Mesabi Shs (MSB) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $418.00M
• Dividend Yield: 19.32%
• Average Volume (3M): 40.95K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 24.3
• Beta (1Y): 1.12
• Revenue Growth: -78.78%
• EPS Growth: -81.27%
• Country: US
• Employees: N/A
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Steel
• EPS (TTM): N/A
• Shares Outstanding: 13,120,010
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 25,035
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 40,954
• PEG Ratio: <0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 13.27
• Price to Sales (P/S): 12.16
• P/FCF Ratio: 3.30
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.95
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 19.98
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 24.39
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 32.47
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 69 Neutral
• Price Target: $35.00 ▼(-4.16% Downside)
• Action: Downgraded Date: 01/21/26
• Date: Action: Downgraded 01/21/26

The score is primarily driven by strong underlying financial strength (high profitability, strong cash conversion, and zero debt), offset by cyclical volatility in revenue and free cash flow. Technicals are neutral-to-soft near term, and valuation is mixed—supported by an exceptionally high dividend yield but tempered by a relatively high P/E.

Positive Factors

Conservative Balance Sheet

A zero-debt balance sheet materially improves financial resilience for a royalty trust tied to cyclic commodities. It reduces bankruptcy and financing risk, preserves flexibility to sustain distributions through downturns, and limits interest expense sensitivity.

Strong Cash Conversion

Consistent operating cash conversion indicates royalty receipts are translating into real cash available for distributions and expenses. Strong cash conversion cushions against earnings volatility and supports ongoing payouts even when reported earnings fluctuate.

High Profitability Margins

Very high margins imply the trust retains a large share of royalty inflows after costs, providing durable capacity to fund distributions and cover admin costs. Margin strength helps absorb production dips and supports long-term payout sustainability.

Negative Factors

Cyclical Revenue & FCF Volatility

Royalty income tied to iron ore volumes and prices produces material year-to-year swings in revenue and free cash flow. That cyclicality undermines predictability of distributions and makes planning for expenses and reserves difficult across commodity cycles.

Operator & Contract Dependence

As a non-operating royalty trust, Mesabi has limited control over production, timing, or capex decisions that drive royalties. Counterparty operational issues, production curtailments, or changes in lease terms can sharply reduce cash receipts with little remediation available to the trust.

Geographic and Commodity Concentration

Concentration in a single commodity and region exposes cash flows to regional operational disruptions, local regulatory changes, and iron ore demand cycles. Lack of asset diversification increases single-event risk to long-term distribution consistency.

Mesabi Shs Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Mesabi Trust, a royalty trust, engages in iron ore mining business in the United States. The company was incorporated in 1961 and is based in New York, New York.

How the Company Makes Money

Mesabi Trust makes money through royalties and fees from the iron ore mined by Northshore Mining Company at the Peter Mitchell Mine. The trust receives a base overriding royalty and a bonus overriding royalty based on the volume and price of iron ore shipped. Additionally, Mesabi Trust earns royalties from the sales of taconite pellets produced from the mined ore. These revenue streams are influenced by factors such as global iron ore prices, production levels, and demand from steel manufacturers. The trust's earnings are highly dependent on its relationship with Northshore Mining Company and, by extension, Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.

Mesabi Shs Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong profitability and cash conversion with a very conservative balance sheet (zero debt in latest periods) support a high score. The main constraint is volatility: revenue and free cash flow have swung materially (TTM revenue down and TTM FCF sharply lower), consistent with cyclical earnings.

Income Statement

Profitability is exceptionally strong in the available periods, with very high gross and net margins in both TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and most annual reports. However, the growth profile is volatile: revenue declined in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (-17.61%) and has swung sharply year-to-year (including a very large jump in 2024 followed by a drop in TTM). Overall, this looks like a highly profitable but cyclical/unstable revenue stream.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet is conservatively positioned with zero total debt in the latest annual and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) snapshots, and only modest leverage in prior years (low debt relative to equity). Equity remains solid, supporting financial flexibility. The main watch-out is that returns on equity are highly variable across years, which signals earnings volatility rather than balance-sheet stress.

Cash Flow

Cash generation is strong, with operating cash flow consistently exceeding net income in most periods (e.g., TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) coverage ~3.95x; several prior years also comfortably above 1x), suggesting good cash conversion. That said, free cash flow growth is unstable, including a steep decline in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (-77.655%) after prior strength, reinforcing the view of a cyclical cash flow profile.

Breakdown	TTM	Jan 2025	Jan 2024	Jan 2024	Jan 2023	Jan 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	19.77M	25.46M	22.86M	7.50M	71.46M	25.95M
Gross Profit	16.20M	98.27M	22.61M	7.16M	71.17M	25.73M
EBITDA	12.17M	20.64M	18.54M	7.55M	70.99M	26.26M
Net Income	17.21M	93.27M	18.98M	5.31M	68.77M	23.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	26.00M	101.73M	26.69M	14.12M	53.91M	22.93M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	23.19M	100.20M	23.98M	13.97M	47.73M	22.41M
Total Debt	0.00	0.00	1.96M	23.56K	4.63M	249.48K
Total Liabilities	4.91M	78.40M	5.72M	2.68M	23.12M	6.45M
Stockholders Equity	21.09M	23.33M	20.98M	11.44M	30.79M	16.48M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	19.38M	93.94M	14.61M	13.86M	62.84M	20.81M
Operating Cash Flow	19.38M	93.94M	14.61M	13.86M	62.84M	20.81M
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	9.91M	3.43M
Financing Cash Flow	-17.58M	-17.71M	-4.59M	-47.63M	-37.52M	-21.91M

Mesabi Shs Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 36.52
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MSB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 36.52 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.92, above the 50-day MA of 35.81, and above the 200-day MA of 30.85, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.89 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MSB.

Mesabi Shs Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
WS	77 Outperform	$2.19B	17.42	11.71%	1.78%	-0.75%	-13.51%
MSB	69 Neutral	$418.00M	24.29	29.57%	19.32%	-78.78%	-81.27%
FRD	67 Neutral	$130.37M	8.25	8.47%	0.75%	8.72%	43.14%
ACNT	64 Neutral	$161.64M	185.88	-3.84%	―	-29.03%	―
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
MTUS	59 Neutral	$703.16M	-440.62	-1.18%	―	-3.42%	-134.99%