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ARS Pharmaceuticals (SPRY)
NASDAQ:SPRY
US Market

ARS Pharmaceuticals (SPRY) AI Stock Analysis

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ARS Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:SPRY)

Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$18.00
▲(8.96%Upside)
ARS Pharmaceuticals shows potential due to strong revenue growth and positive technical indicators. However, the stock is hindered by profitability challenges and high valuation concerns, making it a moderate investment opportunity with risks.
Positive Factors
Commercial Partnerships
ARS Pharmaceuticals' new commercial partnership with ALK is expected to strengthen their financial position with a $145M upfront payment, aiding in the US launch efforts for neffy.
Direct-to-Consumer Marketing
The company is implementing a direct-to-consumer marketing campaign, with early indicators showing approximately 1 million views of the ad on YouTube and over 10 million viewers through cable TV.
Market Differentiation
Neffy’s longer shelf life and smaller form factor offer additional differentiation over currently available treatments that will drive both conversion of market share and expansion of the total epinephrine market in the United States.
Negative Factors
Operating Expenses
Operating expenses guidance for fiscal year 2025 is expected to increase, although management emphasized that cash flow should not be impacted.
Revenue Performance
ARS reported net product revenues for neffy of $7.8 million, slightly below consensus from Visible Alpha of $8.0 million.

ARS Pharmaceuticals (SPRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ARS Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionARS Pharmaceuticals, Inc. develops ARS-1, a novel intranasal epinephrine spray with absorption technology for patients and their families at-risk of severe allergic reactions to food, medications, and insect bites. Its product includes Neffy, a low-dose intranasal epinephrine nasal spray. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is based in San Diego, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyARS Pharmaceuticals makes money primarily through the development, commercialization, and sales of its pharmaceutical products. The primary revenue stream is expected to come from the sales of Neffy, their proprietary epinephrine nasal spray, once it receives regulatory approval and becomes available on the market. Additionally, ARS Pharmaceuticals may engage in strategic partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies for the co-development or distribution of their products, which could provide additional revenue through licensing agreements, milestone payments, and royalties. The company's earnings are influenced by factors such as product approval timelines, market adoption rates, and the competitive landscape within the allergic reaction treatment market.

ARS Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 23.75%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong market entry for Neffy with notable revenue growth and expanded insurance coverage. Strategic collaborations and a focus on pediatric dosing are positive, but high operating expenses and a net loss remain challenges. Prior authorization requirements continue to be a barrier, although they are decreasing.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Neffy Launch and Market Potential
Neffy, the first needle-free epinephrine treatment, launched with a potential $3 billion net sales target in the U.S. market. It addresses significant unmet needs, gaining traction as a new standard of care.
Revenue Growth
Neffy generated $7.8 million in U.S. net product revenue in Q1 2025, with a total revenue of $8 million, indicating a strong market entry.
Insurance Coverage Expansion
Commercial insurance coverage for Neffy increased from 27% to 57%, with ongoing payer discussions expected to further increase coverage.
Successful Strategic Collaboration
ARS expanded a strategic collaboration with ALK-Abelló, enhancing commercial reach to over 20,000 healthcare providers, including 9,000 pediatricians.
Approval and Launch of Pediatric Dose
Neffy 1-milligram dose was approved by the FDA and launched for children, representing 23% of all epinephrine units dispensed in 2024.
Planned Direct-to-Consumer Campaign
A comprehensive DTC campaign, 'Hello neffy, Goodbye Needles', is set to launch, targeting a 95% reach of severe allergy patients and their caregivers.
Negative Updates
High Operating Expenses
Operating expenses for Q1 were $41.1 million, with a projected total of $210 million to $220 million for 2025, driven by marketing and commercialization efforts.
Net Loss
Reported a net loss of $33.9 million or $0.35 per share for Q1 2025.
Prior Authorization Challenges
About 43% of commercial lives still require prior authorization for Neffy, posing a barrier to broader adoption despite high approval rates.
Company Guidance
During ARS Pharmaceuticals' first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance highlighting several key metrics. The launch of neffy, a needle-free epinephrine treatment, has shown promising results with first-quarter U.S. net product revenue of $7.8 million. Neffy addresses a market potential of $3 billion in net sales, targeting approximately 6.5 million prescribed patients and an additional 13.5 million diagnosed patients without prescriptions. The company has achieved 57% commercial insurance coverage, up from 27% at the start of the year, and expects further demand growth with an upcoming direct-to-consumer campaign. The 1-milligram pediatric dose has also been approved and represents 23% of all epinephrine units dispensed in 2024. ARS is expanding its commercial reach through a collaboration with ALK-Abelló, aiming to target over 20,000 healthcare providers, including 9,000 pediatricians, to strengthen neffy's position as a leading epinephrine option. The company is also anticipating regulatory reviews and potential launches in the U.K., Canada, Japan, China, and Australia from mid-2025 through the first half of 2026.

ARS Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ARS Pharmaceuticals has demonstrated remarkable revenue growth and improvement in net income recently, indicating operational improvements. The balance sheet is strong with low leverage and improving equity, although cash flow statements show caution due to high investing activities. While profitability remains a challenge, recent trends show potential for future stabilization and growth.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
ARS Pharmaceuticals showed significant revenue growth from 2023 to 2024, with total revenue jumping from $30,000 to $89,149,000, indicating strong potential. However, the company has struggled with profitability, evidenced by negative EBIT and EBITDA margins over the years. The net profit margin turned positive in 2024, a promising sign, but overall profitability remains inconsistent.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a strong equity position, with stockholders' equity growing from negative figures in earlier years to a robust $256,798,000 in 2024. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, indicating low leverage risk. The equity ratio has improved, suggesting increased financial stability. However, fluctuations in total liabilities reflect some instability.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a turnaround, with free cash flow becoming positive in 2024 after previous negative years. Operating cash flow to net income ratio improved, signaling better cash generation relative to income. However, investing cash flows were significantly negative, highlighting high capital expenditures or investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue97.12M89.15M30.00K1.32M5.51M17.84M
Gross Profit95.05M88.17M30.00K-16.00M-14.77M3.77M
EBITDA-25.37M-2.88M-67.45M-35.52M-19.24M-463.00K
Net Income-15.65M8.00M-54.37M-33.99M-20.24M-1.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets327.32M351.15M233.19M281.44M61.45M26.41M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments275.73M314.02M228.36M274.38M60.06M24.52M
Total Debt73.00K42.00K274.00K481.00K9.03M10.02M
Total Liabilities98.34M94.36M2.43M8.55M92.72M40.46M
Stockholders Equity228.97M256.80M230.76M272.89M-31.27M-14.05M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-21.05M12.98M-59.44M-40.28M-17.62M8.15M
Operating Cash Flow-20.48M13.55M-59.27M-40.08M-17.56M9.07M
Investing Cash Flow-68.52M-106.10M-87.18M-199.00K-55.00K-917.00K
Financing Cash Flow72.87M72.40M6.90M190.73M53.16M5.10M

ARS Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.52
Price Trends
50DMA
14.76
Positive
100DMA
13.51
Positive
200DMA
13.59
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.72
Negative
RSI
55.56
Neutral
STOCH
31.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SPRY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.52 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.83, above the 50-day MA of 14.76, and above the 200-day MA of 13.59, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.72 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SPRY.

ARS Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

ARS Pharmaceuticals disclosed 72 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ARS Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ARS Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (46)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$1.62B174.05-6.91%971120.00%68.69%
58
Neutral
$1.66B-5.78%25.50%64.63%
58
Neutral
$2.05B-16.57%
46
Neutral
C$194.71M-4.33-8.58%2.64%13.66%-0.73%
43
Neutral
$1.36B-21.26%
40
Underperform
$1.37B-30.29%7.97%
39
Underperform
$1.53B-39.49%-20.03%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SPRY
ARS Pharmaceuticals
16.52
7.04
74.26%
MESO
Mesoblast
10.68
2.95
38.16%
IMCR
Immunocore Holdings
33.02
-4.44
-11.85%
EWTX
Edgewise Therapeutics
13.03
-7.89
-37.72%
VERA
Vera Therapeutics
24.00
-11.98
-33.30%
CGON
CG Oncology, Inc.
26.90
-5.14
-16.04%

ARS Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
ARS Pharmaceuticals Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 26, 2025

On June 25, 2025, ARS Pharmaceuticals, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. During this meeting, stockholders elected four Class II directors to serve until the 2028 Annual Meeting. Additionally, the stockholders ratified the selection of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (SPRY) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ARS Pharmaceuticals stock, see the SPRY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 02, 2025