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Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B (HG)
NYSE:HG
US Market
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Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B (HG) AI Stock Analysis

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HG

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B

(NYSE:HG)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$35.00
▲(9.27% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/09/26
The score is driven mainly by strong financial performance (profitability, cash generation, and low leverage) and a very low P/E valuation. The earnings call supports the outlook with improved underwriting results and shareholder returns, but investment-income weakness, reserve volatility, and pricing pressure temper the score. Technicals are mixed, with a longer-term uptrend but weaker near-term momentum.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Hamilton's very low financial leverage and meaningful equity growth provide durable capital capacity for underwriting and catastrophe volatility. A conservatively levered balance sheet supports sustained operating flexibility, reinsurance capacity, and the ability to return capital while absorbing underwriting cycles.
Negative Factors
Investment income volatility & manager concentration
Investment returns materially affect overall profitability for an insurer relying on float. A sharp drop in investment income and heavy allocation to a single manager (Two Sigma ~38%) raise structural earnings volatility. The restructured Two Sigma agreement also changes liquidity and commitment terms, limiting portfolio agility.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Hamilton's very low financial leverage and meaningful equity growth provide durable capital capacity for underwriting and catastrophe volatility. A conservatively levered balance sheet supports sustained operating flexibility, reinsurance capacity, and the ability to return capital while absorbing underwriting cycles.
Read all positive factors

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B (HG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd., through its subsidiaries, engages in underwriting specialty insurance and reinsurance risks in Bermuda and internationally. The company offers casualty reinsurance products, such as commercial motor, general liabili...
How the Company Makes Money
Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. primarily makes money through (1) underwriting income and (2) investment income on its float. Underwriting income is generated by collecting premiums on insurance and reinsurance policies and managing those risks so ...

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Premiums Written by Geography
Gross Premiums Written by Geography
Total premiums the company writes in each region before any reinsurance is applied, reflecting sales volume and market share. Highlights where the business is expanding or contracting and where underwriting exposure and growth potential are concentrated.
Chart InsightsGrowth is being driven disproportionately by Bermuda, which shows large, lumpy spikes consistent with big reinsurance placements, while International delivers steadier, incremental expansion. Management corroborates a Bermuda-led surge and improved underwriting/investment results, but the Martinez refinery loss and a rising expense ratio highlight that Bermuda’s volatility and loss exposure can meaningfully swing results. For investors, the takeaway is faster top-line scaling but with lumpy, risk-sensitive premium flow—sustainability will hinge on pricing discipline amid rising E&S competition and the new underwriting leadership.
Data provided by:The Fly

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call delivered a broadly positive message: Hamilton reported a strong underwriting turnaround, double-digit premium growth, materially improved combined and loss ratios, healthy segment growth (International +20%, Select +17%), solid operating returns, active capital returns (special dividend and buybacks), and strategic capital deployment via a casualty sidecar. Offsetting risks include a sizeable decline in total investment income versus last year, moderation in Two Sigma returns (though still positive), higher attritional loss ratios consistent with annual guidance, a $14M prior-year reserve increase (Baltimore Bridge), and ongoing market pricing pressure—particularly in property and some midyear renewals. Management stressed discipline and selectivity, positioning the firm to favor sustainable profitability over aggressive growth.
Positive Updates
Strong Earnings and Returns
Net income of $134 million in Q1 2026 (or $1.31 per diluted share) producing an annualized return on average equity of 19%. Operating income was $167 million ($1.64 per diluted share) with an annualized operating return on average equity of 24%, materially ahead of Q1 2025 (net income $81M; operating income $49M).
Negative Updates
Decline in Total Net Investment Income
Total net investment income declined to $94 million in Q1 2026 from $167 million in Q1 2025 (down $73M, approximately -43.7%), reflecting weaker fixed income and short-term gains compared with the prior-year quarter.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Earnings and Returns
Net income of $134 million in Q1 2026 (or $1.31 per diluted share) producing an annualized return on average equity of 19%. Operating income was $167 million ($1.64 per diluted share) with an annualized operating return on average equity of 24%, materially ahead of Q1 2025 (net income $81M; operating income $49M).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The guidance emphasized disciplined cycle management with specific metric targets: management expects full‑year 2026 attritional loss ratios around 55% at the group level (International ~54.5%, Bermuda ~56%) after the large‑loss threshold change (new large loss/cat threshold ~$10 million), and expects midyear (6/1–7/1) renewals to see pricing pressure similar to year‑to‑date but with attachment points, terms and conditions largely intact so margins—particularly in the U.S.‑driven portfolio—remain above Hamilton’s thresholds; the new casualty sidecar will cede roughly $300 million of premium over a multiyear period (Bermuda retained ~74% of Q1 GWP vs 79% prior), investment new‑money yield was 4.3% with portfolio duration 3.7 years and average YTM 4.5%, Two Sigma returned 4.3% in Q1 and represents ~38% of investments, and capital priorities remain active (Q1 special dividend $200M paid, $20M buybacks, $159M remaining repurchase authorization).

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability turnaround since 2022 with high recent margins and rising net income, supported by robust operating cash flow and a conservatively levered balance sheet. Offsetting factors are the sharp reported TTM revenue decline and inconsistencies in the cash-flow coverage metric, which reduce confidence in near-term growth stability.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
80
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Nov 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.90B2.74B2.38B1.62B1.29B1.34B
Gross Profit1.43B1.48B930.82M547.29M203.51M416.49M
EBITDA890.75M861.02M660.64M289.06M3.90M291.00M
Net Income629.34M576.67M400.43M258.73M-98.00M188.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.86B9.57B7.80B6.67B5.82B5.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments955.52M1.26B1.49B3.05B1.08B1.44B
Total Debt149.77M149.74M149.94M149.83M149.72M149.88M
Total Liabilities7.11B6.75B5.47B4.62B4.15B3.82B
Stockholders Equity2.72B2.82B2.33B2.05B1.66B1.79B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow908.28M842.35M759.30M283.15M190.93M226.53M
Operating Cash Flow908.28M842.35M759.30M283.15M190.93M226.53M
Investing Cash Flow-291.31M-414.09M-184.16M-652.09M133.10M137.82M
Financing Cash Flow-583.49M-376.17M-362.69M59.02M-69.62M-68.00M

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price32.03
Price Trends
50DMA
29.28
Positive
100DMA
27.42
Positive
200DMA
24.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.75
Negative
RSI
71.95
Negative
STOCH
84.28
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 32.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.20, above the 50-day MA of 29.28, and above the 200-day MA of 24.72, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.75 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.95 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.28 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HG.

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B Risk Analysis

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$592.35M4.0611.10%0.10%77.35%
77
Outperform
$3.06B5.6722.09%20.32%98.92%
77
Outperform
$12.80B10.7524.71%0.57%-8.19%90.81%
76
Outperform
$2.76B21.42%22.94%317.95%
75
Outperform
$1.94B5.1833.89%0.82%22.11%90.84%
71
Outperform
$13.80B9.48%1.76%18.66%55.67%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HG
Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B
30.86
11.72
61.25%
GLRE
Greenlight Capital Re
17.86
4.57
34.39%
RGA
Reinsurance Group
210.60
6.66
3.27%
RNR
Renaissancere Holdings
300.16
53.45
21.67%
SPNT
SiriusPoint
23.45
3.85
19.64%
HCI
HCI Group
152.24
-9.43
-5.83%

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Hamilton Insurance Adds Industry Veteran Peter Wilson to Board
Positive
May 6, 2026
At its 2026 Annual General Meeting, held with a record date of March 17, 2026, Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. reported that 77,050,957 of 84,041,833 eligible Class A and Class B shares were present or represented by proxy, with each share entitled...
Business Operations and Strategy
Hamilton Insurance Restructures Two Sigma Investment Agreement
Neutral
Apr 2, 2026
On April 1, 2026, Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. and its subsidiary Hamilton Re, Ltd. entered into a new Investment Agreement with Two Sigma entities to govern Hamilton Re’s investment in the Two Sigma Hamilton Fund, replacing a prior commit...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Hamilton Insurance Appoints Roston to Board, Committees
Positive
Feb 25, 2026
On February 20, 2026, Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. implemented a Magnitude Investor director designation change, with investment professional Marc N. Roston succeeding H. Hawes Bostic, III as Magnitude’s shareholder‑appointed represe...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Hamilton Insurance Posts Record 2025 Results, Declares Special Dividend
Positive
Feb 19, 2026
Hamilton Insurance Group reported record results for 2025 on February 19, 2026, posting net income of $576.7 million, a 22.4% return on average equity, and a combined ratio of 92.9%, while growing gross written premiums 20.7% to $2.9 billion despi...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026