Metallus (MTUS) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $667.97M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 323.77K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 30.6
• Beta (1Y): 1.34
• Revenue Growth: -18.93%
• EPS Growth: -141.88%
• Country: US
• Employees: 1,880
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 60
• Industry: Steel
• EPS (TTM): 0.20
• Shares Outstanding: 41,826,460
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 379,853
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 323,768
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.74
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.47
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 6.38
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 28.58
• 1Y Price Target: $20.25
• Price Target Upside: 23.48% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 3

• Rating: 61 Neutral
• Price Target: $16.50 ▲(0.61% Upside)

The overall stock score of 60 reflects a mixed outlook for Metallus. The most significant factor is the company's financial performance, which shows strengths in the balance sheet but weaknesses in cash flow and profitability. Technical analysis indicates potential short-term challenges, while valuation concerns further weigh on the score. Positive earnings call sentiment and corporate events provide some optimism, but are not enough to offset the financial and technical challenges.

Metallus Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Metallus Inc. manufactures and sells alloy steel, and carbon and micro-alloy steel products in the United States and internationally. The company offers special bar quality (SBQ) bars, seamless mechanical tubes, precision steel components, and billets that are used in gears, hubs, axles, crankshafts and motor shafts, oil country drill pipes, bits and collars, bearing races and rolling elements, bushings, fuel injectors, wind energy shafts, anti-friction bearings, artillery and mortar bodies, and other applications. It also provides custom-make precision steel components. It offers its products and services to the automotive, energy, industrial equipment, mining, construction, rail, aerospace and defense, heavy truck, agriculture, and power generation sectors. The company was formerly known as TimkenSteel Corporation and changed its name to Metallus Inc. in February 2024. Metallus Inc. was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in Canton, Ohio.

How the Company Makes Money

Metallus generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily by selling its high-performance metal alloys and components to manufacturers in the aerospace, automotive, and energy sectors. The company also earns income from its metallurgical consulting services, which help clients optimize their materials and processes for better performance and sustainability. Additionally, Metallus has established strategic partnerships with major industry players, allowing it to expand its market presence and leverage joint ventures for research and development, ultimately enhancing its product offerings and driving sales. The continuous demand for innovative metallurgical solutions in various industries further contributes to Metallus's earnings.

Metallus Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Metallus demonstrates a mixed financial performance. The income statement shows challenges in maintaining consistent profitability and revenue growth. The balance sheet remains strong with low leverage and a solid equity base, but cash flow concerns, particularly the recent negative free cash flow, highlight potential liquidity risks.

Income Statement

Metallus has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The gross profit margin has improved over the years, indicating better cost management. However, the net profit margin has been volatile, with a significant drop in the most recent year due to decreased revenue and profitability. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a notable decline in the latest year, impacting overall performance. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also fluctuated, reflecting operational challenges.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Metallus reflects a stable financial position with a strong equity base. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, indicating prudent leverage management. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a solid asset base funded by equity. Return on equity has been positive but shows a declining trend, highlighting potential profitability concerns. Overall, the balance sheet remains robust, providing a cushion against market fluctuations.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals some concerns for Metallus. The free cash flow has turned negative in the most recent year, driven by higher capital expenditures and lower operating cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, indicating reduced cash generation efficiency. While the company has managed to maintain positive operating cash flow, the decline in free cash flow poses a risk to future liquidity and investment capacity.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.05B	1.08B	1.36B	1.33B	1.28B	830.70M
Gross Profit	77.10M	97.70M	186.50M	126.70M	220.00M	15.60M
EBITDA	17.20M	58.70M	153.30M	156.00M	244.20M	17.40M
Net Income	-22.30M	1.30M	69.40M	65.10M	171.00M	-61.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.11B	1.12B	1.18B	1.08B	1.16B	994.00M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	190.80M	240.70M	280.60M	257.20M	259.60M	102.80M
Total Debt	16.00M	17.10M	24.60M	32.90M	59.40M	99.20M
Total Liabilities	422.00M	426.20M	443.70M	395.50M	494.30M	486.50M
Stockholders Equity	690.00M	690.50M	731.60M	686.50M	664.60M	507.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-83.60M	-24.00M	73.70M	107.40M	184.70M	156.60M
Operating Cash Flow	-5.50M	40.30M	125.30M	134.50M	196.90M	173.50M
Investing Cash Flow	-14.90M	-10.80M	-49.90M	-21.70M	-4.80M	-6.00M
Financing Cash Flow	-61.40M	-68.90M	-51.90M	-114.60M	-35.30M	-91.80M

Metallus Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 16.40
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MTUS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.06, above the 50-day MA of 15.48, and above the 200-day MA of 14.59, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MTUS.

Metallus Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
WS	77 Outperform	$1.61B	14.41	10.75%	1.95%	-9.83%	-28.70%
ZEUS	66 Neutral	$358.88M	26.16	2.50%	1.93%	-9.21%	-60.42%
FRD	64 Neutral	$123.54M	14.43	6.34%	0.92%	-5.81%	-29.10%
MTUS	61 Neutral	$667.97M	30.62	-3.13%	―	-18.93%	-141.88%
RDUS	55 Neutral	$847.73M	―	-17.65%	2.50%	4.13%	62.89%
ACNT	55 Neutral	$120.47M	―	-10.88%	―	-20.35%	77.51%
Sector *	44 Neutral	C$923.76M	-8.68	-0.23%	2.69%	24.53%	-41.45%

Metallus Corporate Events

Metallus Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results

On August 7, 2025, Metallus announced its second-quarter 2025 financial results, reporting net sales of $304.6 million and net income of $3.7 million. The company saw a significant increase in profitability and operating cash flow, driven by higher shipments and improved market conditions. Metallus also highlighted its strategic initiatives, including the installation of new assets to support increased munitions production for the U.S. Army. The company remains focused on operational excellence and is preparing for labor contract negotiations and annual maintenance, which are expected to have short-term cost impacts but align with its long-term strategic goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (MTUS) stock is a Hold with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metallus stock, see the MTUS Stock Forecast page.

Metallus Announces New Leadership Appointments

On May 19, 2025, Metallus Inc. announced the promotion of Kristopher R. Westbrooks to President and Chief Operating Officer, effective June 16, 2025. Westbrooks, who has been with the company since 2018, will lead Metallus’ safety, manufacturing operations, and supply chain organizations, aligning with strategic initiatives to support growth objectives. Concurrently, John M. Zaranec III was appointed as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Zaranec brings over 20 years of financial experience from the manufacturing and industrial sectors, most recently serving at Materion Corporation. These leadership changes are expected to enhance Metallus’ operational excellence and strategic growth, benefiting stakeholders and positioning the company for continued success.

The most recent analyst rating on (MTUS) stock is a Hold with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metallus stock, see the MTUS Stock Forecast page.