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Olympic Steel (ZEUS)
:ZEUS
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Olympic Steel (ZEUS) AI Stock Analysis

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ZEUS

Olympic Steel

(NASDAQ:ZEUS)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$41.00
▲(6.72% Upside)
Olympic Steel's overall stock score is primarily driven by its stable financial position and strong cash flow management. However, technical indicators suggest overbought conditions, and the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation. The lack of earnings call data and corporate events limits additional insights.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Flow Management
The significant growth in free cash flow indicates effective cash management, providing financial flexibility for future investments and operations.
Low Leverage
Prudent leverage management reduces financial risk and interest expenses, enhancing long-term stability and capacity to weather economic downturns.
Efficient Cost Management
High gross profit margins reflect effective cost control, which can sustain profitability even amidst revenue fluctuations, supporting long-term financial health.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Decreasing revenue indicates potential challenges in market demand or competitive pressures, which could impact future growth and profitability.
Low Net Profit Margin
A low net profit margin suggests difficulties in maintaining profitability, potentially limiting reinvestment capacity and shareholder returns over time.
Decreased Return on Equity
A declining return on equity indicates reduced efficiency in generating profits from shareholders' equity, potentially affecting investor confidence and capital attraction.

Olympic Steel (ZEUS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Olympic Steel Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOlympic Steel (ZEUS) is a leading value-added steel service center and distributor headquartered in the United States. The company operates across various sectors including construction, automotive, and manufacturing, providing a range of products such as carbon, stainless, and alloy steel, along with processing services like shearing, slitting, and laser cutting. Olympic Steel focuses on delivering high-quality steel products and services to meet the diverse needs of its customers.
How the Company Makes MoneyOlympic Steel generates revenue primarily through the sale of steel and related products to a variety of industries. The company's revenue model is based on selling steel products at a markup from the cost of procurement, along with additional revenue from value-added services such as processing and logistics. Key revenue streams include direct sales to manufacturers, fabricators, and contractors, as well as long-term contracts with major industrial clients. Significant partnerships with steel mills and suppliers also contribute to its earnings by ensuring a consistent supply of materials, allowing Olympic Steel to maintain competitive pricing and enhance its service offerings.

Olympic Steel Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
While Olympic Steel demonstrated strong financial resilience and strategic growth through diversification and acquisitions, market uncertainties and increased operating expenses present challenges. The overall sentiment is cautiously optimistic, with significant achievements tempered by economic and industry headwinds.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Olympic Steel reported sales of $496 million and net income of $5.2 million for the second quarter of 2025. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 26% compared to the first quarter.
Successful Diversification Strategy
Olympic Steel's efforts to diversify into higher-value metal-intensive products and expand fabricating capabilities resulted in all three business segments delivering positive EBITDA.
Strong Balance Sheet
The company has more than $300 million of borrowing availability and reduced total debt to $233 million, which is $39 million lower than year-end levels.
CapEx Plan and M&A Success
The robust 2025 CapEx plan includes $35 million of spending on organic growth opportunities. The integration of the MetalWorks acquisition has been seamless and accretive to earnings.
Market Share Gain
The Specialty Metals Group saw a more than 60% improvement in EBITDA from the first quarter and gained market share across stainless and aluminum product lines.
Negative Updates
Volume Decline
Despite reporting strong financials, there was a sequential volume pullback due to significant buy-ahead activity by customers in reaction to tariffs.
Decreased Net Income Compared to Previous Year
Second quarter net income totaled $5.2 million compared to $7.7 million in the second quarter of 2024, and adjusted EBITDA was slightly lower than the prior year period.
Operating Expenses Increase
Second quarter consolidated operating expenses totaled $110.4 million, up from $104.6 million in the second quarter of 2024, partly due to the MetalWorks acquisition.
Market Uncertainty
The environment is expected to remain challenging, with uncertainties regarding tariffs and economic conditions continuing to impact the steel industry.
Company Guidance
During the Olympic Steel 2025 Second Quarter Financial Results Conference Call, the company reported sales of $496 million and a net income of $5.2 million. Despite a sequential volume pullback due to initial steel and aluminum tariffs, flat-rolled shipping volumes remained slightly ahead of the previous year. The company achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $20.3 million, marking a 26% increase compared to the first quarter, with all business segments delivering positive EBITDA. Olympic Steel emphasized its strong financial position, boasting over $300 million in borrowing availability, and highlighted its robust 2025 CapEx plan, which includes $35 million allocated for organic growth initiatives. Additionally, the integration of their recent acquisition, MetalWorks, has been seamless and accretive to earnings, complementing their strategy of diversification into higher-value metal-intensive products.

Olympic Steel Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Olympic Steel shows a stable financial position with strong cash flow management and low leverage. However, challenges in profitability and revenue growth could impact future performance.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Olympic Steel's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM gross profit margin is strong at 63.48%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is low at 0.77%, reflecting challenges in converting revenue into profit. Revenue has slightly declined by 1.56% in the TTM, suggesting potential market pressures. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased compared to previous years, indicating reduced operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07 in the TTM, showing prudent leverage management. The equity ratio is healthy, indicating a strong capital structure. However, the return on equity has decreased to 2.50%, suggesting lower profitability on shareholder investments compared to previous years.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trend with a 31.38% growth in free cash flow in the TTM, highlighting improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.44, indicating a moderate conversion of income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 0.61, suggesting effective cash management despite lower net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.88B1.94B2.16B2.56B2.31B1.23B
Gross Profit1.19B451.18M473.50M486.06M510.20M255.04M
EBITDA68.79M78.68M104.77M153.91M193.38M20.51M
Net Income14.37M22.98M44.53M90.93M121.05M-5.59M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.07B1.04B984.84M891.63M1.02B640.61M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.81M11.91M13.22M12.19M9.81M5.53M
Total Debt277.33M312.82M236.28M202.13M363.56M195.00M
Total Liabilities496.71M470.57M429.36M375.66M599.13M339.60M
Stockholders Equity578.20M573.92M555.48M515.97M424.44M301.01M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow68.14M4.19M153.83M166.00M-157.38M51.85M
Operating Cash Flow101.91M33.68M175.16M185.85M-146.37M61.65M
Investing Cash Flow-113.68M-109.43M-190.84M-16.56M-13.46M-28.15M
Financing Cash Flow17.14M74.44M16.72M-166.91M164.12M-33.71M

Olympic Steel Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price38.42
Price Trends
50DMA
32.86
Positive
100DMA
32.62
Positive
200DMA
32.09
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.05
Negative
RSI
73.20
Negative
STOCH
89.68
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ZEUS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 38.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.35, above the 50-day MA of 32.86, and above the 200-day MA of 32.09, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.20 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.68 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ZEUS.

Olympic Steel Risk Analysis

Olympic Steel disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Olympic Steel reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Olympic Steel Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$431.91M4.66413.24%21.17%303.10%425.35%
71
Outperform
$1.83B15.2411.22%1.78%-6.75%-5.18%
62
Neutral
$148.46M17.348.47%0.82%8.72%43.14%
62
Neutral
$724.69M-1.18%-3.42%-134.99%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
$452.94M34.452.40%1.58%-5.64%-48.34%
61
Neutral
$139.25M160.24-3.84%-29.03%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ZEUS
Olympic Steel
40.45
-1.60
-3.80%
FRD
Friedman Industries
19.52
1.71
9.60%
ACNT
Ascent Industries
14.87
2.91
24.33%
MTUS
Metallus
17.40
0.41
2.41%
MSB
Mesabi Shs
32.92
11.52
53.83%
WS
Worthington Steel, Inc.
35.92
-7.61
-17.48%

Olympic Steel Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
Olympic Steel Announces Merger with Ryerson Holding
Neutral
Oct 30, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Olympic Steel, Inc. announced a merger agreement with Ryerson Holding Corporation, where Olympic Steel will become a wholly owned subsidiary of Ryerson. The merger, approved by Olympic Steel’s board, involves a stock exchange and cash considerations for shareholders, with implications for stock-based and long-term cash awards. The merger is subject to customary closing conditions, including shareholder and regulatory approvals, and is expected to enhance the combined company’s market position.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 02, 2025