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Siriuspoint Ltd (SPNT)
:SPNT

SiriusPoint (SPNT) AI Stock Analysis

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SPNT

SiriusPoint

(NYSE:SPNT)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$24.50
▲(11.62% Upside)
SiriusPoint's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the score. The company's robust cash flow and strategic disposals enhance its financial position. Technical indicators suggest caution due to potential overbought conditions, but the overall outlook remains positive.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent double-digit growth in gross premiums indicates strong demand and effective market penetration, supporting long-term revenue expansion.
Strategic Asset Sales
Strategic asset sales enhance financial flexibility and focus, potentially increasing book value and supporting future growth initiatives.
Leadership Change
New leadership in investment strategy can drive improved asset management and long-term profitability, aligning with corporate objectives.
Negative Factors
Higher Catastrophe Losses
Increased catastrophe losses can strain financial resources and impact profitability, necessitating improved risk management strategies.
Decreased Favorable Prior Year Development
Reduced favorable prior year development may affect profit margins, highlighting potential challenges in maintaining historical profitability levels.
Decreased Aviation Premium
Pricing challenges in the aviation sector could limit revenue growth and necessitate strategic adjustments to maintain competitiveness.

SiriusPoint (SPNT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SiriusPoint Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSiriusPoint Ltd. provides multi-line insurance and reinsurance products and services worldwide. The company operates through two segments, Reinsurance, and Insurance & Services. The Reinsurance segment provides coverage to various product lines, which includes aviation and space, casualty, contingency, credit and bond, marine and energy, mortgage, and property to insurance and reinsurance companies, government entities, and other risk bearing vehicles. The Insurance & Services segment offers coverage to various product lines comprising accident and health, environmental, workers' compensation, and other lines of business, including a cross section of property and casualty lines. The company was formerly known as Third Point Reinsurance Ltd. and changed its name to SiriusPoint Ltd. in February 2021. SiriusPoint Ltd. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Pembroke, Bermuda.
How the Company Makes MoneySiriusPoint generates revenue primarily through the underwriting of insurance and reinsurance policies. The company earns premium income from the sale of these policies, which includes both direct insurance premiums and reinsurance premiums from other insurers. Additionally, SiriusPoint engages in investment activities, where it invests the premiums received into various financial instruments, generating investment income. Significant partnerships with brokers and other insurance companies enhance its distribution capabilities and broaden its market reach, contributing to its overall earnings. The company also focuses on managing its claims expenses effectively to improve profitability.

SiriusPoint Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with significant growth in premiums, operating return on equity, and investment income. Notable achievements include successful MGA disposals and multiple outlook upgrades. However, the company faces challenges with higher year-to-date catastrophe losses and decreased favorable prior year development.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Underwriting Performance
Achieved a core combined ratio of 89.1%, delivering an 11% increase in underwriting income versus last year, aided by no catastrophe losses in the quarter.
High Operating Return on Equity
Operating return on equity was 17.9%, significantly ahead of the 12% to 15% target range.
Significant MGA Disposals
Announced agreements for the sale of stakes in Armada and Arcadian for combined total proceeds of $389 million, expected to increase book value significantly.
Revenue Growth
Gross premiums written grew double-digit at 26% year-over-year, marking the sixth consecutive quarter with double-digit growth.
Third Outlook Upgrade
S&P upgraded SiriusPoint's outlook to positive, following upgrades from AM Best and Fitch earlier.
Investment Income
Net investment income continues to benefit from a supportive yield environment, with guidance on track for $265 million to $275 million.
Increase in Net Income
Net income for the quarter was $87 million, a significant improvement from $5 million last year.
Negative Updates
Higher Catastrophe Losses Year-to-Date
Despite no catastrophe losses in Q3, the year-to-date catastrophe losses are over $50 million higher than the prior year.
Decrease in Favorable Prior Year Development
Favorable prior year development stood at $9 million for the core business versus $30 million in the prior year quarter.
Decreased Aviation Premium
Aviation premium saw a decrease due to pricing challenges, requiring further rate increases to achieve adequacy.
Company Guidance
During the SiriusPoint Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported strong financial metrics and strategic progress. The core combined ratio was 89.1%, reflecting an 11% increase in underwriting income compared to the previous year, aided by the absence of catastrophe losses. Operating return on equity was 17.9%, surpassing their target range of 12% to 15%, with a year-to-date figure of 16.1%. Gross premiums written increased by 26% year-over-year, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth, particularly in the Accident & Health and Surety segments. The company announced the sale of its 100% stake in Armada and 49% stake in Arcadian, expected to increase book value significantly. SiriusPoint's capital position remained robust, with a BSCR ratio of 226%, and they plan to use proceeds from the sales to reduce leverage. Additionally, the company highlighted a focus on disciplined underwriting and portfolio management, achieving 12 consecutive quarters of underwriting profits and 18 consecutive quarters of favorable prior year development.

SiriusPoint Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SiriusPoint exhibits strong financial performance with solid revenue growth and improved profitability. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, and cash flow generation is robust. However, there is room for operational efficiency improvements and careful debt management.
Income Statement
75
Positive
SiriusPoint has shown a solid revenue growth rate of 7.3% in the TTM, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin is healthy at 37.5%, and the net profit margin has improved to 8.4%, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively modest at 6.9% and 7.2%, respectively, suggesting room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.32, indicating a conservative leverage approach. Return on equity stands at 11.5%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is strong, reflecting a stable financial position. However, the total debt has increased slightly, which could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
SiriusPoint's cash flow performance is robust, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 71.8% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.0, demonstrating that the company is effectively converting its net income into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.84B2.61B2.70B2.17B2.22B884.50M
Gross Profit778.70M728.40M848.40M121.30M510.40M232.10M
EBITDA339.80M314.60M393.90M-376.00M85.00M160.10M
Net Income198.30M199.90M354.80M-386.80M58.10M143.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.46B12.52B12.87B11.04B10.62B3.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.12B3.57B6.10B4.33B2.08B526.00M
Total Debt682.50M639.10M786.20M778.00M816.70M114.30M
Total Liabilities10.25B10.59B10.34B8.95B8.12B1.97B
Stockholders Equity2.21B1.94B2.51B2.07B2.50B1.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow232.10M74.70M581.30M292.50M1.60M73.36M
Operating Cash Flow232.10M74.70M581.30M293.30M1.60M73.36M
Investing Cash Flow437.70M343.60M-332.20M-1.30B208.60M6.11M
Financing Cash Flow-743.70M-625.00M-61.50M-23.70M24.30M-19.48M

SiriusPoint Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price21.95
Price Trends
50DMA
19.84
Positive
100DMA
19.15
Positive
200DMA
18.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.67
Negative
RSI
64.26
Neutral
STOCH
60.12
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SPNT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.28, above the 50-day MA of 19.84, and above the 200-day MA of 18.58, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.67 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.12 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SPNT.

SiriusPoint Risk Analysis

SiriusPoint disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SiriusPoint reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SiriusPoint Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$2.73B6.3317.62%22.79%-5.17%
78
Outperform
$12.56B7.5714.98%0.59%-3.96%-48.08%
76
Outperform
$2.56B13.898.09%7.87%-4.68%
74
Outperform
$13.30B15.647.19%1.79%2.10%19.23%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$490.01M-304.86-0.28%5.83%-101.38%
45
Neutral
$9.98M-3.47-50.32%55.30%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SPNT
SiriusPoint
21.95
7.45
51.38%
GLRE
Greenlight Capital Re
14.42
0.53
3.82%
RGA
Reinsurance Group
203.13
5.59
2.83%
RNR
Renaissancere Holdings
276.76
36.34
15.12%
OXBR
Oxbridge Re Holdings
1.29
-2.37
-64.75%
HG
Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B
27.77
9.40
51.17%

SiriusPoint Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
SiriusPoint Completes Sale of ArmadaCare to Ambac
Neutral
Nov 3, 2025

On October 31, 2025, SiriusPoint Ltd. completed the sale of its wholly owned supplemental health insurance program manager, ArmadaCare, to Ambac Financial Group Inc. for $250 million. This transaction, initially announced on September 29, 2025, marks a strategic move for SiriusPoint, potentially impacting its market positioning and operational focus.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
SiriusPoint Reports Strong Q3 2025 Performance
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, SiriusPoint Ltd. announced its third quarter results for 2025, highlighting a strong performance with a core combined ratio of 89.1% and an 11% increase in underwriting income. The company reported a return on equity of 17.7% and a significant growth in gross premiums written, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth. The announcement also included a quarterly cash dividend approval and the expected value increase from the sale of two MGA investments. Despite challenges from California wildfires and the aviation sector, SiriusPoint’s strategic growth and operational improvements have positioned it well within its target range, with a positive outlook upgrade from S&P.

Executive/Board Changes
SiriusPoint Announces Chief Accounting Officer Resignation
Neutral
Oct 15, 2025

On October 13, 2025, SiriusPoint Ltd. announced the resignation of Evan Cabat, the Chief Accounting Officer, effective October 31, 2025, as he pursues another opportunity. The company clarified that his departure is not due to any disagreements regarding financial or operational matters. Jim McKinney, the Chief Financial Officer, will take over Cabat’s responsibilities, ensuring continuity in the company’s financial leadership.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
SiriusPoint Sells Stake in Arcadian Risk Capital
Positive
Oct 6, 2025

On October 3, 2025, SiriusPoint Ltd. announced the sale of its 49% equity stake in Arcadian Risk Capital to Lee Equity Partners for $139 million, with the transaction expected to close by the first quarter of 2026. The deal includes an extension of SiriusPoint’s capacity agreement with Arcadian until 2031, and upon completion, SiriusPoint will recognize a pre-tax gain of $25-30 million. This move is part of SiriusPoint’s strategy to strengthen its partnership with Arcadian and support its growth under the leadership of John Boylan.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
SiriusPoint Announces Sale of ArmadaCare to Ambac
Positive
Sep 29, 2025

On September 29, 2025, SiriusPoint Ltd. announced an agreement to sell its wholly owned supplemental health insurance program manager, ArmadaCare, to Ambac Financial Group Inc. for $250 million. The transaction, expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, will result in a pre-tax gain of $220-230 million for SiriusPoint and an increase in its pro-forma tangible book value by approximately 10%. The sale is part of SiriusPoint’s strategy to unlock off-balance sheet value while continuing its capacity partnership with ArmadaCare until 2030, reflecting its strong position in the Accident & Health segment.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025