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Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B (HG)
NYSE:HG
US Market

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B (HG) AI Stock Analysis

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HG

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B

(NYSE:HG)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$24.00
▲(12.20%Upside)
Hamilton Insurance Group shows strong financial performance and attractive valuation, supporting a positive outlook. While technical indicators are stable, the impact of catastrophe losses is a concern. Strategic initiatives, such as new credit agreements and share repurchases, enhance financial flexibility and market position.
Positive Factors
Book Value Growth
Hamilton continues to grow book value through accretive share repurchases and superior investment returns.
Investment Gains
Net investment gains of $249 million were well above consensus of $59 million, due to strong performance.
Market Conditions
Hamilton is well positioned to benefit from prevailing hard market conditions in both specialty insurance and reinsurance.
Negative Factors
Casualty Reserve Review
Hamilton is one of the few carriers with notable reserve review seasonality, and previous reserve actions suggest potential negative catalysts.
Lawsuit and Social Inflation
Lawsuit and social inflation remain risk factors, with more than 50% of the coverage universe having exposure.
Pricing Power
The competitive pricing-power environment within the large-account marketplace where HG has a significant presence is showing signs of soft pricing power pressures.

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B (HG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHamilton Insurance Group, Ltd., through its subsidiaries, engages in underwriting specialty insurance and reinsurance risks in Bermuda and internationally. The company offers casualty reinsurance products, such as commercial motor, general liability, healthcare, multiline, personal motor, professional liability, umbrella and excess casualty, and worker's compensation and employer's liability reinsurance; property treaty reinsurance; and specialty reinsurance solutions, including accident and health, aviation, crisis management, financial lines, marine and energy, multiline specialty, and satellite reinsurance. It also provides accident and health, cyber, excess energy, environmental, financial lines, fine art and specie, kidnap and ransom, M&A, marine and energy liability, political risk, professional liability, property binders, property D&F, space, upstream energy, general and excess casualty, war and terrorism, allied medical, management liability, medical professionals, products liability and contractors, and small business casualty insurance plans. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Pembroke, Bermuda with additional locations in Dublin, Ireland; London, United Kingdom; Miami, Florida; New York, New York; and Glen Allen, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyHamilton Insurance Group makes money primarily through underwriting insurance and reinsurance policies. The company generates revenue by collecting premiums from policyholders in exchange for providing coverage against various risks. Additionally, Hamilton invests the premiums it collects into diversified financial instruments, generating investment income that contributes to its overall earnings. The company's revenue streams are further supported by strategic partnerships and collaborations within the insurance sector, enabling it to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings. Key factors contributing to its earnings include effective risk management practices, competitive pricing strategies, and a focus on innovation and technology to improve operational efficiencies.

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 11.35%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Hamilton Insurance Group reported strong investment returns and premium growth, supported by a recent A.M. Best rating upgrade. However, the company faced significant catastrophe losses from the California wildfires, which impacted their combined ratio and resulted in an underwriting loss.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Investment Performance
Hamilton achieved a total investment return of $167 million, offsetting catastrophe losses, with a 5.5% gain from the Two Sigma Hamilton Fund for Q1 2025.
Robust Premium Growth
Gross premiums written increased by 17% year-over-year to $843 million, driven by 18% growth in Bermuda and 15% growth in International segments.
Positive Net Income and Strong Return on Equity
Hamilton reported a net income of $81 million, with a 13.7% annualized return on average equity in Q1 2025.
A.M. Best Rating Upgrade Impact
The A.M. Best rating upgrade to A facilitated $40 million in new business and increased opportunities in the casualty segment.
Negative Updates
Significant Catastrophe Losses
The California wildfires led to $143 million in net losses, contributing to a catastrophe loss ratio of 30.2% for the quarter.
Increased Combined Ratio
The combined ratio increased to 111.6% from 91.5% due to catastrophe losses, resulting in an underwriting loss of $58 million.
Higher Expense Ratio
The expense ratio increased by 1.2 points to 32.4% from 31.2% due to higher acquisition costs and changes in business mix.
Company Guidance
During the Hamilton Insurance Group earnings call for the first quarter of 2025, the company reported a profitable quarter despite global insured catastrophe losses exceeding $55 billion, largely due to the California wildfires. Hamilton's catastrophe loss ratio was 30.2%, with a net loss estimate of $143 million from the wildfires, which fell within the previously announced range of $120 million to $150 million. The attritional loss ratio was stable at 51.9%, and gross premiums written increased by 17%. Investment returns were significant at $167 million, offsetting catastrophe losses, and the net income of $81 million represented a 13.7% annualized return on average equity. Both Bermuda and International segments experienced double-digit growth, with notable increases in casualty and property classes. The company maintained a strong balance sheet with total assets of $8.3 billion and shareholders' equity of $2.4 billion. Hamilton also completed a $10 million share repurchase during the quarter, with $112 million remaining under its authorization.

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hamilton Insurance Group exhibits strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and improved profitability. The balance sheet is robust with no debt, and cash flow generation remains strong. Continued focus on financial management is vital to sustain growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Hamilton Insurance Group has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a significant increase from $1.23 billion in 2022 to $2.33 billion in 2024. The gross profit margin remains high, indicating efficient cost management. Net income has improved notably, transitioning from losses in 2022 to a solid profit in 2024, showcasing improved operational efficiency. However, attention should be paid to maintaining this growth trajectory amidst industry competition.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company shows a strong equity base with a consistent increase in stockholders' equity, implying financial stability. The absence of total debt in 2024 highlights a solid financial position and reduced financial risk. The equity ratio has improved, reflecting a stronger balance sheet. However, maintaining asset quality and managing liabilities effectively will be crucial for continued stability.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Hamilton Insurance Group has shown a robust increase in operating cash flow, indicating enhanced cash-generating ability. Free cash flow has also seen growth, supporting financial flexibility. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting efficient cash conversion. Continued focus on cash flow management will be vital to support growth and investment opportunities.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.00B2.33B1.57B1.23B768.17M
Gross Profit
1.43B91.00M1.56B1.23B768.17M
EBIT
1.30B2.04B1.30B6.86M-402.12M
EBITDA
992.97M644.18M289.06M3.90M-110.93M
Net Income Common Stockholders
424.52M400.43M258.73M-98.00M-430.64M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
913.06M1.10B1.22B1.08B797.79M
Total Assets
8.34B7.80B6.67B5.82B5.61B
Total Debt
0.00149.94M149.83M149.72M149.88M
Net Debt
-913.06M-846.55M-644.68M-926.71M-647.92M
Total Liabilities
5.90B5.47B4.62B4.15B3.82B
Stockholders Equity
2.40B2.33B2.05B1.66B1.79B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
636.00M759.30M283.15M190.93M-560.42M
Operating Cash Flow
636.00M759.30M283.15M190.93M-406.96M
Investing Cash Flow
-528.87M-184.16M-652.09M133.10M517.06M
Financing Cash Flow
-372.56M-362.69M59.02M-69.62M-276.00K

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price21.39
Price Trends
50DMA
19.88
Positive
100DMA
19.81
Positive
200DMA
19.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.31
Positive
RSI
52.54
Neutral
STOCH
32.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.39 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.28, above the 50-day MA of 19.88, and above the 200-day MA of 19.24, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HG.

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B Risk Analysis

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B disclosed 80 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
The use or anticipated use of AI technologies, including generative AI, by us or third parties, may increase or create new operational risks. Q4, 2024
2.
New laws and regulations may affect our ability to compete effectively. Q4, 2024
3.
We may be subject to significant legal, governmental or regulatory proceedings. Q4, 2024

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
RNRNR
82
Outperform
$12.01B7.7816.30%0.65%32.10%-30.52%
HGHG
79
Outperform
$2.15B6.7114.07%35.36%-3.34%
RGRGA
76
Outperform
$13.10B16.757.60%1.79%1.47%-7.47%
73
Outperform
$509.35M11.297.04%5.21%-57.04%
71
Outperform
$2.29B19.517.20%-5.57%-44.54%
69
Neutral
$1.82B17.57-0.42%2.38%23.28%-103.35%
64
Neutral
$12.93B9.707.85%78.03%12.07%-7.83%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HG
Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B
21.10
4.68
28.50%
GLRE
Greenlight Capital Re
14.53
1.78
13.96%
RGA
Reinsurance Group
196.94
-1.65
-0.83%
RNR
Renaissancere Holdings
244.39
27.73
12.80%
SPNT
SiriusPoint
19.40
7.36
61.13%
FIHL
Fidelis Insurance Holdings Ltd.
16.22
1.03
6.78%

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Hamilton Insurance Secures New Credit Agreements
Positive
Jun 10, 2025

On June 10, 2025, Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. entered into a $450 million Sixth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement and a $150 million Amended and Restated Term Loan Credit Agreement with several financial institutions. These agreements, which replace previous credit and term loan agreements, are intended to provide the company with enhanced financial flexibility for working capital, general corporate purposes, and refinancing existing indebtedness. The new agreements include financial covenants and interest rates tied to the company’s long-term issuer default rating, reflecting a strategic move to strengthen its financial position and support its operational needs.

The most recent analyst rating on (HG) stock is a Buy with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B stock, see the HG Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Hamilton Insurance Group Confirms Director Elections
Neutral
May 19, 2025

On March 17, 2025, Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B held its annual meeting where shareholders voted on several proposals. The election of eleven Class B directors was confirmed, with notable figures such as Giuseppina Albo and John J. Gauthier receiving significant support. Additionally, the fiscal 2024 compensation for executive officers was approved on an advisory basis, and Ernst & Young Ltd. was appointed as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (HG) stock is a Buy with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B stock, see the HG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.