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Illumina (ILMN)
NASDAQ:ILMN

Illumina (ILMN) AI Stock Analysis

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ILMN

Illumina

(NASDAQ:ILMN)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$141.00
▲(4.61% Upside)
Illumina's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings performance and positive technical indicators. The strategic financial move with the notes issuance supports future growth. However, valuation concerns and cash flow challenges slightly temper the score.
Positive Factors
Strong Clinical Market Performance
Illumina's robust growth in clinical markets demonstrates its strong position and demand for its products, supporting long-term revenue stability.
Successful NovaSeq X Transition
The successful transition to NovaSeq X indicates strong product adoption, enhancing Illumina's competitive edge in high-throughput sequencing.
Expansion in Multiomics
Expanding into multiomics with new products positions Illumina for growth in emerging genomic applications, broadening its market reach.
Negative Factors
Increased Leverage
Increased leverage could pose financial risks if not managed carefully, potentially impacting Illumina's financial flexibility and stability.
Cash Flow Challenges
Challenges in cash generation could limit Illumina's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage operational expenses effectively.
Ongoing Challenges in China
Continued challenges in China, despite lifting of export ban, may hinder Illumina's growth in a key market, affecting long-term revenue potential.

Illumina (ILMN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Illumina Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIllumina, Inc. is a global leader in genomics, providing innovative sequencing and array-based solutions for genetic analysis. Founded in 1998 and headquartered in San Diego, California, the company operates primarily in the life sciences sector, focusing on advancing genomics through its cutting-edge technologies. Illumina's core products include next-generation sequencing (NGS) systems, consumables, and bioinformatics software, enabling researchers and healthcare providers to analyze genetic variations and improve disease prevention, diagnosis, and treatment.
How the Company Makes MoneyIllumina generates revenue primarily through the sale of its sequencing systems, reagents, and consumables, which are essential for genetic analysis. The company offers a range of NGS platforms, each catering to different market needs, from large-scale genomic research to targeted applications in clinical settings. Key revenue streams include the sale of instruments, consumables (such as reagents and flow cells), and services related to genomic data analysis. Additionally, Illumina benefits from ongoing partnerships with academic institutions, research organizations, and pharmaceutical companies, which often involve collaborative projects and joint ventures that can lead to increased sales of their products. Furthermore, the company has expanded its revenue potential by entering the clinical diagnostics market, providing tools for personalized medicine and expanding its customer base beyond research to include healthcare providers.

Illumina Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsIllumina's revenue from the Americas shows a declining trend in 2025, reflecting macroeconomic challenges and NIH funding uncertainty. Despite this, Europe and APAC, Middle East and Africa regions exhibit resilience with steady growth. The earnings call highlights strong execution, with raised guidance driven by NovaSeq X platform adoption and robust clinical market performance. However, export restrictions to China and a decline in sequencing instruments revenue pose risks. Strategic acquisitions like SomaLogic aim to bolster future growth, indicating a positive long-term outlook despite current challenges.
Data provided by:The Fly

Illumina Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant progress in clinical markets and the NovaSeq X transition, with revenue and earnings exceeding expectations. However, challenges in research markets and ongoing issues in China present hurdles. Despite these challenges, the company remains optimistic about its strategic initiatives and future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Exceeds Guidance
Total revenue of $1.08 billion, above guidance range. Non-GAAP operating margin was 24.5% and non-GAAP diluted EPS was $1.34, both above guidance.
Strong Performance in Clinical Markets
Sequencing consumables revenue grew at a high single-digit rate year-over-year. Clinical remains a primary driver, supported by new assay approvals and increased demand for sequencing-intensive tests.
Successful NovaSeq X Transition
More than 55 instruments placed in Q3, exceeding the goal of 50-60 placements per quarter. 78% of volumes and 51% of revenue in Q3 were sequenced on the NovaSeq X.
Expansion in Multiomics
Launch of Illumina Protein Prep and expansion of the multiomics portfolio with the 5-base solution. Progressing with the acquisition of SomaLogic, expected to close in 2026.
Increased Full-Year Outlook
Raising full-year 2025 outlook due to strong Q3 performance and resilience in clinical markets.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Research and Applied Markets
Stabilization in research demand with continued funding uncertainty and pricing dynamics impacting revenue.
Ongoing Challenges in China
Revenue in China was $52 million, below expectations due to export restrictions. Long-term resolution related to operations in China still pending.
Gross Margin Impacted by Tariffs
Non-GAAP gross margin of 69.2%, impacted by tariffs which reduced gross margins by approximately 220 basis points.
Company Guidance
During Illumina's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported a strong performance with total revenue of $1.08 billion, exceeding guidance and marking a return to growth outside of China with a 2% year-over-year increase. Non-GAAP operating margin expanded to 24.5%, and non-GAAP diluted EPS reached $1.34. The success was driven by the NovaSeq X transition, particularly in clinical markets, where sequencing consumables revenue grew at a high single-digit rate. Illumina raised its full-year 2025 outlook, highlighting the robustness in its clinical segment and the resilience of its business in China despite ongoing challenges. Revenue from sequencing consumables was $747 million, and the company placed over 55 NovaSeq X instruments in the quarter, achieving significant milestones in its high-throughput transition. The company also noted strong growth in clinical consumables revenue and anticipated a gradual recovery in research markets. For 2026, Illumina expects continued clinical momentum and plans to expand into multiomics and enhance its services and software capabilities.

Illumina Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Illumina demonstrates a solid financial recovery with improved profitability and revenue growth in the TTM period. The income statement shows strong revenue growth and positive net profit margins. However, the balance sheet indicates increased leverage, and cash flow analysis reveals challenges in cash generation.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Illumina's income statement shows a strong recovery in the TTM period with a revenue growth rate of 12.6% and a positive net profit margin of 16.39%, compared to negative margins in previous years. The gross profit margin remains robust at 66.21%. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins, while positive, are lower than historical highs, indicating room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.05 in the TTM period, slightly improved from the previous year. Return on equity has turned positive at 28.95%, showcasing effective utilization of equity. However, the equity ratio has decreased over time, suggesting increased leverage which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 4.45% in the TTM period, indicating potential challenges in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.57, suggesting moderate cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.89, reflecting good cash flow relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.29B4.37B4.50B4.58B4.53B3.24B
Gross Profit2.84B2.86B2.74B2.97B3.15B2.20B
EBITDA1.29B-725.00M-608.00M-3.92B1.20B1.09B
Net Income703.00M-1.22B-1.16B-4.40B762.00M656.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.18B6.30B10.11B12.25B15.22B7.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.28B1.22B1.05B2.04B1.34B3.47B
Total Debt2.58B2.62B2.26B3.56B2.54B1.91B
Total Liabilities3.80B3.93B4.37B5.65B4.48B2.89B
Stockholders Equity2.38B2.37B5.75B6.60B10.74B4.69B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.01B709.00M282.00M106.00M337.00M891.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.12B837.00M478.00M392.00M545.00M1.08B
Investing Cash Flow-211.00M-178.00M-231.00M-591.00M-1.07B-554.00M
Financing Cash Flow-728.00M-570.00M-1.21B1.00B-51.00M-766.00M

Illumina Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price134.78
Price Trends
50DMA
117.50
Positive
100DMA
107.95
Positive
200DMA
96.95
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.06
Positive
RSI
63.77
Neutral
STOCH
48.57
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ILMN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 134.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 130.44, above the 50-day MA of 117.50, and above the 200-day MA of 96.95, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 63.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ILMN.

Illumina Risk Analysis

Illumina disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Illumina reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Illumina Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$9.88B24.5911.29%3.31%5.32%336.29%
75
Outperform
$158.82B46.276.84%0.53%2.22%-7.60%
73
Outperform
$38.85B30.0320.62%0.72%6.73%3.34%
73
Outperform
$37.58B30.3019.55%3.85%-4.74%
72
Outperform
$213.34B32.8113.14%0.30%3.22%8.26%
71
Outperform
$20.59B30.2031.20%-2.39%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ILMN
Illumina
134.78
-0.21
-0.16%
A
Agilent
137.24
3.72
2.79%
DHR
Danaher
224.84
-2.94
-1.29%
QGEN
Qiagen
45.58
1.00
2.24%
TMO
Thermo Fisher
567.83
44.39
8.48%
IQV
IQVIA Holdings
220.69
21.58
10.84%

Illumina Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingM&A Transactions
Illumina Completes $500M Notes Offering for Expansion
Neutral
Nov 25, 2025

On November 25, 2025, Illumina, Inc. completed a public offering of $500 million in 4.750% notes due 2030. The company plans to use the proceeds for general corporate purposes, including repaying existing debt and potentially completing the acquisition of SomaLogic, Inc., which could impact its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A Transactions
Illumina Announces $500M Notes Issuance Agreement
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Illumina, Inc. announced it had entered into an Underwriting Agreement with Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC and BofA Securities, Inc. for the issuance and sale of $500 million in notes due 2030. The proceeds from this offering are expected to be used for general corporate purposes, including the repayment of existing notes and the acquisition of SomaLogic, Inc. This strategic financial move is likely to impact Illumina’s operations and market positioning by potentially enhancing its financial flexibility and supporting its expansion plans.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025