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Sphere Entertainment (SPHR)
NYSE:SPHR
US Market

Sphere Entertainment (SPHR) AI Stock Analysis

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Sphere Entertainment

(NYSE:SPHR)

Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$38.00
▼(-1.14%Downside)
Sphere Entertainment's stock score is primarily influenced by financial performance challenges, particularly in profitability and cash flow management. Technical analysis provides a modestly positive outlook with short-term bullish signals, offset by long-term resistance concerns. Valuation metrics are unfavorable, with a negative P/E ratio and no dividend yield, further impacting the overall score.
Positive Factors
Debt Reduction
Sphere announced an agreement with the MSG Networks term loan lending group to reduce the outstanding loan from over $800mm to $210mm.
Market Opportunity
The market is currently under-appreciating the opportunity for the Las Vegas Sphere to continue to reinvent itself with new content and improve execution to grow Revenue and AOI.
Revenue Growth Potential
The high-margin licensing revenues from the Abu Dhabi Sphere are expected to build over time.
Negative Factors
Expansion Risk
Management's focus on expanding the Sphere platform globally and pursuing scaled-down versions in smaller cities fundamentally misunderstands the product’s core appeal and economic limitations.
Financial Decline
Sphere Experience revenue declined 14% YoY, while advertising and sponsorship fell 16%, highlighting deteriorating fundamentals.
Negative Cash Flow
Free cash flow for the Sphere business, including Las Vegas and Abu Dhabi, is expected to remain modestly negative until 2029.

Sphere Entertainment (SPHR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sphere Entertainment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSphere Entertainment Co. engages in the entertainment business. It produces, presents, or hosts various live entertainment events, including concerts, family shows, and special events, as well as sporting events, such as professional boxing, college basketball and hockey, professional bull riding, mixed martial arts, and esports and wrestling in its venues, including The Garden, Hulu Theater, Radio City Music Hall, and the Beacon Theatre in New York City; and The Chicago Theatre. The company also operates 70 entertainment dining and nightlife venues spanning 20 markets across five continents under the Tao, Marquee, Lavo, Beauty & Essex, Cathédrale, Hakkasan, and Omnia brand names; and creates and operates New England's premier music festival. In addition, it features the Radio City Rockettes, which serves as the star for its Christmas Spectacular at Radio City Music Hall. The company was formerly known as Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. and changed its name to Sphere Entertainment Co. in April 2023. Sphere Entertainment Co. was founded in 2006 and is based in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneySphere Entertainment Co. generates revenue primarily through ticket sales for its immersive events and live performances held at its venues. The company also earns income from partnerships and sponsorships with brands seeking to associate with its unique entertainment offerings. Additionally, Sphere Entertainment capitalizes on merchandising opportunities, selling branded products and memorabilia to enhance the customer experience. The company's strategic partnerships with artists, production companies, and technology providers further expand its revenue potential by enabling a diverse range of shows and spectacles. Venue bookings for private events and collaborations with other entertainment entities also contribute to its income.

Sphere Entertainment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 32.60%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 15, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights strong revenue performance and growth in the Sphere segment, successful concert residencies, and robust sponsorship demand. However, there are challenges with MSG Networks' declining revenue and subscriber base, a significant goodwill impairment charge, and an operating loss in the Sphere segment. Despite these challenges, the company's strong liquidity position and strategic initiatives suggest a positive outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Total Revenue and Adjusted Operating Income
Sphere Entertainment Company generated total revenues of $308.3 million and adjusted operating income of $32.9 million for the December quarter.
Sphere Segment Revenue Growth
Sphere segment generated $169 million in revenue, with $87 million from Sphere experience across 190 shows in the December quarter, showing strong performance.
Successful Concert Residencies
Kenny Chesney and Backstreet Boys announced for 15 and 18-show residencies, respectively, highlighting strong interest from artists.
Strong Sponsorship and Advertising Demand
Solid advertising demand for the Exosphere at the end of 2024 continues into the new year, indicating robust sponsorship interest.
Cash and Liquidity Position
Company holds $502 million in unrestricted cash and cash equivalents, with $400 million at the Sphere segment, indicating a strong liquidity position.
Negative Updates
MSG Networks Revenue Decline
Revenue decreased to $139.3 million in the December quarter from $146.4 million in the prior year, driven by an approximately 11.5% decrease in subscribers.
Noncash Goodwill Impairment Charge
A $61.2 million noncash goodwill impairment charge was recorded due to ongoing industry challenges facing MSG Networks.
Adjusted Operating Loss in Sphere Segment
Sphere segment reported an adjusted operating loss of $800,000 for the December quarter, reflecting challenges in achieving profitability.
Content Production Costs for Residencies
High content production costs for bands remain a concern, although offset by residency benefits.
Company Guidance
During the Sphere Entertainment Company's earnings call for the fiscal period ending December 31, 2024, the company provided guidance focused on driving profitable growth through several strategic initiatives. Jim Dolan, the Executive Chairman and CEO, highlighted the development of new productions to expand their original content library and the promotion of concert residencies, including upcoming shows by Kenny Chesney and the Backstreet Boys. The company reported total revenues of $308.3 million and an adjusted operating income of $32.9 million for the December quarter. The Sphere segment alone generated $169 million in revenue, though it reported an adjusted operating loss of $800,000. The Sphere experience in Las Vegas has generated over $450 million in high-margin revenue, indicating strong demand and successful pricing strategies. Robert Langer, the new EVP and CFO, mentioned that the company is optimistic about revenue growth and cost efficiencies for the upcoming year, aiming to improve adjusted operating income significantly. The call also touched on expansion plans, with ongoing work on a second Sphere in Abu Dhabi and potential designs for smaller Spheres in other markets. The company ended the year with approximately $502 million in unrestricted cash and cash equivalents, and a debt balance of about $1.36 billion.

Sphere Entertainment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sphere Entertainment faces significant financial challenges, particularly in profitability and cash flow management. While gross profit margins are relatively healthy, the company struggles with negative net income and cash flow inefficiencies. The balance sheet remains stable, but overall, the company must address operational inefficiencies and improve cash flow generation to enhance financial health.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Sphere Entertainment shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data reveals a gross profit margin of 38.59%, indicating moderate profitability. However, a concerning trend is evident with a negative net profit margin of -32.99% and a declining revenue growth rate from the previous year at 6.16%. The company faces challenges in EBIT and EBITDA margins, both in negative territory at -34.97% and -4.18%, respectively, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet presents a stable yet cautious outlook. The debt-to-equity ratio is at 0.68, suggesting a manageable level of leverage. The equity ratio stands at 48.17%, supporting a stable capital structure. However, the return on equity is negative at -16.79%, indicating difficulties in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
Sphere Entertainment’s cash flow statement displays considerable challenges. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, and both the operating cash flow to net income and free cash flow to net income ratios are unfavorable, reflecting cash flow inefficiencies. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is -0.07, underscoring difficulties in converting sales into cash.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.09B1.03B573.83M610.05M647.51M1.44B
Gross Profit
420.60M484.79M231.62M289.78M384.65M645.52M
EBIT
-381.22M-341.24M-273.04M-165.74M64.51M235.21M
EBITDA
-45.56M-23.86M405.62M-16.38M193.75M210.04M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-359.77M-200.65M502.77M-194.40M-148.15M181.73M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
465.02M559.76M131.97M747.31M1.52B1.24B
Total Assets
4.45B4.79B4.97B5.52B5.29B3.73B
Total Debt
1.46B1.52B1.32B1.09B2.01B261.16M
Net Debt
996.81M958.99M1.19B339.19M494.59M-645.39M
Total Liabilities
2.31B2.37B2.39B3.36B2.97B844.77M
Stockholders Equity
2.14B2.42B2.58B1.96B2.17B2.86B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-57.52M-309.41M-905.39M-615.38M-514.70M-149.18M
Operating Cash Flow
-25.26M-19.66M153.59M141.34M-58.69M308.12M
Investing Cash Flow
-102.67M-45.18M-653.92M-804.16M-123.18M-394.53M
Financing Cash Flow
-87.51M209.73M85.54M-30.39M592.68M-113.87M

Sphere Entertainment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price38.44
Price Trends
50DMA
33.29
Positive
100DMA
36.23
Positive
200DMA
39.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.23
Positive
RSI
56.72
Neutral
STOCH
49.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SPHR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 38.44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.08, above the 50-day MA of 33.29, and below the 200-day MA of 39.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SPHR.

Sphere Entertainment Risk Analysis

Sphere Entertainment disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sphere Entertainment reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sphere Entertainment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$1.57B63.039.00%-1.98%-1.18%
CNCNK
74
Outperform
$3.67B21.0971.46%0.98%-0.80%13.07%
64
Neutral
$1.13B32.2917.57%-3.82%-56.18%
63
Neutral
$1.76B13.681222.83%5.81%133.05%
61
Neutral
$14.68B5.92-3.83%7.51%2.79%-33.07%
56
Neutral
$1.37B-15.64%-5.04%-155.66%
AMAMC
47
Neutral
$1.36B20.03%-5.43%26.07%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SPHR
Sphere Entertainment
38.44
5.16
15.50%
CNK
Cinemark Holdings
32.65
13.28
68.56%
IMAX
IMAX
29.20
12.34
73.19%
AMC
AMC Entertainment
3.02
-1.53
-33.63%
PLAY
Dave & Busters Entertainment
32.06
-8.93
-21.79%
MSGE
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.
37.39
3.76
11.18%

Sphere Entertainment Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Sphere Entertainment Holds Annual Meeting with Key Votes
Neutral
Jun 5, 2025

Sphere Entertainment held its Annual Meeting on June 4, 2025, where Class A and Class B stockholders voted on several key proposals. The election of directors for both classes was completed, with Class A electing four directors and Class B electing eleven directors. Additionally, stockholders ratified the appointment of the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, approved executive compensation in a non-binding vote, and agreed to redomesticate the company from Delaware to Nevada.

The most recent analyst rating on (SPHR) stock is a Buy with a $57.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sphere Entertainment stock, see the SPHR Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Sphere Entertainment Director Carl E. Vogel to Step Down
Neutral
Mar 28, 2025

On March 24, 2025, Carl E. Vogel, a director elected by holders of the Class A Common Stock of Sphere Entertainment Co., announced he will not seek re-election at the upcoming 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders scheduled for June 4, 2025. Vogel’s decision is not due to any disagreements with the company, and he will continue his roles on the Compensation and Audit Committees until his term concludes.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.