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Guardant Health (GH)
NASDAQ:GH

Guardant Health (GH) AI Stock Analysis

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GH

Guardant Health

(NASDAQ:GH)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$113.00
▲(2.98% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial stability (negative equity, heavy losses, and ongoing cash burn). Offsetting this, price action and momentum are strong, and the latest earnings call/guidance pointed to accelerating revenue growth and improving gross margins. Valuation remains difficult to support due to negative earnings and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Accelerating revenue and test volumes
Sustained high revenue growth and volume acceleration (oncology volumes +40% to ~74k tests) indicate durable market adoption of Guardant’s liquid biopsy offerings. That expanding test base supports recurring commercial revenue and enhances bargaining power with payers and biopharma partners.
Improving gross margins
A rising non‑GAAP gross margin driven by lower Reveal COGS and stronger Shield margins suggests operational leverage in core testing. Higher gross margins provide a durable buffer to absorb SG&A and R&D investments while improving the pathway to sustained profitability as volumes scale.
Shield screening ramp and product expansion
Rapid Shield uptake and expansion into multi-cancer findings diversify revenue beyond oncology diagnostics. Combined with partnerships to broaden access, the screening franchise can create a long-term, high-volume preventive market that complements Guardant360, enhancing revenue stability and commercial scale.
Negative Factors
Weak balance sheet and high leverage
Negative equity and extreme leverage signal structural financial fragility, limiting flexibility to fund operations or strategic investments without dilution or expensive debt. This weak capital structure raises solvency risks and constrains long-term strategic optionality if growth slows.
Ongoing negative free cash flow
Persistent negative FCF, despite revenue gains, indicates core operations have not yet converted growth into self-sustaining cash generation. Continued cash burn necessitates external financing or slows reinvestment, creating execution risk and potential dilution if sustained over multiple years.
Reimbursement and guideline uncertainty
Shield’s commercial economics hinge on payer coverage and guideline adoption. Uncertain reimbursement and possible ASP declines threaten long-term revenue per test and adoption rates. Delays in guideline inclusion could materially slow patient access and the screening franchise’s structural revenue runway.

Guardant Health (GH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Guardant Health Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGuardant Health, Inc., a precision oncology company, provides blood tests, data sets, and analytics in the United States and internationally. The company offers Guardant360, Guardant360 LDT, Guardant360 CDx, and GuardantOMNI liquid biopsy-based tests for advanced stage cancer; and GuardantINFORM, an in-silico research platform that comprise a clinical-genomic liquid biopsy dataset of advanced cancer patients. It is also developing LUNAR-2 test for the early detection of colorectal cancer in asymptomatic individuals eligible; and GuardantConnect, an integrated software-based solution for clinical and biopharmaceutical customers seeking to connect patients tested with the Guardant360 assay with actionable alterations with potentially relevant clinical trials. In addition, the company offers Guardant Reveal Test for neoadjuvant and adjuvant treatment selection in early-stage cancer patients; Guardant360 tissue genotyping product; and Guardant-19 for use in the detection of the novel coronavirus. Further, it offers development services, including companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval, clinical study setup, monitoring and maintenance, testing development and support, and kits fulfillment related services to biopharmaceutical companies and medical institutions. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Redwood City, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyGuardant Health generates revenue primarily through the sale of its genomic testing services. The main revenue stream comes from fees charged for the Guardant360 and GuardantOMNI tests, which are utilized by healthcare providers to guide treatment for cancer patients. Additionally, the company collaborates with pharmaceutical companies in clinical trials to provide genomic insights, which can lead to further revenue through partnerships and agreements. Guardant Health also engages in research and development activities, which may lead to new product offerings and additional revenue opportunities. The company's reimbursement framework, where tests are covered by insurance providers, further supports its financial model by ensuring a broader market access for its services.

Guardant Health Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsGuardant Health's revenue growth in the United States has been robust, with a consistent upward trajectory, reflecting strong demand for their oncology and Shield tests. The recent earnings call highlights a 31% year-over-year revenue increase, driven by a 30% rise in oncology test volumes. International revenue, while more volatile, shows a significant uptick in the latest quarter, suggesting expanding global reach. The company’s increased revenue guidance and improved gross margins underscore a positive outlook, though potential ASP adjustments and regulatory uncertainties could pose challenges.
Data provided by:The Fly

Guardant Health Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Guardant Health demonstrated strong revenue growth and operational achievements in its oncology and Shield testing businesses. Strategic partnerships and improved gross margins further strengthen the company's position. However, increased operating expenses and uncertainties in future reimbursement and guideline inclusion present challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Guardant Health reported a 39% year-over-year revenue growth, reaching $265 million in Q3 2025 and crossing over $1 billion in annualized revenue for the first time.
Oncology Volume Acceleration
Oncology volumes increased 40% year over year to approximately 74,000 tests, with Guardant360 Liquid delivering its fifth consecutive quarter of accelerating growth.
Biopharma and Data Business Growth
Biopharma and data business revenue increased 18% year over year, with two additional companion diagnostic approvals achieved during the quarter.
Shield Testing Revenue Surge
Shield testing revenue reached $24 million in Q3, driven by 24,000 tests and ASPs close to $900, with strong adherence rates.
Gross Margin Improvement
Non-GAAP gross margin increased to 66% in Q3 2025 from 63% in the prior year period, driven by reductions in Reveal COGS and Shield gross margin improvements.
Positive Free Cash Flow
Excluding the screening business, Guardant Health became cash flow positive one quarter ahead of expectations.
Strategic Partnerships
Announced collaborations with Quest Diagnostics and PathGroup to expand Shield access and accelerate commercial infrastructure build-out.
Negative Updates
Non-GAAP Operating Expenses Increase
Non-GAAP operating expenses increased by 22% year over year to $228.8 million, driven by investments to expand screening commercial infrastructure and sales/marketing for Shield.
Uncertainty in Commercial Reimbursement
There is uncertainty in commercial reimbursement for Shield, particularly with the potential walk-down of ASPs from $900 to $700 by 2028.
Potential Delays in Guideline Inclusion
The inclusion of Shield in the American Cancer Society guidelines is not guaranteed this year, which could delay broader patient access and commercial reimbursement.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call for Guardant Health's Q3 2025, the company reported robust performance, with total revenue growing 39% year-over-year to $265.2 million. This growth was driven by a 40% increase in oncology volumes, reaching approximately 74,000 tests, and a 31% rise in oncology revenue to $184.4 million. The biopharma and data segment also performed well, increasing revenue by 18% to $54.7 million, bolstered by two companion diagnostic approvals. Shield, Guardant's screening product, generated $24.1 million in revenue from 24,000 tests, with a strong annual run rate of $100 million in its first year post-FDA approval. The company's non-GAAP gross margin improved to 66%, reflecting cost reductions and enhanced operational efficiencies. Guardant Health also raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $965 million to $970 million, citing strong ongoing demand and strategic initiatives, including new partnerships.

Guardant Health Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue is growing, but financial health is weak: large ongoing losses (negative net and EBIT margins), negative operating cash flow with continued cash burn, and a balance sheet flagged by negative equity and high leverage.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Guardant Health's income statement reveals a mixed performance. The company has shown revenue growth, with a TTM increase of 8.89%. However, profitability remains a significant concern, as evidenced by negative net profit margins (-49.93%) and EBIT margins (-49.43%). The gross profit margin is relatively strong at 62.84%, indicating efficient cost management at the gross level, but the high operating losses suggest challenges in scaling operations profitably.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet highlights financial instability, with a negative stockholders' equity and a high debt-to-equity ratio of -4.37 in the TTM period, indicating high leverage and potential solvency issues. The return on equity is positive at 2.19%, but this is due to negative equity, which is not a sustainable position. The equity ratio is negative, further underscoring the financial risk.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows some resilience, with a free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.14, indicating that the company is generating cash relative to its net losses. However, the operating cash flow is negative, and free cash flow growth is slightly negative at -3.49%, reflecting ongoing cash burn and the need for improved cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue902.57M739.02M563.95M449.54M373.65M286.73M
Gross Profit575.46M449.22M336.90M293.21M250.74M194.19M
EBITDA-354.11M-390.12M-433.31M-614.91M-359.62M-225.07M
Net Income-398.79M-436.37M-479.45M-654.59M-405.67M-253.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.28B1.49B1.79B1.61B2.20B2.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments580.01M839.98M1.17B1.01B932.75M1.79B
Total Debt1.33B1.34B1.35B1.37B1.37B854.49M
Total Liabilities1.63B1.63B1.63B1.55B1.56B916.19M
Stockholders Equity-354.47M-139.65M158.68M60.18M645.00M1.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-262.23M-274.94M-345.46M-386.92M-284.05M-157.99M
Operating Cash Flow-222.90M-239.86M-324.98M-309.46M-209.02M-103.93M
Investing Cash Flow288.39M-261.31M840.25M149.82M-63.16M-617.09M
Financing Cash Flow-63.83M-996.00K477.38M-189.09M-66.82M1.41B

Guardant Health Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price109.73
Price Trends
50DMA
105.74
Positive
100DMA
88.25
Positive
200DMA
68.51
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.80
Positive
RSI
53.38
Neutral
STOCH
34.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 109.73 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 110.31, above the 50-day MA of 105.74, and above the 200-day MA of 68.51, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.80 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GH.

Guardant Health Risk Analysis

Guardant Health disclosed 68 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Guardant Health reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Guardant Health Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$11.21B27.7911.29%3.31%5.32%336.29%
73
Outperform
$32.63B-101.34-29.02%38.17%-28.77%
70
Outperform
$19.51B-19.24-34.54%14.47%-353.69%
69
Neutral
$12.60B55.573.04%0.29%3.37%-18.80%
62
Neutral
$5.54B-397.69-1.30%11.09%-165.89%
58
Neutral
$14.20B-34.3930.38%24.17%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GH
Guardant Health
110.48
60.54
121.23%
EXAS
Exact Sciences
102.30
46.27
82.58%
RVTY
Revvity
108.49
-17.99
-14.22%
QGEN
Qiagen
53.71
9.36
21.10%
RDNT
Radnet
70.71
2.73
4.02%
NTRA
Natera
231.48
55.21
31.32%

Guardant Health Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Guardant Health Announces Strong 2025 Preliminary Revenue Growth
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

On January 11, 2026, Guardant Health reported preliminary, unaudited results indicating that 2025 was a breakout year, with total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025 rising 33% to approximately $981 million and fourth-quarter revenue up 39% to about $280 million versus 2024, driven by strong growth in both oncology and screening volumes. The company reported around 276,000 oncology tests for 2025, up 34%, and a rapid ramp in its Shield colorectal cancer screening franchise to approximately 87,000 tests for the year—including about 38,000 in the fourth quarter compared with 6,400 a year earlier—while expanding Shield to include multi-cancer detection findings; despite this top-line momentum, Guardant remained cash-flow negative, with preliminary free cash flow of roughly negative $54 million in the fourth quarter and negative $233 million for the full year, though it ended 2025 with approximately $1.3 billion in cash and marketable securities and plans to release audited 2025 results in February 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (GH) stock is a Buy with a $120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guardant Health stock, see the GH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Guardant Health Completes $402.5M Convertible Notes Offering
Positive
Nov 7, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Guardant Health entered into an underwriting agreement for a public offering of 3,833,332 shares of common stock at $90 per share, raising approximately $327.2 million. The proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes, potentially including repurchasing a portion of the company’s convertible senior notes due 2027. Additionally, on November 7, 2025, Guardant Health completed a private offering of $402.5 million in convertible senior notes due 2033, with proceeds also intended for general corporate purposes. These financial moves are expected to strengthen Guardant Health’s operational capabilities and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (GH) stock is a Buy with a $100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guardant Health stock, see the GH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 12, 2026