Cinemark (CNK)
NYSE:CNK
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Cinemark Holdings
(NYSE:CNK)
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Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$37.00
▲(23.29% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/13/26
The score is driven primarily by improving operating results and constructive earnings-call guidance (strong revenue/EBITDA growth and margin expansion). This is tempered by balance-sheet leverage and thin equity, while technicals are supportive but overheated, and valuation/dividend support is only moderate.
Positive Factors
Revenue & Margin Expansion
Sustained double‑digit top‑line growth and a large EBITDA margin expansion reflect durable operating leverage: higher attendance, pricing and mix drive fixed‑cost dilution. These structural improvements increase free cash flow potential and make underlying profitability less dependent on single hits.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Substantial leverage materially limits financial flexibility and raises sensitivity to operational setbacks or weaker film slates. High net debt relative to thin equity constrains the company's ability to absorb adverse quarters, slow additional investments, or rapidly pivot capital allocation without refinancing risk.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue & Margin Expansion
Sustained double‑digit top‑line growth and a large EBITDA margin expansion reflect durable operating leverage: higher attendance, pricing and mix drive fixed‑cost dilution. These structural improvements increase free cash flow potential and make underlying profitability less dependent on single hits.
Read all positive factors
Cinemark Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Total Attendance
Measures the total number of patrons visiting theaters, indicating overall popularity and demand for movie experiences.
Measures the total number of patrons visiting theaters, indicating overall popularity and demand for movie experiences.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyCinemark Holdings (CNK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$3.94B
Dividend Yield1.45%
Average Volume (3M)2.11M
Price to Earnings (P/E)22.8
Beta (1Y)0.35
Revenue Growth6.85%
EPS Growth-26.53%
CountryUS
Employees9,252
SectorCommunication Services
Sector Strength97
IndustryEntertainment
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.47
Shares Outstanding116,787,760
10 Day Avg. Volume2,690,347
30 Day Avg. Volume2,107,708
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.37
Price to Book (P/B)6.63
Price to Sales (P/S)0.86
P/FCF Ratio15.16
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.42
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.74
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit5.33
Enterprise Value/Ebitda10.10
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$34.89Price Target Upside16.26% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering9
EPS Forecast (FY)2.12
Revenue Forecast (FY)$3.46B
Cinemark Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Cinemark Holdings, Inc., through its various subsidiaries, operates in the business of exhibiting motion pictures. As of June 30, 2022, the company managed a portfolio of 522 movie theaters, encompassing 5,868 screens located across the United Sta...
How the Company Makes Money
Cinemark generates revenue primarily from (1) admissions and (2) food and beverage concessions sold at its theatres. Admissions revenue comes from ticket sales to moviegoers; a portion of ticket sales is typically shared with film distributors und...
Cinemark Holdings Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong financial and operational momentum: double‑digit revenue growth (+19%), a 143% increase in adjusted EBITDA to $88 million, and a 710 bps margin expansion. Key strategic drivers — Movie Club adoption (~30% of box office), per‑cap gains, premium format investments, and improved sourcing — underpin optimism. Headwinds are largely specific and manageable: Latin America content softness, regional wage inflation, elevated utilities/maintenance, and increased marketing investment. Given the magnitude of the reported improvements and management's confidence in sustainable industry tailwinds (including a move toward 45‑day windows), the positives materially outweigh the localized/near‑term challenges.Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Growth
Worldwide revenue increased 19% year‑over‑year to $643 million in Q1 2026, driven by a stronger box office environment and improved programming and marketing execution.
Negative Updates
Latin America Underperformance
International (primarily Latin America) attendance and results were below expectations in Q1 due to a film slate that didn't resonate, negatively impacting margins in the region; management attributes this primarily to content mix rather than demand erosion.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Top-Line Growth
Worldwide revenue increased 19% year‑over‑year to $643 million in Q1 2026, driven by a stronger box office environment and improved programming and marketing execution.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Cinemark reiterated confident forward-looking guidance centered on continued top-line momentum and margin expansion: Q1 revenue was $643M (up 19% YoY) with adjusted EBITDA of $88M (up 143%) and adjusted EBITDA margin expanding ~710 bps, and management said they expect to further leverage growth through fixed‑cost dilution (U.S. facilities/lease and G&A) while continuing to invest in marketing (marketing spend expected to increase as a percent of revenue in 2026) and premium amenities. Key operating metrics cited were Movie Club now driving ~30% of box office, domestic per‑cap growth of ~7.5% YoY in Q1 (driven by pricing, higher incidents and mix), PLF screens representing ~6% of screens but ~15% of box office, merchandise (which was +~40% last year) expected to be a growing contributor for the balance of the year, and a modest ~3.5% increase in salaries & wages this quarter (G&A ex‑SBC up ~2%). They flagged near‑term headwinds to model (a tougher Q2 comp due to last year’s Minecraft, Latin America softness in Q1 driven by film slate), expect electricity costs and repairs & maintenance to remain elevated, and view recent studio moves toward ~45‑day windows (still ~40% shorter than pre‑pandemic norms) as a constructive step that should help attendance recovery without materially changing film rental economics.Cinemark Holdings Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
67
Positive
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
63
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 3.22B | 3.12B | 3.05B | 3.07B | 2.45B | 1.51B |
| Gross Profit | 1.05B | 577.90M | 1.96B | 570.60M | 1.58B | 997.60M |
| EBITDA | 553.00M | 519.40M | 616.30M | 603.90M | 151.70M | -300.00K |
| Net Income | 170.10M | 138.20M | 309.70M | 188.20M | -271.20M | -422.80M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 4.35B | 4.43B | 5.07B | 4.84B | 4.82B | 5.23B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 261.70M | 344.30M | 1.06B | 849.10M | 674.50M | 707.30M |
| Total Debt | 1.98B | 3.78B | 3.46B | 3.55B | 3.78B | 3.95B |
| Total Liabilities | 3.96B | 4.02B | 4.46B | 4.52B | 4.70B | 4.90B |
| Stockholders Equity | 381.10M | 405.20M | 594.40M | 309.80M | 110.20M | 322.90M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 260.30M | 177.20M | 315.20M | 294.80M | 25.30M | 70.70M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 494.80M | 396.10M | 466.00M | 444.30M | 136.00M | 166.20M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -231.40M | -209.20M | -146.90M | -131.80M | -96.30M | -89.30M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -719.80M | -913.10M | -103.10M | -125.40M | -52.20M | -19.90M |
Cinemark Holdings Technical Analysis
Positive
30.01
Price Trends
29.17
Positive
27.85
Positive
26.88
Positive
Market Momentum
1.52
Negative
68.40
Neutral
71.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CNK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 30.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.61, above the 50-day MA of 29.17, and above the 200-day MA of 26.88, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.52 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CNK.
Cinemark Holdings Risk Analysis
Cinemark Holdings disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cinemark Holdings reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Cinemark Holdings Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
69 Neutral | $2.43B | 65.24 | 10.95% | ― | 12.56% | 43.49% | |
67 Neutral | $3.47B | 53.77 | 8.89% | ― | 4.51% | -62.44% | |
65 Neutral | $3.94B | 22.76 | 31.48% | 1.45% | 6.85% | -26.53% | |
62 Neutral | $5.63B | 47.11 | 5.36% | ― | 11.47% | ― | |
60 Neutral | $48.67B | 4.58 | -11.27% | 4.14% | 2.83% | -41.78% | |
57 Neutral | $4.50B | -22.66 | 16.27% | ― | -17.64% | -54.79% | |
53 Neutral | $1.73B | -2.79 | 29.90% | ― | 10.63% | -7.77% |
* Communication Services Sector Average
CNK
Cinemark Holdings
33.76
3.10
10.10%
IMAX
IMAX
44.33
16.52
59.40%
AMC
AMC Entertainment
2.83
-0.16
-5.35%
SPHR
Sphere Entertainment
157.33
116.46
284.95%
LION
Lionsgate Studios
15.49
9.39
153.93%
MSGE
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.
73.43
32.51
79.45%
Cinemark Holdings Corporate Events
DividendsShareholder Meetings
Cinemark Holds Annual Meeting and Declares Quarterly Dividend
Positive
May 14, 2026
On May 14, 2026, Cinemark Holdings held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where investors re-elected all director nominees to serve until the 2029 annual meeting and approved, on an advisory basis, the 2025 compensation of the company’s na...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Cinemark Holdings Reports Strong Q1 Revenue and EBITDA
Positive
May 1, 2026
On May 1, 2026, Cinemark Holdings, Inc. reported that first-quarter 2026 revenue rose 18.9% year over year to $643.1 million, its strongest first-quarter top line and Adjusted EBITDA since the pandemic. The theatrical exhibitor, which entertained ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.