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Seven & I Holdings (SVNDY)
OTHER OTC:SVNDY

Seven & I Holdings (SVNDY) AI Stock Analysis

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SVNDY

Seven & I Holdings

(OTC:SVNDY)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$15.00
▲(5.04% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by mid-range financial performance with thin margins and recent TTM revenue/FCF deterioration, plus a mixed earnings-call picture with large special losses and a sharp operating-income decline. Offsetting these are mildly positive technical signals and a broadly reasonable valuation, though the dividend yield is modest.
Positive Factors
High-margin proprietary products
Proprietary product lines delivering materially higher margins provide a durable competitive advantage: they drive customer frequency, improve per-store profitability, and give control over assortment and pricing. Scalable across stores, this supports structural margin uplift versus peers over time.
Expanding delivery channel (7NOW)
Rapid growth in 7NOW reflects structural shifts toward omnichannel convenience and last-mile fulfillment. Building a large delivery footprint creates recurring, higher-frequency sales, leverages existing store density, and diversifies revenue sources away from pure in-store transactions long-term.
International expansion driving profitability
Successful expansion in select international markets diversifies revenue and reduces reliance on domestic trends. Profitable growth in Australia and Vietnam demonstrates scalable franchising/operating models and offers exposure to higher-growth retail markets, supporting sustainable top-line and earnings growth.
Negative Factors
Thin net margins persist
Persistently low net margins limit the firm's ability to absorb cost shocks, invest, and generate shareholder returns. With margins around 1–2%, operational setbacks or inflation materially compress profits, constraining free cash flow and long-term reinvestment capacity.
TTM revenue and free cash flow deterioration
Recent declines in trailing-twelve-month revenue and free cash flow indicate weakening operational momentum and less reliable cash generation. Volatile cash conversion undermines funding for capex, dividends, and strategic investments, reducing financial flexibility over the medium term.
Large special losses and sharp operating decline
Substantial special losses tied to closures and system integration signal structural remediation costs and lower-quality earnings. These write-downs and a sharply lower operating income indicate execution risk and drag retained earnings, hampering near-term recovery and ROI on strategic initiatives.

Seven & I Holdings (SVNDY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Seven & I Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSeven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. engages in retail, food, financial, and IT businesses in Japan, North America, and internationally. It operates through seven segments: Domestic Convenience Store operations, Overseas Convenience Store Operations, Superstore Operations, Department Store Operations, Financial Services, Specialty Stores Operations, and Others. The company's Domestic Convenience Store Operations segment operates convenience stores comprising directly managed corporate stores and franchised stores. Its Overseas Convenience Store Operations segment engages in convenience store operation and gasoline retail businesses. The company's Superstore Operations segment operates retail business that provide daily life necessities, such as food and other daily necessities. Its Department Store Operations operates department stores that provide various merchandise products. The company's Financial Services segment offers banking, leasing, and credit card services. Its Specialty Store Operations segment operates specialty retail stores. The company's others segment engages in real estate and other businesses. It operates approximately 22,500 stores in Japan and 71,800 stores internationally. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneySeven & I Holdings generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from its retail operations. The core revenue comes from the sales of food, beverages, and household items at its convenience stores, with 7-Eleven being a flagship brand. The company also earns money from its supermarket and department store divisions, which sell groceries, clothing, and other consumer goods. Franchise fees from 7-Eleven stores, along with royalties from franchisees, contribute significantly to its income. Additionally, the company engages in real estate operations and logistics services, enhancing its revenue base. Strategic partnerships with suppliers and vendors allow Seven & I to optimize its supply chain and maintain competitive pricing, further driving profitability.

Seven & I Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 09, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 15, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong revenue growth and positive future outlooks in several areas, such as proprietary products and global expansion. However, significant declines in operating income, special losses, and challenges in the domestic market present considerable setbacks. The balance between these factors suggests a cautious optimism moving forward.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Revenues from operations reached JPY 9,069.5 billion, which is 105.7% year-on-year, indicating strong growth in revenue.
Positive Outlook for Future Growth
The company is optimistic about building a solid management foundation for strong profit growth in the future, with strategic streamlining of business and assets.
Successful Proprietary Product Strategy
7-Eleven's proprietary products, including fresh foods and beverages, have driven improvements in sales and customer traffic, with a margin of 40.5% compared to the overall system margin of 33.3%.
7NOW Delivery Growth
The 7NOW delivery network is growing at a 24% rate on a same-store basis, aiming to reach $1 billion in sales by 2025.
Global Expansion Success
7-Eleven International's revenues from operations grew significantly, with strategic investments in Australia and Vietnam contributing to profit growth.
Enhancement of Freshly Baked Products
7-Eleven Japan is expanding its freshly baked products to approximately 10,000 stores, contributing to profits and increasing customer numbers.
Negative Updates
Decline in Operating Income
Operating income decreased by JPY 94.6 billion from the previous term, showing a decline of 76.9% year-on-year.
Significant Special Losses
The company recorded JPY 133.4 billion in special losses due to store closures and system integration, expecting JPY 149.6 billion for the full year.
Challenges in Domestic Market
7-Eleven Japan struggled with a perception of high prices among consumers, impacting the number of customers and sales.
Underperformance in Superstore Operations
The superstore operations fell short of EBITDA targets, impacted by rising costs and a slump in demand for seasonal clothing.
CrowdStrike Outage Impact
7-Eleven's Q3 results were negatively impacted by a CrowdStrike outage, disrupting point-of-sale systems in Speedway stores.
Company Guidance
In the Q3 2025 earnings call for Seven & i Holdings, the company provided guidance on various metrics and strategic initiatives aimed at enhancing enterprise and shareholder value. For the third quarter of 2024, revenues from operations reached JPY 9,069.5 billion, representing a 105.7% year-on-year increase, while operating income was JPY 315.4 billion, marking a decrease of 76.9% year-on-year. Net profit stood at JPY 63.6 billion, a significant decline from the previous term. The company emphasized its strategic focus on streamlining low-profit businesses and assets, with anticipated completion within the fiscal year to drive profit growth in 2025 and beyond. The call highlighted the impact of special losses, totaling JPY 178.9 billion for the first nine months, with a full-year forecast of JPY 149.6 billion in special losses. The company aims to achieve a cumulative EBITDA target of over JPY 55 billion and a ROIC of more than 4% for fiscal 2025, with a focus on maximizing corporate value through structural optimization, strategic investments, and an IPO consideration for the superstore business.

Seven & I Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mid-range fundamentals: steady but thin profitability (net margin ~1–2%) with no clear margin expansion, and notable near-term weakness as TTM revenue and free-cash-flow declined. Leverage appears moderate (~1.0x debt/equity), but limited cushion if profitability weakens.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Profitability is steady but low for the sector: gross margin has held near ~28–30% in recent annual periods, while net margin remains thin (~1–2%) and has compressed versus 2022–2023. Growth has been volatile—strong expansion in 2022–2023, modest growth in 2025 (annual), and a sharp revenue decline in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), which is a key near-term concern. Operating profitability remains positive, but margins are not expanding and earnings power looks pressured in the latest period.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Leverage is meaningful but generally controlled: debt is around ~1.0x equity across recent annual reports, indicating a fairly balanced capital structure rather than an over-levered one. Returns on equity are positive but not consistently strong (roughly mid-single digits to ~8%), suggesting decent—but not exceptional—efficiency in turning equity into profits. Overall balance sheet risk looks moderate; the main watch item is limited cushion if profitability weakens given only modest returns.
Cash Flow
54
Neutral
Cash generation is positive, with free cash flow consistently positive across periods, but it has been choppy: strong improvement in 2023 and 2025 (annual) followed by a large decline in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Free cash flow has covered a meaningful portion of reported earnings (roughly ~32–54% depending on the year/TTM), but cash conversion is not consistently strong. Overall, the business generates cash, yet the recent trajectory points to weakening momentum and variability.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.97T11.47T11.81T8.75T5.77T
Gross Profit3.49T3.41T3.31T2.73T2.29T
EBITDA905.53B840.83B995.32B751.49B529.90B
Net Income173.07B224.62B280.98B210.77B179.26B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.39T10.59T10.55T8.74T6.95T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.37T1.56T1.67T1.42T2.20T
Total Debt4.10T3.84T4.04T2.96T1.76T
Total Liabilities7.17T6.69T6.90T5.59T4.12T
Stockholders Equity4.03T3.72T3.47T2.98T2.67T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow337.44B215.37B623.26B312.05B242.14B
Operating Cash Flow876.46B673.01B928.48B736.48B540.00B
Investing Cash Flow-732.36B-431.81B-413.23B-2.51T-393.94B
Financing Cash Flow-392.65B-377.06B-270.37B937.08B690.54B

Seven & I Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price14.28
Price Trends
50DMA
13.79
Positive
100DMA
13.49
Positive
200DMA
14.04
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Positive
RSI
45.57
Neutral
STOCH
42.53
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SVNDY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 14.28 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.30, above the 50-day MA of 13.79, and above the 200-day MA of 14.04, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SVNDY.

Seven & I Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$7.94B15.2236.96%16.60%49.76%
67
Neutral
$1.70B18.127.22%2.06%3.11%6.54%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
58
Neutral
$36.93B17.566.22%1.08%-2.16%92.96%
56
Neutral
$39.55B57.247.75%2.15%-1.77%-70.83%
54
Neutral
$8.93B11.1929.65%3.49%2.08%-1.63%
52
Neutral
$956.84M-201.47-0.37%7.22%-108.99%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SVNDY
Seven & I Holdings
13.92
-1.79
-11.41%
KR
Kroger Company
63.19
5.99
10.48%
WMK
Weis Markets
68.99
4.13
6.37%
SFM
Sprouts Farmers
78.59
-68.41
-46.54%
GO
Grocery Outlet Holding
9.59
-6.36
-39.87%
ACI
Albertsons Companies
17.32
-1.75
-9.17%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 10, 2026