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Sims (SMSMY)
OTHER OTC:SMSMY
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Sims (SMSMY) AI Stock Analysis

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SMSMY

Sims

(OTC:SMSMY)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$9.50
▲(3.04% Upside)
Sims' overall stock score reflects a challenging financial landscape with positive revenue growth but ongoing profitability issues. The technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, while valuation concerns persist due to a negative P/E ratio. The earnings call provided a positive outlook with strategic improvements, but market challenges remain significant.

Sims (SMSMY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sims Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSims Limited engages in buying, processing, and selling ferrous and non-ferrous recycled metals in Australia, Bangladesh, China, Turkey, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through six segments: North America Metals, Investment in SA Recycling, Australia/New Zealand Metals, UK Metals, Global Trading, and Sims Lifecycle Services. It is involved in the collection, processing, and trading of iron and steel secondary raw materials; and other metal alloys and residues, principally aluminum, lead, copper, zinc, and nickel bearing materials. The company also engages in the provision of environmentally responsible solutions for the disposal of post-consumer electronic products, such as information technology assets recycled for commercial customers; and environmentally responsible recycling of negative value materials, including electrical and electronic equipment. In addition, it provides secondary processing and other services comprising recycling of municipal curbside materials, stevedoring, and other sources of service. Sims Limited was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Mascot, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneySims Limited generates revenue primarily through the collection, processing, and sale of recycled materials. The company collects scrap metals and end-of-life electronics, processes these materials to extract valuable metals, and sells the processed metals to manufacturers and other buyers. Key revenue streams include ferrous and non-ferrous metal recycling operations, electronics recycling, and resale of recovered materials. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with industrial manufacturers and governments to source recyclable materials and manage waste effectively. Market conditions, such as metal prices and demand for recycled materials, play a significant role in influencing Sims Limited's earnings.

Sims Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 18, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted a significant turnaround in financial performance, driven by strategic shifts and cost reductions, despite facing challenging market conditions, particularly in the ferrous segment. Strong performance in nonferrous trading and SLS business growth were key positives, while weather disruptions and credit issues in the U.K. were notable challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Turnaround in Earnings
FY '25 saw a nearly 50% increase in underlying EBITDA to $430 million and a near 200% increase in underlying EBIT to $174.9 million, despite a drop in sales volumes.
Improved Safety and Employee Engagement
Continued strong performance in safety metrics and maintained a high employee engagement score through challenging market conditions.
Strong Nonferrous Performance
Nonferrous trading accounted for 34% of group revenue, up 7 percentage points from the previous year, driven by robust demand.
Successful Cost Reduction Efforts
Achieved $35 million in labor cost savings and reduced corporate costs by ceasing development of the plasma gasification technology.
SLS Business Growth
SLS contributed 20% of underlying EBIT, with significant growth in the number of repurposed units and strong demand driven by AI.
Strategic Domestic Market Growth
Shift to more domestic sales in North America, capturing U.S. domestic premiums and reducing export-related risks.
Negative Updates
Challenging Ferrous Market Conditions
Ferrous margins in ANZ were pressured by weak global prices and overproduction from China, impacting domestic scrap prices.
Weather-Related Disruptions
Severe weather in North America during January and February affected intake levels, impacting performance in the third quarter.
Credit Loss on U.K. Metal Receivable
Took an accounting requirement to consider potential credit loss on the balance of the U.K. metal receivable due to deferred payment.
Increased Gearing and Leverage
Net debt increased to $332 million, with gearing and leverage metrics outside of preferred range, partly due to working capital changes.
Company Guidance
In the Sims Limited FY '25 results call, the company reported a significant turnaround, with a nearly 50% increase in underlying EBITDA to $430 million and a 200% rise in underlying EBIT to $174.9 million, despite a drop in sales volumes. This improvement was attributed to strategic priorities such as focusing on margin over volume, optimizing the supply chain, and enhancing customer relationships. The Metal division saw increased shredder utilization and trading margins, while SLS's growth in repurposed units drove higher revenue and EBIT margins. The company's safety performance reached historic lows, and employee engagement remained high. Looking ahead to FY '26, Sims anticipates continued strength in nonferrous demand and benefits from AI-driven memory needs, despite ongoing challenges from China's steel output and global scrap market volatility.

Sims Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sims has shown revenue growth but struggles with profitability, as indicated by negative net profit margins and returns on equity. The balance sheet is stable with manageable debt, but cash flow management needs improvement.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Sims has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The revenue growth rate of 10.87% in the latest period is a positive sign, indicating recovery from previous declines. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -0.25% and an EBIT margin of 1.20%. The gross profit margin is relatively healthy at 28.67%, but the negative net income highlights ongoing challenges in cost management and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects moderate financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.30 indicates a manageable level of leverage, which is a positive aspect. However, the return on equity is negative at -0.73%, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 58.19%, showing a solid equity base relative to total assets, which provides some financial cushion.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals some concerns, particularly with a significant decline in free cash flow growth at -57.7%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.31 indicates that cash generation from operations is not fully covering net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.35, which shows some ability to generate cash relative to net income, but overall cash flow management needs improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.76B7.49B7.20B8.08B9.28B5.93B
Gross Profit906.40M2.15B1.04B844.30M1.15B852.20M
EBITDA281.70M345.10M381.00M523.00M491.90M230.60M
Net Income-114.20M-19.00M-57.80M181.10M599.30M229.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.47B4.45B4.90B4.71B4.44B3.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments242.90M215.60M280.80M329.80M267.50M254.10M
Total Debt593.40M787.70M949.30M804.80M701.70M557.10M
Total Liabilities1.73B1.86B2.34B2.05B1.90B1.56B
Stockholders Equity2.74B2.59B2.56B2.66B2.54B2.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow243.50M103.00M-12.10M218.70M273.10M800.00K
Operating Cash Flow448.50M297.10M202.50M449.20M547.80M129.40M
Investing Cash Flow-83.60M-64.50M-344.50M-245.20M-274.80M-126.90M
Financing Cash Flow-377.70M-142.40M-75.50M-155.00M-259.70M10.40M

Sims Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price9.22
Price Trends
50DMA
9.83
Negative
100DMA
9.85
Negative
200DMA
9.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Negative
RSI
44.62
Neutral
STOCH
98.82
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SMSMY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 9.22 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.18, below the 50-day MA of 9.83, and above the 200-day MA of 9.17, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 98.82 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SMSMY.

Sims Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
1.70B15.2310.31%1.92%-9.83%-28.70%
71
Outperform
370.87M27.042.49%1.90%-9.21%-60.42%
65
Neutral
4.77B13.6710.64%-18.58%-35.32%
54
Neutral
$1.77B0.14%1.39%2.78%72.91%
50
Neutral
1.95B-5.03-15.90%15.30%-10.77%-191.87%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SMSMY
Sims
9.22
1.85
25.10%
SIM
Grupo Simec SA De CV
28.77
-0.09
-0.31%
SID
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional
1.52
-0.58
-27.62%
ZEUS
Olympic Steel
32.95
-4.88
-12.90%
RDUS
Schnitzer Steel Industries
30.00
13.39
80.61%
WS
Worthington Steel, Inc.
33.55
-0.14
-0.42%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 16, 2025