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Teradata Corp. (TDC)
NYSE:TDC

Teradata (TDC) AI Stock Analysis

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Teradata

(NYSE:TDC)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$24.00
▲(11.89%Upside)
Teradata's overall stock score reflects solid profitability and cash flow management, tempered by high leverage and financial stability concerns. Technical indicators suggest a cautious approach with mixed market signals, while valuation remains fair. Strategic initiatives and leadership changes provide a positive outlook amidst macroeconomic challenges.
Positive Factors
Cloud Performance
Cloud ARR growth met expectations and broke a streak of underperformance, showing stability in the cloud segment.
Investment Thesis
Cloud ARR growth of 15% was 5 points above expectations and strengthened the investment thesis.
Product Capabilities
A top healthcare provider and several large international clients are using Teradata's advanced AI features, indicating strong product capabilities.
Negative Factors
Competitive Dynamics
Teradata has faced challenges such as on-prem erosions, elongated sales cycles, and staged migrations, raising concerns about underlying competitive dynamics eroding the business.
Management Challenges
Teradata's CFO recently departed the company, leaving open a key c-suite role.
Revenue and Earnings
Total revenue growth was lower than expected, and the consulting business is experiencing weakening demand.

Teradata (TDC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Teradata Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTeradata Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides a connected multi-cloud data platform for enterprise analytics. The company offers Teradata Vantage, a data platform that allows companies to leverage their data across an enterprise, as well as connects various sources of data to drive ecosystem simplification and support customers on their journey to the cloud through an integrated migration. Its business consulting services include support services for organizations to establish a data and analytic vision, and identify and operationalize analytical opportunities, as well as enable a multi-cloud ecosystem architecture and ensure the analytical infrastructure delivers value. In addition, it offers support and maintenance services. The company serves clients in financial services, government, healthcare, manufacturing, retail, telecommunications, and travel/transportation sectors through a direct sales force in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Japan. Teradata Corporation was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyTeradata makes money primarily through the sale of software licenses, subscriptions, and related services. The company's revenue model includes a mix of recurring subscription revenues from its cloud-based offerings and one-time payments from software licenses. Teradata also generates income from consulting and professional services, helping clients implement and optimize their analytics solutions. Additionally, the company benefits from strategic partnerships with major cloud infrastructure providers, which help expand its reach and customer base. Key revenue streams include its flagship product, Teradata Vantage, a multi-cloud data platform that provides analytics capabilities across various environments.

Teradata Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.28%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture for Teradata, with strong growth in public cloud ARR and improvements in retention rates. However, the company is facing challenges with a decline in total ARR and revenue, along with ongoing issues in its services business. The introduction of advanced AI capabilities and strategic leadership appointments are positive steps forward but are counterbalanced by economic uncertainties impacting overall performance.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Public Cloud ARR Growth
Teradata delivered public cloud ARR of $606 million, a 16% year-on-year increase in constant currency.
Non-GAAP EPS Increase
Reported non-GAAP EPS was $0.66, marking a 16% year-on-year increase.
AI and Advanced Analytics Focus
Teradata introduced the Enterprise Vector Store, enhancing AI capabilities by integrating structured and unstructured data to optimize AI operations.
Retention Rate Improvement
The company saw a meaningful year-over-year improvement in retention rates, expected to continue improving throughout the year.
Leadership Changes
Appointed John Ederer as CFO and Sumeet Arora as Chief Product Officer, both bringing extensive experience in SaaS transitions and AI-driven analytics.
Negative Updates
Total ARR Decline
Total ARR declined 2% year-over-year on a constant currency basis, reflecting a two-point improvement from the end of 2024.
Revenue Decline
First quarter total revenue was $418 million, down 10% year-over-year as reported and 8% in constant currency.
Services Business Challenges
Services business continues to be impacted by lower bookings in the second half of 2024, affecting gross margin and profitability.
Q2 EPS Guidance Decline
Anticipated non-GAAP diluted EPS for Q2 to be in the range of $0.37 to $0.41, indicating a significant sequential decline from Q1.
Company Guidance
During the Teradata First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance on various financial metrics reflecting their current outlook amidst macroeconomic uncertainties. For the fiscal year 2025, Teradata expects total Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) to be flat to 2% year-over-year, with Cloud ARR growth projected between 14% to 18%. In Q1, they achieved a 16% year-on-year increase in public cloud ARR, reaching $606 million, and total ARR stood at $1.44 billion. The company reported $7 million in free cash flow and a non-GAAP EPS of $0.66, a 16% increase from the previous year. Despite a decline in total ARR due to seasonal factors, Teradata anticipates an improvement in retention rates and a return to total ARR growth by Q4. For Q2, recurring revenue is projected to decline by 5% to 7% year-over-year, with non-GAAP EPS expected to range from $0.37 to $0.41. The company remains focused on innovation in AI capabilities and cloud solutions, maintaining a cautious but optimistic stance on their financial performance for the remainder of the year.

Teradata Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Teradata shows solid profitability with strong gross and EBITDA margins and efficient cash flow management. However, a high debt-to-equity ratio and low equity ratio pose potential financial stability risks.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Teradata's TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin stands at approximately 60.05%, indicating strong profitability in converting revenue into gross profit. The net profit margin of 8.10% reflects moderate profitability, with room for improvement. While the revenue growth rate in recent periods has been slightly declining, the company maintains a stable EBIT margin of 13.38% and an EBITDA margin of 18.55%, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high at 3.72, indicating a higher reliance on debt financing which could be risky. The return on equity (ROE) is strong at 87.34%, suggesting effective use of equity. However, the equity ratio is low at 9.02%, pointing to a potential risk in financial stability due to the low proportion of equity in the asset base.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Teradata's free cash flow growth is stable, with a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.06, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 2.04, reflecting efficient cash conversion. These metrics suggest strong cash flow management and the ability to generate sufficient cash to cover operational needs and investments.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.70B1.75B1.83B1.79B1.92B1.84B
Gross Profit
1.02B1.06B1.12B1.08B1.19B1.02B
EBIT
228.00M209.00M186.00M118.00M231.00M16.00M
EBITDA
316.00M293.00M262.00M223.00M231.00M171.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
138.00M114.00M62.00M33.00M147.00M129.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
368.00M420.00M486.00M569.00M592.00M529.00M
Total Assets
1.75B1.70B1.87B2.02B2.17B2.19B
Total Debt
588.00M576.00M640.00M637.00M572.00M643.00M
Net Debt
220.00M156.00M154.00M68.00M-20.00M114.00M
Total Liabilities
1.59B1.57B1.74B1.76B1.71B1.79B
Stockholders Equity
158.00M133.00M135.00M258.00M460.00M400.00M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
281.00M277.00M355.00M403.00M432.00M216.00M
Operating Cash Flow
284.00M303.00M375.00M419.00M463.00M267.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-25.00M-32.00M-49.00M-18.00M-31.00M-51.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-224.00M-306.00M-383.00M-381.00M-356.00M-186.00M

Teradata Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price21.45
Price Trends
50DMA
21.69
Negative
100DMA
23.82
Negative
200DMA
27.20
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Positive
RSI
40.83
Neutral
STOCH
34.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TDC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.45 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.15, below the 50-day MA of 21.69, and below the 200-day MA of 27.20, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TDC.

Teradata Risk Analysis

Teradata disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Teradata reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Teradata Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
MDMDB
78
Outperform
$16.80B-4.00%19.24%59.66%
74
Outperform
$8.27B30.0130.28%27.39%115.40%
ZSZS
72
Outperform
$47.01B-2.68%25.46%49.20%
72
Outperform
$64.07B41.4421.43%58.74%1127.29%
TDTDC
67
Neutral
$2.05B15.12130.19%-6.53%240.56%
SS
64
Neutral
$5.74B-26.98%32.25%20.56%
62
Neutral
$11.80B10.10-7.47%2.99%7.37%-8.16%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TDC
Teradata
21.45
-11.87
-35.62%
MDB
MongoDB
205.63
-18.04
-8.07%
ZS
Zscaler
301.95
117.57
63.77%
FOUR
Shift4 Payments
88.72
17.84
25.17%
S
SentinelOne
17.25
-1.18
-6.40%
HOOD
Robinhood Markets
72.60
50.35
226.29%

Teradata Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Teradata Stockholders Approve Amended Stock Incentive Plan
Positive
May 20, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Teradata Corporation’s stockholders approved the Amended 2023 Stock Incentive Plan, increasing the available shares by 3,687,000. During the Annual Meeting, stockholders also elected three Class III directors, approved executive compensation, and ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor for 2025, reflecting strong shareholder engagement and support for the company’s strategic initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (TDC) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Teradata stock, see the TDC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Teradata Launches 2025 Employee Stock Inducement Plan
Neutral
May 15, 2025

On May 14, 2025, Teradata‘s Board of Directors approved the Teradata 2025 New Employee Stock Inducement Plan (NESIP), effective May 15, 2025. This plan allows the company to offer equity incentives to new employees as an inducement to join Teradata, in accordance with NYSE rules. The NESIP includes a reserve of 1 million shares for various stock-based awards and is managed by the Compensation and People Committee. It is set to terminate on May 15, 2027, unless ended earlier by the Board, and does not require stockholder approval.

The most recent analyst rating on (TDC) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Teradata stock, see the TDC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Teradata Appoints John Ederer as New CFO
Positive
May 5, 2025

On May 5, 2025, Teradata announced the appointment of John Ederer as Chief Financial Officer, effective May 12, 2025. Ederer brings extensive experience in the software industry, having previously served as CFO at Model N and K2 Software. His appointment is expected to strengthen Teradata’s financial operations and support its strategy in the AI market, leveraging his expertise in financial management and investor relations to drive profitable growth.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.