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Sumco Corporation (SUOPY)
OTHER OTC:SUOPY
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Sumco (SUOPY) AI Stock Analysis

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SUOPY

Sumco

(OTC:SUOPY)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$37.00
▲(91.51% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
The score is held down primarily by weakened financial performance (net loss, steep margin compression, and negative free cash flow) and soft valuation signals (negative P/E and low yield). Technicals are supportive due to a strong trend, but overbought indicators raise near-term risk. Earnings call commentary is mixed: near-term losses and inventory/maintenance headwinds, partly offset by resilient EBITDA/operating cash flow, reduced CapEx, and a longer-term AI-driven 300mm demand recovery thesis.
Positive Factors
Operating cash flow strength
Consistent operating cash flow of JPY 100b provides a durable liquidity buffer that funds operations, supports working capital, and underpins reinvestment or dividends even while accounting profits are cyclical. This reduces short-term financing reliance across cycles.
Negative Factors
Negative free cash flow & net loss
Negative free cash flow and a material net loss reduce financial flexibility and compel careful capital allocation. If FCF remains negative, Sumco may need to cut investments, tap liquidity or raise funds, undermining the ability to execute capacity transitions or buffer downturns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Operating cash flow strength
Consistent operating cash flow of JPY 100b provides a durable liquidity buffer that funds operations, supports working capital, and underpins reinvestment or dividends even while accounting profits are cyclical. This reduces short-term financing reliance across cycles.
Read all positive factors

Sumco (SUOPY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sumco Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Sumco Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells silicon wafers for the semiconductor industry primarily in Japan, the United States, China, Taiwan, Korea, and internationally. It provides monocrystalline ingots, as well a...
How the Company Makes Money
Sumco primarily makes money by selling semiconductor-grade silicon wafers to chipmakers and foundries. Its core revenue stream is wafer sales, typically differentiated by wafer diameter (e.g., larger-diameter wafers used for advanced, high-volume ...

Sumco Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 10, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presents a mixed picture: operational and cash-generation strengths (stable EBITDA, JPY 100b operating cash flow, material CapEx reduction, full-year operating profit) and clear execution/market headwinds (Q4 and full-year net losses, sharply higher depreciation, product-mix pressure, structural 200mm decline, legacy inventory overhang and near-term guidance for Q1 losses). Management is constructive on longer-term AI-driven demand and leading-edge positioning but warns of near-term inventory normalization and NAND capacity lag.
Positive Updates
Beat on Q4 Sales and Forecast
Q4 sales of JPY 105.2 billion, up JPY 6.1 billion Q-on-Q (≈+6.2% from JPY 99.1b). Sales overshot forecast by JPY 5.0 billion due to late arrival of goods and positive FX.
Negative Updates
Q4 and Q1 Profitability Weakness
Q4 operating profit was negative JPY 4.5 billion, ordinary loss JPY 5.9 billion and net loss attributable JPY 10.8 billion. Q1 guidance projects sales JPY 100 billion and an operating loss of JPY 6.0 billion with a net loss attributable of JPY 10.0 billion.
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Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Beat on Q4 Sales and Forecast
Q4 sales of JPY 105.2 billion, up JPY 6.1 billion Q-on-Q (≈+6.2% from JPY 99.1b). Sales overshot forecast by JPY 5.0 billion due to late arrival of goods and positive FX.
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Company Guidance
Management guided Q1 with sales of JPY 100.0 billion, an operating loss of JPY 6.0 billion, an ordinary loss of JPY 10.0 billion and a net loss attributable to owners of the parent of JPY 10.0 billion, assuming FX of JPY 155/USD; they said Q1 operating losses widen JPY 1.5 billion Q‑on‑Q (sales down from JPY 105.2b to JPY 100.0b), driven by periodic plant maintenance and one‑off maintenance costs, costs rising JPY 2.1 billion Q‑on‑Q and depreciation declining JPY 4.3 billion Q‑on‑Q. For the full year ended Dec‑2025 they reported sales JPY 409.6 billion, operating profit JPY 1.3 billion, ordinary loss JPY 3.8 billion, net loss attributable JPY 11.7 billion, EBITDA JPY 112.4 billion, total CapEx JPY 79.9 billion (down from JPY 214.9b in 2024), depreciation JPY 115.6 billion (up JPY 36.7b YoY) and free cash flow negative JPY 11.4 billion after operating cash flow JPY 100.0 billion and investing outflow JPY 111.4 billion; balance sheet metrics include total assets JPY 1,127.9 billion, liabilities JPY 480.2 billion, equity‑to‑asset ratio 51.3% and gross D/E 0.61x, and the board set a fiscal year‑end dividend of JPY 10 per share. Management expects structural declines in 200‑mm (‑21% in 2023, ‑13% in 2024, ‑4% in 2025) but recovery in 300‑mm (‑11% in 2023, +2% in 2024, +9% in 2025), forecasts wafer consumption to grow from this year into next as NAND/DRAM capacity ramps (DRAM AI demand ~500–600k wafers/month today rising to ~1.5m over 3–4 years, NAND inference demand ~200k wafers/month), and said customer capacity additions will take ~12 months with leading‑edge wafer increases expected in H2 when the new plant comes online.

Sumco Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals reflect a downcycle: profitability deteriorated to a 2025 net loss and gross margin fell sharply (Income Statement score 48). Cash generation is pressured by persistently negative free cash flow in 2023–2025 despite positive operating cash flow (Cash Flow score 41). The balance sheet remains workable with ~51% equity-to-assets but leverage has risen to ~0.61x gross D/E, reducing flexibility (Balance Sheet score 62).
Income Statement
48
Neutral
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue403.72B429.53B396.62B425.94B441.08B335.67B
Gross Profit71.86B52.33B72.73B108.25B143.35B80.12B
EBITDA104.70B117.89B113.25B144.66B169.53B104.33B
Net Income10.34B-12.32B19.88B63.88B70.20B41.12B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.16T1.13T1.17T1.07T892.55B764.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments80.91B75.35B95.67B156.35B259.31B224.67B
Total Debt364.52B354.10B353.95B224.45B141.38B141.07B
Total Liabilities505.89B480.51B515.45B437.56B301.07B241.98B
Stockholders Equity589.54B578.77B592.11B572.15B533.55B476.15B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-11.53B-177.62B-160.57B54.01B36.92B
Operating Cash Flow0.00104.89B69.63B96.34B179.46B104.71B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-116.85B-247.88B-247.68B-126.35B-67.34B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-9.15B112.29B43.46B-23.15B99.10B

Sumco Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.32
Price Trends
50DMA
28.13
Positive
100DMA
24.28
Positive
200DMA
21.37
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.88
Positive
RSI
55.97
Neutral
STOCH
26.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SUOPY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.32 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.63, below the 50-day MA of 28.13, and below the 200-day MA of 21.37, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.88 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SUOPY.

Sumco Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$44.05B11.0713.50%6.06%7.52%17.94%
74
Outperform
$37.75B59.926.66%0.80%
68
Neutral
$70.61B26.4814.45%2.29%15.55%43.35%
65
Neutral
$54.24B215.940.86%1.28%0.79%-86.68%
64
Neutral
$16.37B33.439.96%0.81%12.71%37.49%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
50
Neutral
$6.59B-17.06-2.01%0.83%1.99%-229.56%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SUOPY
Sumco
38.03
24.50
181.16%
ASX
ASE Technology Holding Co
31.69
22.13
231.59%
AMKR
Amkor
68.49
49.96
269.62%
STM
STMicroelectronics
64.93
39.95
159.91%
UMC
United Micro
17.56
9.87
128.44%
GFS
GlobalFoundries Inc
70.79
33.04
87.52%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026