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Kennametal Inc. (KMT)
NYSE:KMT
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Kennametal (KMT) AI Stock Analysis

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KMT

Kennametal

(NYSE:KMT)

Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$21.50
▲(4.27% Upside)
Kennametal's overall stock score reflects a stable financial position with efficient operations but is tempered by bearish technical indicators and a cautious earnings outlook. The valuation is reasonable, but market challenges and declining sales impact the score.
Positive Factors
Earnings
KMT reported a better than expected FQ3 with adjusted EPS of $0.47, surpassing consensus estimates of $0.24.
Operational Progress
Operational progress was observed with a metal cutting decremental margin of 27%, better than expected compared to previous quarters.
Negative Factors
End Markets Weakness
Lower organic revenue growth across both Metal Cutting and Infrastructure segments reflects weakness in Europe and Transportation end markets.
Foreign Exchange Impact
Higher foreign exchange headwinds are impacting the company's financial outlook.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
There is a struggle to see upside due to macroeconomic uncertainty with tariffs, leading to an Underperform rating.

Kennametal (KMT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kennametal Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKennametal Inc. engages in development and application of tungsten carbides, ceramics, and super-hard materials and solutions for use in metal cutting and extreme wear applications to enable customers work against corrosion and high temperatures conditions worldwide. The company operates through two segments, Metal Cutting and Infrastructure. It offers standard and custom products, including turning, milling, hole making, tooling systems, and services, as well as specialized wear components and metallurgical powders for manufacturers engaged in various industries, such as the manufacturers of transportation vehicles and components, machine tools, and light and heavy machinery; airframe and aerospace components; and energy-related components for the oil and gas industry, as well as power generation. The company also provides specified product design, selection, application, and support services; and standard and custom metal cutting solutions to aerospace, general engineering, energy, and transportation customers. In addition, it produces compacts, nozzles, frac seats, and custom components used in oil and gas, and petrochemical industries; rod blanks and abrasive water jet nozzles for general industries; earth cutting tools and systems used in underground mining, trenching and foundation drilling, and road milling; tungsten carbide powders for the oil and gas, aerospace, and process industries; and ceramics used by the packaging industry for metallization of films and papers. It provides its products under the Kennametal, WIDIA, WIDIA Hanita, and WIDIA GTD brands through its direct sales force; a network of independent and national distributors; integrated supplier channels; and through the Internet. The company was founded in 1938 and is based in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyKennametal generates revenue primarily through the sale of its tooling and wear-resistant products. The company operates a diversified revenue model that includes direct sales to end-users, distribution agreements, and partnerships with original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). Key revenue streams come from the Metal Cutting segment, which focuses on precision cutting tools and solutions, and the Infrastructure segment, which provides products for heavy machinery and construction applications. Additionally, Kennametal benefits from ongoing relationships with customers through service agreements, providing maintenance and support for their products, which creates recurring revenue. The company's innovation in product development and strategic acquisitions also contribute significantly to its earning potential.

Kennametal Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -17.12%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted several positive developments, including significant defense contracts, cost savings, and growth in the Aerospace & Defense market. However, these are overshadowed by persistent market weaknesses, declining sales, tariff challenges, and lower operating margins, leading to a cautious outlook for fiscal '26.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Infrastructure Team Secures Major Award
During the fourth quarter, Kennametal's Infrastructure team secured a $25 million multi-year award with a U.S. defense customer.
Cost Reduction Achievements
Kennametal recognized $6 million in restructuring savings this quarter, achieving run rate savings of approximately $65 million inception to date, with expectations to reach $90 million by the end of fiscal '26.
Aerospace & Defense Market Growth
Aerospace & Defense experienced mid-single-digit growth in fiscal '25, and is expected to grow low double-digits in fiscal '26 due to higher OEM build rates and increased defense spending.
Positive Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns
Kennametal returned $122 million to shareholders through share repurchases of $60 million and dividends of $62 million.
Negative Updates
Continued Market Weakness
Kennametal experienced broad market weakness affecting end markets for 8 quarters, with weak global production, declining U.S. land-based rig counts, and slowing vehicle production.
Decline in Organic Sales
Sales declined 4% organically in fiscal '25, with Metal Cutting down 5% and Infrastructure down 2%.
Tariff Challenges
Kennametal faced unfavorable effects of tariffs, with a $0.04 negative impact on EPS in the fourth quarter.
Operating Margin Decline
The adjusted EBITDA margin declined to 14.8% from 17.7% in the prior year quarter, primarily due to lower volumes and tariff impacts.
Negative Outlook for Key Markets
The fiscal '26 outlook projects mid-single-digit declines in Transportation, Oil & Gas, and Earthworks markets.
Company Guidance
During the Kennametal Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance for fiscal 2026, projecting sales between $1.95 billion and $2.05 billion, with volume ranging from negative 5% to flat. They anticipate a combined 4% increase from pricing and tariff surcharge realization, alongside a 2% positive impact from foreign exchange. Adjusted EPS is expected to be between $0.90 and $1.30. The company plans to achieve approximately $35 million in annualized savings from restructuring, with a total of $125 million in savings targeted by fiscal 2027. Free operating cash flow is projected to be approximately 120% of adjusted net income, and capital expenditures are estimated at around $90 million. The guidance reflects ongoing market challenges, including weak global production volumes and supply chain disruptions, but also highlights growth opportunities in Aerospace & Defense and cost-saving initiatives.

Kennametal Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kennametal demonstrates a stable financial position with consistent profitability and sound cash flow management. Despite slight declines in revenue and profitability margins, the company maintains low leverage and effective capital utilization.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Kennametal's income statement demonstrates a relatively stable financial performance. The Gross Profit Margin for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) is 31.15%, which shows consistent profitability, though slightly down from previous years. The Net Profit Margin stands at 5.45% for TTM, indicating moderate profitability but a decline compared to historical data. Revenue for TTM has decreased by 2.6% compared to the previous year, signaling a slight contraction. EBIT and EBITDA Margins for TTM are 8.76% and 14.01% respectively, reflective of efficient operations, albeit with a decrease from the last year.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a robust capital structure with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.05 for TTM, indicating low leverage and financial stability. Return on Equity (ROE) for TTM is 8.79%, showcasing a reasonable return on shareholders' investment. The Equity Ratio for TTM is 49.67%, signifying a balanced asset financing through equity. Despite the solid equity position, there has been a slight decline in total assets over the years.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Kennametal's cash flow statement indicates solid cash generation capabilities. The Free Cash Flow for TTM is $152.55 million, albeit a reduction compared to the previous year. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 2.24, suggesting strong cash earnings. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio stands at 1.40, reflecting efficient cash management practices despite a decrease in free cash flow growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.97B1.97B2.05B2.08B2.01B1.84B
Gross Profit598.07M598.07M627.09M646.44M647.98M552.48M
EBITDA293.43M293.43M306.63M333.15M371.12M282.72M
Net Income93.13M93.13M109.32M118.46M144.62M54.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.55B2.55B2.50B2.55B2.57B2.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments140.54M140.54M127.97M106.02M85.59M154.05M
Total Debt597.76M597.76M645.75M595.86M615.55M600.47M
Total Liabilities1.22B1.22B1.22B1.23B1.28B1.30B
Stockholders Equity1.28B1.28B1.25B1.28B1.25B1.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow119.35M119.35M169.55M163.56M84.52M108.38M
Operating Cash Flow208.32M208.32M277.11M257.94M181.44M235.68M
Investing Cash Flow-61.83M-61.83M-109.43M-89.23M-94.94M-122.98M
Financing Cash Flow-133.92M-133.92M-141.75M-143.11M-150.74M-574.25M

Kennametal Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price20.62
Price Trends
50DMA
23.00
Negative
100DMA
21.56
Negative
200DMA
22.87
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.77
Positive
RSI
34.01
Neutral
STOCH
34.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KMT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 20.62 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.57, below the 50-day MA of 23.00, and below the 200-day MA of 22.87, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.77 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KMT.

Kennametal Risk Analysis

Kennametal disclosed 9 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kennametal reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kennametal Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$12.78B50.948.56%5.48%16.88%
78
Outperform
$16.98B17.3518.18%2.54%-0.76%-2.62%
74
Outperform
$13.36B27.2337.35%1.22%0.24%0.05%
72
Outperform
$5.36B17.4910.52%1.78%-2.01%-9.95%
66
Neutral
$11.06B22.655.38%4.59%-2.71%
64
Neutral
$10.83B16.506.52%2.09%2.39%-16.50%
60
Neutral
$1.57B17.187.35%3.95%-3.91%-12.49%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KMT
Kennametal
20.62
-3.09
-13.03%
LECO
Lincoln Electric Holdings
242.11
55.81
29.96%
RBC
RBC Bearings
404.99
120.99
42.60%
SNA
Snap-on
325.56
59.24
22.24%
SWK
Stanley Black & Decker
71.43
-20.24
-22.08%
TKR
Timken Company
76.91
-3.38
-4.21%

Kennametal Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsDividends
Kennametal Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Neutral
Jul 30, 2025

On July 27, 2025, Steven H. Wunning announced he will not seek re-election to Kennametal Inc.’s Board of Directors and will retire at the October 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareowners, ending his tenure since 2005 and his role as Chairman of the Audit Committee. On July 29, 2025, Kennametal’s Board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $.20 per share, payable on August 26, 2025, to shareholders recorded by August 12, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (KMT) stock is a Sell with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kennametal stock, see the KMT Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Kennametal Sells Subsidiary to Private Equity Firm
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 6, 2025, Kennametal Inc. announced the sale of its subsidiary, Kennametal Stellite, L.P., in Goshen, IN, to a Chicago-based private equity firm. The transaction, which brought in $19 million, is part of Kennametal’s strategy to improve its sales mix and focus on long-term strategic priorities. The subsidiary accounted for less than 2% of the company’s total sales and was considered immaterial to its profitability. The proceeds from the sale are intended for general corporate purposes, with potential additional earnings based on future performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (KMT) stock is a Hold with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kennametal stock, see the KMT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025