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Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (MSGE)
NYSE:MSGE
US Market
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Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (MSGE) AI Stock Analysis

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Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.

(NYSE:MSGE)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$40.00
▲(1.01%Upside)
MSGE's stock score reflects a balanced view of its financial performance, technical analysis, valuation, and recent updates. Financially, the company is stable but faces challenges with high leverage. Technical indicators provide caution due to potential overbought conditions. Valuation appears fair, and recent earnings calls and corporate events add positive sentiment, indicating a cautiously optimistic outlook.
Positive Factors
Market Position
MSGE is a permanent winner with pricing power and stability in the US live entertainment market.
Revenue Performance
Revenue in F3Q25 came in 5% ahead and AOI 20% ahead of estimates, driven by Christmas Spectacular, suites, and sponsorship revenue.
Negative Factors
Concert Bookings
For the remainder of FY25, Garden concert bookings will be down in F3Q and F4Q, while bookings at theaters are pacing down in F3Q.
Event Revenue
Year-to-date, the company has grown AOI 13% year-over-year, but one-time items and event shifts have weighed on event-related revenue growth.

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (MSGE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMadison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. engages in the entertainment business. It produces, presents, or hosts various live entertainment events, including concerts, family shows, and special events, as well as sporting events, such as professional boxing, college basketball and hockey, professional bull riding, mixed martial arts, and esports and wrestling in its venues, including The Garden, Hulu Theater, Radio City Music Hall, and the Beacon Theatre in New York City; and The Chicago Theatre. The company also operates 70 entertainment dining and nightlife venues spanning 20 markets across five continents under the Tao, Marquee, Lavo, Beauty & Essex, Cathédrale, Hakkasan, and Omnia brand names; and creates and operates New England's premier music festival. In addition, it features the Radio City Rockettes, which serves as the star for its Christmas Spectacular at Radio City Music Hall. The company was founded in 2006 and is based in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyMadison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily focused on live events and venue operations. Key revenue streams include ticket sales for concerts, sports, and other live events, which are facilitated through partnerships with event promoters and sports leagues. The company also earns significant income from sponsorships and advertising, leveraging its venues' high-profile nature and large audiences. Additionally, MSGE benefits from premium seating and hospitality offerings, such as suites and VIP experiences, which provide enhanced fan experiences at a premium price. Venue rentals for private events and corporate functions also contribute to the company's earnings. Furthermore, MSGE capitalizes on its brand and venue names through licensing and merchandising opportunities, adding another layer to its revenue model.

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 16.57%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 15, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
MSG Entertainment demonstrated strong financial performance with revenue and AOI growth and success in live event attendance and stock repurchase programs. However, challenges such as a decline in concert events and the impact of fewer sports playoff games were noted. Despite these challenges, the company remains optimistic about future bookings and continued growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and AOI Growth
The company reported revenues of $242 million and an adjusted operating income of $58 million, indicating solid growth year-over-year. This growth was driven by increased event-related revenues and a record-setting Christmas Spectacular.
Strong Live Event Attendance
MSG Entertainment hosted over 1.5 million guests across 195 events in the quarter, highlighting strong consumer and corporate demand for live entertainment offerings.
Successful Stock Repurchase Program
MSG Entertainment repurchased approximately $40 million of Class A common stock fiscal year-to-date, including $15 million during the fiscal third quarter, demonstrating commitment to returning capital to shareholders.
Christmas Spectacular Success
The Christmas Spectacular generated over $170 million in revenues across 200 performances, with per-show revenues up by a double-digit percentage year-over-year.
Positive Outlook for Fiscal 2026 Concert Bookings
Advanced bookings for fiscal 2026 show promising signs, with the potential to set a new record for concerts in a single quarter at the Garden.
Negative Updates
Decline in Concert Events
There was a year-over-year decrease in the number of concerts at MSG venues, primarily due to a shift from promoted events to rentals and missing performances by key artists such as Billy Joel.
Impact of Fewer Sports Playoff Games
The Garden hosted fewer playoff games compared to the previous year, as the Rangers did not qualify for the playoffs, impacting arena license fees and other leasing revenues.
Mixed Shift in Concert Revenues
A decrease in event-related revenues from concerts was mainly due to a mixed shift at the Garden from promoted events to rentals.
Non-cash Impairment Charge
The company's operating income results included a non-cash impairment charge of $9.7 million related to its operating lease at 2 Penn Plaza.
Company Guidance
During the fiscal 2025 third quarter earnings call, MSG Entertainment Corp. provided guidance highlighting several key metrics. The company reported revenues of $242 million and adjusted operating income (AOI) of $58 million, both showing year-over-year growth. They hosted 195 events attended by over 1.5 million guests, contributing to a strong performance. Despite a year-over-year decline in concert numbers, they anticipate mid-to-high single-digit AOI growth for the fiscal year. MSG Entertainment also repurchased $40 million of Class A common stock, with $15 million occurring in the third quarter, and have $70 million remaining under their current buyback authorization. The Christmas Spectacular generated over $170 million in total revenues, with 15 shows taking place in the third quarter, reflecting growth in per-show attendance and average ticket prices. For fiscal 2026, they expect record bookings at the Garden and continue to see strong demand in their premium hospitality and marketing partnerships.

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. shows a mix of strengths and weaknesses in its financial performance. The income statement is strong with solid revenue growth and profitability, but the balance sheet reveals high leverage and low equity levels. Cash flow is a highlight, demonstrating robust cash generation and management.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. has shown a solid recovery and growth in revenues with a TTM of $970 million from $959 million in the previous year, indicating a positive growth trajectory. The gross profit margin stands at 41.25%, showcasing strong operational efficiency. Net profit margin is positive at 13.56%, reflecting profitability. However, revenue growth is moderate at 1.12%, and the company should focus on accelerating growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins of 14.62% and 19.74% respectively indicate healthy earnings before interest and taxes.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet of MSGE reveals a challenging financial structure with a high debt-to-equity ratio due to minimal stockholders' equity, raising concerns about financial leverage and risk. Equity ratio is low at 0.55%, pointing to high liabilities relative to assets. However, the company maintains positive net income, providing a buffer. Return on Equity (ROE) is skewed due to low equity levels, suggesting the need for capital restructuring.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The cash flow position is robust with an operating cash flow of $142.52 million and a free cash flow of $119.83 million in the TTM period, indicating healthy cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow growth rate is strong, up 37.61% from the previous year, demonstrating efficient cash management. The ratio of operating cash flow to net income is favorable, suggesting good conversion of earnings to cash.
BreakdownJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue959.26M851.50M653.49M81.81M584.60M
Gross Profit390.43M351.57M233.68M-14.42M204.07M
EBITDA164.12M202.91M-1.91M-103.19M359.40M
Net Income144.30M76.60M-202.83M-219.31M171.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.55B1.40B1.53B1.70B3.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments33.26M76.09M58.10M317.82M1.24B
Total Debt1.07B902.92M956.79M735.92M261.16M
Total Liabilities1.58B1.47B1.53B1.20B844.77M
Stockholders Equity-23.16M-69.47M-1.48M495.90M2.84B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow87.08M120.51M79.55M-158.43M1.88M
Operating Cash Flow111.27M135.69M95.35M-148.12M31.53M
Investing Cash Flow-62.37M30.30M45.44M-10.34M276.39M
Financing Cash Flow-99.69M-144.22M-396.29M473.49M-315.38M

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price39.60
Price Trends
50DMA
38.01
Positive
100DMA
35.21
Positive
200DMA
36.57
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.61
Positive
RSI
59.93
Neutral
STOCH
84.02
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MSGE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 39.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.42, above the 50-day MA of 38.01, and above the 200-day MA of 36.57, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.61 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.02 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MSGE.

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. Risk Analysis

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.50B61.049.00%-1.98%-1.18%
IQIQ
66
Neutral
$1.72B44.392.21%-10.05%-85.30%
63
Neutral
$1.88B14.831222.83%5.81%133.05%
62
Neutral
AU$2.86B27.614.79%5.15%2.38%-31.70%
60
Neutral
$1.60B-15.64%-5.04%-155.66%
47
Neutral
$1.93B168.75%-2.85%75.96%
42
Neutral
$1.93B259.47%-2.85%75.96%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MSGE
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.
40.52
2.63
6.94%
IMAX
IMAX
28.28
10.54
59.41%
LGF.A
Lions Gate Entertainment Class A
8.59
-0.21
-2.39%
LGF.B
Lions Gate Entertainment Class B
7.69
-0.40
-4.94%
IQ
Iqiyi
1.86
-1.64
-46.86%
SPHR
Sphere Entertainment
43.50
0.44
1.02%

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Refinances Credit Agreement
Neutral
Jun 30, 2025

On June 27, 2025, MSG National Properties, a subsidiary of Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp., entered into an amendment to its credit agreement, resulting in the refinancing of its term loans and revolving credit commitments. The new credit facilities, totaling $759,375,000, include financial covenants and are secured by certain assets, excluding interests in The Madison Square Garden Arena and other key properties. This strategic financial restructuring aims to optimize the company’s debt management and operational flexibility, potentially impacting its financial stability and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (MSGE) stock is a Hold with a $43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. stock, see the MSGE Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Madison Square Garden Approves Redomestication to Nevada
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

On June 9, 2025, Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. held a Special Meeting where stockholders voted on a proposal to redomesticate the company from Delaware to Nevada. The proposal was approved by both Class A and Class B stockholders, with a significant majority voting in favor of the move.

The most recent analyst rating on (MSGE) stock is a Hold with a $43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. stock, see the MSGE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 15, 2025