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Braskem SA (BAK)
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Braskem SA (BAK) AI Stock Analysis

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BAK

Braskem SA

(NYSE:BAK)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▼(-1.96% Downside)
Braskem SA's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance, characterized by declining profitability and high leverage. Technical analysis provides some neutral signals, but valuation remains a concern due to negative earnings. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events limits additional insights.
Positive Factors
Strategic Procurement
The strategic procurement of naphtha enhances operational efficiency and cost management, supporting long-term competitiveness in the petrochemical sector.
Anti-Dumping Duties
The imposition of anti-dumping duties reduces foreign competition, potentially strengthening Braskem's market position and pricing power in the domestic market.
Sustainability Initiatives
Investments in sustainability and bio-based products align with global trends towards eco-friendly solutions, enhancing Braskem's brand and market appeal.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage limits financial flexibility and increases vulnerability to economic downturns, impacting long-term financial stability and growth potential.
Declining Profitability
Declining profitability reflects operational challenges and cost pressures, which may hinder Braskem's ability to invest in growth and innovation.
Legal Challenges
Significant legal actions pose financial risks and potential liabilities, impacting Braskem's financial health and stakeholder confidence.

Braskem SA (BAK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Braskem SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBraskem S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells thermoplastic resins. The company operates through three segments: Brazil, United States and Europe, and Mexico. The Brazil segment produces and sells chemicals, including ethylene, polymer and chemical grade propylene, butadiene, butene-1, benzene, toluene, and xylenes products; fuels, such as automotive gasoline, liquefied petroleum gas, ethyl tertiary-butyl ether, and methyl tertiary-butyl ether; intermediates, such as cumene; aliphatics, aromatics, and hydrogenated solvents; and specialties comprising isoprene, dicyclopentadiene, piperylene, nonene, tetramer, polyisobutylene, and hydrocarbon resins. This segment also produces and sells polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP); supplies electricity and other inputs to second-generation producers; produces and sells of PE, including the production of green PE from renewable resources; and produces and sells polyvinyl chloride and caustic soda. The United States and Europe segment produces and sells PP in the United States and Germany. The Mexico segment produces and sells ethylene, high-density PE, and low-density PE in Mexico. It also manufactures, sells, imports, and exports chemicals, petrochemicals, and fules; produces, supplies, and sells utilities, such as steam, water, compressed air, and industrial gases; and provides industrial services. The company was formerly known as Copene Petroquímica do Nordeste S.A. and changed its name to Braskem S.A. in 2002. Braskem S.A. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Camaçari, Brazil.
How the Company Makes MoneyBraskem generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of its petrochemical products, including polyethylene, polypropylene, and PVC. The company operates several production facilities and has a diverse customer base across different sectors, which helps stabilize its revenue streams. Key revenue sources include sales to manufacturers in packaging, automotive, and construction industries. Additionally, Braskem has entered into strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its market position and provide access to new technologies and markets. The company's focus on sustainability and development of bio-based plastics also positions it to capitalize on the growing demand for environmentally friendly products, contributing positively to its earnings.

Braskem SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong performance in several segments, with significant EBITDA growth and a strong cash position. However, high leverage and market challenges, particularly in Europe, present concerns. The sentiment is balanced with both positive achievements and ongoing challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Increase in EBITDA
Braskem's consolidated recurring EBITDA for Q1 2025 was $224 million, a 121% increase compared to Q4 2024.
Net Profit Growth
The net profit attributable to shareholders was $113 million, driven by greater spreads of PE and chemicals and increased sales in international markets.
Strong Cash Position
Braskem's cash position was $2 billion at the end of Q1 2025, sufficient to cover debt maturities for the next 33 months without considering a $1 billion revolving credit line.
Operational Improvements
All segments showed higher utilization rates, and the global accident frequency rate was maintained at 0.92 events per million hours worked.
Renewables Segment Achievements
Green ethylene operations increased, and capacity at Triunfo was revised to 270,000 tons per year. The company celebrated 15 years of its Agriem Bio Base portfolio.
Inauguration of Ethane Import Terminal in Mexico
Braskem Idesa inaugurated an ethane import terminal with a capacity to receive and store 54,000 tons, supporting full operational capacity in the region.
Negative Updates
High Corporate Leverage
Corporate leverage stood at 7.92 times at the end of Q1 2025, indicating financial pressure.
Challenges in Europe Segment
European operations faced challenges due to decreased feedstock supplies, impacting production and sales.
Inventory Management Issues
Operating cash consumption was approximately BRL 936 million, driven by negative variations in working capital and inventory management challenges.
Potential Impact of Tariff Uncertainties
The second quarter is expected to be challenging due to prolonged shutdowns in international markets and new tariff scenarios.
Ongoing Alagoas Financial Provisions
Total provision for the Alagoas event was around BRL 17.6 billion, with ongoing financial impact.
Company Guidance
During Braskem's earnings call for the first quarter of 2025, significant guidance and metrics were shared. The company reported a consolidated recurring EBITDA of $224 million, marking a 121% increase compared to the previous quarter. Net profit attributable to shareholders was $113 million, buoyed by favorable international market spreads for PE and chemicals. Operationally, Braskem maintained high safety standards with an average global accident frequency rate of 0.92 events per million hours worked. The company's cash position stood at $2 billion, sufficient to cover debt maturities for the next 33 months without tapping into a $1 billion international revolving credit line. The Mexico segment achieved a recurring EBITDA of $37 million, an increase of 6% from the previous quarter, and the United States and Europe segment reported a recurring EBITDA of $20 million. The company also highlighted strategic initiatives, including the inauguration of an ethane import terminal in Mexico and a focus on increasing the production of green ethylene, with the capacity at Triunfo revised to 270,000 tons annually. Braskem's corporate debt profile remained elongated, with an average term of around nine years and 68% of the debt maturing from 2030. The company also discussed its strategic direction, emphasizing resilience, financial health, and transformation, with initiatives aimed at generating an additional $600 million in EBITDA growth by 2030.

Braskem SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Braskem SA faces significant financial challenges, including declining profitability, high leverage, and cash flow issues. Negative equity and substantial debt levels pose risks, and recent revenue declines and net losses compound the company's financial instability.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Braskem SA has seen a decline in total revenue from 2021 to 2024, with significant net losses reported in recent years. The Gross Profit Margin has decreased, reflecting pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also weakened, indicating operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet shows negative stockholders' equity as of 2024, indicating financial instability. The debt-to-equity ratio is not calculable due to negative equity, highlighting high leverage. The company has a substantial total debt, increasing financial risk. ROE is not meaningful with negative equity.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Braskem SA's cash flow situation is concerning, with negative free cash flow reported for the past two years. Operating cash flow has improved since 2023 but remains weak compared to historical levels. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue77.41B70.57B96.52B105.63B58.54B
Gross Profit6.00B3.02B11.36B32.06B11.21B
EBITDA2.70B3.80B8.84B27.28B-1.65B
Net Income-11.32B-4.58B-820.00M13.98B-7.02B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets101.58B91.74B88.05B92.56B86.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.77B19.14B14.76B11.34B16.17B
Total Debt73.72B59.91B52.78B53.53B59.56B
Total Liabilities105.85B88.46B81.94B86.36B89.95B
Stockholders Equity-4.78B3.99B7.32B7.87B-2.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.33B-6.80B4.10B11.37B3.53B
Operating Cash Flow2.44B-2.27B8.95B14.79B6.29B
Investing Cash Flow-3.48B-4.53B-4.95B-3.38B-2.72B
Financing Cash Flow469.00M8.87B225.00M-16.97B2.17B

Braskem SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.06
Price Trends
50DMA
3.20
Negative
100DMA
3.40
Negative
200DMA
3.72
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
41.71
Neutral
STOCH
17.73
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BAK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.32, below the 50-day MA of 3.20, and below the 200-day MA of 3.72, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.73 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BAK.

Braskem SA Risk Analysis

Braskem SA disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Braskem SA reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Braskem SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
526.41M6.919.39%3.35%1.31%796.76%
54
Neutral
1.65B-4.94-11.39%11.25%-1.56%-259.58%
50
Neutral
699.09M-2.47-15188.34%10.90%0.20%-292.54%
46
Neutral
16.40B-15.85-5.69%11.04%-2.82%-186.41%
45
Neutral
4.64B-2.70-30.71%1.98%-5.83%-183.85%
44
Neutral
$1.31B-8638.28%-3.33%44.37%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BAK
Braskem SA
3.06
-4.47
-59.36%
CE
Celanese
39.94
-98.34
-71.12%
HUN
Huntsman
8.89
-13.94
-61.06%
TROX
TRONOX
3.90
-9.68
-71.28%
ASIX
AdvanSix
19.09
-10.67
-35.85%
DOW
Dow Inc
22.20
-28.99
-56.63%

Braskem SA Corporate Events

Braskem S.A. Reports No Securities Transactions in August 2025
Sep 10, 2025

In August 2025, Braskem S.A. reported no transactions involving securities and derivatives executed by management and related persons, as per Article 11 of CVM Instruction #358/2002. This disclosure is part of the company’s ongoing compliance with regulatory requirements, reflecting transparency in its financial activities and potentially impacting stakeholder confidence.

Braskem S.A. Reports August 2025 Securities and Derivatives Activities
Sep 10, 2025

In August 2025, Braskem S.A. reported on its operations involving securities and derivatives, adhering to regulatory requirements. The company disclosed its holdings and trading activities, which reflect its compliance with financial regulations and its ongoing efforts to maintain transparency with stakeholders.

Braskem Idesa Engages Advisors for Capital Structure Review Amid Economic Challenges
Sep 8, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Braskem S.A. announced that its subsidiary, Braskem Idesa, has engaged financial and legal advisors to review its capital structure and liquidity conditions. This move is part of Braskem Idesa’s strategy to address macroeconomic uncertainties, commodity price volatility, and increased input costs, aiming to preserve liquidity and improve overall results.

Braskem S.A. Announces Strategic Naphtha Purchase Agreement
Aug 29, 2025

On August 19, 2025, Braskem S.A. entered into a related-party transaction with Refinaria de Petróleo Riograndense S.A. (RPR) for the purchase of petrochemical naphtha, valued at approximately R$270 million. This agreement, effective from September to December 2025, involves spot-based purchases with prices referenced to international standards, highlighting Braskem’s strategic procurement approach and its potential impact on operational efficiency.

Braskem S.A. Addresses Capital Structure Challenges Amid Industry Pressures
Aug 28, 2025

On August 28, 2025, Braskem S.A. announced that it is exploring various options to address challenges related to the capital structure of its joint venture, Braskem Idesa, due to external factors impacting the global petrochemical industry. The company has committed to keeping the market informed of any significant developments, which may have implications for its operations and stakeholders.

Braskem S.A. Announces Anti-Dumping Duties on Polyethylene Imports
Aug 28, 2025

On August 27, 2025, Braskem S.A. announced that the Ministry of Development, Industry, Commerce and Services approved provisional anti-dumping duties on polyethylene resin imports from the United States and Canada. This decision, effective upon publication in the Federal Official Gazette, is expected to last up to six months, potentially impacting Braskem’s market positioning by reducing competition from these imports.

Braskem Faces Uncertainty as Tanure Exits Negotiations
Aug 28, 2025

On August 27, 2025, Braskem S.A. addressed a request for clarification from the Securities and Exchange Commission of Brazil regarding news about the withdrawal of businessman Nelson Tanure from negotiations to take control of the company. Despite the expiration of a 90-day exclusivity period with Petroquímica Verde Investment Fund, Braskem continues discussions about divestment with Novonor. The company confirmed that no new material facts have emerged to alter previous disclosures, maintaining its current strategic direction.

Braskem Continues Stake Sale Talks with Petroquímica Verde
Aug 22, 2025

On August 22, 2025, Braskem S.A. announced that Novonor S.A. is continuing discussions with Petroquímica Verde Fundo de Investimentos regarding the divestment of its stake in Braskem, despite the expiration of a 90-day exclusivity period. This ongoing negotiation could impact Braskem’s ownership structure and market positioning, with potential implications for shareholders and stakeholders.

Braskem’s Credit Rating Downgraded by Fitch Amid Industry Challenges
Aug 13, 2025

On August 13, 2025, Braskem S.A. announced that Fitch Ratings has downgraded its global corporate credit rating to BB-, with a Negative Outlook. This revision reflects the ongoing challenges in the global petrochemical industry, impacting the company’s liquidity. In response, Braskem is implementing resilience initiatives to mitigate these effects and bolster the competitiveness of the Brazilian chemical industry.

Braskem Initiates Asset Discussions with Unipar
Aug 8, 2025

On August 8, 2025, Braskem S.A. announced that it has begun discussions with Unipar Carbocloro S.A. regarding potential transactions involving its assets in the United States. While no definitive agreements have been made, Braskem is exploring opportunities as part of its regular activities and remains committed to its Resilience and Transformation Program to address challenges in the global petrochemical industry.

Braskem S.A. Files Form 6-K with SEC Detailing Future Outlook Amid Challenges
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Braskem S.A. submitted a report under Form 6-K to the Securities and Exchange Commission, signed by Chief Financial Officer Felipe Montoro Jens. The report includes forward-looking statements about the company’s future economic circumstances, industry conditions, and performance, highlighting potential impacts from a geological event in Alagoas and the COVID-19 pandemic on its operations and financial results.

Braskem S.A. Reports 2Q25 Results Amid Global Trade Challenges
Aug 7, 2025

In the second quarter of 2025, Braskem S.A. faced challenges due to global trade tensions and tariff uncertainties, which led to a decrease in international reference prices for key products like PE, PP, and PVC. Despite these challenges, the company recorded a recurring EBITDA of US$74 million and a net profit of R$431 million in the first half of 2025. The Brazil/South America segment saw stable plant utilization and increased resin sales, while the U.S. and Europe segment faced higher feedstock costs, resulting in a negative recurring EBITDA. In Mexico, Braskem Idesa began its first general maintenance stoppage, affecting ethane supply. The Brazilian chemical industry’s low idleness rate and discussions on competitive parity measures like PRESIQ are seen as crucial for enhancing industry competitiveness.

Braskem S.A. Files SEC Report Highlighting Regulatory Compliance
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Braskem S.A. filed a report with the Securities and Exchange Commission, signed by CFO Felipe Montoro Jens. The report, submitted under Form 6-K, highlights the company’s adherence to regulatory requirements and includes a disclaimer on forward-looking statements, indicating potential impacts from legal proceedings and economic conditions on its operations.

Braskem S.A. Secures Natural Gas Supply Deal with Petrobras
Aug 6, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Braskem S.A. announced a related-party transaction involving its controlled company, Voqen Energia Ltda., and Petrobras. The agreement, signed on July 28, 2025, entails the supply of natural gas by Petrobras to Voqen under a firm and non-flexible contract to meet Braskem’s needs in Rio Grande do Sul. The contract, valued at approximately R$ 324 million, is set to run from August 1, 2025, to December 31, 2026, and aligns with Braskem’s Related Party Transactions Policy. This strategic move is expected to enhance Braskem’s operational efficiency and secure its energy supply in the region.

Braskem S.A. Reports Q2 2025 Challenges Amid Global Trade Tensions
Jul 31, 2025

In the second quarter of 2025, Braskem S.A. faced challenges due to global trade tensions and tariff uncertainties, leading to a decrease in international reference prices for key products like PE and PP. This, combined with higher feedstock costs from previous periods, impacted the company’s profitability. Efforts were made to optimize inventory levels and improve operational efficiency. In Mexico, a maintenance shutdown at Braskem Idesa affected PE production, while in Brazil, the company saw increased resin sales due to anticipated price changes. Exports rose significantly compared to the previous quarter, driven by higher product availability. The company’s operations in the United States and Europe experienced mixed results, with increased demand in the U.S. but lower production in Europe due to feedstock supply issues.

Braskem S.A. Gains CADE Approval for Strategic Transaction
Jul 17, 2025

On July 17, 2025, Braskem S.A. announced that the General Superintendence of the Administrative Council for Economic Defense (CADE) approved, without restrictions, a concentration act related to a potential transaction involving shares issued by NSP Investimentos S.A., which is under judicial reorganization. This approval is subject to a 15-day period for third-party comments or for the case to be reviewed by CADE’s Tribunal. This decision marks a significant step in Braskem’s strategic operations, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Braskem Faces R$4 Billion Legal Action Over Alagoas Geological Event
Jul 11, 2025

On July 11, 2025, Braskem S.A. announced that it has been informed of a Public Civil Action filed by the Public Defender’s Office of the State of Alagoas, seeking compensation for residents and property owners affected by a geological event in Alagoas. The action attributes a value of R$4 billion to the cause. Although Braskem has not yet been officially notified, the company plans to evaluate the situation and take appropriate legal measures, keeping stakeholders informed of any significant developments.

Braskem S.A. Reports on Financial and Operational Strategies Amidst Ongoing Challenges
Jul 11, 2025

On July 10, 2025, Braskem S.A. submitted a report under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, signed by CFO Felipe Montoro Jens. The report includes forward-looking statements regarding the company’s financial and operational strategies, as well as potential impacts from legal proceedings related to a geological event in Alagoas and the COVID-19 pandemic. These statements highlight the company’s current management perspectives and the inherent risks and uncertainties that could affect future outcomes.

Braskem S.A. Submits Form 6-K Report Highlighting Future Outlook Amid Challenges
Jul 11, 2025

On July 10, 2025, Braskem S.A. submitted a report under Form 6-K to the Securities and Exchange Commission, signed by CFO Felipe Montoro Jens. The report includes forward-looking statements regarding the company’s performance and financial results, addressing potential impacts from a geological event in Alagoas and the COVID-19 pandemic. These statements reflect management’s current views and are subject to risks and uncertainties, which could lead to different actual outcomes.

Braskem S.A. Awaits CADE Approval for Potential Share Transaction
Jul 7, 2025

On July 7, 2025, Braskem S.A. announced that Novonor S.A., currently undergoing judicial reorganization, informed them about a request made to the Administrative Council for Economic Defense (CADE) for a potential transaction involving shares issued by NSP Investimentos S.A., also in judicial reorganization. This transaction, previously disclosed in May 2025, is still in the assessment phase and requires CADE’s approval, compliance with obligations towards Petrobras, and successful negotiations with banks holding fiduciary assignments of Braskem shares. The outcome of this transaction could significantly impact Braskem’s operations and market positioning.

Braskem S.A. Appoints New Statutory Director
Jul 7, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Braskem S.A.’s Board of Directors held a meeting where they elected Mr. Nir Lander as a new Statutory Director, effective July 1, 2025, replacing Mr. André Amaro. This decision was made following a recommendation from the People and Organization Committee. The election of Mr. Lander, an electrical and telecommunications engineer, is expected to bring fresh expertise to Braskem’s leadership team, potentially impacting the company’s strategic direction and operational efficiency.

Braskem Announces New Propylene Contract with Petrobras
Jun 25, 2025

On June 24, 2025, Braskem S.A. announced a related-party transaction with Petrobras involving a spot purchase and sale contract for polymer grade propylene from the Alberto Pasqualini Refinery. This transaction, effective until June 30, 2025, reached a value of R$50.9 million, with prices based on international quotations. The agreement reflects Braskem’s ongoing strategy to secure essential raw materials and highlights the flexibility in price negotiation and quantity reallocation with Petrobras, a shareholder with significant influence over Braskem.

Braskem S.A. Expands Hydrocarbon Supply Agreement with Petrobras
Jun 18, 2025

On June 6, 2025, Braskem S.A. signed an amendment to its purchase and sale contract with Petrobras for light hydrocarbons from the Capuava and Henrique Lage refineries. This amendment allows for the supply of additional volumes with a new pricing range, negotiated on a case-by-case basis, without altering other contractual terms. This transaction highlights Braskem’s strategic alignment with Petrobras and its efforts to optimize supply chain operations, potentially impacting its market positioning and operational efficiency.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 19, 2025