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Swire Pacific (SWRAY)
:SWRAY

Swire Pacific (SWRAY) AI Stock Analysis

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Swire Pacific

(OTC:SWRAY)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$10.00
▲(15.34%Upside)
Swire Pacific's overall score reflects solid financial stability and strategic growth initiatives, particularly in aviation and certain beverage markets, balanced against challenges in profitability and valuation concerns. The company's strong dividend yield and strategic focus on shareholder returns enhance its investment appeal.

Swire Pacific (SWRAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Swire Pacific Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSwire Pacific Limited engages in property, aviation, beverages, marine, and trading and industrial businesses in Hong Kong, Mainland China, rest of Asia, the United States, and internationally. The company's Property division develops, owns, and operates mixed-use properties. This division's property investment portfolio comprises office and retail premises, serviced apartments, other luxury residential accommodations, and commercial mixed-use developments; and trading portfolio consists of residential properties. It also owns and manages two hotels in Hong Kong and four hotels in Mainland China, as well as owns interests in the Mandarin Oriental hotel in the United States. The company's Aviation division provides flight catering and ramp, passenger and cargo services, and aircraft maintenance and modification services. As of December 31, 2021, it had a fleet of 234 aircraft. Its Beverages division owns rights to manufacture, market, and distribute refreshing soft drinks to consumers. The company's Trading & Industrial division retails and distributes footwear, apparel, and accessories through its 164 retail outlets; sells passenger cars, commercial vehicles, motorcycles, and scooters; operates a chain of 538 bakery stores; packages and sells sugar products under the Taikoo Sugar brand; and offers waste management services. The company was founded in 1816 and is based in Central, Hong Kong.
How the Company Makes MoneySwire Pacific generates revenue through its diverse portfolio of businesses. The property division earns money from rental income and property sales, particularly in Hong Kong and Mainland China. The aviation sector, centered around Cathay Pacific, generates income from passenger and cargo services. Its beverages segment, in partnership with The Coca-Cola Company, produces revenue through the manufacture, distribution, and sale of non-alcoholic beverages across various Asian markets. The marine services division contributes by offering offshore support services, while the trading & industrial segment includes a range of activities from automotive trading to manufacturing and distribution of various products. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures, particularly in the aviation and beverages sectors, also play a critical role in revenue generation.

Swire Pacific Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 13, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -4.93%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive strategic investments and strong performance in aviation and beverages, alongside challenges such as profit declines and lower rental income in Hong Kong. The company's continued focus on shareholder returns and sustainability achievements also contributed positively.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Investment Commitments
Swire Pacific has committed 67% of their HK$100 billion investment plan, with continued investments in the Greater Bay Area and successful launches in Shanghai.
Increased Stake in Thai Bottler
Swire Pacific increased their stake to just under 56% in ThaiNamthip, expanding their footprint in Southeast Asia.
Strong Performance in Aviation
Cathay Pacific achieved a 45% growth in recurring profit, driven by robust demand for passenger travel and strong cargo performance.
Positive Dividend and Shareholder Returns
Despite challenges, Swire Pacific increased its dividend by 5% and continued its share buyback program, emphasizing its commitment to shareholder returns.
Beverages Growth in Chinese Mainland
Recurring profit from the Chinese Mainland increased by 11%, driven by price increases and market execution.
Sustainability Achievements
Swire Properties became number one in the Dow Jones Best-in-Class World Index for Real Estate Management and Development Industry.
Negative Updates
Decline in Recurring Underlying Profit
Recurring underlying profit was down 11% due to the sale of the US bottling business in 2023, impacting overall financial performance.
Lower Office Rental Income in Hong Kong
Continued lower office rental income in Hong Kong affected the property segment, although retail sales began to normalize.
Impact of Swire Coca-Cola USA Disposal
The disposal of Swire Coca-Cola USA led to a decrease in overall profit, affecting the Beverages segment's performance.
Currency and Tax Challenges in Southeast Asia
EBITDA in Vietnam and Cambodia decreased by 7% due to unfavorable exchange rates and relocation costs, while Thailand and Laos were impacted by sugar tax legislation.
Company Guidance
In the Swire Pacific 2024 Annual Results Analyst Briefing, the company presented a comprehensive overview of its financial performance and strategic investments. Despite a challenging operating environment, Swire Pacific reported a recurring underlying profit of HK$9.3 billion, albeit down 11% from the previous year due to the sale of the Swire Coca-Cola US business. The company increased its dividend by 5%, demonstrating confidence in future growth. Significant investments included a commitment of 67% of Swire Properties' HK$100 billion investment plan, increased stakes in the INDIGO projects in Beijing, and the successful launch of a residential project in Shanghai. The beverage sector saw a decline in overall profit due to the US bottling business's disposal, partially offset by a 56% stake acquisition in ThaiNamthip. Swire Coca-Cola's recurring profit from the Chinese Mainland grew by 11%, driven by price increases. The aviation division, particularly Cathay Pacific, performed well with a 45% growth in recurring profit, attributed to strong demand in passenger travel and cargo. The company maintained a healthy net debt of HK$70 billion with a gearing ratio of 22.1% and emphasized its commitment to sustainability and long-term investments across its business divisions.

Swire Pacific Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Swire Pacific maintains a solid financial position with a strong balance sheet and consistent cash flows. Despite challenges with declining profitability and revenue as seen in the income statement, the company's balance sheet strength and adequate cash flow mitigate these issues. Continued focus on improving operational efficiency is needed.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Swire Pacific's income statement reflects stable performance with a slight decline in revenue from 2023 to 2024. Gross profit margin is strong at around 37.2%, but net profit margin dipped significantly to 5.27% in 2024 from a higher 30.42% in 2023. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also contracted from 32.29% and 42.80% in 2023 to 5.17% and 17.84% in 2024, indicating decreased operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The balance sheet shows a robust equity ratio of 54.20% in 2024, demonstrating financial stability with strong shareholder equity. However, the debt-to-equity ratio increased slightly to 0.37, indicating a manageable level of leverage. The return on equity has dropped significantly from 10.76% in 2023 to 1.67% in 2024, reflecting lower profitability.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Operating cash flow remains healthy at over $10 billion, with a consistent free cash flow, though it decreased slightly in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.42, indicating efficient cash management. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio shows a decline as net income reduced significantly.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue81.97B94.82B91.17B90.80B80.03B
Gross Profit30.46B35.15B34.19B35.28B30.21B
EBITDA14.62B40.58B16.07B16.41B8.55B
Net Income4.32B28.85B6.27B5.12B-10.10B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets476.56B447.75B434.77B436.32B433.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments21.03B14.08B11.61B22.89B29.26B
Total Debt96.61B74.30B73.29B66.89B73.32B
Total Liabilities157.89B122.98B118.83B112.15B113.96B
Stockholders Equity258.30B268.13B258.46B266.95B262.69B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.89B6.32B4.73B7.45B8.46B
Operating Cash Flow10.46B9.92B8.16B11.66B11.46B
Investing Cash Flow-14.60B13.03B-17.54B-6.34B1.73B
Financing Cash Flow12.62B-21.73B-1.40B-12.34B-5.69B

Swire Pacific Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.67
Price Trends
50DMA
8.62
Positive
100DMA
8.47
Positive
200DMA
8.37
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
51.82
Neutral
STOCH
71.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SWRAY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.67 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.61, above the 50-day MA of 8.62, and above the 200-day MA of 8.37, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SWRAY.

Swire Pacific Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
ACACM
80
Outperform
$14.69B24.5128.07%0.94%4.55%
CRCRS
77
Outperform
$13.14B37.4121.78%0.30%7.40%168.67%
75
Outperform
$10.80B22.161.64%6.20%-13.25%-84.66%
RTRTO
75
Outperform
$11.89B30.647.44%3.26%3.96%-17.48%
LTLTM
71
Outperform
$11.87B11.02138.69%1.63%6.41%49.58%
66
Neutral
$5.64B356.68
59
Neutral
AU$1.65B9.6311.29%3.80%6.45%5.22%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SWRAY
Swire Pacific
8.67
0.27
3.21%
ACM
Aecom Technology
112.21
24.94
28.58%
CRS
Carpenter Technology
273.35
164.30
150.66%
RTO
Rentokil Initial
24.22
-4.82
-16.60%
LTM
LATAM Airlines Group SA Sponsored ADR
40.03
15.31
61.93%
AMTM
Amentum Holdings, Inc.
24.04
-3.96
-14.14%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 26, 2025