Stanley Black & Decker (SWK)
NYSE:SWK
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Stanley Black & Decker
(NYSE:SWK)
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Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$81.00
▲(13.54% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/30/26
SWK scores as a moderate-strength setup driven primarily by improving financial performance and a constructive earnings call (reiterated EPS growth, targeted margin expansion, deleveraging progress and buyback authorization). Offsetting this are still-modest margins/returns and limited cash-flow-to-debt cushion, alongside only neutral technical signals and a valuation that looks demanding on P/E despite a strong dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong branded portfolio & platform economics
Stanley Black & Decker’s deep portfolio of professional brands and cordless platforms promotes repeat purchases of batteries, accessories and compatible tools. That platform attach model drives recurring revenue, higher lifetime value per customer and durable aftermarket sales resilience over multiple cycles.
Negative Factors
Modest margins and low ROE
Profitability remains modest relative to peers; low operating and net margins cap earnings power and free cash flow upside. Until structural gross margin expansion and higher returns on capital materialize, the business will struggle to translate revenue into sustained shareholder returns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong branded portfolio & platform economics
Stanley Black & Decker’s deep portfolio of professional brands and cordless platforms promotes repeat purchases of batteries, accessories and compatible tools. That platform attach model drives recurring revenue, higher lifetime value per customer and durable aftermarket sales resilience over multiple cycles.
Read all positive factors
Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$12.60B
Dividend Yield4.42%
Average Volume (3M)1.84M
Price to Earnings (P/E)43.7
Beta (1Y)1.27
Revenue Growth-0.06%
EPS Growth3.45%
CountryUS
Employees48,000
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryManufacturing - Tools & Accessories
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)2.44
Shares Outstanding155,455,570
10 Day Avg. Volume2,348,840
30 Day Avg. Volume1,836,090
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.82
Price to Book (P/B)1.28
Price to Sales (P/S)0.77
P/FCF Ratio16.84
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.49
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.23
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit4.10
Enterprise Value/Ebitda14.13
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$88.75Price Target Upside24.40% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering9
EPS Forecast (FY)5.36
Revenue Forecast (FY)$15.19B
Stanley Black & Decker Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. engages in the tools and storage and industrial businesses in the United States, Canada, rest of Americas, France, rest of Europe, and Asia. Its Tools & Storage segment offers professional products, including professio...
How the Company Makes Money
Stanley Black & Decker primarily makes money by selling physical products across two main operating segments: (1) Tools & Outdoor and (2) Industrial. In Tools & Outdoor, revenue is generated from the sale of power tools (corded and cordless), hand...
Stanley Black & Decker Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Segment
Shows how much revenue each business segment generates, highlighting which areas drive growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Shows how much revenue each business segment generates, highlighting which areas drive growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyStanley Black & Decker Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call balanced clear operational and financial progress — including an EPS beat, a strategic divestiture that materially reduced debt, a share repurchase authorization, strong Engineered Fastening performance, and maintained upward margin and EPS guidance — against ongoing demand volatility, category-specific volume declines in Tools & Outdoor, modest quarter-to-quarter margin pressure, and inflation and tariff policy uncertainty. Management communicated confidence in margin recovery (targeting 35%+ adjusted gross margin by Q4 2026), continued investment in brands and pro channels, and disciplined capital allocation, signaling constructive momentum despite headwinds.Positive Updates
Q1 Revenue and EPS Outperformance
Reported revenue up 3% year-over-year (flat organically); adjusted EPS $0.80, $0.20 above the high end of prior guidance ($0.55–$0.60).
Negative Updates
Organic Growth Pressure in Tools & Outdoor
Tools & Outdoor organic revenue declined 1% (pricing +4% offset by volume pressure -5%); power tools organic -2% and hand tools/accessory/storage organic -3%, driven by lower North American retail activity.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Q1 Revenue and EPS Outperformance
Reported revenue up 3% year-over-year (flat organically); adjusted EPS $0.80, $0.20 above the high end of prior guidance ($0.55–$0.60).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company reiterated 2026 guidance calling for adjusted EPS of $4.90–$5.70 (midpoint ≈ +13%), total revenue about flat with organic revenue growing low single-digits, and a 50–100 basis point full‑year FX tailwind; adjusted gross margin is expected to expand ≈150 bps year‑over‑year (with implied ~150 bps improvement in H1 and ~200 bps in H2) and management still targets 35%+ AGM by Q4 2026 (35–37% by 2028), SG&A around 22% of sales, free cash flow $500–$700M (or $700–$900M excluding CAM divestiture taxes/fees), full‑year interest expense ≈ $270M, GAAP EPS $4.15–$5.35 (including $10–$65M pretax non‑GAAP adjustments and an expected $260–$280M gain on the CAM sale), Q2 sales ~ $3.9B (organic up low‑single digits) with Q2 adjusted EPS ~$1.15–$1.25 and an expected ~300 bps y/y Q2 AGM improvement, a planned Q2 tax rate ~20% (FY tax rate ~19%), CAM net proceeds ~$1.57B applied to debt (targeting ~2.5x net debt/EBITDA) and a Board‑authorized $500M share repurchase program.Stanley Black & Decker Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
62
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 15.23B | 15.13B | 15.37B | 15.78B | 16.95B | 15.28B |
| Gross Profit | 4.57B | 4.52B | 4.60B | 4.10B | 4.10B | 5.08B |
| EBITDA | 1.33B | 1.27B | 1.32B | 802.70M | 942.80M | 2.35B |
| Net Income | 371.10M | 401.90M | 286.30M | -281.70M | -133.70M | 1.69B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 21.60B | 21.24B | 21.85B | 23.66B | 24.96B | 28.18B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 342.90M | 280.10M | 290.50M | 449.40M | 395.60M | 142.10M |
| Total Debt | 6.50B | 5.86B | 6.59B | 7.30B | 7.57B | 6.71B |
| Total Liabilities | 12.62B | 12.19B | 13.13B | 14.61B | 15.25B | 16.59B |
| Stockholders Equity | 8.98B | 9.05B | 8.72B | 9.06B | 9.71B | 11.59B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 725.60M | 687.90M | 753.00M | 852.60M | -1.99B | 144.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.00B | 971.20M | 1.11B | 1.19B | -1.46B | 663.10M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -260.60M | -262.80M | 394.20M | -327.70M | 3.57B | -2.62B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -786.90M | -793.10M | -1.56B | -816.00M | -1.97B | 918.70M |
Stanley Black & Decker Technical Analysis
Neutral
71.34
Price Trends
77.06
Negative
76.45
Negative
73.06
Negative
Market Momentum
-1.33
Negative
48.80
Neutral
36.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SWK, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 71.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 70.14, below the 50-day MA of 77.06, and below the 200-day MA of 73.06, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SWK.
Stanley Black & Decker Risk Analysis
Stanley Black & Decker disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Stanley Black & Decker reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Stanley Black & Decker Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
79 Outperform | $19.70B | 53.36 | 8.53% | ― | 11.06% | 16.37% | |
78 Outperform | $20.01B | 19.20 | 17.48% | 2.52% | 2.99% | 1.23% | |
76 Outperform | $8.35B | 16.52 | 9.35% | 1.61% | 0.19% | -17.71% | |
75 Outperform | $9.30B | 33.02 | 23.00% | 1.95% | -0.47% | -14.81% | |
70 Outperform | $15.06B | 25.03 | 37.29% | 1.22% | 7.72% | 19.51% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
63 Neutral | $12.60B | 43.69 | 4.20% | 4.42% | -0.06% | 3.45% |
* Industrials Sector Average
SWK
Stanley Black & Decker
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24.80
44.10%
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Stanley Black & Decker Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Stanley Black & Decker Shareholders Expand Equity Incentive Plan
Positive
Apr 27, 2026
On April 24, 2026, Stanley Black Decker shareholders approved an amended and restated 2024 Omnibus Award Plan that adds 7,750,000 shares for issuance, adjusts the fungible ratio for future awards to 2.71, introduces a one-year minimum vesting per...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Stanley Black & Decker Affirms 2026 Outlook Despite Tariffs
Positive
Apr 20, 2026
On April 20, 2026, Stanley Black Decker said it does not expect the recent changes to the Section 232 tariff regime to have a material impact on its full-year 2026 financial guidance. The company plans to provide additional detail on the implicat...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Stanley Black & Decker Sells Aerospace Unit to Deleverage
Positive
Apr 6, 2026
On April 6, 2026, Stanley Black Decker completed the previously announced sale of its Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing business to Howmet Aerospace for about $1.8 billion in cash. The company expects net proceeds of roughly $1.57 billion, aft...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.