tiprankstipranks
Solvay (SLVYY)
OTHER OTC:SLVYY

Solvay (SLVYY) AI Stock Analysis

60 Followers

Top Page

SLVYY

Solvay

(OTC:SLVYY)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▼(-5.06% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/26/26
The score is held back primarily by weakening profitability, contracting revenue, and higher leverage, partially offset by consistently positive and improving free cash flow. Technicals are moderately constructive, while valuation is a key risk due to the very high P/E despite an attractive dividend yield. Earnings guidance points to another year of EBITDA pressure, tempering the outlook.
Positive Factors
Consistent free cash flow generation
Consistent positive FCF (EUR 350m in 2025 and guided >EUR 200m for 2026) provides durable internal funding for dividends, essential capex and transformation costs. Strong cash conversion supports financial resilience and options for deleveraging or targeted investments over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Increased financial leverage
Material rise in leverage reduces financial flexibility and increases risk if earnings stay weak. With equity contracting and ROE compressed, higher debt magnifies downside from cyclical downturns and slows capacity to pursue M&A or accelerate deleveraging without sustained higher cash generation.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Consistent free cash flow generation
Consistent positive FCF (EUR 350m in 2025 and guided >EUR 200m for 2026) provides durable internal funding for dividends, essential capex and transformation costs. Strong cash conversion supports financial resilience and options for deleveraging or targeted investments over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Solvay (SLVYY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Solvay Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Solvay SA provides advanced materials and specialty chemicals worldwide. It operates through four segments: Materials, Chemicals, Solutions, and Corporate & Business Services. The Materials segment offers specialty polymers, including aromatic pol...
How the Company Makes Money
Solvay makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling specialty chemicals and materials to industrial customers under its business segments. Revenue is generated through (1) sales of specialty materials (including high-performance polymers and...

Solvay Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 24, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed but balanced picture: the company demonstrated strong cash generation (EUR 350m FCF), meaningful structural savings (EUR 101m in 2025, cumulative EUR 211m), solid progress on decarbonization (Scope 1/2 emissions down 29% vs 2021) and continued selective strategic investments and social achievements. However, these positives were offset by notable near-term commercial and earnings headwinds — sales down 6%, volumes down 4%, underlying EBITDA down 13% to EUR 881m, high transformation and provision cash outs (approx. EUR 260m), and challenging markets for Soda Ash and Coatis driven by China overcapacity and tariffs. Management has set a more conservative 2026 EBITDA guidance (EUR 770–850m) and emphasized temporary stranded costs and ERP investments that will weigh on near-term performance, while retaining focus on cost control, cash and long-term competitiveness.
Positive Updates
Strong Free Cash Flow Generation
Generated EUR 350 million of free cash flow in 2025 despite a weaker EBITDA, reflecting disciplined cash allocation, working capital optimization and limited CapEx (EUR 292 million, below the EUR 300 million guidance). Guidance for 2026 expects free cash flow to exceed EUR 200 million after covering EUR 90 million of transformation expenses.
Negative Updates
Revenue and Volume Declines
Underlying net sales declined to EUR 4.3 billion in 2025, down 6% year-on-year; volumes fell 4% year-on-year, mainly driven by Soda Ash and Coatis business units.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong Free Cash Flow Generation
Generated EUR 350 million of free cash flow in 2025 despite a weaker EBITDA, reflecting disciplined cash allocation, working capital optimization and limited CapEx (EUR 292 million, below the EUR 300 million guidance). Guidance for 2026 expects free cash flow to exceed EUR 200 million after covering EUR 90 million of transformation expenses.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Solvay guided underlying EBITDA of €770–€850m for 2026 (vs €881m in 2025, down 13%, EBITDA margin ~21% in 2025), explicitly factoring in a c.€20m negative FX hit and c.€40m of transformation-related EBITDA headwinds while assuming a CO2 (EUA) sale contribution similar to 2025; free cash flow to Solvay shareholders (continuing operations) is expected to exceed €200m after covering €90m of transformation cash costs, with Group CapEx again limited to below €300m, cumulative structural savings targeted at ~€300m by end‑2026 (gross €101m achieved in 2025; €211m cumulative to date), net debt about €1.6bn (leverage ~1.8x), and the Board proposing a total dividend of €2.43 per share.

Solvay Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are pressured: revenue has been contracting and 2025 net profitability is very low, while leverage has increased (debt-to-equity ~2.13). Offsetting this, operating cash flow stayed positive and free cash flow improved materially in 2025, providing some resilience despite weaker earnings quality.
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Balance Sheet
36
Negative
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.56B5.13B6.02B16.07B11.44B
Gross Profit963.41M1.15B1.38B4.03B2.93B
EBITDA859.68M805.00M1.31B1.36B1.95B
Net Income28.82M223.00M2.09B1.91B948.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.15B6.69B7.02B20.66B20.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments535.77M555.00M711.00M1.69B2.27B
Total Debt2.17B2.14B2.19B2.96B3.35B
Total Liabilities5.07B5.29B5.72B10.00B11.20B
Stockholders Equity1.02B1.34B1.26B10.60B8.74B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow388.06M330.00M847.00M1.10B863.00M
Operating Cash Flow571.52M615.00M1.91B2.01B1.50B
Investing Cash Flow-193.07M-281.00M-1.79B-831.00M-470.00M
Financing Cash Flow-365.00M-364.00M-455.00M-1.19B-1.10B

Solvay Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price3.16
Price Trends
50DMA
3.09
Negative
100DMA
3.10
Negative
200DMA
3.16
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
52.85
Neutral
STOCH
94.20
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SLVYY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.16 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.00, above the 50-day MA of 3.09, and above the 200-day MA of 3.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.20 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SLVYY.

Solvay Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
58
Neutral
$7.02B-3.97-25.13%0.29%-7.34%-382.79%
56
Neutral
$29.71B-6.34-15.53%9.17%-5.25%-208.14%
53
Neutral
$1.46B-1.41-29.85%8.27%-7.81%-334.15%
51
Neutral
$2.25B-6.29-10.06%8.44%-3.46%-191.77%
50
Neutral
$3.23B-7.392.46%9.49%-4.18%-90.40%
43
Neutral
$1.31B-0.66142.56%-10.68%36.31%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SLVYY
Solvay
3.08
-0.06
-2.06%
CE
Celanese
64.06
23.65
58.53%
BAK
Braskem SA
3.61
0.49
15.71%
HUN
Huntsman
12.91
0.57
4.63%
TROX
TRONOX
9.18
4.57
99.22%
DOW
Dow Inc
41.40
15.63
60.62%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 26, 2026