Cinemark (CNK)
NYSE:CNK
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Cinemark Holdings
(NYSE:CNK)
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Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$27.00
▼(-10.03% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is held back primarily by balance-sheet leverage and weak near-term technical momentum. Offsetting these, recent earnings-call commentary points to strong revenue/EBITDA growth and margin expansion, while cash flow is positive; valuation signals are mixed due to a negative P/E despite a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Sustained positive operating cash flow (~$495M TTM) and meaningful free cash flow (~$260M TTM) provide durable internal funding for capex, premium format rollouts, shareholder returns and debt repayment. This improves resilience to cyclical box‑office swings and supports strategic investments without immediate reliance on markets.
Negative Factors
High leverage / thin equity
A debt-to-equity ratio near ~5.2x TTM signals elevated financial leverage and relatively thin equity, limiting flexibility for acquisitions or deep capex cycles. High leverage increases sensitivity to revenue or margin shocks, raises refinancing and interest risks, and constrains the company’s ability to absorb prolonged content‑slate or macro downturns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Sustained positive operating cash flow (~$495M TTM) and meaningful free cash flow (~$260M TTM) provide durable internal funding for capex, premium format rollouts, shareholder returns and debt repayment. This improves resilience to cyclical box‑office swings and supports strategic investments without immediate reliance on markets.
Read all positive factors
Cinemark Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Total Attendance
Measures the total number of patrons visiting theaters, indicating overall popularity and demand for movie experiences.
Measures the total number of patrons visiting theaters, indicating overall popularity and demand for movie experiences.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyCinemark Holdings (CNK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$3.17B
Dividend Yield1.45%
Average Volume (3M)2.06M
Price to Earnings (P/E)18.4
Beta (1Y)0.43
Revenue Growth6.85%
EPS Growth-26.53%
CountryUS
Employees9,252
SectorCommunication Services
Sector Strength97
IndustryEntertainment
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.47
Shares Outstanding116,787,760
10 Day Avg. Volume1,667,045
30 Day Avg. Volume2,061,547
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.36
Price to Book (P/B)6.63
Price to Sales (P/S)0.86
P/FCF Ratio15.16
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.54
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.52
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit4.68
Enterprise Value/Ebitda9.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$33.63Price Target Upside12.05% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering8
EPS Forecast (FY)2.13
Revenue Forecast (FY)$3.44B
Cinemark Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Cinemark Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the motion picture exhibition business. As of June 30, 2022, it operated 522 theatres with 5,868 screens in the United States, and South and Central America. The company was found...
How the Company Makes Money
Cinemark primarily earns revenue through two core streams: (1) admissions and (2) concessions. Admissions revenue is generated from selling movie tickets for theatrical showings; the amount retained by Cinemark is influenced by film rental and dis...
Cinemark Holdings Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong financial and operational momentum: double‑digit revenue growth (+19%), a 143% increase in adjusted EBITDA to $88 million, and a 710 bps margin expansion. Key strategic drivers — Movie Club adoption (~30% of box office), per‑cap gains, premium format investments, and improved sourcing — underpin optimism. Headwinds are largely specific and manageable: Latin America content softness, regional wage inflation, elevated utilities/maintenance, and increased marketing investment. Given the magnitude of the reported improvements and management's confidence in sustainable industry tailwinds (including a move toward 45‑day windows), the positives materially outweigh the localized/near‑term challenges.Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Growth
Worldwide revenue increased 19% year‑over‑year to $643 million in Q1 2026, driven by a stronger box office environment and improved programming and marketing execution.
Negative Updates
Latin America Underperformance
International (primarily Latin America) attendance and results were below expectations in Q1 due to a film slate that didn't resonate, negatively impacting margins in the region; management attributes this primarily to content mix rather than demand erosion.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Top-Line Growth
Worldwide revenue increased 19% year‑over‑year to $643 million in Q1 2026, driven by a stronger box office environment and improved programming and marketing execution.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Cinemark reiterated confident forward-looking guidance centered on continued top-line momentum and margin expansion: Q1 revenue was $643M (up 19% YoY) with adjusted EBITDA of $88M (up 143%) and adjusted EBITDA margin expanding ~710 bps, and management said they expect to further leverage growth through fixed‑cost dilution (U.S. facilities/lease and G&A) while continuing to invest in marketing (marketing spend expected to increase as a percent of revenue in 2026) and premium amenities. Key operating metrics cited were Movie Club now driving ~30% of box office, domestic per‑cap growth of ~7.5% YoY in Q1 (driven by pricing, higher incidents and mix), PLF screens representing ~6% of screens but ~15% of box office, merchandise (which was +~40% last year) expected to be a growing contributor for the balance of the year, and a modest ~3.5% increase in salaries & wages this quarter (G&A ex‑SBC up ~2%). They flagged near‑term headwinds to model (a tougher Q2 comp due to last year’s Minecraft, Latin America softness in Q1 driven by film slate), expect electricity costs and repairs & maintenance to remain elevated, and view recent studio moves toward ~45‑day windows (still ~40% shorter than pre‑pandemic norms) as a constructive step that should help attendance recovery without materially changing film rental economics.Cinemark Holdings Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
67
Positive
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
63
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 3.22B | 3.12B | 3.05B | 3.07B | 2.45B | 1.51B |
| Gross Profit | 1.05B | 577.90M | 1.96B | 570.60M | 1.58B | 997.60M |
| EBITDA | 544.10M | 543.70M | 616.30M | 603.90M | 151.70M | -300.00K |
| Net Income | 170.10M | 138.20M | 309.70M | 188.20M | -271.20M | -422.80M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 4.35B | 4.43B | 5.07B | 4.84B | 4.82B | 5.23B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 261.70M | 344.30M | 1.06B | 849.10M | 674.50M | 707.30M |
| Total Debt | 1.98B | 3.78B | 3.46B | 3.55B | 3.78B | 3.95B |
| Total Liabilities | 3.96B | 4.02B | 4.46B | 4.52B | 4.70B | 4.90B |
| Stockholders Equity | 381.10M | 405.20M | 594.40M | 309.80M | 110.20M | 322.90M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 260.30M | 177.20M | 315.20M | 294.80M | 25.30M | 70.70M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 494.80M | 396.10M | 466.00M | 444.30M | 136.00M | 166.20M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -231.40M | -209.20M | -146.90M | -131.80M | -96.30M | -89.30M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -719.80M | -913.10M | -103.10M | -125.40M | -52.20M | -19.90M |
Cinemark Holdings Technical Analysis
Positive
30.01
Price Trends
28.05
Negative
26.58
Positive
26.41
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.37
Negative
49.95
Neutral
74.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CNK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 30.01 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.89, above the 50-day MA of 28.05, and above the 200-day MA of 26.41, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.37 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CNK.
Cinemark Holdings Risk Analysis
Cinemark Holdings disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cinemark Holdings reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Cinemark Holdings Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
67 Neutral | $3.31B | 51.00 | 8.89% | ― | 4.51% | -62.44% | |
63 Neutral | $2.12B | 57.74 | 10.95% | ― | 12.56% | 43.49% | |
62 Neutral | $4.71B | 40.05 | 5.36% | ― | 11.47% | ― | |
60 Neutral | $48.67B | 4.58 | -11.27% | 4.14% | 2.83% | -41.78% | |
57 Neutral | $4.06B | -20.86 | 16.27% | ― | -17.64% | -54.79% | |
56 Neutral | $3.17B | 18.37 | 31.48% | 1.45% | 6.85% | -26.53% | |
46 Neutral | $967.07M | -1.56 | 29.90% | ― | 10.63% | -7.77% |
* Communication Services Sector Average
CNK
Cinemark Holdings
27.24
-6.10
-18.29%
IMAX
IMAX
39.23
11.38
40.86%
AMC
AMC Entertainment
1.58
-1.98
-55.62%
SPHR
Sphere Entertainment
133.75
96.05
254.77%
LION
Lionsgate Studios
14.26
7.03
97.23%
MSGE
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.
69.65
32.54
87.69%
Cinemark Holdings Corporate Events
DividendsShareholder Meetings
Cinemark Holds Annual Meeting and Declares Quarterly Dividend
Positive
May 14, 2026
On May 14, 2026, Cinemark Holdings held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where investors re-elected all director nominees to serve until the 2029 annual meeting and approved, on an advisory basis, the 2025 compensation of the company’s na...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Cinemark Holdings Reports Strong Q1 Revenue and EBITDA
Positive
May 1, 2026
On May 1, 2026, Cinemark Holdings, Inc. reported that first-quarter 2026 revenue rose 18.9% year over year to $643.1 million, its strongest first-quarter top line and Adjusted EBITDA since the pandemic. The theatrical exhibitor, which entertained ...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Cinemark Posts Record 2025 Revenue and Market Share Gains
Positive
Feb 18, 2026
On February 18, 2026, Cinemark Holdings reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, highlighting its highest post-pandemic revenue of $3.1 billion for the year and strong operating performance despite a softer film slate. The company e...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.