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Illumina (ILMN)
:ILMN
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Illumina (ILMN) AI Stock Analysis

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ILMN

Illumina

(NASDAQ:ILMN)

Rating:70Neutral
Price Target:
$111.00
▲(10.90% Upside)
Illumina's overall stock score reflects a positive outlook driven by strong earnings call guidance and technical indicators. Financial performance shows recovery, though revenue challenges remain. The valuation suggests potential for growth, making it an attractive investment despite some macroeconomic risks.
Positive Factors
Clinical Adoption
Clinical now accounts for 53% of the total shipped, indicating growing clinical adoption.
Financial Performance
Illumina reported 2Q25 sales at the higher end of guidance and ahead of expectations.
Negative Factors
Competitive Landscape
The slightly slower-than-expected NovaSeq X transition, coupled with an evolving competitive landscape, could be focal points for investors.
Product Transition
The NovaX transition unexpectedly slowed, affecting future targets.

Illumina (ILMN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Illumina Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIllumina, Inc. (ILMN) is a leading developer and manufacturer of life sciences tools and integrated systems for the analysis of genetic variation and function. Founded in 1998 and headquartered in San Diego, California, Illumina specializes in next-generation sequencing (NGS) technology, genotyping, and microarray solutions. Its products are primarily used in genomics research, clinical applications, and agricultural biotechnology, enabling advancements in personalized medicine, diagnostics, and drug discovery.
How the Company Makes MoneyIllumina generates revenue primarily through the sale of its sequencing systems, consumables, and associated software and services. The company's main revenue streams include the sale of instruments, which are often sold at lower margins, and the recurring revenue from consumables, such as reagents and flow cells, which have higher margins. Additionally, Illumina earns revenue from its services, including genomics data analysis and bioinformatics. The company also collaborates with pharmaceutical companies, research institutions, and other organizations, forming partnerships that enhance its technology offerings and expand its market reach. These collaborations often lead to joint research initiatives and further drive demand for Illumina's products. Furthermore, as the healthcare industry increasingly adopts genomics-based solutions, Illumina stands to benefit from the growing market for personalized medicine and genomic testing.

Illumina Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes sales across various business divisions, indicating which areas are performing well and contributing most to overall growth.
Chart InsightsIllumina's Core segment shows resilience despite a slight revenue decline, bolstered by strong execution and strategic focus on high-throughput consumables, particularly among NovaSeq X users. The Grail segment, however, has faced volatility, with recent quarters showing zero or negative contributions. The company's raised guidance for 2025 reflects confidence in overcoming challenges such as NIH funding uncertainty and export restrictions to China. Strategic acquisitions like SomaLogic aim to enhance growth prospects, particularly in clinical markets, which remain a key revenue driver.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Illumina Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.55%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a mix of positive advancements in clinical markets and strategic acquisitions, alongside challenges in revenue decline and regulatory constraints in China. Significant emphasis on new product adoption and raised guidance indicates a positive outlook, despite some ongoing market challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
High-End Revenue Achievement and Profitability
Despite a year-over-year decline, Illumina delivered revenue at the high end of the guidance range at approximately $1.06 billion. Non-GAAP operating margin was 23.8% and a non-GAAP EPS of $1.19, reflecting profitability above expectations.
NovaSeq X Platform Adoption
Ongoing adoption of the NovaSeq X platform with greater than 50 placements and increased high-throughput consumable sales, especially among NovaSeq X users, were highlighted as key achievements.
Strength in Clinical Markets
Clinical markets now account for roughly 60% of total sequencing consumables, showing resilience and in some areas exceeding expectations. This includes growth in oncology, genetic disease testing, and reproductive health.
SomaLogic Acquisition
The announced acquisition of SomaLogic aims to expand Illumina's presence in affinity-based proteomics, delivering deep, actionable insights for drug discovery, diagnostics, and health monitoring.
MiSeq i100 Plus Success
Since its launch, more than 500 MiSeq i100 Plus instruments have been placed with positive customer feedback, highlighting faster turnaround times and ease of use.
Raised Guidance for 2025
Illumina raised its guidance for total company revenue growth as well as total reported revenue, non-GAAP operating margin, and non-GAAP EPS, reflecting strong execution and operating discipline.
Negative Updates
Year-over-Year Revenue Decline
Second quarter revenue of $1.06 billion was down approximately 3% year-over-year on both a constant currency and reported basis, indicating challenges in maintaining growth.
Challenges in Research Environment
The research environment, particularly in the U.S., remains constrained amid ongoing NIH funding uncertainty, with demand from this segment remaining soft in Q2.
Export Restrictions in China
Illumina's ability to export instruments to China is still restricted due to regulatory issues, impacting business in the region.
Sequencing Instruments Revenue Decline
Sequencing instruments revenue of $96 million was down approximately 18% year-over-year in Q2, affected by constrained budgets from high- and mid-throughput research customers.
Company Guidance
During the Illumina Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance updates reflecting strong execution and operating discipline. Illumina reported Q2 revenue at the high end of guidance at approximately $1.06 billion, despite a year-over-year decline. Non-GAAP operating margin was 23.8%, with non-GAAP EPS at $1.19, exceeding expectations. The company raised full-year guidance for total revenue growth, non-GAAP operating margin, and non-GAAP EPS, now expecting revenues between $4.23 billion to $4.31 billion and a non-GAAP EPS range of $4.45 to $4.55. This revision was driven by strength in high-throughput consumables, particularly among NovaSeq X users, and resilience in clinical markets, which accounted for roughly 60% of sequencing consumables. The company also highlighted ongoing macroeconomic challenges, such as NIH funding uncertainty in the U.S. research market and export restrictions to China, while focusing on disciplined execution to achieve long-term financial targets, including expanding non-GAAP operating margins to 26% by 2027.

Illumina Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Illumina's financial performance is strained due to negative profitability and declining revenues. Despite a strong gross profit margin, persistent losses and negative EBIT/EBITDA margins highlight operational inefficiencies. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage, while cash flows demonstrate some resilience with improved operating and free cash flow. Strategic improvements in efficiency and revenue growth are needed.
Income Statement
40
Negative
The income statement reveals significant challenges. Gross profit margin is healthy at approximately 66.3% for TTM, yet the company faces declining revenues and negative profitability. Net income has been negative for the last few periods, with a net loss of $965 million in TTM. Revenue growth is negative, with a notable decline from $4.58 billion in 2022 to $4.34 billion in TTM 2025. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, indicating operational inefficiencies. These factors contribute to a weak financial position in terms of income generation.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderately leveraged position. The debt-to-equity ratio is approximately 1.10 in TTM, indicating some reliance on debt for financing. However, the equity ratio is reasonable at 38.3%. Return on equity is negative due to persistent losses, impacting shareholder value. Despite these issues, the company maintains a stable asset base, which provides some balance sheet strength.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow statement shows some positive trends, with operating cash flow improving to $1 billion in TTM, reflecting better cash generation capabilities. Free cash flow has also increased to $869 million in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating that cash generation is better than reported earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is impacted by negative net income, limiting the overall score.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.28B4.37B4.50B4.58B4.53B3.24B
Gross Profit2.85B2.86B2.74B2.97B3.15B2.20B
EBITDA1.60B-725.00M-608.00M-3.92B747.00M767.00M
Net Income1.26B-1.22B-1.16B-4.40B762.00M656.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.09B6.30B10.11B12.25B15.22B7.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.16B1.22B1.05B2.04B1.34B3.47B
Total Debt2.52B2.62B2.26B3.48B2.47B1.85B
Total Liabilities3.48B3.93B4.37B5.65B4.48B2.89B
Stockholders Equity2.61B2.37B5.75B6.60B10.74B4.69B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.03B709.00M282.00M-74.00M337.00M891.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.15B837.00M478.00M392.00M545.00M1.08B
Investing Cash Flow-201.00M-178.00M-231.00M-591.00M-1.07B-554.00M
Financing Cash Flow-945.00M-570.00M-1.21B1.00B-51.00M-766.00M

Illumina Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price100.09
Price Trends
50DMA
95.96
Positive
100DMA
87.26
Positive
200DMA
106.38
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.25
Positive
RSI
53.04
Neutral
STOCH
72.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ILMN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 100.09 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 100.56, above the 50-day MA of 95.96, and below the 200-day MA of 106.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ILMN.

Illumina Risk Analysis

Illumina disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Illumina reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
Purchases of Equity Securities by the Issuer Q3, 2022
2.
Adverse economic or market conditions may harm our business. Q3, 2022

Illumina Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$33.77B29.3218.88%0.82%0.56%-4.08%
77
Outperform
$52.32B54.4364.87%6.68%18.84%
77
Outperform
$183.16B28.0713.44%0.34%2.05%7.03%
72
Outperform
$32.20B27.4319.80%3.53%-10.72%
70
Neutral
$15.38B12.6868.11%-3.32%
69
Neutral
$147.31B43.696.68%0.56%-3.24%-16.60%
60
Neutral
HK$18.14B5.28-4.00%3.33%10.16%-17.39%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ILMN
Illumina
100.09
-30.22
-23.19%
A
Agilent
118.87
-20.10
-14.46%
DHR
Danaher
210.22
-57.69
-21.53%
IDXX
Idexx Laboratories
653.95
161.69
32.85%
TMO
Thermo Fisher
485.04
-116.97
-19.43%
IQV
IQVIA Holdings
189.40
-50.23
-20.96%

Illumina Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Illumina Acquires SomaLogic to Boost Proteomics
Positive
Jun 23, 2025

On June 22, 2025, Illumina entered into a definitive agreement to acquire SomaLogic and other assets from Standard BioTools for $350 million in cash, with additional performance-based milestones and royalties. This acquisition aims to enhance Illumina’s presence in the expanding proteomics market and advance its multiomics strategy, building on a co-development partnership with SomaLogic since 2021. The transaction is expected to close in the first half of 2026, subject to regulatory approvals and customary conditions, and is anticipated to be profitable by 2027.

The most recent analyst rating on (ILMN) stock is a Buy with a $180.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Illumina stock, see the ILMN Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Illumina Approves Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 23, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Illumina, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders where several key proposals were approved. These included the election of eleven directors to the board, the ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 28, 2025, the approval of executive compensation, and the amendment of the 2015 Stock and Incentive Plan. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing governance and operational strategies, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (ILMN) stock is a Buy with a $160.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Illumina stock, see the ILMN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025