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Kennametal Inc. (KMT)
NYSE:KMT

Kennametal (KMT) AI Stock Analysis

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Kennametal

(NYSE:KMT)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$23.50
▲(6.00%Upside)
Kennametal's overall stock score reflects a solid financial foundation and positive corporate developments. However, mixed technical indicators and moderate valuation hold back a higher score. Earnings call insights suggest confidence in long-term growth, despite current challenges.
Positive Factors
Earnings
KMT reported a better than expected FQ3 with an adjusted EPS of $0.47, surpassing the consensus of $0.24.
Operational Improvement
Operational progress was observed with a metal cutting decremental margin of 27%, better than expected compared to previous quarters.
Negative Factors
Foreign Exchange
Higher foreign exchange headwinds are impacting the company's financial outlook.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Struggles to see upside due to macroeconomic uncertainty with tariffs have led to an Underperform rating.
Revenue Growth
Lower organic revenue growth across both Metal Cutting and Infrastructure segments reflects weakness in Europe and Transportation end markets.

Kennametal (KMT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kennametal Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKennametal Inc. is a global leader in the manufacturing of tooling and industrial materials. The company operates through two main segments: Industrial and Infrastructure. The Industrial segment provides tooling solutions and engineering services to a wide range of industries, including aerospace, transportation, and general engineering. The Infrastructure segment focuses on products and services for sectors such as energy, earthworks, and mining. Kennametal is known for its high-performance tooling and wear-resistant solutions that enhance productivity and efficiency in challenging environments.
How the Company Makes MoneyKennametal makes money primarily through the sale of its tooling, engineered components, and advanced materials to various industries. Revenue is generated through two main segments: the Industrial segment, which serves industries such as aerospace, defense, transportation, and general engineering with metal-cutting tools and solutions; and the Infrastructure segment, which targets sectors like energy, earthworks, and mining with wear-resistant products and surface technologies. In addition to direct sales, Kennametal benefits from long-term contracts and relationships with key clients, as well as global distribution networks that expand its reach. The company also invests in research and development to innovate and maintain competitive advantages in its product offerings.

Kennametal Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 12.88%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong execution on restructuring and growth in Aerospace and Defense, supported by tax credits and shareholder returns. However, these positives were tempered by significant sales declines, market weakness in EMEA, and tariff-related challenges, balancing the positive and negative aspects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Advanced Manufacturing Tax Credit Boost
Adjusted EPS was above expectations, primarily due to a $10 million benefit from an advanced manufacturing production credit under the Inflation Reduction Act.
Restructuring Savings Achieved
The company realized approximately $6 million in restructuring savings in the quarter, on pace to achieve the $15 million run-rate savings committed to in January.
Aerospace and Defense Growth
Sales in Aerospace and Defense increased 7%, propelled by defense project wins in infrastructure.
Share Repurchase and Dividend Programs
The company continued its share repurchase program with $25 million of shares bought back during the quarter and paid $15 million in dividends.
Improved Profitability
Adjusted EPS increased to $0.47 compared to $0.30 in the prior year quarter, benefiting from restructuring, absence of price raw headwinds, and tax credits.
Negative Updates
Sales Decline
Sales decreased 6% year-over-year, with metal cutting sales declining 4% organically and infrastructure declining 2% organically.
Market Weakness in EMEA
Broad weakness across regions, with EMEA remaining the slowest market, down 4% on a constant-currency basis.
Tariff-Related Headwinds
The estimated annual impact of tariffs is approximately $80 million, with expected short-term headwinds as mitigation actions are implemented.
Decline in End Markets
Sales declined across all end markets except Aerospace and Defense, impacted by lower mining activity and challenges in General Engineering, Transportation, and Earthworks.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter fiscal 2025 earnings call, Kennametal provided guidance emphasizing key metrics and future outlooks. The company reported a sales decrease of 6% year-over-year, with metal cutting sales declining 4% organically and infrastructure declining 2% organically. Despite these challenges, adjusted earnings per share (EPS) increased to $0.47 compared to $0.30 in the prior year, buoyed by an advanced manufacturing tax credit and $6 million in restructuring savings. The fiscal 2025 outlook was adjusted with a tighter sales range of $1.97 to $1.99 billion and an increased EPS range of $1.30 to $1.45, reflecting favorable third-quarter performance. Kennametal also outlined its strategy to mitigate an $80 million tariff impact through global footprint optimization, alternative supply options, and tariff surcharges. The company remains confident in long-term industrial production trends, despite short-term market pressures, and is committed to executing value creation initiatives to drive above-market growth and margin improvements.

Kennametal Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kennametal demonstrates a stable financial position with consistent profitability and sound cash flow management. Despite slight declines in revenue and profitability margins, the company maintains low leverage and effective capital utilization.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Kennametal's income statement demonstrates a relatively stable financial performance. The Gross Profit Margin for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) is 31.15%, which shows consistent profitability, though slightly down from previous years. The Net Profit Margin stands at 5.45% for TTM, indicating moderate profitability but a decline compared to historical data. Revenue for TTM has decreased by 2.6% compared to the previous year, signaling a slight contraction. EBIT and EBITDA Margins for TTM are 8.76% and 14.01% respectively, reflective of efficient operations, albeit with a decrease from the last year.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a robust capital structure with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.05 for TTM, indicating low leverage and financial stability. Return on Equity (ROE) for TTM is 8.79%, showcasing a reasonable return on shareholders' investment. The Equity Ratio for TTM is 49.67%, signifying a balanced asset financing through equity. Despite the solid equity position, there has been a slight decline in total assets over the years.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Kennametal's cash flow statement indicates solid cash generation capabilities. The Free Cash Flow for TTM is $152.55 million, albeit a reduction compared to the previous year. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 2.24, suggesting strong cash earnings. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio stands at 1.40, reflecting efficient cash management practices despite a decrease in free cash flow growth.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.99B2.05B2.08B2.01B1.84B1.89B
Gross Profit
620.90M627.09M646.44M647.98M552.48M529.47M
EBIT
174.76M170.22M192.42M218.14M140.10M142.09M
EBITDA
279.35M306.63M333.15M371.12M282.72M277.68M
Net Income Common Stockholders
108.72M109.32M118.46M144.62M54.43M-5.05M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
99.98M127.97M106.02M85.59M154.05M606.68M
Total Assets
2.66B2.50B2.55B2.57B2.67B3.04B
Total Debt
621.87M645.75M595.86M615.55M600.47M1.09B
Net Debt
521.89M517.78M489.84M529.96M446.43M487.77M
Total Liabilities
1.30B1.22B1.23B1.28B1.30B1.77B
Stockholders Equity
1.32B1.25B1.28B1.25B1.33B1.23B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
152.55M169.55M163.56M84.52M108.38M-20.41M
Operating Cash Flow
243.38M277.11M257.94M181.44M235.68M223.74M
Investing Cash Flow
-83.37M-109.43M-89.23M-94.94M-122.98M-218.34M
Financing Cash Flow
-151.11M-141.75M-143.11M-150.74M-574.25M425.45M

Kennametal Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price22.17
Price Trends
50DMA
20.31
Positive
100DMA
21.29
Positive
200DMA
23.40
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.40
Positive
RSI
62.41
Neutral
STOCH
82.28
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KMT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.67, above the 50-day MA of 20.31, and below the 200-day MA of 23.40, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.40 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 62.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.28 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KMT.

Kennametal Risk Analysis

Kennametal disclosed 9 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kennametal reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kennametal Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$11.25B24.8634.83%1.45%-2.29%-14.49%
RBRBC
77
Outperform
$12.00B49.648.51%4.87%19.66%
SNSNA
75
Outperform
$16.82B16.8319.15%2.57%-0.88%0.04%
TKTKR
74
Outperform
$5.02B15.4911.85%1.91%-3.69%-11.76%
KMKMT
71
Outperform
$1.67B15.858.69%3.65%-2.93%2.74%
SWSWK
66
Neutral
$10.23B28.094.03%4.94%-3.04%
66
Neutral
$4.50B12.295.40%248.66%4.13%-12.33%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KMT
Kennametal
22.17
-1.64
-6.89%
LECO
Lincoln Electric Holdings
202.99
20.75
11.39%
RBC
RBC Bearings
381.22
107.24
39.14%
SNA
Snap-on
320.76
61.92
23.92%
SWK
Stanley Black & Decker
67.21
-13.20
-16.42%
TKR
Timken Company
72.63
-8.81
-10.82%

Kennametal Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Kennametal Sells Subsidiary to Private Equity Firm
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 6, 2025, Kennametal Inc. announced the sale of its subsidiary, Kennametal Stellite, L.P., in Goshen, IN, to a Chicago-based private equity firm. The transaction, which brought in $19 million, is part of Kennametal’s strategy to improve its sales mix and focus on long-term strategic priorities. The subsidiary accounted for less than 2% of the company’s total sales and was considered immaterial to its profitability. The proceeds from the sale are intended for general corporate purposes, with potential additional earnings based on future performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (KMT) stock is a Hold with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kennametal stock, see the KMT Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Kennametal Appoints Shelley Bausch to Board of Directors
Positive
May 1, 2025

On April 29, 2025, Kennametal Inc. announced the appointment of Shelley Bausch to its Board of Directors, effective May 1, 2025, replacing Cindy L. Davis, who will retire on September 1, 2025. Bausch, a seasoned leader with over 30 years of experience in global manufacturing businesses, is expected to bring her expertise in operational and commercial excellence to the board, aiding in the company’s strategic advancement and shareholder value delivery.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.