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Illumina (ILMN)
NASDAQ:ILMN
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Illumina (ILMN) AI Stock Analysis

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ILMN

Illumina

(NASDAQ:ILMN)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$211.00
▲(56.88% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/23/26
ILMN scores well primarily due to improving financial performance (strong free cash flow and sharply improved margins) and an upbeat earnings call with raised 2026 guidance and operational momentum in NovaSeq X adoption. Technicals are supportive with price above key moving averages and positive MACD. The main drag is valuation (P/E ~29 with no dividend yield) alongside ongoing top-line softness in research & applied and some near-term margin/supply constraints.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistent, sizable operating and free cash flow provides durable funding for R&D, capital expenditure to scale NovaSeq X, M&A (e.g., SomaLogic) and share buybacks. High FCF conversion supports financial resilience through research funding cycles and discretionary capital allocation.
Negative Factors
Research & applied consumables weakness
Sustained weakness in research-related consumables reflects funding uncertainty and cautious lab spend, creating a durable headwind to top-line growth. Because research demand underpins long-term instrument placements and future clinical conversion, slow R&A demand can constrain expansion.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistent, sizable operating and free cash flow provides durable funding for R&D, capital expenditure to scale NovaSeq X, M&A (e.g., SomaLogic) and share buybacks. High FCF conversion supports financial resilience through research funding cycles and discretionary capital allocation.
Read all positive factors

Illumina Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsIllumina's revenue growth outside China is gaining momentum, with a 2% year-over-year increase driven by strong clinical market performance and the NovaSeq X transition. However, Greater China faces ongoing challenges with export restrictions impacting revenue. Despite this, the company remains optimistic, raising its full-year 2025 outlook and focusing on expanding into multiomics and enhancing services. The resilience in clinical markets and strategic initiatives like the NovaSeq X placements are pivotal for future growth, although research markets face stabilization issues due to funding uncertainties.
Data provided by:The Fly

Illumina (ILMN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Illumina Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Illumina, Inc. specializes in delivering advanced genetic and genomic analysis tools, primarily through sequencing and array technologies. The company's offerings empower clients across various sectors to integrate genomic insights into both resea...
How the Company Makes Money
Illumina primarily makes money by selling (1) consumables used on its sequencing and array platforms, (2) instruments (sequencing systems and array scanners), and (3) software/informatics and services. Consumables are the core recurring revenue dr...

Illumina Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a clear beat in Q1 with multiple key operational and financial positives: revenue and EPS outperformance, strong clinical consumables growth (~20% ex-China), robust NovaSeq X placements (80+ in the quarter), margin expansion, and an upwardly revised full-year guide. Offsetting items include continued weakness in research & applied consumables (down ~12% ex-China), a 20% decline in microarrays RoW organic, supply constraints on NovaSeq X that require scaling investments, and near-term inflationary pressures impacting Q2 margins. Management framed the negatives as transitory or manageable and emphasized product innovation, strong cash flow, and progress toward 2027 targets.
Positive Updates
Top-Line Beat and Raised Full-Year Guidance
Q1 revenue of $1.09 billion, up 4.8% year-over-year (1.2% organic); came in $20 million above the midpoint of guidance. Company raised 2026 revenue guidance by $20 million to $4.52B–$4.62B and nudged EPS and margin guidance higher.
Negative Updates
Research & Applied Consumables Weakness
Sequencing consumables in research and applied declined 12% ex-China in Q1, and company maintains guidance that research & applied will be down mid- to high-single digits for the year due to funding uncertainty and cautious spend patterns.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Top-Line Beat and Raised Full-Year Guidance
Q1 revenue of $1.09 billion, up 4.8% year-over-year (1.2% organic); came in $20 million above the midpoint of guidance. Company raised 2026 revenue guidance by $20 million to $4.52B–$4.62B and nudged EPS and margin guidance higher.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Illumina raised its 2026 outlook, increasing reported revenue to $4.52–$4.62B (up $20M), with acquired revenue expected to add 1.5–2 points and currency ~1%, and guiding Rest‑of‑World organic growth toward the high end of its prior 2–4% range. Management expects RoW organic sequencing consumables to grow low‑ to‑mid single digits (clinical double‑digit to mid‑teens; research & applied down mid‑ to‑high single digits), raised instruments guidance to flat‑to‑low‑single‑digit growth, and provided Q2 guidance of $1.12–$1.14B revenue, RoW organic +4–6%, and non‑GAAP EPS $1.20–$1.25. Profitability was lifted: full‑year non‑GAAP operating margin now 23.4–23.6% (Q2 ~22%), non‑GAAP diluted EPS $5.15–$5.30 (top and bottom raised $0.10; Q1 non‑GAAP EPS was $1.15 on $1.09B revenue), with management expecting ~350 bps margin expansion by end‑2026 excluding acquisitions (on the path to a 500 bps target by 2027). Operationally, Illumina placed >80 NovaSeq X units in Q1 (82% of volumes and 55% of revenue transitioned to X; 90% of research volume on X; 76% of clinical volume on X, targeting 80–85% by year‑end), reported sequencing GB output >30% YoY, Q1 free cash flow $251M, cash ≈$1.16B, gross leverage ≈1.5x, closed SomaLogic for ~$363M, and authorized an additional $1.5B of buybacks.

Illumina Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are improving, led by strong cash generation (TTM operating cash flow ~$1.13B and free cash flow ~$0.99B) and a meaningful rebound in profitability (TTM gross margin ~66%, operating margin ~22%, net margin ~19%). Offsets are flat/low revenue growth over recent years and a mixed balance sheet signal (equity down versus prior years and moderate leverage ~0.8x debt/equity), which keeps confidence in the durability of results somewhat constrained.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
80
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.39B4.34B4.37B4.50B4.58B4.53B
Gross Profit2.97B2.89B2.86B2.74B2.97B3.15B
EBITDA1.41B1.46B-725.00M-608.00M-3.92B1.20B
Net Income853.00M850.00M-1.22B-1.16B-4.40B762.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.56B6.64B6.30B10.11B12.25B15.22B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.16B1.63B1.22B1.05B2.04B1.34B
Total Debt2.54B2.55B2.62B2.26B3.56B2.54B
Total Liabilities3.88B3.92B3.93B4.37B5.65B4.48B
Stockholders Equity2.68B2.72B2.37B5.75B6.60B10.74B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow989.00M931.00M709.00M282.00M106.00M337.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.13B1.08B837.00M478.00M392.00M545.00M
Investing Cash Flow-358.00M-55.00M-178.00M-231.00M-591.00M-1.07B
Financing Cash Flow-800.00M-744.00M-570.00M-1.21B1.00B-51.00M

Illumina Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price134.50
Price Trends
50DMA
152.95
Positive
100DMA
138.58
Positive
200DMA
130.23
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
8.36
Negative
RSI
71.01
Negative
STOCH
88.58
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ILMN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 134.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 168.77, below the 50-day MA of 152.95, and above the 200-day MA of 130.23, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 8.36 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.01 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.58 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ILMN.

Illumina Risk Analysis

Illumina disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Illumina reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Illumina Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$28.55B34.0633.99%1.25%
71
Outperform
$36.91B26.1920.84%0.72%9.11%22.77%
71
Outperform
$8.26B21.2211.28%3.31%4.79%333.61%
69
Neutral
$140.09B38.147.06%0.53%4.02%0.05%
68
Neutral
$34.55B25.4322.46%7.33%9.79%
67
Neutral
$194.52B28.7313.26%0.30%5.36%6.54%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ILMN
Illumina
188.68
91.53
94.22%
A
Agilent
130.69
12.39
10.47%
DHR
Danaher
197.93
-0.24
-0.12%
QGEN
Qiagen
40.10
-7.51
-15.77%
TMO
Thermo Fisher
523.44
106.26
25.47%
IQV
IQVIA Holdings
207.04
44.59
27.45%

Illumina Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Illumina Adds Eli Lilly Executive to Board
Positive
Jun 23, 2026
On June 16, 2026, Illumina expanded its Board of Directors from nine to ten members and appointed Daniel M. Skovronsky, M.D., Ph.D., as an independent director, with the move announced on June 23, 2026. Skovronsky, Eli Lilly’s Chief Scientif...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Illumina Shareholders Back Board, Auditor and Executive Pay
Positive
May 26, 2026
Illumina held its 2026 annual meeting of stockholders on May 21, 2026, where shareholders elected nine nominees, including Chief Executive Jacob Thaysen and several incumbent and independent directors, to serve one-year terms on the board through ...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Illumina lifts 2026 outlook and expands share buybacks
Positive
Apr 30, 2026
In the first quarter of fiscal 2026, reported on April 30, 2026, Illumina posted revenue of $1.09 billion, up 4.8% year over year, with GAAP operating margin rising to 19.2% and GAAP diluted EPS increasing to $0.87. Strong operating cash flow and ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 23, 2026