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Kennametal Inc. (KMT)
NYSE:KMT

Kennametal (KMT) AI Stock Analysis

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KMT

Kennametal

(NYSE:KMT)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$31.00
▲(9.04% Upside)
Kennametal's overall stock score reflects a stable financial position with some challenges in profitability and cash flow efficiency. Positive technical indicators and a favorable earnings call outlook contribute to a moderately strong score. Valuation concerns slightly offset these strengths, but corporate events provide additional stability.
Positive Factors
Market Share Gains
Significant project wins in high-growth sectors enhance Kennametal's market position, supporting long-term revenue growth and competitive advantage.
Improved Sales and EPS Outlook
Raising sales and EPS outlook indicates effective strategic execution and pricing power, suggesting potential for sustained financial performance.
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Improvement
Improved EBITDA margins reflect operational efficiency and cost management, enhancing profitability and financial stability over time.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Declining cash flow indicates potential liquidity constraints, which could limit investment capacity and financial flexibility in the long term.
Transportation Market Decline
Declining transportation sales highlight regional market challenges, potentially impacting revenue growth and market presence in key areas.
General Engineering Market Softness
Flat sales in General Engineering suggest demand weakness, which may affect revenue stability and growth prospects in this segment.

Kennametal (KMT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kennametal Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKennametal Inc. engages in development and application of tungsten carbides, ceramics, and super-hard materials and solutions for use in metal cutting and extreme wear applications to enable customers work against corrosion and high temperatures conditions worldwide. The company operates through two segments, Metal Cutting and Infrastructure. It offers standard and custom products, including turning, milling, hole making, tooling systems, and services, as well as specialized wear components and metallurgical powders for manufacturers engaged in various industries, such as the manufacturers of transportation vehicles and components, machine tools, and light and heavy machinery; airframe and aerospace components; and energy-related components for the oil and gas industry, as well as power generation. The company also provides specified product design, selection, application, and support services; and standard and custom metal cutting solutions to aerospace, general engineering, energy, and transportation customers. In addition, it produces compacts, nozzles, frac seats, and custom components used in oil and gas, and petrochemical industries; rod blanks and abrasive water jet nozzles for general industries; earth cutting tools and systems used in underground mining, trenching and foundation drilling, and road milling; tungsten carbide powders for the oil and gas, aerospace, and process industries; and ceramics used by the packaging industry for metallization of films and papers. It provides its products under the Kennametal, WIDIA, WIDIA Hanita, and WIDIA GTD brands through its direct sales force; a network of independent and national distributors; integrated supplier channels; and through the Internet. The company was founded in 1938 and is based in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyKennametal generates revenue through the sale of its products, which include cutting tools, industrial components, and wear-resistant materials. The company's revenue model is primarily based on direct sales to end-users in various industries, as well as through distribution partners. Key revenue streams include sales of cutting tools and tooling systems, which are critical in machining operations, and specialized services that enhance tool performance and lifespan. Additionally, Kennametal benefits from long-term contracts and partnerships with large manufacturers, providing a stable revenue base. The company also invests in research and development to innovate and expand its product offerings, ensuring they meet the evolving needs of their customers, which contributes to sustained earnings growth.

Kennametal Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive sentiment, with significant project wins and market share gains in strategic growth areas offsetting challenges in certain markets and cash flow constraints. The outlook was positively revised, supported by effective price management and improved market conditions.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Project Wins and Market Share Gains
Infrastructure secured 2 large project wins within Earthworks, with additional wins in Energy, Aerospace, and Defense, and Transportation. These wins helped increase market share in high-growth sectors.
Improved Sales and EPS Outlook
Kennametal raised its FY '26 sales and EPS outlook, reflecting modestly improved market conditions, additional pricing actions, and favorable performance in the first quarter.
Organic Sales Growth After Market Weakness
Year-over-year sales increased 3% organically, marking the first quarter of organic growth in 2 years, showing relief from past broad market weakness.
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA margin increased to 15.3% from 14.3% in the prior year quarter, driven by improved pricing and restructuring savings.
Positive Price/Cost Dynamics
Implemented pricing actions in response to rising tungsten costs, confident in ability to offset these through price adjustments.
Negative Updates
Cash Flow and Working Capital Challenges
Cash from operating activities year-to-date was $17 million compared to $46 million in the prior year, with negative free operating cash flow of $5 million compared to $21 million positive in the prior year.
Transportation Market Decline
Transportation sales declined 1% year-over-year due to project timing in Asia Pacific and an overall slowdown in EMEA and the Americas.
General Engineering Market Softness
General Engineering sales were flat year-over-year, reflecting lower production activity, particularly in EMEA.
Company Guidance
In the Kennametal First Quarter Fiscal 2026 earnings call, the company raised its sales and EPS outlook for the fiscal year, reflecting improved market conditions, successful pricing strategies, and positive performance in the first quarter. Sales grew 3% organically, marking the first organic growth in two years, with adjusted EPS increasing to $0.34 from $0.29 in the prior year. The adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 15.3% from 14.3%, driven by price adjustments and restructuring savings of $8 million. Despite facing higher tungsten costs, tariffs, and general inflation, Kennametal achieved better-than-expected volume across all end markets, including notable project wins in Earthworks, Energy, Aerospace, Defense, and Transportation. The company returned $25 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends. Looking forward, Kennametal projects fiscal 2026 sales to be between $2.1 billion and $2.17 billion, with adjusted EPS between $1.35 and $1.65, supported by additional pricing actions and tariff surcharges.

Kennametal Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kennametal shows stable revenue and profit margins with a balanced capital structure. However, declining profitability and cash flow metrics indicate challenges in operational efficiency and liquidity management.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Kennametal's income statement shows a stable gross profit margin of around 30% and a net profit margin of approximately 4.8% in the TTM period. The revenue growth rate is positive at 0.815% TTM, indicating a slight recovery from previous declines. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased compared to previous years, suggesting some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.45 TTM, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is at 7.4% TTM, which is a decrease from previous years, suggesting a decline in profitability. The equity ratio remains stable, indicating a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decrease in free cash flow growth by 22.2% TTM, highlighting potential liquidity challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.45, indicating moderate cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.52, suggesting that cash flow generation is not fully aligned with net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.98B1.97B2.05B2.08B2.01B1.84B
Gross Profit603.21M598.07M627.09M646.44M647.98M552.48M
EBITDA296.86M293.43M305.61M322.14M364.32M237.52M
Net Income94.30M93.13M109.32M118.46M144.62M54.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.52B2.55B2.50B2.55B2.57B2.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments103.50M140.54M127.97M106.02M85.59M154.05M
Total Debt641.59M643.36M645.75M639.42M663.28M651.49M
Total Liabilities1.19B1.22B1.22B1.23B1.28B1.30B
Stockholders Equity1.28B1.28B1.25B1.28B1.25B1.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow92.86M119.35M169.55M163.56M84.52M108.38M
Operating Cash Flow180.06M208.32M277.11M257.94M181.44M235.68M
Investing Cash Flow-64.58M-61.83M-109.43M-89.23M-94.94M-122.98M
Financing Cash Flow-128.64M-133.92M-141.75M-143.11M-150.74M-574.25M

Kennametal Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price28.43
Price Trends
50DMA
25.40
Positive
100DMA
23.34
Positive
200DMA
22.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.95
Positive
RSI
60.69
Neutral
STOCH
46.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KMT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 28.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.01, above the 50-day MA of 25.40, and above the 200-day MA of 22.31, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.95 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KMT.

Kennametal Risk Analysis

Kennametal disclosed 9 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kennametal reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kennametal Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$18.00B18.1417.96%2.56%0.24%-1.85%
77
Outperform
$13.32B25.9538.11%1.23%3.27%10.89%
77
Outperform
$14.07B54.888.54%8.27%19.06%
76
Outperform
$5.86B19.909.80%1.64%-1.01%-12.13%
72
Outperform
$2.17B23.407.36%2.81%-2.63%-4.46%
68
Neutral
$11.14B24.884.92%4.52%-1.40%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KMT
Kennametal
28.43
4.71
19.86%
LECO
Lincoln Electric Holdings
243.69
56.72
30.34%
RBC
RBC Bearings
449.77
143.49
46.85%
SNA
Snap-on
345.94
11.41
3.41%
SWK
Stanley Black & Decker
72.94
-5.40
-6.89%
TKR
Timken Company
84.92
14.57
20.71%

Kennametal Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Kennametal Announces New Financial Obligation Agreement
Neutral
Nov 19, 2025

The news release from Kennametal does not provide specific details about the company’s industry, products, or market focus. The release references an agreement, but lacks further context or information about its impact on the company’s operations or industry positioning.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsDividends
Kennametal Announces Director Elections and Dividend Declaration
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

At its Annual Meeting on October 28, 2025, Kennametal Inc. announced the election of eight directors, the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as its independent auditor for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2026, and an advisory approval of executive compensation. Additionally, the Board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.20 per share, payable on November 24, 2025, indicating a stable financial outlook and commitment to shareholder returns.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025