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TD SYNNEX Corporation (SNX)
NYSE:SNX

SYNNEX (SNX) AI Stock Analysis

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SN

SYNNEX

(NYSE:SNX)

61Neutral
TD SYNNEX's overall score reflects its solid revenue growth and strategic expansions, tempered by significant cash flow challenges and a bearish technical outlook. The stock's reasonable valuation and moderate dividend yield offer some appeal, but operational pressures, particularly in cash management, remain a concern.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Non-GAAP gross billings exceed forecasts, driven by an 8% increase in endpoint solutions and a 7% increase in advanced solutions.
Investment Rating
Analyst's recommendation on SNX shares remains OUTPERFORM with an increased 12-month price target of $156, indicating confidence in future growth.
Market Growth
SNX grew faster than the overall IT distribution market which itself grew in Europe and North America.
Negative Factors
Earnings Performance
Earnings miss forecasts, with fiscal Q1/25 non-GAAP EPS being 4% less than expected.
Revenue Concerns
Hyve shortfall impacts non-GAAP gross billings/revenue due to a component shipment delay and demand shortfalls, which may last a few quarters.

SYNNEX (SNX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

SYNNEX Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTD SYNNEX Corporation is a leading global distributor and solutions aggregator for the IT ecosystem. It operates in the technology sector, providing a wide array of products and services, including IT distribution, logistics, and integration services. The company serves a broad range of industries, offering solutions in data center, cloud, cybersecurity, big data, analytics, and IoT, catering to both small businesses and large enterprises.
How the Company Makes MoneyTD SYNNEX Corporation generates revenue primarily through its extensive distribution network, which facilitates the sale of technology products from major manufacturers and vendors to resellers, systems integrators, and service providers. The company earns money by purchasing IT products at wholesale prices and selling them to customers at a markup. Additionally, TD SYNNEX provides value-added services such as logistics, integration, and supply chain management, which contribute to its earnings. The company also leverages strategic partnerships with leading technology firms to enhance its product offerings and expand its market reach, further driving revenue.

SYNNEX Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TD SYNNEX Corporation shows solid revenue growth and a stable financial structure with strengths in gross profit margins and manageable debt levels. However, the company faces challenges in converting earnings into cash, as evidenced by negative free cash flow and a low operating cash flow to net income ratio. Continued focus on enhancing cash flow efficiency and cost management will be crucial for future financial health.
Income Statement
78
Positive
TD SYNNEX has shown strong revenue growth over the years with a notable increase in TTM revenue to $59.01 billion. The gross profit margin is healthy at 6.55% for the TTM, indicating good control over production costs. The net profit margin stands at 1.16%, which, while positive, suggests room for improvement in cost management and efficiency. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable at 2.09% and 2.37%, respectively, reflecting consistent operational performance.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's balance sheet exhibits a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07, indicating manageable leverage. With an equity ratio of 27.95%, TD SYNNEX maintains a solid capital structure. The return on equity is 8.50%, showcasing decent profitability relative to shareholder investments. Overall, the company's financial stability is supported by a strong equity base, although there's potential for improving asset efficiency.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals challenges in free cash flow generation, as shown by a negative free cash flow in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.12, indicating weaker cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting potential issues with cash outflows. While the company has had positive operating cash flow historically, recent trends suggest the need for improved cash management.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
59.01B58.45B57.56B62.34B31.61B19.98B
Gross Profit
3.87B3.98B3.96B3.90B1.89B1.19B
EBIT
1.23B1.19B1.08B808.66M623.22M521.34M
EBITDA
1.40B1.19B1.51B1.49B731.90M593.83M
Net Income Common Stockholders
684.50M689.09M626.91M651.31M395.07M334.54M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
541.86M1.06B1.03B522.60M993.97M1.41B
Total Assets
28.80B30.27B29.41B29.73B27.67B13.47B
Total Debt
590.96M171.09M4.08B4.10B4.14B1.62B
Net Debt
49.09M-888.29M3.05B3.58B3.14B209.64M
Total Liabilities
20.75B22.24B21.23B21.71B19.76B9.13B
Stockholders Equity
8.05B8.04B8.18B8.03B7.91B4.34B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-90.53M1.04B1.26B-166.65M754.89M1.64B
Operating Cash Flow
85.02M1.22B1.41B-49.60M809.79M1.83B
Investing Cash Flow
-170.46M-193.84M-156.41M-115.51M-952.35M-209.50M
Financing Cash Flow
-353.30M-953.10M-785.88M-275.59M-392.62M-291.70M

SYNNEX Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price101.85
Price Trends
50DMA
128.49
Negative
100DMA
126.39
Negative
200DMA
121.35
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-7.21
Positive
RSI
18.91
Positive
STOCH
17.65
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SNX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 101.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 114.11, below the 50-day MA of 128.49, and below the 200-day MA of 121.35, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -7.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 18.91 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.65 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SNX.

SYNNEX Risk Analysis

SYNNEX disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SYNNEX reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SYNNEX Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$4.43B21.2914.24%-5.17%-9.73%
AVAVT
68
Neutral
$4.01B13.156.45%3.13%-12.21%-51.31%
ARARW
66
Neutral
$5.24B13.296.78%-15.66%-54.03%
65
Neutral
$1.59B18.689.94%0.73%-1.70%4.45%
64
Neutral
$754.35M12.226.79%-15.92%-25.15%
SNSNX
61
Neutral
$8.95B13.328.40%1.54%4.62%16.28%
57
Neutral
$20.24B9.51-13.28%2.72%5.43%-24.54%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SNX
SYNNEX
101.85
-11.60
-10.22%
ARW
Arrow Electronics
96.68
-31.05
-24.31%
AVT
Avnet
44.74
-2.55
-5.39%
NSIT
Insight Enterprises
134.68
-49.39
-26.83%
CNXN
PC Connection
60.57
-3.66
-5.70%
SCSC
ScanSource
31.03
-9.96
-24.30%

SYNNEX Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 27, 2025 | % Change Since: -18.82% | Next Earnings Date: Jul 1, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
TD SYNNEX demonstrated strong revenue growth and expansion in strategic regions and technologies, alongside significant industry recognitions. However, challenges in the Hive segment, increased interest expenses, and weak free cash flow suggest some operational and financial pressures.
Highlights
Strong Start to Fiscal Year 2025
TD SYNNEX reported a strong start with gross billings growing by 7.5% year over year in Q1, and 9.5% in constant currency. Advanced Solutions grew by 7% and Endpoint Solutions grew by 8% year over year.
Geographic and Technological Expansion
The company expanded its reach to 30,000 active partners and 500,000 end users in Q1, with double-digit growth in strategic technologies across all geographic segments, notably in Latin America and APJ.
Industry Recognitions
TD SYNNEX received multiple industry awards, including distribution partner of the year for AWS, Palo Alto Networks, Insight Enterprises, and NVIDIA, and best distributor of the year by ChannelPro in North America.
Digital and Platform Advancements
Launched Digital Bridge Microsoft Teams app and expanded PACE platform in Europe, enhancing digital capabilities and partner engagement.
Lowlights
Hive Performance Below Expectations
Hive was below expectations due to a component shipment delay and demand shortfalls, impacting gross profit, operating margin, and cash flow.
Weak Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow usage was approximately $800 million, affected by increased Hive inventory and timing of payables.
Gross Profit Margin Decline
Gross profit margin declined by 40 basis points year over year, primarily due to challenges in Hive and investments in design and assembly.
Interest Expense Increase
Interest expense was higher than expected at $88 million, due to increased working capital for Hive's largest customers.
Company Guidance
During the TD SYNNEX First Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided detailed financial guidance and performance metrics for the quarter. Gross billings increased by 7.5% year over year to $20.7 billion, or 9.5% in constant currency, while net revenue was $14.5 billion, reflecting a 4% year-over-year growth. The gross profit margin was reported at $1 billion, representing a 4.82% of gross billings, although it saw a 40 basis point decline year over year. Non-GAAP operating income was $399 million, with a non-GAAP net income of $237 million, translating to a non-GAAP diluted earnings per share of $2.80. The company experienced a free cash flow usage of approximately $800 million, mainly due to increased working capital and inventory levels. Looking forward, TD SYNNEX expects second-quarter gross billings in the range of $19.7 to $20.7 billion and net revenue between $13.9 billion to $14.7 billion. They anticipate a non-GAAP net income ranging from $205 million to $247 million, with a diluted earnings per share between $2.45 to $2.95. The company remains committed to generating $1.1 billion in free cash flow for the fiscal year, despite temporary challenges in their Hive segment.

SYNNEX Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
TD SYNNEX Announces Board Member Hau Lee’s Retirement
Neutral
Jan 15, 2025

On January 8, 2025, TD SYNNEX Corporation announced that Hau Lee will retire from its Board of Directors at the expiration of his current term, effective at the company’s 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. Lee, a member of the board since 2012, has been praised for his leadership and contributions to the company’s success. The meeting is scheduled for April 2, 2025, in Greenville, South Carolina, where shareholders of record as of February 3, 2025, will be able to vote on matters at the meeting.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.