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Celanese Corp (CE)
NYSE:CE

Celanese (CE) AI Stock Analysis

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CE

Celanese

(NYSE:CE)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$51.00
▼(-11.67% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is held back primarily by weak current profitability (losses and compressed margins) and only moderate balance-sheet flexibility, partially offset by resilient positive free cash flow. Technicals are supportive with the stock trading above key moving averages, though momentum is overextended (RSI/Stoch), increasing pullback risk. Management’s 2026 free-cash-flow guidance and cash-focused execution plan provide some offset, but near-term operational headwinds and pricing/volume pressure keep the overall score in the mid-range.
Positive Factors
Consistent cash generation
Trailing‑twelve‑month operating cash flow and free cash flow remain positive even with accounting losses, giving Celanese a durable internal funding source. Sustained FCF supports debt service, capex, and working‑capital needs, reducing near‑term refinancing and equity dilution risk.
Clear cash and deleveraging plan
Management has a concrete playbook—$650–$750M FCF target, $100M inventory reduction, ~$50M lower cash interest, $50–60M tax benefit and active divestitures—providing structural means to reduce leverage and improve liquidity over the next 2–6 months without issuing equity.
Stronger EM innovation footprint
The expanded Michigan Technology Center centralizes piloting, prototyping and application development, enabling faster customer co‑development and lower product qualification time. This boosts long‑term Engineered Materials competitiveness in electronics, automotive and medical end markets.
Negative Factors
Weak profitability and margin compression
Operating and net losses with meaningful margin compression reduce retained earnings and reinvestment capacity. If weak pricing/volumes persist, profitability shortfalls could force deeper cost cuts or asset sales, constraining organic growth and operational flexibility over several quarters.
Acetyl Chain structural headwinds
Overcapacity and acetate‑tow destocking in Asia compress spreads and limit contract pricing recovery. Structural spot‑market pressure and mixed China demand impair margin normalization and likely keep Acetyl Chain results depressed until supply/demand balances improve mid‑to‑longer term.
Elevated leverage and working‑capital variability
Prior elevated leverage and sizable working‑capital swings reduce financial flexibility during weak earnings. While recent refinancings help, the company remains sensitive to inventory and receivables volatility, which can quickly erode cash targets if cyclical weakness persists.

Celanese (CE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Celanese Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCelanese Corporation, a technology and specialty materials company, manufactures and sells high performance engineered polymers in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Engineered Materials, Acetate Tow, and Acetyl Chain. The Engineered Materials segment develops, produces, and supplies specialty polymers for automotive and medical applications, as well as for use in industrial products and consumer electronics. It also offers acesulfame potassium, a sweetener for use in various beverages, confections, and dairy products; and food protection ingredients, such as potassium sorbate and sorbic acid for use in foods, beverages, and personal care products. The Acetate Tow segment provides acetate tows and flakes for use in filter products applications. The Acetyl Chain segment produces and supplies acetyl products, including acetic acid, vinyl acetate monomers, acetic anhydride, and acetate esters that are used as starting materials for colorants, paints, adhesives, coatings, and pharmaceuticals; and organic solvents and intermediates for pharmaceutical, agricultural, and chemical products. It also offers vinyl acetate-based emulsions for use in paints and coatings, adhesives, construction, glass fiber, textiles, and paper applications; and ethylene vinyl acetate resins and compounds, as well as low-density polyethylene for use in flexible packaging films, lamination film products, hot melt adhesives, automotive parts, and carpeting applications. In addition, it manufactures ultra-high molecular weight polyethylene. Celanese Corporation was founded in 1918 and is headquartered in Irving, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyCelanese generates revenue through the production and sale of its chemical and material products, primarily focusing on high-margin specialty products. Key revenue streams include sales from acetic acid and its derivatives, which are essential in the production of various consumer and industrial products. The company also benefits from its engineered materials segment, which provides advanced polymers and solutions tailored to specific customer needs. Significant partnerships with various companies across different sectors enhance its market reach and innovation capabilities, while ongoing investments in technology and sustainability initiatives position Celanese to capture growth in emerging markets and applications.

Celanese Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Sales By Segment
Net Sales By Segment
Reveals revenue generated from each business unit, highlighting which segments drive growth and where the company might need to improve or expand.
Chart InsightsCelanese's Engineered Materials segment shows a recent decline after a period of strong growth, reflecting inventory challenges and weakened demand in Europe. The Acetyl Chain segment has stabilized but faces pressure from reduced demand in key markets. The Acetate Tow segment remains inactive, with no sales since 2022. Despite these challenges, Celanese is focusing on cost structure improvements and strategic pivots to maintain profitability, aiming for a $2 EPS run rate. The company is leveraging high-margin opportunities in the Acetyl Chain and Engineered Materials to drive future growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Celanese Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 17, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed picture: material operational weakness in 2025 (notably in the Acetyl Chain and acetate tow) and ongoing demand/headwinds in parts of Asia were balanced by strong management focus on cash generation, refinancing, targeted cost actions, divestiture progress, and clear free cash flow guidance ($650–$750M). Management expressed confidence in hitting cash and deleveraging targets while acknowledging near-term H1 pressure (inventory timing and scheduled turnarounds) and the need for market stabilization in certain product lines. Overall, improvements are primarily expected through cash/cost levers and selective growth in Engineered Materials (electronics and select auto/medical), with stabilization in challenged pockets anticipated by mid-year rather than immediate recovery.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Focused Cash Generation and Refinancing
Management emphasized cash generation as the primary priority, noting successful bond refinancing, materially lower near-term maturities, and confidence in deleveraging without issuing equity.
Free Cash Flow Target
Company reiterated a free cash flow target range of $650 million to $750 million for 2026 and expressed confidence in achieving it through a mix of modest earnings improvement and cash levers.
Working Capital and Inventory Improvement
Working capital performance was strong in 2025 (~$390 million improvement cited) and management is targeting an additional ~$100 million of inventory reduction in 2026 to support cash flow.
Divestiture Progress Toward $1B Goal
Target to generate $1.0 billion of divestiture proceeds by 2027 remains intact; management said they are 'about halfway there' with probability-weighted deals in process and expect another deal in 2026. MicroMax was highlighted as a recent fast execution (~9 months).
Cost Savings from Lanakan Plant Closure
Lanakan plant closure expected to deliver $20 million to $25 million of annual cost benefit, with $5 million to $10 million of that expected to be realized in 2026.
Engineered Materials Bright Spots and Growth Pathways
Engineered Materials showed sequential improvement driven by volume and mix; electronics (AI/data centers) singled out as a bright spot, with opportunities in automotive and medical. Management still expects the potential for $1 to $2 of EPS uplift versus 2025 driven by EM growth, pricing pockets and cost reductions.
Lower Cash Interest and Tax Benefits
Company expects cash interest to be down roughly $50 million in 2026 and lower cash taxes (management cited ~$50 million to $60 million of tax improvement), both supporting cash generation.
1% Volume Sensitivity and Leverage
Management reiterated operating leverage: a 1% volume improvement in the Western Hemisphere Acetyl Chain equates to ~$15–$20 million/year and a 1% improvement in Engineered Materials equates to ~$20–$25 million/year, indicating meaningful upside from small demand improvements.
Negative Updates
Significant EBIT Declines in 2025
Adjusted EBIT fell materially in 2025: Acetyl Chain down approximately $400 million year-over-year and Engineered Materials down approximately $120 million, driven largely by volume and price deterioration (mix also a factor).
Quarterly Volume Decline and Destocking
Reported a 6% decline in volumes in the quarter; management attributed this to greater-than-expected destocking and seasonality, with acetate tow destocking continuing and only modest seasonal recovery observed.
Acetate Tow and China Overcapacity Pressure
Acetate tow was a major headwind (large chunk of Acetyl Chain weakness), with continued margin compression in China due to overcapacity; management does not expect large near-term uplifts from Asia and sees stabilization only by mid-year.
Near-Term Q2 Headwinds (Turnarounds and Inventory Timing)
A ~$30 million inventory tailwind benefiting Q1 is likely to reverse in Q2. A larger polyacetal (POM) turnaround is scheduled for Q2, with incremental turnaround expense concentrated in that quarter, making H1 relatively weaker and the year second-half weighted.
Margins Below Historical Levels
Acetyl Chain margins have compressed from historic mid-20% levels to mid-teens in the last year, reflecting structural and cyclical headwinds in some regions and product lines.
Spot Pricing Pressure from New Capacity
Management noted increased competition and pricing pressure in the spot portion of the business due to additional capacity that came online last year, limiting ability to raise contract prices in 2026.
Uncertainty in Automotive Demand in China
Auto end market in China is mixed with EV incentives and stimulus rolling off, creating softness and uncertainty that depresses demand for certain EM products tied to automotive.
Working Capital Headwinds and Modeling Variability
While management is confident in cash targets, several participants highlighted a sizable working capital swing/headwind year-over-year (discussed as a material modeling challenge), requiring management to rely on various levers to hit cash targets.
Company Guidance
Celanese guided 2026 free cash flow of $650–$750 million, driven by a targeted $100 million of additional inventory reductions (after a ~$390 million working‑capital improvement in 2025), lower cash interest (roughly $50 million), lower cash taxes ($50–60 million), and reduced cash outlays for cost programs ($25–50 million); management reiterated an EPS improvement goal of $1–$2 versus 2025, expects results to be second‑half weighted, and still targets $1 billion of divestiture proceeds by 2027 (about halfway there with another deal expected in 2026), noted a Q1 $30 million inventory tailwind likely to reverse in Q2 alongside a sizable POM turnaround (Q2 impact in the same ~$30 million range), cited Lanaken closure savings of $20–25 million full year (~$5–10 million in 2026), expects China SIGTOE dividends of ~ $40 million per quarter, and highlighted operating leverage (≈ $15–20 million per 1% volume in Acetyl Chain; ≈ $20–25 million per 1% in Engineered Materials) with interest expense likely flat on the P&L year‑over‑year.

Celanese Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability has deteriorated to operating and net losses in 2024 and TTM with modest revenue contraction and meaningful margin compression (weak income statement). The balance sheet is not distressed but prior elevated leverage reduces flexibility during losses. Cash flow is the key support, with TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow still solidly positive despite net losses.
Income Statement
24
Negative
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) profitability is weak, with an operating loss and a net loss, following another net loss in 2024 after strong profitability in 2021–2023. Revenue has been drifting down (down modestly in TTM and down again in 2024), and margins have compressed meaningfully versus the prior peak years—moving from healthy gross and net margins in 2021–2023 to negative operating and net margins in 2024 and TTM. The key positive is that the business has historically demonstrated the ability to generate strong earnings in up-cycles, but the current earnings profile is clearly under pressure.
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Leverage looks mixed. Reported debt-to-equity improved sharply in TTM versus 2024, but 2022–2024 show elevated leverage levels that add risk when earnings are negative. Equity remains sizeable relative to total assets, providing some balance-sheet cushion, but returns to shareholders have swung from strong positives in 2020–2023 to deeply negative in 2024 and TTM due to losses. Overall, the balance sheet is not distressed, but prior high leverage and today’s weak profitability reduce flexibility.
Cash Flow
63
Positive
Cash generation is a relative bright spot: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow and free cash flow are solidly positive despite net losses, indicating meaningful non-cash charges and/or working-capital support. Free cash flow is down versus prior periods (negative growth in TTM and 2024), but it remains positive and materially higher in TTM than in 2024. The main concern is that cash flow covering earnings remains strained because profitability is negative, so sustaining strong cash generation will be important if the downturn persists.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.54B10.28B10.94B9.67B8.54B
Gross Profit1.79B2.36B2.60B2.38B2.68B
EBITDA292.00M503.00M2.61B2.30B2.72B
Net Income-1.17B-1.52B1.96B1.89B1.89B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets21.70B22.86B26.60B26.27B11.97B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.26B962.00M1.80B1.51B546.00M
Total Debt13.13B12.95B14.10B15.13B4.20B
Total Liabilities17.22B17.25B19.05B20.17B7.44B
Stockholders Equity4.05B5.17B7.09B5.64B4.19B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow803.00M531.00M1.33B1.28B1.29B
Operating Cash Flow1.15B966.00M1.90B1.82B1.76B
Investing Cash Flow-349.00M-470.00M-134.00M-11.14B-1.12B
Financing Cash Flow-513.00M-1.31B-1.46B10.29B-1.04B

Celanese Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price57.74
Price Trends
50DMA
49.97
Positive
100DMA
45.20
Positive
200DMA
47.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.16
Negative
RSI
61.62
Neutral
STOCH
74.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 57.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 52.92, above the 50-day MA of 49.97, and above the 200-day MA of 47.58, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CE.

Celanese Risk Analysis

Celanese disclosed 4 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Celanese reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Celanese Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$553.58M9.446.06%3.81%-5.05%35.01%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
58
Neutral
$6.33B-3.97-25.13%0.29%-7.34%-382.79%
57
Neutral
$2.09B-6.29-10.06%8.44%-3.46%-191.77%
56
Neutral
$26.28B-6.34-15.53%9.17%-5.25%-208.14%
51
Neutral
$1.11B-1.41-29.85%8.27%-7.81%-334.15%
47
Neutral
$1.56B-49.30128.17%-10.68%36.31%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CE
Celanese
57.74
-0.09
-0.15%
BAK
Braskem SA
4.38
0.39
9.77%
HUN
Huntsman
12.03
-4.61
-27.68%
TROX
TRONOX
6.98
0.13
1.82%
ASIX
AdvanSix
20.60
-2.68
-11.50%
DOW
Dow Inc
36.62
1.49
4.24%

Celanese Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Celanese Announces Routine Board Transition After Director Resignation
Neutral
Mar 4, 2026

On February 27, 2026, Celanese Corporation announced that Board member Timothy Go resigned from the Board of Directors, effective the same day. The company stated that his resignation did not stem from any disagreement over operations, policies, or practices, and expressed its appreciation for his contributions to the Board.

This board change signals a routine governance transition at Celanese rather than a response to strategic or operational disputes. Stakeholders are unlikely to infer immediate shifts in corporate direction from this development, given the explicit clarification that there were no underlying disagreements prompting Go’s departure.

The most recent analyst rating on (CE) stock is a Buy with a $70.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Celanese stock, see the CE Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Celanese to Present Q4 and Full-Year 2025 Results
Neutral
Feb 17, 2026

On February 18, 2026, Celanese President and CEO Scott A. Richardson is scheduled to present the company’s fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 financial results to investors and analysts via a company-hosted webcast. The event materials, including a press release, management’s prepared remarks and a slide deck, will be made available on the company’s investor website, with non‑U.S. GAAP metrics reconciled to comparable U.S. GAAP measures in a supplemental information document accessible to stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (CE) stock is a Buy with a $86.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Celanese stock, see the CE Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Celanese director Scott Sutton resigns for external CEO role
Neutral
Jan 6, 2026

On January 4, 2026, Celanese Corporation announced that Scott M. Sutton resigned from its Board of Directors as he assumes the role of Chief Executive Officer at Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc., with the company formally disclosing the move in a January 6, 2026 press release. Celanese’s leadership emphasized that Sutton’s departure was amicable, not stemming from any disagreement over operations or policies, and highlighted his contributions to board oversight and the company’s strategic progress on deleveraging, cost improvements and positioning for top-line growth, signaling continued confidence in the remaining board’s ability to drive long-term shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (CE) stock is a Hold with a $45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Celanese stock, see the CE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Celanese Completes $1.4 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Dec 17, 2025

On December 17, 2025, Celanese US Holdings LLC, a subsidiary of Celanese Corporation, successfully completed the offering of $1.4 billion in senior notes. Proceeds from this offering will be utilized to repay existing debt, fund tender offers for outstanding senior notes, and support general corporate purposes, enhancing the company’s financial flexibility and operational strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (CE) stock is a Hold with a $43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Celanese stock, see the CE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Celanese Increases Cash Tender Offers for Notes
Positive
Dec 16, 2025

On December 16, 2025, Celanese Corporation announced the early results and an increase in size of its cash tender offers for its 6.665% Senior Notes due 2027 and 6.850% Senior Notes due 2028. The company has successfully tendered $946,106,000 of the 2027 Notes and $675,185,000 of the 2028 Notes, with the latter being subject to a Series Cap of $254,000,000. The tender offers were fully subscribed by the Early Tender Time, and the company expects to settle the accepted notes on December 17, 2025, indicating a strategic move to manage its debt obligations effectively.

The most recent analyst rating on (CE) stock is a Hold with a $41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Celanese stock, see the CE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026