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Kennametal Inc. (KMT)
NYSE:KMT
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Kennametal (KMT) AI Stock Analysis

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KMT

Kennametal

(NYSE:KMT)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$28.00
▲(7.44% Upside)
Kennametal's overall score is driven by a positive earnings call and stable financial performance, despite some operational challenges. The technical analysis suggests potential overbought conditions, and valuation metrics indicate reasonable pricing with a good dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Market Share Gains
Securing large project wins across various sectors indicates strong competitive positioning and potential for sustained market share growth.
Improved Sales and EPS Outlook
Raising sales and EPS outlook suggests confidence in strategic initiatives and market conditions, supporting long-term revenue and profitability growth.
Organic Sales Growth
Achieving organic sales growth after a period of decline indicates recovery and potential for sustained revenue expansion in core markets.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Significant decline in cash flow from operations can limit investment in growth opportunities and affect financial flexibility.
Transportation Market Decline
Declining sales in the transportation market suggest potential headwinds in a key sector, impacting overall revenue growth prospects.
General Engineering Market Softness
Flat sales in General Engineering highlight challenges in demand, particularly in EMEA, which could hinder growth in this segment.

Kennametal (KMT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kennametal Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKennametal Inc. (KMT) is a global leader in tooling and industrial materials, specializing in providing advanced materials, tooling solutions, and wear-resistant products for various industries, including aerospace, automotive, construction, energy, and metalworking. The company designs and manufactures cutting tools, tooling systems, and other engineered products that enhance productivity and efficiency in manufacturing processes. Kennametal operates through two primary segments: Metal Cutting and Infrastructure, offering a broad range of products such as inserts, tool holders, and wear parts designed to withstand extreme conditions.
How the Company Makes MoneyKennametal generates revenue primarily through the sale of its tooling and wear-resistant products. The company operates a diversified revenue model that includes direct sales to end-users, distribution agreements, and partnerships with original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). Key revenue streams come from the Metal Cutting segment, which focuses on precision cutting tools and solutions, and the Infrastructure segment, which provides products for heavy machinery and construction applications. Additionally, Kennametal benefits from ongoing relationships with customers through service agreements, providing maintenance and support for their products, which creates recurring revenue. The company's innovation in product development and strategic acquisitions also contribute significantly to its earning potential.

Kennametal Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive sentiment, with significant project wins and market share gains in strategic growth areas offsetting challenges in certain markets and cash flow constraints. The outlook was positively revised, supported by effective price management and improved market conditions.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Project Wins and Market Share Gains
Infrastructure secured 2 large project wins within Earthworks, with additional wins in Energy, Aerospace, and Defense, and Transportation. These wins helped increase market share in high-growth sectors.
Improved Sales and EPS Outlook
Kennametal raised its FY '26 sales and EPS outlook, reflecting modestly improved market conditions, additional pricing actions, and favorable performance in the first quarter.
Organic Sales Growth After Market Weakness
Year-over-year sales increased 3% organically, marking the first quarter of organic growth in 2 years, showing relief from past broad market weakness.
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA margin increased to 15.3% from 14.3% in the prior year quarter, driven by improved pricing and restructuring savings.
Positive Price/Cost Dynamics
Implemented pricing actions in response to rising tungsten costs, confident in ability to offset these through price adjustments.
Negative Updates
Cash Flow and Working Capital Challenges
Cash from operating activities year-to-date was $17 million compared to $46 million in the prior year, with negative free operating cash flow of $5 million compared to $21 million positive in the prior year.
Transportation Market Decline
Transportation sales declined 1% year-over-year due to project timing in Asia Pacific and an overall slowdown in EMEA and the Americas.
General Engineering Market Softness
General Engineering sales were flat year-over-year, reflecting lower production activity, particularly in EMEA.
Company Guidance
In the Kennametal First Quarter Fiscal 2026 earnings call, the company raised its sales and EPS outlook for the fiscal year, reflecting improved market conditions, successful pricing strategies, and positive performance in the first quarter. Sales grew 3% organically, marking the first organic growth in two years, with adjusted EPS increasing to $0.34 from $0.29 in the prior year. The adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 15.3% from 14.3%, driven by price adjustments and restructuring savings of $8 million. Despite facing higher tungsten costs, tariffs, and general inflation, Kennametal achieved better-than-expected volume across all end markets, including notable project wins in Earthworks, Energy, Aerospace, Defense, and Transportation. The company returned $25 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends. Looking forward, Kennametal projects fiscal 2026 sales to be between $2.1 billion and $2.17 billion, with adjusted EPS between $1.35 and $1.65, supported by additional pricing actions and tariff surcharges.

Kennametal Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kennametal demonstrates a stable financial position with strengths in operational efficiency and a balanced leverage profile. However, challenges in revenue growth and profitability, as well as declining free cash flow, suggest areas for strategic focus to enhance future performance.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Kennametal's income statement reflects moderate stability with a gross profit margin of approximately 30.4% and a net profit margin of 4.7% in the latest year. However, the company experienced a slight decline in revenue growth rate at -1.35%, indicating challenges in expanding sales. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively healthy at 7.98% and 14.92%, respectively, suggesting efficient operational management despite revenue pressures.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a solid debt-to-equity ratio of 0.47, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. The equity ratio stands at approximately 50.4%, reflecting a strong equity base. However, the return on equity is currently at 0%, which highlights a need for improved profitability to enhance shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decrease in free cash flow growth by 21.76%, which could impact future investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.49, suggesting moderate efficiency in converting income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.57 indicates a reasonable level of cash generation relative to profits, though there is room for improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.98B1.97B2.05B2.08B2.01B1.84B
Gross Profit601.61M598.07M627.09M646.44M647.98M552.48M
EBITDA259.75M293.43M306.63M333.15M371.12M282.72M
Net Income94.30M93.13M109.32M118.46M144.62M54.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.52B2.55B2.50B2.55B2.57B2.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments103.50M140.54M127.97M106.02M85.59M154.05M
Total Debt598.39M643.36M645.75M595.86M615.55M600.47M
Total Liabilities1.19B1.22B1.22B1.23B1.28B1.30B
Stockholders Equity1.33B1.28B1.25B1.28B1.25B1.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow92.86M119.35M169.55M163.56M84.52M108.38M
Operating Cash Flow180.06M208.32M277.11M257.94M181.44M235.68M
Investing Cash Flow-64.58M-61.83M-109.43M-89.23M-94.94M-122.98M
Financing Cash Flow-128.64M-133.92M-141.75M-143.11M-150.74M-574.25M

Kennametal Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price26.06
Price Trends
50DMA
21.77
Positive
100DMA
22.33
Positive
200DMA
21.66
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.67
Negative
RSI
76.32
Negative
STOCH
61.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KMT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 26.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.61, above the 50-day MA of 21.77, and above the 200-day MA of 21.66, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.67 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.32 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KMT.

Kennametal Risk Analysis

Kennametal disclosed 9 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kennametal reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kennametal Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$13.64B52.708.54%8.27%19.06%
76
Outperform
$5.47B18.569.80%1.77%-1.01%-12.13%
75
Outperform
$12.38B24.1238.11%1.32%3.27%10.89%
75
Outperform
$17.62B17.7517.96%2.51%0.24%-1.85%
72
Outperform
$1.92B20.757.36%3.49%-2.63%-4.46%
64
Neutral
$10.78B24.094.92%4.86%-1.40%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KMT
Kennametal
26.06
-2.41
-8.47%
LECO
Lincoln Electric Holdings
227.00
16.48
7.83%
RBC
RBC Bearings
431.93
112.08
35.04%
SNA
Snap-on
341.35
-8.87
-2.53%
SWK
Stanley Black & Decker
67.47
-18.89
-21.87%
TKR
Timken Company
77.95
2.49
3.30%

Kennametal Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesDividendsShareholder Meetings
Kennametal Announces Director Elections and Dividend Declaration
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

At its Annual Meeting on October 28, 2025, Kennametal Inc. announced the election of eight directors, the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as its independent auditor for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2026, and an advisory approval of executive compensation. Additionally, the Board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.20 per share, payable on November 24, 2025, indicating a stable financial outlook and commitment to shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (KMT) stock is a Hold with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kennametal stock, see the KMT Stock Forecast page.

Kennametal Inc’s Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiments and Cautious Outlook
Aug 8, 2025

Kennametal Inc’s recent earnings call conveyed a mixed sentiment, with positive developments such as significant defense contracts and cost-saving measures being overshadowed by persistent market weaknesses and declining sales. The company expressed a cautious outlook for fiscal 2026 due to these challenges.

Kennametal Inc. Reports Fiscal 2025 Earnings
Aug 7, 2025

Kennametal Inc. is a global leader in industrial technology, providing cutting-edge materials science, tooling, and wear-resistant solutions across various sectors, including aerospace, defense, and energy. The company has a strong presence in nearly 100 countries, with a workforce of approximately 8,100 employees.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025