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Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (MSGE)
NYSE:MSGE
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Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (MSGE) AI Stock Analysis

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MSGE

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.

(NYSE:MSGE)

Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$38.00
▼(-7.00% Downside)
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. has a moderate overall stock score of 50. The most significant factor is the company's financial performance, which is challenged by declining revenue growth and negative equity. Technical analysis suggests a neutral to slightly bearish trend, while valuation indicates the stock is relatively expensive. The earnings call provided some positive strategic insights but also highlighted revenue challenges.
Positive Factors
Future Growth Potential
The outlook for FY26 appears strong and the company is also in 'late planning stages' for a potential new residency artist for summer 2026.
Live Entertainment Sector Strength
MSGE's asset portfolio and exposure to consumer demand for live entertainment can drive high single-digit AOI growth over time.
Negative Factors
Concert Performance Inconsistency
Concert performance has been inconsistent and lagged the overall industry.
Revenue and AOI Performance
MSGE reported lower than forecast revenue and AOI in F4Q25 as difficult concert comps weighed on results, with the number of concerts and revenue per-concert both down Y/Y at The Garden.

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (MSGE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMadison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. engages in the entertainment business. It produces, presents, or hosts various live entertainment events, including concerts, family shows, and special events, as well as sporting events, such as professional boxing, college basketball and hockey, professional bull riding, mixed martial arts, and esports and wrestling in its venues, including The Garden, Hulu Theater, Radio City Music Hall, and the Beacon Theatre in New York City; and The Chicago Theatre. The company also operates 70 entertainment dining and nightlife venues spanning 20 markets across five continents under the Tao, Marquee, Lavo, Beauty & Essex, Cathédrale, Hakkasan, and Omnia brand names; and creates and operates New England's premier music festival. In addition, it features the Radio City Rockettes, which serves as the star for its Christmas Spectacular at Radio City Music Hall. The company was founded in 2006 and is based in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyMadison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. generates revenue from multiple streams, primarily through ticket sales for live events, which constitute a significant portion of its income. Additionally, MSGE earns money through sponsorship and advertising partnerships, leveraging its high-profile venues and events to attract brands seeking exposure to large audiences. The company also generates revenue from its sports franchises, which includes merchandise sales and broadcasting rights. Furthermore, MSGE benefits from premium seating and hospitality services, which offer exclusive experiences to fans. Strategic partnerships with media companies enhance MSGE's revenue through broadcasting deals and content creation, contributing to the overall financial performance of the organization.

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong full-year results and strategic achievements in sponsorships and the Christmas Spectacular, but faced challenges with a drop in fourth quarter revenues and a decrease in concert events at the Garden.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Full Year Financial Performance
Full year revenues reached $942.7 million, with adjusted operating income of $222.5 million, marking a 5% increase year-over-year.
Record Breaking Christmas Spectacular
The Christmas Spectacular sold approximately 1.1 million tickets and generated over $170 million in revenue, setting a new record for the production's 91st season.
Successful Sponsorship and Partnership Efforts
Welcomed new partners including Lenovo, Motorola, and the Department of Culture and Tourism Abu Dhabi, with renewals from Verizon and Pepsi.
Share Repurchase Program
Repurchased approximately $40 million of Class A common stock, with $70 million remaining under current authorization.
Negative Updates
Decreased Fourth Quarter Revenues
Fourth quarter revenues dropped by 17% compared to the prior year, mainly due to fewer concerts and events at the Garden.
Decrease in Garden Concerts
Year-over-year decrease in the number of concerts at the Garden, impacted by the end of Billy Joel's residency.
Fourth Quarter Operating Loss
Adjusted operating income decreased by $14.4 million to a loss of $1.3 million, due to lower revenues and higher SG&A expenses.
Company Guidance
During the Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.'s fiscal 2025 fourth-quarter earnings call, the company provided guidance for fiscal 2026, highlighting several key metrics. The company reported full-year revenues of $942.7 million and an adjusted operating income (AOI) of $222.5 million, marking a 5% year-over-year increase. MSG Entertainment hosted nearly 6 million guests at over 975 live events in fiscal 2025 and aims to increase the number of events in fiscal 2026, with a particular focus on concerts, special events, and sports. The Christmas Spectacular production set a record with over $170 million in revenue from 200 performances and plans to increase to 211 shows for the 2025 holiday season. The fiscal fourth quarter saw revenues of $154.1 million, a 17% decrease from the previous year, primarily due to fewer concerts at the Garden. However, there was an increase in food and beverage per capita spending at concerts at the Garden. MSG Entertainment also highlighted plans to enhance its premium hospitality business and leverage marketing partnerships to drive growth. The company anticipates modest AOI margin expansion despite higher SG&A expenses, with a continued focus on capital returns, including $70 million remaining under the current share repurchase authorization.

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenue growth and negative equity. While cash flow generation remains relatively strong, the high leverage and negative equity position pose substantial risks. The company needs to address these financial weaknesses to improve its overall financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company has experienced a decline in revenue growth, with a negative growth rate of -2.81% in the most recent year. Gross profit margin and net profit margin have also decreased over time, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability. However, the company has shown some ability to generate EBIT and EBITDA, though margins have been inconsistent.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a concerning negative stockholders' equity, leading to an undefined debt-to-equity ratio. This indicates potential financial instability and high leverage. The return on equity is also negative, reflecting challenges in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a slight decline in free cash flow growth, but the company maintains a positive operating cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.0, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue942.73M942.73M959.26M851.50M653.49M81.81M
Gross Profit391.66M349.32M336.55M351.57M233.68M-14.42M
EBITDA173.84M173.84M164.12M202.91M-1.91M-103.19M
Net Income37.43M37.43M144.30M76.60M-133.34M-219.31M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.20B1.67B1.55B1.40B1.53B1.70B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments368.93M43.54M33.26M76.09M58.10M317.82M
Total Debt188.08M632.05M1.07B902.92M956.79M735.92M
Total Liabilities1.89B1.68B1.58B1.47B1.53B1.20B
Stockholders Equity2.31B-13.30M-23.16M-69.47M-1.48M495.90M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow17.60M115.30M87.08M120.51M79.55M-158.43M
Operating Cash Flow32.79M115.30M111.27M135.69M95.35M-148.12M
Investing Cash Flow159.00K-23.69M-62.37M30.30M45.44M-10.34M
Financing Cash Flow-158.61M-81.62M-99.69M-144.22M-396.29M473.49M

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price40.86
Price Trends
50DMA
39.16
Positive
100DMA
37.48
Positive
200DMA
36.10
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.59
Negative
RSI
61.30
Neutral
STOCH
85.55
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MSGE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 40.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.91, above the 50-day MA of 39.16, and above the 200-day MA of 36.10, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.59 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.55 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MSGE.

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. Risk Analysis

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$1.57B48.6611.16%1.25%55.54%
68
Neutral
$2.61B211.720.67%-10.86%-94.68%
62
Neutral
$1.74B-2.03%25.25%-106.76%
61
Neutral
$17.97B12.87-5.29%2.97%1.26%-14.45%
50
Neutral
$1.92B54.031222.83%-1.72%-75.17%
47
Neutral
-2.85%75.96%
42
Neutral
-2.85%75.96%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MSGE
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.
40.86
1.22
3.08%
IMAX
IMAX
29.78
8.68
41.14%
LGF.A
Lions Gate Entertainment Class A
8.59
0.91
11.85%
LGF.B
Lions Gate Entertainment Class B
7.69
0.88
12.92%
IQ
Iqiyi
2.71
0.64
30.92%
SPHR
Sphere Entertainment
48.90
5.74
13.30%

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Refinances Credit Agreement
Neutral
Jun 30, 2025

On June 27, 2025, MSG National Properties, a subsidiary of Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp., entered into an amendment to its credit agreement, resulting in the refinancing of its term loans and revolving credit commitments. The new credit facilities, totaling $759,375,000, include financial covenants and are secured by certain assets, excluding interests in The Madison Square Garden Arena and other key properties. This strategic financial restructuring aims to optimize the company’s debt management and operational flexibility, potentially impacting its financial stability and stakeholder interests.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Madison Square Garden Approves Redomestication to Nevada
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

On June 9, 2025, Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. held a Special Meeting where stockholders voted on a proposal to redomesticate the company from Delaware to Nevada. The proposal was approved by both Class A and Class B stockholders, with a significant majority voting in favor of the move.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2025