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Mesabi Trust Shs (MSB)
NYSE:MSB
US Market

Mesabi Shs (MSB) AI Stock Analysis

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MSB

Mesabi Shs

(NYSE:MSB)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$39.00
▲(6.79% Upside)
The score is primarily driven by strong underlying financial strength (high profitability, strong cash conversion, and zero debt), offset by cyclical volatility in revenue and free cash flow. Technicals are neutral-to-soft near term, and valuation is mixed—supported by an exceptionally high dividend yield but tempered by a relatively high P/E.
Positive Factors
Royalty trust business model
Mesabi’s royalty-trust structure creates a low-operational-intensity business: it earns royalties without running mines, avoiding capital-intensive mining operations. That durable model reduces capex needs and operating risk, supporting steady distributable cash when production and prices are stable.
Conservative balance sheet (zero debt)
A debt-free balance sheet gives Mesabi durable financial flexibility through commodity cycles, lowering liquidation/default risk and preserving the trust’s ability to continue distributions and cover administrative costs even during revenue downturns or temporary operator disruptions.
Strong cash conversion and margins
Operating cash flow materially outpacing net income indicates high-quality earnings and strong cash conversion. For a royalty trust that distributes most cash, this structural cash-generation capacity supports distributions and reduces reliance on balance-sheet financing across normal cycles.
Negative Factors
Volatile revenue and free cash flow
Revenue and free-cash-flow have swung materially year-to-year, reflecting iron-ore production and price cyclicality. This instability undermines predictability of distributions and NAV, complicates budgeting and long-term planning, and raises payout sustainability risk during downturns.
Operator / lessee concentration risk
Royalties are entirely dependent on a third-party operator’s mining activity and commercial choices. The trust lacks operational control, so operator underperformance, maintenance decisions, or adverse contract changes can materially reduce royalties and cash available for distribution.
Commodity and geographic concentration
Mesabi’s assets are concentrated in a single commodity (iron ore) and a single regional basin. That structural concentration increases sensitivity to global iron-ore cycles, regional mine disruptions, and local regulatory or tax changes, elevating long-term operational and cash-flow risk.

Mesabi Shs (MSB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mesabi Shs Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMesabi Trust, a royalty trust, engages in iron ore mining business in the United States. The company was incorporated in 1961 and is based in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyMesabi Trust makes money through royalties and fees from the iron ore mined by Northshore Mining Company at the Peter Mitchell Mine. The trust receives a base overriding royalty and a bonus overriding royalty based on the volume and price of iron ore shipped. Additionally, Mesabi Trust earns royalties from the sales of taconite pellets produced from the mined ore. These revenue streams are influenced by factors such as global iron ore prices, production levels, and demand from steel manufacturers. The trust's earnings are highly dependent on its relationship with Northshore Mining Company and, by extension, Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.

Mesabi Shs Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and cash conversion with a very conservative balance sheet (zero debt in latest periods) support a high score. The main constraint is volatility: revenue and free cash flow have swung materially (TTM revenue down and TTM FCF sharply lower), consistent with cyclical earnings.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Profitability is exceptionally strong in the available periods, with very high gross and net margins in both TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and most annual reports. However, the growth profile is volatile: revenue declined in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (-17.61%) and has swung sharply year-to-year (including a very large jump in 2024 followed by a drop in TTM). Overall, this looks like a highly profitable but cyclical/unstable revenue stream.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively positioned with zero total debt in the latest annual and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) snapshots, and only modest leverage in prior years (low debt relative to equity). Equity remains solid, supporting financial flexibility. The main watch-out is that returns on equity are highly variable across years, which signals earnings volatility rather than balance-sheet stress.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash generation is strong, with operating cash flow consistently exceeding net income in most periods (e.g., TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) coverage ~3.95x; several prior years also comfortably above 1x), suggesting good cash conversion. That said, free cash flow growth is unstable, including a steep decline in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (-77.655%) after prior strength, reinforcing the view of a cyclical cash flow profile.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue25.46M22.86M7.50M71.46M25.95M
Gross Profit98.27M22.61M7.16M71.17M25.73M
EBITDA20.64M18.54M7.55M70.99M26.26M
Net Income93.27M18.98M5.31M68.77M23.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets101.73M26.69M14.12M53.91M22.93M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments100.20M23.98M13.97M47.73M22.41M
Total Debt0.001.96M23.56K4.63M249.48K
Total Liabilities78.40M5.72M2.68M23.12M6.45M
Stockholders Equity23.33M20.98M11.44M30.79M16.48M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow93.94M14.61M13.86M62.84M20.81M
Operating Cash Flow93.94M14.61M13.86M62.84M20.81M
Investing Cash Flow0.000.000.009.91M3.43M
Financing Cash Flow-17.71M-4.59M-47.63M-37.52M-21.91M

Mesabi Shs Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price36.52
Price Trends
50DMA
35.33
Negative
100DMA
33.72
Negative
200DMA
30.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.78
Positive
RSI
36.51
Neutral
STOCH
6.85
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MSB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 36.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.44, above the 50-day MA of 35.33, and above the 200-day MA of 30.27, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.78 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.85 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MSB.

Mesabi Shs Risk Analysis

Mesabi Shs disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mesabi Shs reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mesabi Shs Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$2.04B16.2911.71%1.78%-0.75%-13.51%
69
Neutral
$431.65M25.0829.57%19.32%-78.78%-81.27%
69
Neutral
$139.61M12.068.47%0.75%8.72%43.14%
64
Neutral
$151.80M177.16-3.84%-29.03%
63
Neutral
$541.57M40.952.40%1.42%-5.64%-48.34%
62
Neutral
$830.89M-102.59-1.18%-3.42%-134.99%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MSB
Mesabi Shs
34.18
11.00
47.44%
FRD
Friedman Industries
20.50
5.34
35.19%
ZEUS
Olympic Steel
49.94
16.67
50.12%
ACNT
Ascent Industries
16.44
5.20
46.26%
MTUS
Metallus
20.59
6.18
42.89%
WS
Worthington Steel, Inc.
42.24
14.69
53.32%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 21, 2026