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Sable Offshore (SOC)
NYSE:SOC
US Market

Sable Offshore (SOC) AI Stock Analysis

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SOC

Sable Offshore

(NYSE:SOC)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$12.00
▲(39.37% Upside)
Overall score reflects weak financial fundamentals (ongoing operating losses and heavy cash burn, with net income quality concerns) as the primary drag. Technical momentum is supportive and recent PHMSA regulatory approvals are a meaningful positive catalyst, but negative/uncertain valuation signals (negative P/E and no dividend) and ongoing legal/regulatory overhangs keep the score near the lower-middle range.

Sable Offshore (SOC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sable Offshore Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSable Offshore Corp. engages in the oil and gas exploration and development activities in the United States. It operates through three platforms located offshore California and an onshore processing facility comprised of 16 federal leases across approximately 76,000 acres. The company was formerly known as Flame Acquisition Corp. and changed its name to Sable Offshore Corp. in February 2024. Sable Offshore Corp. was incorporated in 2020 and is based in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes Money

Sable Offshore Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.97M0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-375.00K-13.43M-21.02M0.000.000.00
EBITDA-262.54M-548.37M-72.66M-6.15M-1.68M-1.66K
Net Income171.24M-629.07M-93.67M-2.59M4.27M-1.66K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.65B1.58B711.58M290.91M288.44M304.22K
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments41.63M300.38M0.00100.26K322.77K9.01K
Total Debt0.00851.45M14.18M1.78M956.12K43.63K
Total Liabilities1.30B1.20B372.56M18.89M13.88M280.88K
Stockholders Equity348.08M384.19M339.02M272.02M274.56M23.34K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-538.25M-259.38M-3.84M-1.71M-2.01M-540.00
Operating Cash Flow-291.11M-187.08M-3.84M-1.71M-2.01M-537.00
Investing Cash Flow-376.61M-276.25M231.58M786.92K-287.50M0.00
Financing Cash Flow385.87M745.76M-227.56M705.00K289.82M9.55K

Sable Offshore Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$2.99B-18.89-5.87%3.24%35.89%-148.39%
68
Neutral
$1.31B14.317.08%5.99%5.83%-11.86%
66
Neutral
$2.11B70.201.18%-9.31%-91.57%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
58
Neutral
$2.51B-19.94-4.00%5.42%-16.59%83.95%
57
Neutral
$4.64B-1.31-32.05%16.93%-335.82%
52
Neutral
$1.25B-2.34-141.26%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SOC
Sable Offshore
9.33
-13.43
-59.01%
HP
Helmerich & Payne
31.41
-1.33
-4.06%
PTEN
Patterson-UTI
7.03
-1.04
-12.89%
RIG
Transocean
4.27
0.24
5.96%
BORR
Borr Drilling
4.22
0.29
7.38%
SDRL
Seadrill Limited
35.06
-1.58
-4.31%

Sable Offshore Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Sable Offshore Wins Emergency Permit for Santa Ynez Pipeline
Positive
Dec 29, 2025

On December 23, 2025, Sable Offshore Corp. received an emergency special permit from the U.S. Department of Transportation’s Pipeline and Hazardous Material Safety Administration for segments 324 and 325 of the interstate Santa Ynez Pipeline System, authorizing the company to operate those sections under enhanced integrity management practices and specified operational conditions. The approval marks a key regulatory milestone for Sable as it works to restore full transportation of hydrocarbons from the Santa Ynez Unit, which restarted production in May 2025 after a decade-long shutdown but has not yet sold commercial volumes, with oil currently being stored onshore at its Las Flores Canyon facility pending broader resumption of petroleum transportation.

The most recent analyst rating on (SOC) stock is a Buy with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sable Offshore stock, see the SOC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Sable Offshore Wins PHMSA Approval for Pipeline Restart
Positive
Dec 23, 2025

On December 22, 2025, the U.S. Department of Transportation’s Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration (PHMSA) approved Sable Offshore Corp.’s Restart Plan for the Las Flores Pipeline System, covering Line CA-324 and Line CA-325, formerly known as Plains Line 901 and Line 903. The approval, which followed PHMSA’s review of Sable’s fill and startup procedures, requests to remove pressure restrictions, and a field inspection of restart safety processes, clears a key regulatory hurdle for bringing these pipelines back into service, with potential implications for Sable Offshore’s operational capacity, regional oil transport logistics, and its positioning within the regulated U.S. pipeline network.

The most recent analyst rating on (SOC) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sable Offshore stock, see the SOC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Sable Offshore Gains Interstate Pipeline Status Approval
Positive
Dec 17, 2025

On December 17, 2025, the Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration (PHMSA) officially recognized Sable Offshore Corp.’s determination that the Las Flores Pipeline is an interstate pipeline under the Pipeline Safety Act, granting PHMSA exclusive regulatory authority over its operations. This reclassification to an interstate pipeline status is expected to streamline regulations and shift oversight from the California Office of the State Fire Marshal to PHMSA, improving operational consistency across state and federal lines while maintaining the pipeline’s active status in compliance with PHMSA regulations.

The most recent analyst rating on (SOC) stock is a Buy with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sable Offshore stock, see the SOC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Sable Offshore Seeks PHMSA Oversight for Pipeline
Neutral
Dec 1, 2025

On November 26, 2025, Sable Offshore Corp. informed the Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration (PHMSA) that its pipeline connecting the Santa Ynez Unit to the Pentland Station terminal in Kern County, CA, qualifies as an interstate pipeline facility under the Pipeline Safety Act. The company is seeking PHMSA’s agreement and guidance on transitioning regulatory oversight from the California Office of the State Fire Marshal to PHMSA. This move is part of Sable Offshore’s dual option offtake strategy, which includes resuming petroleum transportation through its onshore pipeline facilities and utilizing offshore storage and treating vessels to access broader markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (SOC) stock is a Buy with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sable Offshore stock, see the SOC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Sable Offshore Announces Major Management Reshuffle
Neutral
Nov 26, 2025

On November 20, 2025, Sable Offshore Corp. announced significant management changes, promoting J. Caldwell Flores to President and Chief Operating Officer, while Doss Bourgeois transitioned to Vice Chairman. Additional appointments included Trent Fontenot as Senior Vice President of Operations, Brian Broussard as Senior Vice President of Development, and Byron Olson as Vice President of Reservoir Engineering. These changes are expected to impact the company’s operational dynamics and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (SOC) stock is a Buy with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sable Offshore stock, see the SOC Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Sable Offshore Announces $250M Private Placement
Neutral
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Sable Offshore Corp. announced a private placement of $250 million in common stock to institutional investors, with the transaction expected to close on November 12, 2025. The proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes and to meet the equity contribution condition of a Senior Secured Term Loan amendment, with Jefferies and TD Cowen acting as joint placement agents.

The most recent analyst rating on (SOC) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sable Offshore stock, see the SOC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Sable Offshore Amends Loan Agreement with Exxon Mobil
Neutral
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, Sable Offshore Corp. announced an amendment to its Senior Secured Term Loan Agreement with Exxon Mobil, which will extend the loan’s maturity date and increase the interest rate, contingent on certain conditions being met. The company is also advancing its Offshore Storage and Treating Vessel strategy for the Santa Ynez Unit, expecting to resume oil sales by late 2026, which could lead to cost savings and improved market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (SOC) stock is a Buy with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sable Offshore stock, see the SOC Stock Forecast page.

Legal ProceedingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Sable Offshore Addresses Compliance Allegations in California
Negative
Oct 24, 2025

On October 23, 2025, Sable Offshore Corp. issued a press release addressing allegations from the California Office of the State Fire Marshal regarding deficiencies in compliance with State Waivers. Sable disagrees with these allegations, citing past discussions with OSFM experts that confirm compliance, and aims to resolve the issue quickly. The Santa Ynez Unit assets, which restarted production in May 2025, have not sold hydrocarbons commercially since 2015 due to pipeline issues, and the company is awaiting necessary approvals to recommence transportation and sales.

The most recent analyst rating on (SOC) stock is a Buy with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sable Offshore stock, see the SOC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings
Sable Offshore Faces Court Setback, Plans Appeal
Negative
Oct 15, 2025

On October 15, 2025, Sable Offshore Corp. announced a tentative ruling by the Santa Barbara Superior Court that is expected to deny the company’s claims against the California Coastal Commission. Despite this setback, the ruling will not affect the resumption of petroleum transportation through the Las Flores Pipeline System or oil and gas production from the Santa Ynez Unit. Sable plans to appeal the ruling and continues to work with the State of California to resume operations. The company is also considering an accelerated Offshore Storage & Treating Vessel strategy to manage its production, which could help refinance its existing term loan.

The most recent analyst rating on (SOC) stock is a Buy with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sable Offshore stock, see the SOC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Sable Offshore Updates Santa Ynez Development Plan
Neutral
Oct 10, 2025

On October 9, 2025, Sable Offshore Corp. updated its Development and Production Plan for the Santa Ynez Unit, submitting it to the U.S. Department of the Interior Bureau of Ocean Energy Management. The update includes plans to use an Offshore Storage and Treating Vessel for oil processing and offloading, as an alternative to the onshore Las Flores Pipeline System, which is still awaiting approval for restart. Delays in the pipeline’s restart may lead Sable to fully adopt its offshore strategy, impacting its operations and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (SOC) stock is a Buy with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sable Offshore stock, see the SOC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings
Sable Offshore Announces Legal Updates on Lawsuit
Negative
Oct 6, 2025

On October 6, 2025, Sable Offshore Corp. announced legal updates regarding its ongoing lawsuit against the California Coastal Commission. The company is seeking over $347 million in damages due to delays caused by the Commission’s cease and desist order on its anomaly repair program for the Las Flores Pipeline System. Sable has also filed a declaratory judgment action against the State of California to confirm that certain provisions of SB 237 do not apply to the Las Flores Pipeline System. The company continues to work with the state to resume petroleum transportation through the pipeline system and may pursue an alternative strategy if delays persist.

The most recent analyst rating on (SOC) stock is a Buy with a $47.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sable Offshore stock, see the SOC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026