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SSAB (SSAAY)
OTHER OTC:SSAAY

SSAB (SSAAY) AI Stock Analysis

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SSAB

(OTC:SSAAY)

71Outperform
SSAB's stock score reflects strong financial stability and a robust balance sheet, though challenges exist in profitability and cash flow. The technical indicators suggest a neutral to slightly positive trend, with valuation metrics indicating fair market pricing. The latest earnings call highlighted strengths in special steel segments but also noted regional challenges and tariff concerns, contributing to a relatively balanced outlook.

SSAB (SSAAY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

SSAB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSSAB (SSAAY) is a leading global steel company headquartered in Sweden, specializing in high-strength steel and value-added services. The company operates through several segments, including SSAB Special Steels, SSAB Europe, and SSAB Americas, offering a range of products such as advanced high-strength steels, quenched and tempered steels, and structural and wear-resistant steels. SSAB's commitment to sustainability and innovation is reflected in its focus on reducing environmental impact and enhancing the performance of its steel solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneySSAB makes money primarily through the production and sale of high-strength steel products across various industries, including automotive, construction, and energy. The company's revenue model is based on manufacturing and selling steel products directly to end-users and through distributors. Key revenue streams include the sale of advanced high-strength steels and value-added services such as design support and technical consultancy. Additionally, SSAB engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations with industry leaders to enhance its market presence and drive innovation. The company's focus on sustainability and the production of fossil-free steel also contribute to its competitive advantage and profitability in the evolving global steel market.

SSAB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SSAB demonstrates strong financial stability with a robust balance sheet characterized by low leverage and high equity. The income statement reveals a slight decline in profitability margins, though operational efficiency remains solid. Cash flow analysis highlights a decrease in free cash flow, although operating cash conversion remains strong. Overall, the company is well-positioned but faces challenges in maintaining profitability and cash flow growth amidst evolving market conditions.
Income Statement
65
Positive
SSAB's TTM data shows a stable revenue with a slight increase of 1.3% from the previous year. The gross profit margin is 12.52%, and the net profit margin stands at 4.98%, indicating moderate profitability. However, these figures have declined compared to the previous year, where net income was significantly higher. The EBITDA margin is robust at 10.1%, suggesting efficient operational performance despite recent declines in EBIT and EBITDA.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
SSAB maintains a strong balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14, showcasing low leverage. The equity ratio is a healthy 65.51%, indicating strong financial stability. Return on equity is modest at 7.43% but demonstrates the company's ability to generate reasonable returns for shareholders. The company's substantial cash reserves provide a solid buffer for future investments and liabilities.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
The free cash flow has decreased significantly from the previous period, with a negative growth rate of 48.5%. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.84, reflecting efficient cash generation relative to net income. The current free cash flow to net income ratio stands at 0.37, indicating room for improvement in translating net income into free cash flow.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
100.48B119.49B124.98B95.89B65.39B
Gross Profit
11.56B22.55B-2.12B23.47B3.78B
EBIT
7.86B16.47B-4.24B18.84B-312.00M
EBITDA
13.25B21.26B32.62B22.21B3.51B
Net Income Common Stockholders
13.03B13.03B-10.88B14.66B-490.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
27.81B28.92B24.90B13.80B7.05B
Total Assets
110.73B107.84B109.71B112.02B88.60B
Total Debt
10.15B10.62B10.68B12.51B17.45B
Net Debt
-17.66B-18.29B-14.22B-1.29B10.39B
Total Liabilities
39.71B39.89B42.52B38.51B34.51B
Stockholders Equity
70.97B67.87B67.12B73.48B53.99B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
3.68B14.91B13.21B11.49B2.16B
Operating Cash Flow
11.90B21.47B18.16B14.87B4.37B
Investing Cash Flow
-6.61B-5.29B-3.89B-2.27B-2.18B
Financing Cash Flow
-5.20B-12.77B-723.00M-5.03B685.00M

SSAB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price3.12
Price Trends
50DMA
3.17
Negative
100DMA
2.76
Positive
200DMA
2.59
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Positive
RSI
46.53
Neutral
STOCH
16.15
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SSAAY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.11, below the 50-day MA of 3.17, and above the 200-day MA of 2.59, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.15 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SSAAY.

SSAB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (49)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
SISIM
78
Outperform
$4.55B6.8421.65%-20.47%113.07%
71
Outperform
$6.41B13.557.08%4.14%-11.60%-56.40%
GGGGB
70
Outperform
$5.21B8.995.86%5.31%-9.33%-51.03%
CMCMC
68
Neutral
$5.13B75.771.78%1.56%-7.93%-89.29%
TXTX
61
Neutral
$5.77B73.52-2.75%10.67%-10.20%-152.17%
49
Neutral
$1.95B-1.21-21.28%3.72%1.18%-30.47%
CLCLF
41
Neutral
$4.26B-17.57%-15.00%-423.14%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SSAAY
SSAB
3.12
0.20
6.85%
CLF
Cleveland-Cliffs
7.00
-10.32
-59.58%
CMC
Commercial Metals Company
46.09
-10.40
-18.41%
GGB
Gerdau SA
2.62
-0.90
-25.57%
SIM
Grupo Simec SA De CV
27.86
-3.14
-10.13%
TX
Ternium SA
28.51
-10.01
-25.99%

SSAB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.27%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong performances in Special Steels and SSAB Americas offset by challenges in SSAB Europe and concerns over tariffs. Despite increased shipments and a positive outlook for the Americas, revenue and EBITDA declines, along with weak demand in key sectors, moderated the overall sentiment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Special Steels Performance
Special Steels showed a strong performance with sales increasing to 336,000 tonnes and financial performance reaching SEK 1.4 billion, showcasing the unique customer value and market willingness to pay a premium for these products.
Positive Outlook for SSAB Americas
SSAB Americas had a positive delivery month with strong order intake and expected price increases between 10% to 20% for Q2 and Q3, supported by a stable and strong energy segment.
Transformation Projects and Investments
SSAB secured a EUR 2.3 billion financing package to support the Lulea mini-mill project. The company also approved an investment in a tempering furnace at the Mobile production facility to enhance special steel production.
Increased Steel Shipments
Q1 shipments increased by 16% from the previous quarter and 6% year-over-year, with Special Steels and Europe divisions showing significant volume increases.
Strong Order Intake from Energy Segment
The energy segment in the United States remains strong with significant orders, contributing positively to SSAB's performance and outlook.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tariffs
Tariffs remain a concern, posing risks to SSAB's export-dependent operations, although current flexibility allows for local production in the U.S.
Challenges in SSAB Europe
SSAB Europe faced a strike in Finland costing SEK 120 million, impacting financial performance. The operating result was only SEK 33 million, indicating challenges in the European market.
Lower Revenue Compared to Previous Year
Q1 revenue was SEK 25.5 billion, an 8% increase from the previous quarter but a 6% decrease compared to the previous year, indicating price reductions.
Reduced EBITDA
Q1 EBITDA was SEK 2.4 million, a drop compared to the previous year’s Q1 performance of SEK 4.1 million, mainly due to lower prices.
Weak Demand in Automotive and Construction Machinery
Demand reduction was noted in the automotive and construction machinery sectors, particularly in Europe and North America.
Company Guidance
During the call, SSAB provided guidance on several key metrics for the upcoming quarters. The company expects Special Steels to achieve somewhat higher shipments with stable pricing, while SSAB Europe is anticipated to see somewhat higher shipments and prices. For SSAB Americas, significantly higher prices are expected, alongside somewhat higher shipments. In Q1 2025, SSAB reported an operating result of approximately SEK 1.3 billion, with Special Steels' sales increasing to roughly 336,000 tonnes, generating a financial performance of SEK 1.4 billion. The company's overall Q1 revenue was SEK 25.5 billion, marking an 8% increase from the previous quarter but a 6% decrease year-over-year. EBITDA for Q1 was SEK 2.4 million, a rise from SEK 1.6 million in Q4 2024 but a decline from SEK 4.1 million in Q1 2024. SSAB secured a EUR 2.3 billion financing package, maintaining a net cash position of SEK 14.4 billion at the end of Q1. The company also plans to spend SEK 10 billion in CapEx for 2025.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.