potter, and Musa Tariq. Additionally, the stockholders approved the selection of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025 and endorsed the compensation of the company’s named executive officers.

The most recent analyst rating on (GH) stock is a Buy with a $37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guardant Health stock, see the GH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2025