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Lincoln Electric Holdings (LECO)
NASDAQ:LECO
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Lincoln Electric Holdings (LECO) AI Stock Analysis

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LECO

Lincoln Electric Holdings

(NASDAQ:LECO)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$271.00
▲(13.81% Upside)
Lincoln Electric Holdings demonstrates strong financial performance and positive technical indicators, driving the overall score. The company's strategic acquisitions and robust sales growth contribute positively, though challenges in certain segments and valuation concerns slightly temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Cost Management
The company is taking action, with both temporary and structural cost cuts which should limit decremental margins and overall EPS compression.
Restructuring Strategy
LECO is applying a playbook seen in prior downturns, with volume dependent temporary savings but also acceleration of structural restructuring, setting up the company well for a more normalized environment.
Negative Factors
End Market Softness
Given persistent softness across end markets (particularly Auto, Heavy Industries, and Europe), management remains cautious through 1Q25.
Market Performance
LECO is experiencing a broad based downturn with volume compression across all key served verticals; the pressure from Auto and Off Highway is set to extend through 1H25.
Product Category Decline
Management noted a slower 3Q across all categories, with both Consumables down LSD-MSD%, Equipment down HSD% and Automation down LDD%.

Lincoln Electric Holdings (LECO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lincoln Electric Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLincoln Electric Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells welding, cutting, and brazing products worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Americas Welding, International Welding, and The Harris Products Group. It offers welding products, including arc welding power sources, plasma cutters, wire feeding systems, robotic welding packages, integrated automation systems, fume extraction equipment, consumable electrodes, fluxes and welding accessories, and specialty welding consumables and fabrication products. The company's product offering also includes computer numeric controlled plasma and oxy-fuel cutting systems, and regulators and torches used in oxy-fuel welding, cutting, and brazing; and consumables used in the brazing and soldering alloys market. In addition, it is involved in the retail business in the United States. Further, the company manufactures copper and aluminum headers, distributor assemblies, and manifolds for the heating, ventilation, and air conditioning sector in the United States and Mexico. The company serves general fabrication, energy and process, automotive and transportation, and construction and infrastructure industries, as well as heavy fabrication, ship building, and maintenance and repair markets. It sells its products directly to users of welding products, as well as through industrial distributors, retailers, and agents. The company was founded in 1895 and is headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyLincoln Electric generates revenue primarily through the sale of welding products and related services. Its key revenue streams include the manufacturing and distribution of welding equipment, consumables, and automation solutions. The company benefits from a diverse customer base across multiple industries, which helps mitigate risks associated with market fluctuations. Significant partnerships with industrial manufacturers and distributors enhance Lincoln Electric's market presence and drive sales. Additionally, the company's focus on innovation and development of advanced welding technologies allows it to maintain a competitive edge, further contributing to its earnings.

Lincoln Electric Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 6.62%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong sales growth and strategic acquisitions that are expected to drive future performance. However, volume declines and demand uncertainties, particularly in the International Welding segment and heavy industries, pose ongoing challenges. The overall sentiment is balanced with notable achievements and significant challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Sales Growth and Profit Performance
Lincoln Electric reported a 7% sales growth driven by price management, M&A strategy, and improved volume performance in key segments. Adjusted earnings per share increased by 11% to $2.60, with a strong cash flow generation and a 100-plus percent cash conversion of free cash flow.
Acquisition of Alloy Steel
Lincoln Electric announced the acquisition of the remaining 65% interest in Alloy Steel, which is expected to be accretive to margins and earnings on day one, contributing $20 million to $25 million in sales for the remainder of the year.
Harris Products Group Performance
The Harris Products Group reported a 19% sales increase, with 11% higher volumes due to product rollout and ongoing strength in HVAC. Adjusted EBIT increased by 28% to $32 million, with a margin improvement to a record 19.4%.
Negative Updates
Volume Declines and Demand Uncertainty
Volume declines narrowed to 2.3% with customers deferring capital spending due to policy uncertainty, impacting equipment and automation portfolios. Automation sales have stabilized but remain below prior year levels.
International Welding Segment Challenges
The International Welding segment saw a sales decline of 2.5% with 7% lower volumes, due to weakened demand in the EMEA region and challenges in Asia Pacific.
Heavy Industries and Automotive Challenges
Heavy industries remain challenged, and automotive transportation volumes were compressed due to slower production levels, impacting overall sales performance.
Company Guidance
During the Lincoln Electric 2025 Second Quarter Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating a strong performance with a 7% sales growth attributed to price management, M&A strategy benefits, and improved volumes in the Americas Welding and Harris Products Group segments. The company achieved an 11% increase in adjusted earnings per share to $2.60 and maintained a cash conversion of over 100% of free cash flow. The report highlighted a top quartile return on invested capital (ROIC) performance. Lincoln Electric also announced the expected acquisition of the remaining 65% interest in Alloy Steel, expected to contribute $20 million to $25 million in sales for the remainder of the year, and be accretive to margins and earnings. The company expects low single-digit organic sales growth for the full year, with acquisitions contributing approximately 270 basis points in sales growth. They have successfully managed to maintain a neutral price/cost position amidst supply chain challenges and are continuing to implement operational efficiencies and savings actions to counteract inflation, projecting an additional $10 million to $15 million in savings in the second half of the year.

Lincoln Electric Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lincoln Electric Holdings presents a solid financial position with strong profitability, efficient cash management, and a balanced capital structure. The company demonstrates consistent revenue and profit growth, robust margins, and effective cash conversion, positioning it well within the industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Lincoln Electric Holdings demonstrates strong profitability with a TTM gross profit margin of 36.39% and a net profit margin of 12.27%, indicating efficient cost management and robust bottom-line performance. The revenue growth rate from 2024 to TTM is 2.25%, showing steady but moderate growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 16.58% and 17.87%, respectively, reflecting solid operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows moderate leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.99. The return on equity (ROE) of 36.45% is impressive, highlighting strong returns for shareholders. The equity ratio of 37.02% suggests a balanced capital structure, though there is room for improvement in increasing equity relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Lincoln Electric Holdings displays strong cash flow performance, with a free cash flow growth rate of 4.67% from 2024 to TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.24, indicating commendable cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.00 signifies effective conversion of profits into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.10B4.01B4.19B3.76B3.23B2.66B
Gross Profit1.50B1.47B1.48B1.28B1.07B871.34M
EBITDA758.78M736.70M824.67M700.14M428.36M368.49M
Net Income502.87M466.11M545.25M472.22M276.58M206.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.73B3.52B3.38B3.18B2.59B2.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments299.48M377.26M393.79M197.15M192.96M257.28M
Total Debt1.36B1.32B1.16B1.25B819.00M763.68M
Total Liabilities2.35B2.19B2.07B2.15B1.73B1.52B
Stockholders Equity1.38B1.33B1.31B1.03B863.91M790.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow504.92M482.37M576.55M311.50M302.53M292.16M
Operating Cash Flow624.52M598.98M667.54M383.39M365.06M351.36M
Investing Cash Flow-239.96M-361.23M-74.73M-504.69M-205.36M-49.21M
Financing Cash Flow-343.90M-244.64M-412.39M133.72M-221.94M-246.14M

Lincoln Electric Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price238.12
Price Trends
50DMA
223.15
Positive
100DMA
205.06
Positive
200DMA
201.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.83
Positive
RSI
56.20
Neutral
STOCH
47.29
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LECO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 238.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 238.06, above the 50-day MA of 223.15, and above the 200-day MA of 201.74, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.83 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LECO.

Lincoln Electric Holdings Risk Analysis

Lincoln Electric Holdings disclosed 18 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lincoln Electric Holdings reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lincoln Electric Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$12.56B49.408.56%5.48%16.88%
78
Outperform
$16.94B17.3118.18%2.65%-0.76%-2.62%
78
Outperform
$13.29B27.0837.35%1.24%0.24%0.05%
75
Outperform
$5.35B17.4910.52%1.82%-2.01%-9.95%
69
Neutral
$11.80B24.175.38%4.44%-2.71%
63
Neutral
$10.76B16.246.80%2.07%2.60%-16.34%
60
Neutral
$1.60B17.627.35%3.85%-3.91%-12.49%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LECO
Lincoln Electric Holdings
238.12
43.13
22.12%
KMT
Kennametal
20.81
-4.17
-16.69%
RBC
RBC Bearings
392.76
97.86
33.18%
SNA
Snap-on
321.38
44.69
16.15%
SWK
Stanley Black & Decker
73.13
-23.34
-24.19%
TKR
Timken Company
75.32
-7.85
-9.44%

Lincoln Electric Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Lincoln Electric Announces Board Changes and New Appointment
Neutral
Feb 24, 2025

On February 19, 2025, Lincoln Electric Holdings announced that Kellye I. Walker would resign from its Board of Directors, effective at the 2025 annual meeting of shareholders. Her departure is not due to any disagreements with the company. Concurrently, the board expanded from eleven to twelve members, electing N. Joy Falotico, former President of The Lincoln Motor Company, as a new independent director. Falotico’s appointment is expected to enhance the board with her global leadership experience and financial expertise, supporting Lincoln Electric’s strategic initiatives for long-term growth. Additionally, Michele R. Kuhrt, Executive Vice President and Chief Transformation Officer, announced her retirement effective August 31, 2025, and will assist with the transition until then.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025