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Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (MSGE)
NYSE:MSGE
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Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (MSGE) AI Stock Analysis

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MSGE

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.

(NYSE:MSGE)

Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$37.00
▲(0.46% Upside)
The overall stock score of 52 reflects significant financial challenges, including negative equity and high leverage, which weigh heavily on the company's outlook. While the earnings call provided some positive insights into revenue growth and future bookings, the technical indicators and valuation suggest caution. The company's ability to address its financial weaknesses will be crucial for improving its stock performance.
Positive Factors
Concert bookings
Stronger concert bookings as management is 80% to its Garden booking goal and 2/3 to theaters goal, expecting a record concert quarter at the Garden in F1Q and overall return to Garden concert growth.
Future outlook
The outlook for FY26 appears strong and the company is also in 'late planning stages' for a potential new residency artist for summer 2026.
Market position
MSGE’s solid market position should continue to help the company benefit from still solid supply and strong demand trends for live music and entertainment events.
Negative Factors
Growth variability
Results for F4Q and FY25 at MSGE provided evidence that operating a smaller venue portfolio heightens growth variability compared to larger, diversified portfolios.
Inconsistent performance
Concert performance has been inconsistent and lagged the overall industry.
Revenue performance
MSGE reported lower than forecast revenue and AOI in F4Q25 as difficult concert comps weighed on results, with the number of concerts and revenue per-concert both down Y/Y at The Garden.

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (MSGE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMadison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (MSGE) is a premier live entertainment company known for its iconic venues and diverse entertainment offerings. The company operates some of the most celebrated venues in the world, including Madison Square Garden, Radio City Music Hall, and the Beacon Theatre. MSGE hosts a wide range of events, from concerts and theatrical productions to sports events and family shows, attracting millions of visitors each year. Its core services include venue management, event production, and ticket sales, making it a leader in the live entertainment industry.
How the Company Makes MoneyMadison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily focused on live events and venue operations. Key revenue streams include ticket sales for concerts, sports, and other live events, which are facilitated through partnerships with event promoters and sports leagues. The company also earns significant income from sponsorships and advertising, leveraging its venues' high-profile nature and large audiences. Additionally, MSGE benefits from premium seating and hospitality offerings, such as suites and VIP experiences, which provide enhanced fan experiences at a premium price. Venue rentals for private events and corporate functions also contribute to the company's earnings. Furthermore, MSGE capitalizes on its brand and venue names through licensing and merchandising opportunities, adding another layer to its revenue model.

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: -8.43%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
MSG Entertainment demonstrated strong financial performance with revenue and AOI growth and success in live event attendance and stock repurchase programs. However, challenges such as a decline in concert events and the impact of fewer sports playoff games were noted. Despite these challenges, the company remains optimistic about future bookings and continued growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and AOI Growth
The company reported revenues of $242 million and an adjusted operating income of $58 million, indicating solid growth year-over-year. This growth was driven by increased event-related revenues and a record-setting Christmas Spectacular.
Strong Live Event Attendance
MSG Entertainment hosted over 1.5 million guests across 195 events in the quarter, highlighting strong consumer and corporate demand for live entertainment offerings.
Successful Stock Repurchase Program
MSG Entertainment repurchased approximately $40 million of Class A common stock fiscal year-to-date, including $15 million during the fiscal third quarter, demonstrating commitment to returning capital to shareholders.
Christmas Spectacular Success
The Christmas Spectacular generated over $170 million in revenues across 200 performances, with per-show revenues up by a double-digit percentage year-over-year.
Positive Outlook for Fiscal 2026 Concert Bookings
Advanced bookings for fiscal 2026 show promising signs, with the potential to set a new record for concerts in a single quarter at the Garden.
Negative Updates
Decline in Concert Events
There was a year-over-year decrease in the number of concerts at MSG venues, primarily due to a shift from promoted events to rentals and missing performances by key artists such as Billy Joel.
Impact of Fewer Sports Playoff Games
The Garden hosted fewer playoff games compared to the previous year, as the Rangers did not qualify for the playoffs, impacting arena license fees and other leasing revenues.
Mixed Shift in Concert Revenues
A decrease in event-related revenues from concerts was mainly due to a mixed shift at the Garden from promoted events to rentals.
Non-cash Impairment Charge
The company's operating income results included a non-cash impairment charge of $9.7 million related to its operating lease at 2 Penn Plaza.
Company Guidance
During the fiscal 2025 third quarter earnings call, MSG Entertainment Corp. provided guidance highlighting several key metrics. The company reported revenues of $242 million and adjusted operating income (AOI) of $58 million, both showing year-over-year growth. They hosted 195 events attended by over 1.5 million guests, contributing to a strong performance. Despite a year-over-year decline in concert numbers, they anticipate mid-to-high single-digit AOI growth for the fiscal year. MSG Entertainment also repurchased $40 million of Class A common stock, with $15 million occurring in the third quarter, and have $70 million remaining under their current buyback authorization. The Christmas Spectacular generated over $170 million in total revenues, with 15 shows taking place in the third quarter, reflecting growth in per-show attendance and average ticket prices. For fiscal 2026, they expect record bookings at the Garden and continue to see strong demand in their premium hospitality and marketing partnerships.

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenue growth and negative equity. While cash flow generation remains relatively strong, the high leverage and negative equity position pose substantial risks. The company needs to address these financial weaknesses to improve its overall financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company has experienced a decline in revenue growth, with a negative growth rate of -2.81% in the most recent year. Gross profit margin and net profit margin have also decreased over time, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability. However, the company has shown some ability to generate EBIT and EBITDA, though margins have been inconsistent.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a concerning negative stockholders' equity, leading to an undefined debt-to-equity ratio. This indicates potential financial instability and high leverage. The return on equity is also negative, reflecting challenges in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a slight decline in free cash flow growth, but the company maintains a positive operating cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.0, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue942.73M942.73M959.26M851.50M653.49M81.81M
Gross Profit391.66M349.32M336.55M351.57M233.68M-14.42M
EBITDA173.84M173.84M164.12M202.91M-1.91M-103.19M
Net Income37.43M37.43M144.30M76.60M-133.34M-219.31M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.20B1.67B1.55B1.40B1.53B1.70B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments368.93M43.54M33.26M76.09M58.10M317.82M
Total Debt188.08M632.05M1.07B902.92M956.79M735.92M
Total Liabilities1.89B1.68B1.58B1.47B1.53B1.20B
Stockholders Equity2.31B-13.30M-23.16M-69.47M-1.48M495.90M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow17.60M115.30M87.08M120.51M79.55M-158.43M
Operating Cash Flow32.79M115.30M111.27M135.69M95.35M-148.12M
Investing Cash Flow159.00K-23.69M-62.37M30.30M45.44M-10.34M
Financing Cash Flow-158.61M-81.62M-99.69M-144.22M-396.29M473.49M

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price36.83
Price Trends
50DMA
38.80
Negative
100DMA
36.44
Positive
200DMA
36.18
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.47
Positive
RSI
41.88
Neutral
STOCH
25.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MSGE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 36.83 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.59, below the 50-day MA of 38.80, and above the 200-day MA of 36.18, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.47 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MSGE.

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. Risk Analysis

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$1.38B42.1511.16%1.25%55.54%
65
Neutral
$1.84B47.492.21%-10.05%-85.30%
63
Neutral
£1.74B10.544.37%3.49%0.66%-39.52%
58
Neutral
$1.42B-2.03%25.25%-106.76%
52
Neutral
$1.72B48.041222.83%-1.72%-75.17%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MSGE
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.
36.83
-4.39
-10.65%
IMAX
IMAX
25.30
4.78
23.29%
IQ
Iqiyi
1.99
-1.32
-39.88%
SPHR
Sphere Entertainment
39.87
-9.65
-19.49%

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Refinances Credit Agreement
Neutral
Jun 30, 2025

On June 27, 2025, MSG National Properties, a subsidiary of Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp., entered into an amendment to its credit agreement, resulting in the refinancing of its term loans and revolving credit commitments. The new credit facilities, totaling $759,375,000, include financial covenants and are secured by certain assets, excluding interests in The Madison Square Garden Arena and other key properties. This strategic financial restructuring aims to optimize the company’s debt management and operational flexibility, potentially impacting its financial stability and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (MSGE) stock is a Hold with a $43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. stock, see the MSGE Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Madison Square Garden Approves Redomestication to Nevada
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

On June 9, 2025, Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. held a Special Meeting where stockholders voted on a proposal to redomesticate the company from Delaware to Nevada. The proposal was approved by both Class A and Class B stockholders, with a significant majority voting in favor of the move.

The most recent analyst rating on (MSGE) stock is a Hold with a $43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. stock, see the MSGE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025