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AMC Entertainment (AMC)
NYSE:AMC

AMC Entertainment (AMC) AI Stock Analysis

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AMC Entertainment

(NYSE:AMC)

Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▲(6.38%Upside)
AMC's overall stock score is driven by poor financial performance, which is offset by positive technical momentum and encouraging guidance from the earnings call. The negative valuation metrics and lack of dividends detract from its appeal, but strategic initiatives and resilience in challenging market conditions provide some optimism for improvement.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
AMC's Q1 2025 results came in ahead of consensus on both revenue and AEBITDA, despite a historically weak box office that weighed on overall performance.
Market Positioning
AMC's positioning at the high end of the market should help it retain share as production volumes normalize and theatrical windows are reinforced.
Revenue Opportunities
Creating incremental revenue opportunities: Launching new A-List tiers to help drive more attendance can also support efforts to improve profitability.
Negative Factors
Debt Obligations
AMC has $43 million in debt due this year, another $173 million due in 2026, and $526 million due by 2027, so it has to prioritize well.
Liquidity Concerns
While liquidity remains a concern, AMC is leaning into premium formats, loyalty programs, and experiential upgrades to capture incremental value per patron.
Market Challenges
AMC's first quarter will reflect a challenged box office environment, with the domestic industry down 11.6% YoY to $1.42B.

AMC Entertainment (AMC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AMC Entertainment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the theatrical exhibition business. The company owns, operates, or has interests in theatres in the United States and Europe. As of March 1, 2022, it operated approximately 950 theatres and 10,600 screens. The company was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Leawood, Kansas.
How the Company Makes MoneyAMC Entertainment generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source of income is box office ticket sales, which are influenced by the number and quality of films released. Concessions are another significant revenue stream, with the company offering a variety of snacks and drinks at its theaters. Additionally, AMC earns money through its loyalty program, AMC Stubs, generating revenue from membership fees and encouraging repeat visits. Other revenue streams include advertising and on-screen promotions, as well as renting out theaters for special events and screenings. Partnerships with film studios and distributors also play a crucial role in the company's revenue model, as they secure access to blockbuster films that drive ticket sales.

AMC Entertainment Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Attendance
Total Attendance
Measures the total number of moviegoers visiting AMC theaters, indicating the company’s ability to attract audiences and drive ticket sales.
Chart InsightsAMC's total attendance has shown a steady recovery from the pandemic lows, but recent quarters indicate a slowdown. Despite a challenging Q1 2025 with the lowest box office since 1996, AMC's strategic initiatives, such as expanding premium formats and enhancing guest experiences, are expected to drive future growth. The earnings call highlights a strong performance in April and May 2025, suggesting a promising outlook for the rest of the year, with AMC outperforming industry declines and achieving record revenue per patron.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

AMC Entertainment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 21.40%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Despite a challenging first quarter with the lowest box office since 1996, AMC's performance metrics, such as high revenue per patron and successful debt reduction, indicate a resilient business. The strong performance in April and May 2025 suggests a promising outlook for the rest of the year.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Performance in April 2025
The industry-wide domestic box office in April 2025 was double that of April 2024, with a similar trend in May, indicating a strong rebound in moviegoing demand.
AMC Outperforms Box Office Decline
While the North American box office was down 12.4% year-over-year, AMC outperformed by 150 basis points, with a domestic admissions revenue decline of only 10.9%.
Record Revenue Per Patron
AMC achieved an all-time first quarter record for U.S. admissions revenue per patron and noted significant increases in food and beverage revenue per patron.
Debt Reduction Initiatives
Since 2022, AMC has lowered its principal debt and finance leases by approximately $1.1 billion and repaid about $281 million in deferred leases.
Expansion of Premium Formats
AMC plans to expand its Premium Large Format and Extra Large Format screens from over 600 to more than 1,000, enhancing the moviegoing experience.
Negative Updates
Weak First Quarter 2025 Box Office
The first quarter of 2025 saw the lowest industry-wide domestic box office since 1996, excluding COVID-impacted years.
Seasonal Working Capital Shift
AMC experienced a seasonal working capital shift from positive in Q4 to negative in Q1, amplified by a soft box office.
Company Guidance
During the AMC Entertainment Holdings Incorporated first quarter 2025 earnings webcast, CEO Adam Aron and CFO Sean Goodman provided guidance indicating a promising outlook for the remainder of 2025 and beyond, despite a challenging first quarter. The company expects the full-year 2025 industry-wide domestic box office to be at the high end of their forecasted range, predicting an increase of $500 million to $1 billion over the 2024 box office. AMC's financial performance is anticipated to improve significantly with revenue per patron up 1.6% year-over-year and 40% compared to pre-pandemic 2019, driven by a 49% increase in food and beverage revenue and a 26% increase in admissions revenue per patron. Furthermore, AMC surpassed Wall Street expectations with domestic admissions revenue per patron achieving a record $12.31, despite a 10.9% decline in domestic admissions revenue. The company also highlighted capital initiatives, including the expansion of their Premium Large Format and Extra Large Format screens from 600 to over 1,000, and a strategic Go Plan to enhance the guest experience, which includes innovative food and beverage offerings, loyalty programs, and seating upgrades. AMC expects to be free cash flow positive for the nine months ending December 31, 2025, and anticipates a robust recovery, with 2025 on pace to deliver the strongest box office since 2019.

AMC Entertainment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AMC's financial performance is troubled, with consistent net losses, high leverage, and negative equity. The company faces significant financial challenges, including negative net income and strained cash flow, indicating operational inefficiencies and liquidity risks.
Income Statement
35
Negative
AMC's income statement reflects challenges in achieving profitability. The negative net income across periods indicates persistent losses. Revenue has fluctuated, and despite some improvement in gross profit margin, the net profit margin remains negative. Additionally, EBIT and EBITDA margins are weak, highlighting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
AMC's balance sheet shows a concerning financial structure. The high debt-to-equity ratio, exacerbated by negative stockholders' equity, raises red flags about financial stability. Although total assets are substantial, the liabilities outweigh them, indicating potential risks in solvency and capital structure.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
The cash flow statement underscores persistent cash flow issues, with negative operating and free cash flows. The inability to generate positive cash flow from operations and reliance on financing activities highlights liquidity challenges. Free cash flow to net income ratios are negative, indicating a strained cash position.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
4.55B4.64B4.81B3.91B2.53B1.24B
Gross Profit
2.58B3.09B1.15B2.63B1.78B830.90M
EBIT
-116.80M-79.30M34.30M-387.10M-839.10M-1.56B
EBITDA
386.30M412.70M383.00M-196.40M-396.90M-3.67B
Net Income Common Stockholders
-391.20M-352.60M-396.60M-973.60M-1.27B-4.59B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
378.70M632.30M884.30M631.50M1.59B308.30M
Total Assets
8.05B8.25B9.01B9.14B10.82B10.28B
Total Debt
8.30B8.28B9.14B651.60M10.75B96.00M
Net Debt
7.92B7.64B8.26B20.10M9.16B-212.30M
Total Liabilities
9.79B10.01B10.86B11.76B12.61B13.16B
Stockholders Equity
-1.74B-1.76B-1.85B-2.62B-1.79B-2.89B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-474.50M-296.30M-444.80M-848.30M-714.70M-1.30B
Operating Cash Flow
-232.50M-50.80M-215.20M-628.50M-614.10M-1.13B
Investing Cash Flow
-239.80M-242.90M-180.10M-224.00M-68.20M-154.60M
Financing Cash Flow
235.40M68.40M649.30M-91.30M1.99B1.33B

AMC Entertainment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.29
Price Trends
50DMA
2.95
Positive
100DMA
3.07
Positive
200DMA
3.75
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Positive
RSI
53.78
Neutral
STOCH
20.03
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.26, above the 50-day MA of 2.95, and below the 200-day MA of 3.75, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AMC.

AMC Entertainment Risk Analysis

AMC Entertainment disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. AMC Entertainment reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

AMC Entertainment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CNCNK
74
Outperform
$3.62B20.8071.46%1.01%-0.80%13.07%
74
Outperform
$1.47B59.539.00%-1.98%-1.18%
61
Neutral
$14.79B5.90-3.99%6.20%2.67%-30.30%
56
Neutral
$1.41B-15.64%-5.04%-155.66%
AMAMC
49
Neutral
$1.45B20.03%-5.43%26.07%
47
Neutral
$1.93B168.75%-2.85%75.96%
42
Neutral
$1.93B259.47%-2.85%75.96%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMC
AMC Entertainment
3.29
-1.91
-36.73%
CNK
Cinemark Holdings
32.13
14.40
81.22%
IMAX
IMAX
27.58
12.28
80.26%
LGF.A
Lions Gate Entertainment Class A
8.59
0.42
5.14%
LGF.B
Lions Gate Entertainment Class B
7.69
0.28
3.78%
SPHR
Sphere Entertainment
39.82
4.94
14.16%

AMC Entertainment Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
AMC Entertainment Announces Retirement of Kevin Connor
Neutral
Feb 14, 2025

On February 14, 2025, AMC Entertainment announced the retirement of Kevin Connor, its Senior Vice President, General Counsel, and Secretary, effective March 13, 2025, after a 23-year tenure. Connor played a significant role in AMC’s major milestones, including its merger with Loews Cineplex Entertainment in 2006 and its IPO in 2013. Edwin Gladbach has been appointed as the Interim General Counsel, with AMC considering both internal and external candidates for the permanent position later in the year.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.