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Lincoln Electric (LECO)
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Lincoln Electric Holdings (LECO) AI Stock Analysis

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LECO

Lincoln Electric Holdings

(NASDAQ:LECO)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$244.00
▲(9.26%Upside)
Lincoln Electric Holdings scores well due to its strong financial performance, positive technical momentum, and resilient earnings despite challenges. The high valuation and cautious outlook temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Cost Management
The company is taking action, with both temporary and structural cost cuts which should limit decremental margins and overall EPS compression.
Restructuring Strategy
LECO is applying a playbook seen in prior downturns, with volume dependent temporary savings but also acceleration of structural restructuring, setting up the company well for a more normalized environment.
Negative Factors
End Market Softness
Given persistent softness across end markets (particularly Auto, Heavy Industries, and Europe), management remains cautious through 1Q25.
Market Performance
LECO is experiencing a broad based downturn with volume compression across all key served verticals; the pressure from Auto and Off Highway is set to extend through 1H25.
Product Category Decline
Management noted a slower 3Q across all categories, with both Consumables down LSD-MSD%, Equipment down HSD% and Automation down LDD%.

Lincoln Electric Holdings (LECO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lincoln Electric Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. is a global leader in the design, development, and manufacturing of arc welding products, robotic arc welding systems, plasma and oxy-fuel cutting equipment. With its headquarters in Cleveland, Ohio, the company operates in the welding, cutting, and joining products sector. Lincoln Electric serves a diverse range of industries including automotive, aerospace, construction, and marine, providing them with essential products and services to enhance productivity and efficiency.
How the Company Makes MoneyLincoln Electric Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of its welding and cutting products, which include arc welding equipment, consumable welding products, and automation solutions. The company offers a comprehensive portfolio of welding machinery, consumables, and related accessories that are sold directly to industrial customers or through distributors. A significant portion of its revenue also comes from providing automation solutions and services, which are increasingly in demand as industries seek to improve efficiency and reduce labor costs. Lincoln Electric's earnings are further bolstered by its robust aftermarket services, including maintenance, repair, and training services, which provide recurring revenue streams. Key partnerships with distributors, as well as ongoing innovation in product development, contribute to the company's financial performance.

Lincoln Electric Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.00%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a balanced outlook with strong financial performance in the second quarter, positive acquisition impacts, and effective cost management. However, challenges remain in volume declines, trade policy uncertainty affecting customer spending, and increased costs impacting margins.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Second Quarter Results
Sales growth of 7% driven by price management, M&A strategy, and improved volume performance in the Americas Welding and Harris Products Group segments. Adjusted earnings per share increased by 11% to $2.60.
Successful Acquisition Strategy
Lincoln Electric announced the acquisition of the remaining 65% interest in Alloy Steel, expected to be accretive to margins and earnings on day one.
Positive Cash Flow and ROIC Performance
Year-to-date cash flow generation was strong with 100-plus percent cash conversion of free cash flow and top quartile ROIC performance.
Harris Products Group Volume Growth
Harris Products Group generated 11% higher volumes, driven by new product rollout for a national U.S. retail partner and ongoing strength in HVAC.
Raised Operating Framework Assumptions
Updated assumptions include low single-digit percent organic sales growth and increased expected sales growth from acquisitions.
Negative Updates
Volume Declines in Certain Segments
Volume declines of 2.3% overall, with specific challenges in the International Welding segment due to weakened demand in EMEA and Asia Pacific.
Impact of Trade Policy Uncertainty
Customers continued to defer capital spending due to policy uncertainty, impacting equipment and automation portfolios.
Heavy Industries and Automotive Transportation Challenges
Heavy industries remained challenged with incremental improvements, and automotive transportation volumes were compressed due to slower production levels.
Higher Incentive Compensation and Employee Costs
Adjusted EBIT margin in Americas Welding declined by 130 basis points due to higher incentive compensation and employee costs.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Lincoln Electric reported strong financial performance, highlighted by a 7% sales growth driven by effective price management and improved volume performance in the Americas Welding and Harris Products Group segments. The company's adjusted earnings per share rose by 11% to $2.60, accompanied by a robust cash flow generation with over 100% cash conversion of free cash flow. Lincoln Electric maintained a top-quartile Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), supporting its disciplined capital allocation strategy. The company announced the acquisition of the remaining 65% interest in Alloy Steel, anticipated to be accretive to margins and earnings. Organic sales saw a 3% increase, while automation sales stabilized around $215 million per quarter. The Harris Products Group reported an 11% volume increase, with strong demand from HVAC sectors and a new retail partnership. Despite challenges in heavy industries, Lincoln Electric observed growth in three out of five end markets, driven largely by pricing actions. The second quarter also marked a $10 million LIFO charge, with expectations for similar charges in the second half of the year. Overall, Lincoln Electric's strategic initiatives and cost management actions have positioned the company for more profitable growth as market conditions improve.

Lincoln Electric Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lincoln Electric Holdings demonstrates strong profitability and cash flow management with a robust balance sheet. However, a decline in total revenue suggests a need for growth strategies.
Income Statement
80
Positive
Lincoln Electric Holdings demonstrates robust profitability with a consistent gross profit margin and solid EBIT margin. However, the recent decline in total revenue from $4.0 billion in 2024 to $3.4 billion in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) suggests a need for revenue growth strategies. The net profit margin remains healthy, indicating effective cost management.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's balance sheet is strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio, improving from 0.84 in 2024 to 0.08 in TTM, reflecting reduced leverage. The equity ratio is stable, indicating a solid financial foundation. However, attention to maintaining equity levels is essential amid fluctuating liabilities.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Lincoln Electric Holdings exhibits impressive cash flow management with substantial free cash flow growth, increasing from $482 million in 2024 to $534 million in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, highlighting efficient cash conversion, though maintaining this trajectory is crucial.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.03B4.01B4.19B3.76B3.23B2.66B
Gross Profit1.47B1.47B1.48B1.28B1.07B871.34M
EBITDA739.43M736.70M824.67M700.14M675.23M410.35M
Net Income461.18M466.11M545.25M472.22M276.58M206.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.63B3.52B3.38B3.18B2.59B2.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments394.70M377.26M393.79M197.15M192.96M257.28M
Total Debt1.26B1.32B1.16B1.20B769.82M718.19M
Total Liabilities2.28B2.19B2.07B2.15B1.73B1.52B
Stockholders Equity1.34B1.33B1.31B1.03B863.91M790.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow534.08M482.37M576.55M311.50M302.53M292.16M
Operating Cash Flow651.38M598.98M667.54M383.39M365.06M351.36M
Investing Cash Flow-357.59M-361.23M-74.73M-504.69M-205.36M-49.21M
Financing Cash Flow-263.73M-244.64M-412.39M133.72M-221.94M-246.14M

Lincoln Electric Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price223.33
Price Trends
50DMA
209.56
Positive
100DMA
197.68
Positive
200DMA
198.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
6.09
Negative
RSI
75.97
Negative
STOCH
67.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LECO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 223.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 223.13, above the 50-day MA of 209.56, and above the 200-day MA of 198.17, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 6.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.97 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LECO.

Lincoln Electric Holdings Risk Analysis

Lincoln Electric Holdings disclosed 18 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lincoln Electric Holdings reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lincoln Electric Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (71)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$16.97B17.3418.18%2.57%-0.76%-2.62%
77
Outperform
$12.15B50.108.51%4.87%19.66%
76
Outperform
$12.51B27.6537.35%1.33%-2.29%-14.49%
71
Outperform
¥264.85B14.098.47%2.87%6.39%13.10%
71
Outperform
$1.92B18.228.69%3.17%-2.93%2.74%
71
Outperform
$5.67B18.4210.52%1.80%-2.01%-9.95%
64
Neutral
$10.61B21.765.38%4.84%-2.71%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LECO
Lincoln Electric Holdings
243.50
47.71
24.37%
KMT
Kennametal
24.76
0.37
1.52%
RBC
RBC Bearings
387.34
99.31
34.48%
SNA
Snap-on
322.27
50.35
18.52%
SWK
Stanley Black & Decker
67.65
-29.88
-30.64%
TKR
Timken Company
74.77
-8.25
-9.94%

Lincoln Electric Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Lincoln Electric Announces Board Changes and New Appointment
Neutral
Feb 24, 2025

On February 19, 2025, Lincoln Electric Holdings announced that Kellye I. Walker would resign from its Board of Directors, effective at the 2025 annual meeting of shareholders. Her departure is not due to any disagreements with the company. Concurrently, the board expanded from eleven to twelve members, electing N. Joy Falotico, former President of The Lincoln Motor Company, as a new independent director. Falotico’s appointment is expected to enhance the board with her global leadership experience and financial expertise, supporting Lincoln Electric’s strategic initiatives for long-term growth. Additionally, Michele R. Kuhrt, Executive Vice President and Chief Transformation Officer, announced her retirement effective August 31, 2025, and will assist with the transition until then.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 05, 2025