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SiriusPoint (SPNT)
NYSE:SPNT
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SiriusPoint (SPNT) AI Stock Analysis

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SPNT

SiriusPoint

(NYSE:SPNT)

Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$20.00
▲(8.58% Upside)
SiriusPoint's overall stock score reflects a mixed financial performance with strong revenue growth but declining profitability and cash flow challenges. Technical indicators suggest weak momentum, while the earnings call provides a positive outlook with strong financial metrics and strategic growth initiatives.
Positive Factors
Investor Base
The simplification of capital/ownership structure could open SPNT to a larger group of investors over time.
Strategy and Transformation
The company has mostly completed a strategy of de-risking, lowering CAT exposure, reducing exposure to older accident years, simplifying its ownership/capital structures, and shifting more into specialty insurance.
Valuation
Trading at 1.0x P/B, SPNT has meaningfully re-rated compared to 0.8x/0.5x in previous years, with a total shareholder return compound annual growth rate of approximately 30%.
Negative Factors
Financial Leverage
The Hold rating reflects the view that there is less room for the company to extend its financial/operating leverage that would lead to further ROE expansion.
Reserves Confidence
Confidence in results with regard to reserves may take time to prove out, as is customary for newer companies and management teams.
Valuation Concerns
The valuation still does not entirely reflect the shift into insurance, which comprises 60% of gross premiums written.

SiriusPoint (SPNT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SiriusPoint Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSiriusPoint Ltd. provides multi-line insurance and reinsurance products and services worldwide. The company operates through two segments, Reinsurance, and Insurance & Services. The Reinsurance segment provides coverage to various product lines, which includes aviation and space, casualty, contingency, credit and bond, marine and energy, mortgage, and property to insurance and reinsurance companies, government entities, and other risk bearing vehicles. The Insurance & Services segment offers coverage to various product lines comprising accident and health, environmental, workers' compensation, and other lines of business, including a cross section of property and casualty lines. The company was formerly known as Third Point Reinsurance Ltd. and changed its name to SiriusPoint Ltd. in February 2021. SiriusPoint Ltd. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Pembroke, Bermuda.
How the Company Makes MoneySiriusPoint generates revenue primarily through the underwriting of insurance and reinsurance policies. The company's revenue model includes premiums collected from policyholders in exchange for coverage, which is a significant revenue stream. Additionally, it earns income from reinsurance agreements where it takes on risk from other insurers for a fee. Investment income from the management of its insurance reserves also contributes to revenues, as the company invests premium funds in various financial instruments. Strategic partnerships with brokers and other insurance firms enhance its distribution capabilities, while its focus on innovative risk solutions allows it to capture niche market opportunities, further boosting its earnings.

SiriusPoint Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -5.92%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted SiriusPoint's strong financial performance with improvements in return on equity, combined ratio, and premium growth. The recognition as Program Insurer of the Year and the improved employee engagement further contributed to a positive outlook. However, challenges such as losses in aviation and California wildfires, foreign exchange losses, and decreased net service fee income were noted. The sentiment is primarily positive due to the overall strong performance and strategic growth initiatives.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Return on Equity
SiriusPoint's underlying return on equity for the quarter was 17%, 2 points ahead of the target range of 12% to 15%. Year-to-date, the return on equity is 15.4%, at the upper end of the target range.
Improvement in Combined Ratio
The core combined ratio for the second quarter was 89.5%, a 3.8 point improvement year-over-year, marking the 11th consecutive quarter of underwriting profit.
Continued Premium Growth
Gross written premiums grew by 10%, marking the fifth straight quarter of double-digit growth. Net premium growth increased by 8% in the quarter and 14% in the first half of the year.
New MGA Partnerships
Four new MGA partnerships were entered in the quarter, expanding relationships with existing long-term partners.
Recognition as Program Insurer of the Year
SiriusPoint was awarded Program Insurer of the Year at the Program Manager awards in New York.
Strong Net Investment Income
Net investment income for the quarter was $68 million, tracking in line with the full year guidance of $265 million to $275 million.
Improved Employee Engagement
The annual engagement survey showed significant improvements, with the Net Promoter Score increasing by 16 points year-over-year.
Increase in Book Value Per Share
Book value per diluted share increased by 4% in the quarter and 10% year-to-date.
Negative Updates
Losses in Aviation and California Wildfires
Heightened first half losses were reported in aviation and first quarter losses from California wildfires.
Foreign Exchange Losses
The quarter included $17 million in foreign exchange losses, impacting net income.
Decreased Net Service Fee Income
Net service fee income was $28 million, representing a slight decrease from the prior year period.
Challenges in Casualty Segment
Casualty premiums decreased by 10% as capital was allocated to more attractive opportunities.
Company Guidance
During the SiriusPoint Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported a strong financial performance with several key metrics highlighted. The underlying return on equity for the quarter stood at 17%, surpassing the target range of 12% to 15%, while the year-to-date figure was 15.4%. The core combined ratio improved to 89.5%, marking an 11th consecutive quarter of underwriting profit. Gross written premiums saw a 10% increase, with net premiums up by 8% for the quarter and 14% for the first half of the year. Within the Insurance & Services business, net premium growth reached 15%. SiriusPoint maintained a strong capital position with a BSCR ratio of 223% and reported net investment income of $68 million, aligning with the full-year guidance of $265 million to $275 million. Additionally, the company achieved a Net Promoter Score increase of 16 points year-over-year, reflecting improved employee engagement. Book value per diluted share rose by 4% for the quarter and 10% year-to-date, with underlying earnings per share increasing by over 100% compared to the previous year.

SiriusPoint Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SiriusPoint's financial performance is mixed, with a stable balance sheet but challenges in profitability and cash flow. The absence of debt is a strength, but inconsistent profitability and cash flow performance indicate potential operational challenges.
Income Statement
68
Positive
SiriusPoint has demonstrated a mixed performance in profitability metrics. Recent years show substantial fluctuations in EBIT and EBITDA margins, with TTM results showing zero EBIT and EBITDA, indicating potential operational challenges. The net profit margin has declined from previous highs, while revenue growth has been inconsistent, demonstrating volatility in business performance.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with no total debt, contributing to a favorable debt-to-equity ratio. The equity ratio indicates a reasonable level of equity financing. However, the return on equity has shown variability, reflecting inconsistent profitability. Overall, the balance sheet highlights a sound capital structure with manageable liabilities.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
The company’s cash flow position experienced fluctuations, with TTM free cash flow showing a significant decline compared to previous years. Operating cash flow to net income ratio has weakened, indicating potential inefficiencies in converting income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio has also decreased, suggesting challenges in maintaining cash-based profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.65B2.60B2.70B2.11B2.22B884.57M
Gross Profit1.18B2.66B848.40M2.08B2.13B7.83M
EBITDA224.20M314.60M393.90M-370.20M4.64B160.10M
Net Income169.70M199.90M354.80M-386.00M58.10M143.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.36B12.52B12.87B11.04B10.62B3.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.66B6.03B6.10B4.33B2.08B525.99M
Total Debt706.40M639.10M786.20M778.00M816.70M114.27M
Total Liabilities10.25B10.59B10.34B8.95B8.12B1.97B
Stockholders Equity2.11B1.94B2.51B2.07B2.50B1.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow135.10M74.70M581.30M292.50M1.60M73.36M
Operating Cash Flow135.10M74.70M581.30M293.30M1.60M73.36M
Investing Cash Flow970.60M343.60M-332.20M-1.30B208.60M6.11M
Financing Cash Flow-906.50M-625.00M-61.50M-23.70M24.30M-19.48M

SiriusPoint Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price18.42
Price Trends
50DMA
19.13
Negative
100DMA
18.60
Positive
200DMA
16.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.19
Negative
RSI
49.11
Neutral
STOCH
57.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SPNT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18.42 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.72, below the 50-day MA of 19.13, and above the 200-day MA of 16.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SPNT.

SiriusPoint Risk Analysis

SiriusPoint disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SiriusPoint reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SiriusPoint Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
$11.55B6.3218.75%0.64%23.19%-22.42%
82
Outperform
$2.40B6.3915.86%28.86%-11.22%
73
Outperform
$12.79B16.847.07%1.88%1.53%-10.27%
73
Outperform
$1.97B15.3716.20%22.20%5.78%
68
Neutral
$17.62B12.0010.34%3.77%9.67%0.49%
65
Neutral
$2.18B20.824.82%-4.56%-55.48%
63
Neutral
$450.73M12.035.82%2.18%-41.11%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SPNT
SiriusPoint
18.42
3.57
24.04%
GLRE
Greenlight Capital Re
12.86
-0.86
-6.27%
RGA
Reinsurance Group
191.11
-16.92
-8.13%
RNR
Renaissancere Holdings
245.43
-3.51
-1.41%
SKWD
Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc.
48.69
8.75
21.91%
HG
Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B
23.46
4.02
20.68%

SiriusPoint Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
SiriusPoint Adopts Executive Severance Plan Effective August 2025
Neutral
Aug 5, 2025

On July 30, 2025, SiriusPoint Ltd. adopted an Executive Severance Plan, effective August 1, 2025, to provide severance payments and benefits to eligible employees in the event of certain employment terminations. The plan outlines specific benefits for executives and other eligible employees, including lump sum payments, full vesting of cash bonuses, and medical benefits. Enhanced benefits are provided if a termination occurs within a year following a change in control, defined by specific criteria such as acquisition of voting securities or board changes.

Executive/Board ChangesDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
SiriusPoint Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 4, 2025

On August 4, 2025, SiriusPoint Ltd. reported its second quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a significant improvement in its core combined ratio to 89.5%, a 3.8-point improvement from the previous year. The company achieved an 83% year-over-year growth in underwriting income to $68 million and a 10% growth in gross premiums written for its core business. The second quarter return on equity was 12.7%, with underlying earnings per share increasing by 120% from the prior year. SiriusPoint also announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.50 per share on its Series B preference shares, approved on July 30, 2025. The company was recognized as Program Insurer of the Year in the US, achieved record employee engagement scores, and added new executive leadership members, reinforcing its strategic growth and positioning in the industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2025