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Sphere Entertainment (SPHR)
NYSE:SPHR
US Market

Sphere Entertainment (SPHR) AI Stock Analysis

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SPHR

Sphere Entertainment

(NYSE:SPHR)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$122.00
▲(12.62% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/20/26
SPHR scores as a moderate-quality turnaround: improving TTM profitability and cash generation are the main positives, supported by strong price trend/momentum. The score is held back by inconsistent earnings quality (negative TTM EBIT, weak ROE), limited valuation support (negative P/E, no dividend yield provided), and financing covenants that may constrain flexibility.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow generation
A durable shift to positive TTM free cash flow (~$173M) signals the business can self-fund operations, capital expenditures and deleveraging. Sustained cash conversion reduces refinancing risk and supports reinvestment in venue tech and content even while GAAP profits lag.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative operating margins
Material negative operating margins (~-23%) show the core business has yet to consistently translate revenue into operating profits. Over months, sustained losses can pressure margins, force cost cuts or higher pricing that could reduce demand for events and slow long-term margin recovery.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong free cash flow generation
A durable shift to positive TTM free cash flow (~$173M) signals the business can self-fund operations, capital expenditures and deleveraging. Sustained cash conversion reduces refinancing risk and supports reinvestment in venue tech and content even while GAAP profits lag.
Read all positive factors

Sphere Entertainment (SPHR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sphere Entertainment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Sphere Entertainment Co. engages in the entertainment business. It produces, presents, or hosts various live entertainment events, including concerts, family shows, and special events, as well as sporting events, such as professional boxing, colle...
How the Company Makes Money
Sphere Entertainment generates revenue through multiple streams, including ticket sales from live events, venue rentals, and partnerships with artists and corporations for event sponsorships. The company also earns income from merchandise sales du...

Sphere Entertainment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 03, 2025
(Q5-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call demonstrated strong growth and expansion plans, particularly in the Sphere segment and new projects like Sphere Abu Dhabi and The Wizard of Oz. However, challenges such as a drop in MSG Networks revenues, lower revenues from Sphere Experience, and concerns over Las Vegas visitation pose significant hurdles.
Positive Updates
Increase in Total Company Revenues
Sphere Entertainment generated total company revenues of $282.7 million, which is an increase from the prior year period.
Negative Updates
Decrease in MSG Networks Revenue
MSG Networks generated $107.1 million in revenues, down from $122.2 million in the prior year period, due to a decrease in subscribers.
Read all updates
Q5-2025 Updates
Negative
Increase in Total Company Revenues
Sphere Entertainment generated total company revenues of $282.7 million, which is an increase from the prior year period.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During Sphere Entertainment's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics. They reported total company revenues of $282.7 million and an adjusted operating income (AOI) of $61.5 million for the June quarter. The Sphere segment alone generated $175.6 million in revenues, up from $151.2 million the previous year, driven by increased event-related revenues and additional shows. The company is focused on expanding its global network, with plans for Sphere venues in Abu Dhabi and other international markets. They have also sold over 120,000 tickets for their new experience, "The Wizard of Oz at Sphere," and expect to reach 200,000 by its opening. Sphere is on track to host over 100 concerts this year, up from 70 in 2024, and is building a recurring revenue base through corporate events and a new multiyear sponsorship deal. MSG Networks generated $107.1 million in revenues and $36.5 million in AOI for the quarter, with a completed restructuring of its credit facilities. The company remains optimistic about the long-term growth potential of its Sphere segment and is exploring strategic options for MSG Networks.

Sphere Entertainment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials indicate an improving turnaround: TTM revenue growth (+7.6%), higher gross margin (~51.6%), and a return to positive net income (net margin ~2.7%) and positive free cash flow (~$191M). Offsetting this, profitability durability is still questionable with negative TTM EBIT, weak ROE (~1.5%), and notable volatility across recent annual periods (including large losses and uneven cash flow).
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.22B1.03B1.03B573.83M610.05M647.51M
Gross Profit630.07M222.57M479.06M231.62M289.78M384.65M
EBITDA464.17M-23.86M-23.86M378.81M-43.05M185.75M
Net Income33.41M-200.65M-200.65M502.77M-194.40M-148.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.21B4.79B4.79B4.97B5.52B5.29B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments507.78M559.76M559.76M131.97M747.31M1.52B
Total Debt961.46M1.52B1.52B1.32B1.09B2.01B
Total Liabilities1.98B2.37B2.37B2.39B3.36B2.97B
Stockholders Equity2.23B2.42B2.42B2.58B1.96B2.17B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow191.00M-309.41M-309.41M-1.02B-663.88M-514.70M
Operating Cash Flow243.35M-19.66M-19.66M153.59M141.34M-58.69M
Investing Cash Flow-3.90M-45.18M-45.18M-653.92M-804.16M-123.18M
Financing Cash Flow-233.34M209.73M209.73M85.54M-30.39M592.68M

Sphere Entertainment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price108.33
Price Trends
50DMA
106.02
Positive
100DMA
95.36
Positive
200DMA
72.54
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.16
Positive
RSI
47.47
Neutral
STOCH
70.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SPHR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 108.33 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 112.64, above the 50-day MA of 106.02, and above the 200-day MA of 72.54, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SPHR.

Sphere Entertainment Risk Analysis

Sphere Entertainment disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sphere Entertainment reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sphere Entertainment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$2.04B56.8410.67%9.30%67.19%
65
Neutral
$2.69B6.89-618.85%0.68%-80.73%
61
Neutral
$3.85B13.101.51%24.54%-119.75%
61
Neutral
$3.25B19.4425.84%1.45%9.70%-31.62%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
51
Neutral
$2.72B-14.3320.86%97.19%-21.46%
45
Neutral
$1.20B-64.47-1.49%-10.68%-127.54%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SPHR
Sphere Entertainment
108.33
74.55
220.69%
CNK
Cinemark Holdings
28.11
2.68
10.52%
IMAX
IMAX
37.75
10.72
39.66%
IQ
Iqiyi
1.24
-1.13
-47.68%
LION
Lionsgate Studios
9.39
1.73
22.58%
MSGE
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.
56.88
22.99
67.84%

Sphere Entertainment Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Sphere Entertainment secures new long-term credit facilities
Positive
Feb 3, 2026
On January 29, 2026, MSG Las Vegas, LLC, an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of Sphere Entertainment Co., entered into a new credit agreement with a syndicate of lenders led by JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., establishing a $275 million senior secured ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 20, 2026