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Cinemark Holdings (CNK)
NYSE:CNK
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Cinemark Holdings (CNK) AI Stock Analysis

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CNK

Cinemark Holdings

(NYSE:CNK)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$27.00
▲(6.59% Upside)
Cinemark Holdings shows a promising recovery trajectory with strong earnings performance and attractive valuation metrics. However, the high leverage and bearish technical indicators present risks. The company's strategic initiatives and strong film slate are positive, but international market challenges and inflationary pressures need to be addressed to sustain growth.
Positive Factors
Box Office Performance
Robust diverse slate drove solid box office growth, supporting 33% growth in domestic admissions revenues and the highest domestically since 2019.
Financial Performance
Cinemark delivered a strong second quarter, reporting $941M in revenue and $232M in AEBITDA, exceeding the consensus expectation of $229M.
Shareholder Returns
Cinemark is expected to lean into share buybacks and raise its dividend, enhancing capital returns as its convertible notes are cleared.
Negative Factors
Box Office Estimates
This summer's box office performance has come in modestly below expectations, leading to a reduction in 2025 box office estimates.
Revenue Challenges
The company is facing challenges with lower revenue and gross profit estimates in the US and Latin America segments.

Cinemark Holdings (CNK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cinemark Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCinemark Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the motion picture exhibition business. As of June 30, 2022, it operated 522 theatres with 5,868 screens in the United States, and South and Central America. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Plano, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyCinemark generates revenue primarily through ticket sales and concession sales. The ticket sales constitute the bulk of the revenue, as they capture the income from moviegoers purchasing admission to screenings. Additionally, concession sales, including popcorn, beverages, and other snacks, contribute significantly to profitability, often carrying higher margins than ticket sales. The company may also earn revenue from advertising and promotional partnerships within its theaters, as well as from loyalty programs that encourage repeat business. Special events, such as advanced screenings and private rentals, further diversify its revenue streams. Cinemark has established partnerships with film studios that can enhance its offerings and attract larger audiences by showcasing exclusive content or early releases.

Cinemark Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Attendance
Total Attendance
Measures the total number of patrons visiting theaters, indicating overall popularity and demand for movie experiences.
Chart InsightsCinemark's total attendance is rebounding strongly post-pandemic, with a notable uptick in 2025 driven by a robust film slate and strategic initiatives. Despite a typical seasonal dip in early 2025, attendance surged in the second quarter, aligning with record-breaking box office revenues and a 28% increase in global revenue. The company's focus on family films and nontraditional programming has paid off, though challenges remain in international markets and inflationary pressures. Looking ahead, Cinemark anticipates continued momentum with major releases expected to boost attendance further.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Cinemark Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 01, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -5.73%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Cinemark experienced a strong second quarter with record-breaking box office performance and significant revenue and EBITDA growth driven by a compelling film slate and successful strategic initiatives. However, challenges in international markets, inflationary pressures, and maintenance expenses posed some difficulties.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Box Office Performance
Second quarter North American industry box office reached $2.7 billion, up more than 35% year-over-year. This flipped year-to-date tracking from a 12% deficit versus 2024 to a 14% gain by the end of June.
Strong Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Cinemark's revenue grew 28% year-over-year to $941 million, with adjusted EBITDA increasing 63% to $232 million, marking the second highest quarterly EBITDA in the company's history.
Highest Quarterly Concession Revenue
Cinemark's domestic concession revenue surpassed $300 million for the first time, reaching $307.6 million, and setting an all-time high for concession per capita at $8.34.
Successful Loyalty Program Growth
The Movie Club subscription program grew 12% year-over-year to 1.45 million members, contributing nearly 30% of domestic box office revenue over the past two quarters.
Expansion of Premium Offerings
Cinemark plans to introduce an additional 80 D-BOX auditoriums and 20 ScreenX experiences by the end of 2026, responding to strong demand for premium large-format auditoriums.
Negative Updates
Challenges in International Markets
International attendance remained flat year-over-year, and the region faced tough comparisons due to the prior year's success of Inside Out 2, which was the region's highest-grossing film of all time.
Impact of Inflation on Expenses
Concession costs increased due to inflationary pressures and a higher mix of merchandise sales, with ongoing inflation expected to continue impacting expenses.
Deferred Maintenance Expenses
Cinemark faced elevated repairs and maintenance expenses to address deferred maintenance needs across its circuit, impacting utilities and other expenses.
Company Guidance
In the Cinemark Holdings Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, Sean Gamble, the company's President and CEO, highlighted a robust box office performance driven by a strong film slate, with North American box office revenues reaching $2.7 billion, marking a 35% year-over-year increase. Global attendance rose by 16% to 57.9 million patrons, contributing to a 28% increase in worldwide revenue, totaling $940.5 million. Cinemark achieved its highest quarterly domestic admissions revenues since the pandemic, and its third highest ever, with adjusted EBITDA surging by 63% to $232 million, yielding a margin expansion of over 500 basis points to 24.7%. The company benefited from a favorable mix of family films, generating more than 40% of the second quarter's box office, and a strong offering of nontraditional programming, which accounted for over 10% of admissions revenue for the fourth consecutive quarter. Despite the typical decline in box office during August and September, Cinemark anticipates a strong film lineup in the third quarter and an accelerated pace in the fourth quarter, with major releases including "Tron: Ares," "Mortal Kombat II," and "Avatar: Fire and Ash."

Cinemark Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cinemark Holdings exhibited a strong recovery with significant profitability improvements. The income statement shows a positive turnaround, though revenue growth has slowed. The balance sheet reveals high leverage, suggesting focus on debt reduction is needed despite better equity positioning. Cash flow performance is robust, supporting operations and debt servicing.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Cinemark Holdings showed a robust improvement in profitability with a TTM Gross Profit Margin of 47.12% and a Net Profit Margin of 8.17%. The company has managed to recover from previous losses, demonstrating strong revenue growth since the pandemic lows. However, recent revenue growth has been somewhat stagnant, and the decrease in revenue from the previous year indicates a challenge in maintaining growth momentum.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a high Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 4.57 in the latest TTM period, indicating significant leverage. Despite this, the Equity Ratio stands at 7.46%, showing some improvement in equity positioning. Return on Equity improved to 70.48% in the TTM, reflecting better profitability. However, the high leverage poses potential risks, and continued focus on debt reduction would be beneficial.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cinemark's cash flow performance is notably strong, with a Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.90 and an Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.50 in the TTM period. These metrics suggest efficient cash conversion and operational performance. The Free Cash Flow growth has been positive, although the capital expenditure remains a necessary burden due to industry demands.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.22B3.05B3.07B2.45B1.51B686.31M
Gross Profit1.32B1.96B570.60M1.58B997.60M450.85M
EBITDA661.80M616.30M603.90M140.90M-3.79M-511.73M
Net Income292.50M309.70M188.20M-268.00M-422.21M-617.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.91B5.07B4.84B4.82B5.23B5.56B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments931.60M1.06B849.10M674.50M707.34M655.34M
Total Debt3.46B3.46B3.55B3.78B3.94B3.93B
Total Liabilities4.46B4.46B4.52B4.70B4.90B4.76B
Stockholders Equity447.80M594.40M309.80M110.20M322.90M787.97M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow304.80M315.20M294.80M25.30M70.68M-414.03M
Operating Cash Flow460.60M466.00M444.30M136.00M166.22M-330.10M
Investing Cash Flow-145.70M-146.90M-131.80M-96.30M-89.30M-83.37M
Financing Cash Flow-181.30M-103.10M-125.40M-52.20M-19.93M584.41M

Cinemark Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price25.33
Price Trends
50DMA
29.35
Negative
100DMA
29.26
Negative
200DMA
29.51
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.27
Positive
RSI
32.22
Neutral
STOCH
31.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CNK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 25.33 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.11, below the 50-day MA of 29.35, and below the 200-day MA of 29.51, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CNK.

Cinemark Holdings Risk Analysis

Cinemark Holdings disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cinemark Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cinemark Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$1.38B42.1511.16%1.25%55.54%
65
Neutral
$461.94M34.123.30%1.87%13.28%
64
Neutral
$2.91B13.9070.99%0.63%13.80%109.00%
56
Neutral
C$4.26B1.37-13.88%5.36%-5.96%-50.93%
47
Neutral
$1.93B168.75%-2.85%75.96%
46
Neutral
$1.56B20.03%9.42%39.83%
42
Neutral
$1.93B259.47%-2.85%75.96%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CNK
Cinemark Holdings
25.62
-0.75
-2.84%
IMAX
IMAX
25.30
5.31
26.56%
MCS
Marcus
14.94
1.83
13.96%
AMC
AMC Entertainment
3.00
-1.99
-39.88%
LGF.A
Lions Gate Entertainment Class A
8.59
0.57
7.11%
LGF.B
Lions Gate Entertainment Class B
7.69
0.56
7.85%

Cinemark Holdings Corporate Events

Dividends
Cinemark Holdings Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Aug 13, 2025

On August 13, 2025, Cinemark Holdings, Inc. announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.08 per share, payable on September 10, 2025, to stockholders of record as of August 27, 2025. This announcement reflects Cinemark’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may positively impact investor confidence in the company’s financial health and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNK) stock is a Buy with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cinemark Holdings stock, see the CNK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Cinemark Holdings Reports Strong Q2 2025 Revenue Growth
Positive
Aug 1, 2025

On August 1, 2025, Cinemark Holdings announced a 28% year-over-year increase in total revenue to $941 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2025, driven by a surge in summer moviegoing. The company reported $95 million in net income and achieved its second-highest quarterly Adjusted EBITDA at $232 million. Cinemark entertained 58 million moviegoers globally, with significant gains in market share and record-level results in various metrics, including domestic admissions revenue and food and beverage sales. The company also expanded its loyalty program and leveraged marketing capabilities to enhance consumer engagement, positioning itself well for future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNK) stock is a Hold with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cinemark Holdings stock, see the CNK Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Cinemark Holdings Stockholders Approve Key Governance Decisions
Neutral
May 20, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Cinemark Holdings held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key decisions were made regarding the company’s governance and financial oversight. The stockholders elected nominees to the Board of Directors to serve until 2028, approved the 2024 compensation for the company’s Named Executive Officers, and ratified the selection of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNK) stock is a Buy with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cinemark Holdings stock, see the CNK Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Cinemark Declares Quarterly Dividend Amid Financial Stability
Positive
May 15, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Cinemark Holdings, Inc. announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.08 per share, to be paid on June 12, 2025, to stockholders of record as of May 29, 2025. This announcement underscores Cinemark’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may positively impact investor sentiment, reflecting the company’s stable financial position and confidence in its ongoing operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNK) stock is a Buy with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cinemark Holdings stock, see the CNK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025