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Kennametal Inc. (KMT)
NYSE:KMT
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Kennametal (KMT) AI Stock Analysis

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KMT

Kennametal

(NYSE:KMT)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$22.50
▲(5.83% Upside)
Kennametal's overall stock score reflects a stable financial foundation with operational efficiency and a balanced leverage profile. However, challenges in revenue growth, market softness, and declining free cash flow weigh on the score. The valuation is reasonable, supported by a solid dividend yield, but technical indicators suggest bearish momentum. The earnings call highlighted strategic cost savings and defense contracts, but these are tempered by broader market challenges.
Positive Factors
Earnings
KMT reported a better than expected FQ3 with adjusted EPS of $0.47, surpassing consensus estimates of $0.24.
Operational Progress
Operational progress was observed with a metal cutting decremental margin of 27%, better than expected compared to previous quarters.
Negative Factors
End Markets Weakness
Lower organic revenue growth across both Metal Cutting and Infrastructure segments reflects weakness in Europe and Transportation end markets.
Foreign Exchange Impact
Higher foreign exchange headwinds are impacting the company's financial outlook.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
There is a struggle to see upside due to macroeconomic uncertainty with tariffs, leading to an Underperform rating.

Kennametal (KMT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kennametal Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKennametal Inc. (KMT) is a global leader in tooling and industrial materials, specializing in providing advanced materials, tooling solutions, and wear-resistant products for various industries, including aerospace, automotive, construction, energy, and metalworking. The company designs and manufactures cutting tools, tooling systems, and other engineered products that enhance productivity and efficiency in manufacturing processes. Kennametal operates through two primary segments: Metal Cutting and Infrastructure, offering a broad range of products such as inserts, tool holders, and wear parts designed to withstand extreme conditions.
How the Company Makes MoneyKennametal generates revenue primarily through the sale of its tooling and wear-resistant products. The company operates a diversified revenue model that includes direct sales to end-users, distribution agreements, and partnerships with original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). Key revenue streams come from the Metal Cutting segment, which focuses on precision cutting tools and solutions, and the Infrastructure segment, which provides products for heavy machinery and construction applications. Additionally, Kennametal benefits from ongoing relationships with customers through service agreements, providing maintenance and support for their products, which creates recurring revenue. The company's innovation in product development and strategic acquisitions also contribute significantly to its earning potential.

Kennametal Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted achievements such as securing a significant defense contract and achieving cost savings. However, these were overshadowed by challenges, including a decline in organic sales, market softness, and tariff impacts. The overall sentiment is cautious due to these significant challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Infrastructure Segment Achievement
Secured a $25 million multi-year award with a U.S. defense customer.
Cost Reduction Success
Achieved $6 million in restructuring savings this quarter with a run rate savings of approximately $65 million inception to date, expecting approximately $90 million by the end of fiscal '26.
Shareholder Returns
Returned $122 million to shareholders through share repurchases of $60 million and dividends of $62 million.
Aerospace & Defense Growth
Aerospace & Defense experienced mid-single-digit growth amid broad market weakness.
Negative Updates
Decline in Organic Sales
Organic sales decreased by 4% for the year, with Metal Cutting declining 5% and Infrastructure declining 2%.
Market Softness
Weak global production volume, declining U.S. land-based rig counts, and slowing light vehicle production pressured performance.
Tariff Impact
Unfavorable effect of tariffs contributed to a $0.04 EPS headwind in Q4.
Broad-Based Market Softness
Continued broad-based market softness affecting all end markets and regions, resulting in a 5% decrease in Q4 organic sales.
Company Guidance
During the Kennametal Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance for fiscal year 2026, projecting sales between $1.95 billion and $2.05 billion. They anticipate volume ranging from a decline of 5% to flat, with a 4% combined price and tariff surcharge realization and a 2% tailwind from foreign exchange. Adjusted EPS is expected to be between $0.90 and $1.30. The company also outlined plans to achieve $125 million in cost savings by the end of fiscal 2027 through multiple plant consolidations, exceeding the original target by $25 million. The restructuring efforts, which have already resulted in $65 million in savings, aim to address structural cost issues and optimize capacity. Kennametal also expects a positive year-over-year effect of operations driven by higher price and restructuring savings, although offset by lower sales, production volume, and increased costs.

Kennametal Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kennametal demonstrates a stable financial position with strengths in operational efficiency and a balanced leverage profile. However, challenges in revenue growth and profitability, as well as declining free cash flow, suggest areas for strategic focus to enhance future performance.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Kennametal's income statement reflects moderate stability with a gross profit margin of approximately 30.4% and a net profit margin of 4.7% in the latest year. However, the company experienced a slight decline in revenue growth rate at -1.35%, indicating challenges in expanding sales. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively healthy at 7.98% and 14.92%, respectively, suggesting efficient operational management despite revenue pressures.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a solid debt-to-equity ratio of 0.47, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. The equity ratio stands at approximately 50.4%, reflecting a strong equity base. However, the return on equity is currently at 0%, which highlights a need for improved profitability to enhance shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a decrease in free cash flow growth by 21.76%, which could impact future investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.49, suggesting moderate efficiency in converting income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.57 indicates a reasonable level of cash generation relative to profits, though there is room for improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.97B1.97B2.05B2.08B2.01B1.84B
Gross Profit598.07M598.07M627.09M646.44M647.98M552.48M
EBITDA293.43M293.43M306.63M333.15M371.12M282.72M
Net Income93.13M93.13M109.32M118.46M144.62M54.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.55B2.55B2.50B2.55B2.57B2.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments140.54M140.54M127.97M106.02M85.59M154.05M
Total Debt597.76M597.76M645.75M595.86M615.55M600.47M
Total Liabilities1.22B1.22B1.22B1.23B1.28B1.30B
Stockholders Equity1.28B1.28B1.25B1.28B1.25B1.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow119.35M119.35M169.55M163.56M84.52M108.38M
Operating Cash Flow208.32M208.32M277.11M257.94M181.44M235.68M
Investing Cash Flow-61.83M-61.83M-109.43M-89.23M-94.94M-122.98M
Financing Cash Flow-133.92M-133.92M-141.75M-143.11M-150.74M-574.25M

Kennametal Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price21.26
Price Trends
50DMA
22.87
Negative
100DMA
21.67
Negative
200DMA
22.55
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.42
Negative
RSI
43.17
Neutral
STOCH
71.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KMT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.26 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.18, below the 50-day MA of 22.87, and below the 200-day MA of 22.55, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KMT.

Kennametal Risk Analysis

Kennametal disclosed 9 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kennametal reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kennametal Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$16.97B17.2418.18%2.65%-0.76%-2.62%
78
Outperform
$13.39B27.2137.35%1.22%0.24%0.05%
75
Outperform
$12.31B48.768.56%5.48%16.88%
73
Outperform
$5.38B17.5710.52%1.80%-2.01%-9.95%
69
Neutral
$11.50B22.745.38%4.59%-2.71%
64
Neutral
$10.74B15.628.14%2.00%2.79%-14.82%
63
Neutral
$1.63B17.937.35%3.73%-3.91%-12.49%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KMT
Kennametal
21.26
-2.81
-11.67%
LECO
Lincoln Electric Holdings
241.96
68.73
39.68%
RBC
RBC Bearings
387.71
102.01
35.71%
SNA
Snap-on
323.45
51.41
18.90%
SWK
Stanley Black & Decker
71.72
-23.94
-25.03%
TKR
Timken Company
76.49
-1.30
-1.67%

Kennametal Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsDividends
Kennametal Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Neutral
Jul 30, 2025

On July 27, 2025, Steven H. Wunning announced he will not seek re-election to Kennametal Inc.’s Board of Directors and will retire at the October 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareowners, ending his tenure since 2005 and his role as Chairman of the Audit Committee. On July 29, 2025, Kennametal’s Board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $.20 per share, payable on August 26, 2025, to shareholders recorded by August 12, 2025.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Kennametal Sells Subsidiary to Private Equity Firm
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 6, 2025, Kennametal Inc. announced the sale of its subsidiary, Kennametal Stellite, L.P., in Goshen, IN, to a Chicago-based private equity firm. The transaction, which brought in $19 million, is part of Kennametal’s strategy to improve its sales mix and focus on long-term strategic priorities. The subsidiary accounted for less than 2% of the company’s total sales and was considered immaterial to its profitability. The proceeds from the sale are intended for general corporate purposes, with potential additional earnings based on future performance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 03, 2025