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Metallus (MTUS)
NYSE:MTUS
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Metallus
(NYSE:MTUS)
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Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$21.00
▲(7.91% Upside)
Metallus' overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call highlights and positive technical indicators. However, financial performance challenges and valuation concerns weigh heavily on the score. The company's focus on strategic growth in aerospace and defense is a positive, but profitability and cash flow issues need addressing to improve the stock's attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Aerospace and Defense Growth
The significant growth in the aerospace and defense backlog indicates strong demand and positions Metallus well in a critical sector, supporting long-term revenue stability.
Customer Satisfaction
High customer satisfaction underscores product quality and service, fostering customer loyalty and potential for repeat business, which is crucial for sustained growth.
Capital Investments
Timely and budgeted capital investments enhance operational efficiency and capacity, supporting future growth and competitive positioning in the industry.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues highlight operational inefficiencies, which could hinder long-term financial health and limit reinvestment capabilities.
Cash Flow Management
Poor cash flow management can restrict the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives, impacting its financial flexibility and resilience.
Labor Negotiation Challenges
Unresolved labor negotiations could lead to operational disruptions and increased costs, affecting productivity and profitability in the long term.
Metallus (MTUS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$827.56M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)352.57K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.45
Revenue Growth-3.42%
EPS Growth-134.99%
CountryUS
Employees1,880
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustrySteel
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.28
Shares Outstanding41,648,792
10 Day Avg. Volume501,724
30 Day Avg. Volume352,572
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-4.79
Price to Book (P/B)0.88
Price to Sales (P/S)0.56
P/FCF Ratio-25.43
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.65
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.47
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit5.34
Enterprise Value/Ebitda9.44
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Metallus Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionMetallus Inc. manufactures and sells alloy steel, and carbon and micro-alloy steel products in the United States and internationally. The company offers special bar quality (SBQ) bars, seamless mechanical tubes, precision steel components, and billets that are used in gears, hubs, axles, crankshafts and motor shafts, oil country drill pipes, bits and collars, bearing races and rolling elements, bushings, fuel injectors, wind energy shafts, anti-friction bearings, artillery and mortar bodies, and other applications. It also provides custom-make precision steel components. It offers its products and services to the automotive, energy, industrial equipment, mining, construction, rail, aerospace and defense, heavy truck, agriculture, and power generation sectors. The company was formerly known as TimkenSteel Corporation and changed its name to Metallus Inc. in February 2024. Metallus Inc. was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in Canton, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyMetallus generates revenue through multiple streams, including the direct sale of its metal products to manufacturers in the aerospace, automotive, and energy sectors. The company also engages in custom fabrication services, allowing clients to order tailored solutions that meet specific requirements. Key revenue streams include contracts with large aerospace firms for high-performance alloys, recurring revenue from long-term supply agreements, and collaborations with research institutions for developing innovative materials. Significant partnerships with industry leaders enhance Metallus's market reach and provide access to new technologies, contributing to its overall earnings.
Metallus Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong safety improvements, customer satisfaction, and growth in the aerospace and defense sectors. Financial performance was solid with increased sales and profitability. However, challenges remain with labor negotiations, subdued energy market conditions, and expected shipment declines in the fourth quarter due to seasonality and supply chain issues. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment is positive due to key growth areas and strong financial metrics.Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Safety Improvements
Metallus reported a 15% reduction in days away and restorative work cases and a 34% reduction in lost and restricted work days compared to the same period last year.
Customer Satisfaction
97% of respondents from the annual customer survey said they would recommend Metallus products, highlighting strong customer service and product quality.
Aerospace and Defense Growth
Aerospace and defense backlog increased by approximately 80% year-over-year, with significant new customer acquisitions and prototype orders.
Financial Performance
Third quarter net sales totaled $305.9 million, with adjusted EBITDA increasing by 9% sequentially, driven by improved product mix and better fixed cost leverage.
Capital Investments
Metallus advanced its capital investments safely, on budget, and on schedule, with $82 million of government funding received by the end of September.
Stock Repurchase Program
The company repurchased 178,000 shares of common stock for $3 million, reducing diluted shares outstanding by 25% since early 2022.
Negative Updates
Labor Negotiation Challenges
Members of the local USW voted not to ratify a tentative labor agreement, leading to a contract extension until January 29, 2026.
Energy Market Conditions
Energy shipments remained at reduced volumes, with overall market conditions still subdued despite capturing greater customer share for 2026.
Fourth Quarter Shipment Decline
Fourth quarter shipments are expected to be 5% to 10% lower than the third quarter due to normal year-end seasonality and potential global supply chain challenges.
Increased Operating Costs
The company faces potential increases in labor and benefit costs and a sequential fourth-quarter cost increase due to annual shutdown maintenance and energy expenses.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Metallus Inc. provided strategic guidance focusing on enhancing safety, strengthening customer satisfaction, and expanding into key markets. The company reported a 15% reduction in days away and restorative work cases, and a 34% reduction in lost and restricted work days compared to last year. Metallus successfully completed a maintenance shutdown at the Faircrest facility, ensuring no serious safety incidents occurred. Customer satisfaction was highlighted, with over 97% of survey respondents willing to recommend Metallus’ products. The company noted an 80% year-over-year increase in aerospace and defense backlog and targeted achieving a $250 million annual sales run rate in this sector by mid-2026. Financially, adjusted EBITDA rose to $29 million due to favorable product mix and improved melt utilization. Metallus plans to secure around 70% of its long products business through annual contracts and reported a sequential increase in third-quarter net sales to $305.9 million, with net income reaching $8.1 million. Capital expenditures for 2025 were projected at $120 million, with substantial government funding supporting key projects. Looking forward, Metallus anticipates lower fourth-quarter shipments due to normal seasonality and potential global supply chain challenges.Metallus Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Metallus shows mixed financial performance with revenue growth but declining profitability and cash flow challenges. The balance sheet remains strong with low leverage, but the company must focus on improving operational efficiencies and cash flow generation to enhance overall financial health.Income Statement
Metallus has experienced fluctuating revenue growth, with a recent TTM increase of 7.48%. However, profitability has declined, with negative net profit margins in the latest TTM period. Gross profit margins have decreased over time, indicating potential cost pressures. The company needs to address its declining EBIT and EBITDA margins to improve profitability.55
Neutral
Balance Sheet
The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting conservative leverage. However, the return on equity has turned negative in the TTM period, indicating inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio remains stable, reflecting a solid capital structure.65
Positive
Cash Flow
Metallus faces challenges with negative free cash flow growth and a negative free cash flow to net income ratio in the TTM period. Operating cash flow remains positive but has decreased, impacting the company's ability to cover its net income. Improving cash flow generation is crucial for financial stability.45
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.13B | 1.08B | 1.36B | 1.33B | 1.28B | 830.70M |
| Gross Profit | 100.00M | 97.70M | 186.50M | 126.70M | 220.00M | 15.60M |
| EBITDA | 56.60M | 58.70M | 153.30M | 156.00M | 246.00M | 17.40M |
| Net Income | -8.30M | 1.30M | 69.40M | 65.10M | 171.00M | -61.90M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.15B | 1.12B | 1.18B | 1.08B | 1.16B | 994.00M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 191.50M | 240.70M | 280.60M | 257.20M | 259.60M | 102.80M |
| Total Debt | 15.70M | 17.10M | 24.60M | 32.90M | 59.40M | 99.20M |
| Total Liabilities | 452.70M | 426.20M | 443.70M | 395.50M | 494.30M | 486.50M |
| Stockholders Equity | 697.70M | 690.50M | 731.60M | 686.50M | 664.60M | 507.50M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -57.10M | -24.00M | 73.70M | 107.40M | 184.70M | 156.60M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 31.80M | 40.30M | 125.30M | 134.50M | 196.90M | 173.50M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -51.20M | -10.80M | -49.90M | -21.70M | -4.80M | -6.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -44.30M | -68.90M | -51.90M | -114.60M | -35.30M | -91.80M |
Metallus Technical Analysis
Positive
19.46
Price Trends
17.59
Positive
17.24
Positive
15.82
Positive
Market Momentum
0.69
Negative
62.57
Neutral
85.25
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MTUS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.46 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.53, above the 50-day MA of 17.59, and above the 200-day MA of 15.82, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.69 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.25 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MTUS.
Metallus Risk Analysis
Metallus disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Metallus reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Metallus Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
77 Outperform | $2.04B | 16.22 | 11.71% | 1.78% | -0.75% | -13.51% | |
73 Outperform | $537.40M | 31.23 | 29.57% | 19.32% | -78.78% | -81.27% | |
69 Neutral | $137.98M | 11.92 | 8.47% | 0.75% | 8.72% | 43.14% | |
64 Neutral | $154.14M | 177.37 | -3.84% | ― | -29.03% | ― | |
63 Neutral | $551.48M | 41.70 | 2.40% | 1.42% | -5.64% | -48.34% | |
62 Neutral | $827.56M | -99.00 | -1.18% | ― | -3.42% | -134.99% | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
MTUS
Metallus
19.87
4.68
30.81%
FRD
Friedman Industries
19.40
5.57
40.32%
ZEUS
Olympic Steel
48.97
15.89
48.03%
ACNT
Ascent Industries
16.46
5.40
48.82%
MSB
Mesabi Shs
40.96
16.93
70.45%
WS
Worthington Steel, Inc.
40.06
9.65
31.73%
Metallus Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Metallus Reports Strong Q3 Results with Increased Sales
Positive
Nov 6, 2025
On November 6, 2025, Metallus reported strong third-quarter results with net sales of $305.9 million and net income of $8.1 million, marking a significant improvement from the previous year. The company benefited from increased demand in the aerospace and defense sectors, contributing to a 35% increase in net sales compared to the same quarter last year. Metallus also highlighted its strategic initiatives, including securing new defense programs for 2026 and a long-term supply agreement for vacuum arc remelt steel, reinforcing its position in the aerospace and defense markets. Despite anticipated seasonal challenges in the fourth quarter, Metallus remains focused on enhancing operational capabilities and maintaining profitability.
The most recent analyst rating on (MTUS) stock is a Hold with a $18.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metallus stock, see the MTUS Stock Forecast page.
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.