tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
TRONOX Ltd (TROX)
NYSE:TROX
Advertisement

TRONOX (TROX) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
679 Followers

Top Page

TROX

TRONOX

(NYSE:TROX)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$5.50
▼(-5.50%Downside)
Tronox's overall score is primarily impacted by financial challenges and valuation concerns. However, positive technical signals and corporate events provide some support, and strategic improvements may enhance future performance.
Positive Factors
Analyst Upgrade
Analyst upgrades Tronox to Overweight from Neutral, reflecting a belief in the company's potential for growth and recovery.
Cost/Benefit Opportunities
Tronox has cost/benefit opportunities totaling about $230 million that could reduce earnings risk and potentially lead to earnings growth.
Tariffs Impact
Tronox is expected to benefit from tariffs placed on Chinese titanium dioxide exports, potentially leading to market share gains and price improvements.
Negative Factors
Demand Environment
The demand environment remains challenged owing to weak US housing, soft China construction markets, and listless demand in Europe.
High Costs
High costs are moving more slowly through TROX's P&L, posing significant risk to future earnings and cash flows.
Pricing Competition
Pricing remains difficult even in tariff-protected areas owing to the soft demand and fierce competition.

TRONOX (TROX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TRONOX Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTronox Holdings plc operates as a vertically integrated manufacturer of TiO2 pigment in North America, South and Central America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates titanium-bearing mineral sand mines; and engages in beneficiation and smelting operations. It offers TiO2 pigment; ultrafine specialty TiO2; zircon; feedstock; pig iron; titanium tetrachloride; and other products. The company's products are used for the manufacture of paints, coatings, plastics, and paper, as well as various other applications. Tronox Holdings plc is based in Stamford, Connecticut.
How the Company Makes MoneyTronox generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of titanium dioxide pigment, which is used to impart whiteness, brightness, and opacity to products such as paints, coatings, and plastics. The company operates through several integrated facilities that include mining, beneficiation, and production processes. Tronox's revenue streams are diversified across different geographic regions, targeting markets in North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and Africa. Additionally, Tronox derives income from the sale of co-products from its mining operations, such as zircon, rutile, and ilmenite, which are used in various industrial applications. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other industry players also contribute to its revenue by enhancing operational efficiencies and expanding market reach.

TRONOX Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 10.23%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed sentiment with notable achievements in TiO2 demand growth and a strong cost improvement plan. However, these are balanced by significant challenges including a net loss, decline in zircon revenues, and high production costs. The company's strategic actions and cost reductions are promising, but the financial setbacks and market challenges temper the overall outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Stronger Than Normal TiO2 Demand
The company realized a 12% increase in TiO2 volumes from Q4 2024 to Q1 2025, with Europe leading sequential growth due to antidumping duties.
Sequential Revenue Growth
Revenue increased by 9% sequentially to $738 million, primarily driven by higher TiO2 sales volumes.
Cost Improvement Program
The company expects to deliver $125 million to $175 million in sustainable run rate cost improvements by the end of 2026, with a focus on operational excellence and technology.
Progress on Mining Projects
The expansion at Fairbreeze and East OFS is expected to be completed in 2025, with the commissioning of Fairbreeze in July and East OFS in November leading to cost improvements from 2026 onward.
Negative Updates
Net Loss in the Quarter
The company reported a net loss of $111 million, including $87 million of restructuring and other charges, primarily non-cash costs related to the idling of Botlek.
Decline in Zircon Revenues
Zircon revenues decreased 22% compared to the prior year, driven by a 15% decrease in sales volume and a 7% decrease due to price including mix.
Higher Production Costs
Production costs in the first quarter were higher than expected, primarily due to lower operating rates and increases in direct material prices.
Free Cash Flow Usage
The company reported a use of $142 million in free cash flow, including $110 million of capital expenditures.
Debt Levels and Leverage
Total debt was $3 billion with a net debt of $2.8 billion, and the net leverage ratio stood at 5.2 times on a trailing twelve-month basis.
Company Guidance
In the Q1 2025 earnings call, Tronox Holdings plc provided guidance on various metrics, indicating a mixed financial performance with strategic actions to mitigate challenges. The company reported a 9% sequential increase in revenue to $738 million, driven by a 12% uplift in TiO2 volumes, particularly in Europe due to antidumping duties. However, they faced a $61 million loss from operations and a net loss of $111 million, including $87 million in restructuring charges mainly from idling the Botlek plant. Adjusted EBITDA was $112 million, with a margin of 15.2%. Despite these hurdles, Tronox maintained its full-year guidance, projecting revenue between $3 billion and $3.4 billion and adjusted EBITDA in the range of $525 million to $625 million. They anticipate stronger performance in the second half of the year, with operational efficiencies and strategic measures expected to yield $125 million to $175 million in cost improvements by 2026. Additionally, the company targets a free cash flow of at least $50 million for 2025, supported by reduced capital expenditures and effective working capital management.

TRONOX Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TRONOX's financial performance is under pressure with negative net income, high leverage, and declining revenues. Despite positive operating cash flow, significant financial challenges persist, requiring strategic improvements.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
TRONOX's income statement reveals a challenging financial environment. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows a negative net income, indicating profitability issues. Gross profit margin stands at 15.74%, and net profit margin is negative, reflecting cost pressures and inefficiencies. Revenue has decreased from the previous year, highlighting growth challenges. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also under pressure, indicating operational difficulties.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.85, indicating significant leverage. Return on equity is negative due to net losses, which is concerning for shareholders. The equity ratio is 27.59%, suggesting moderate financial stability. The company needs to manage its debt levels carefully to avoid financial strain.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a negative free cash flow, indicating potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative due to net losses, and free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative. These metrics highlight cash management challenges, although operating cash flow remains positive, providing some relief.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.07B2.85B3.45B3.57B2.76B
Gross Profit515.00M462.00M832.00M895.00M621.00M
EBITDA525.00M473.00M714.00M840.00M619.00M
Net Income-48.00M-316.00M497.00M286.00M969.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.04B6.13B6.31B5.99B6.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments151.00M273.00M164.00M228.00M619.00M
Total Debt2.99B2.95B2.67B2.66B3.40B
Total Liabilities4.25B4.15B3.90B3.94B4.70B
Stockholders Equity1.76B1.94B2.36B1.99B1.70B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-70.00M-77.00M170.00M468.00M160.00M
Operating Cash Flow300.00M184.00M598.00M740.00M355.00M
Investing Cash Flow-343.00M-255.00M-415.00M-269.00M-229.00M
Financing Cash Flow-71.00M176.00M-250.00M-877.00M214.00M

TRONOX Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.82
Price Trends
50DMA
5.47
Positive
100DMA
5.75
Negative
200DMA
8.15
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
51.86
Neutral
STOCH
68.63
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TROX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.52, above the 50-day MA of 5.47, and below the 200-day MA of 8.15, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TROX.

TRONOX Risk Analysis

TRONOX disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. TRONOX reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
Although certain jurisdictions have imposed anti-dumping duties or similar duties against TiO2 imports from China, there can be no assurance that such duties will benefit our business, and if such duties are reduced, removed or not extended, it could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial position. Q4, 2024
2.
We may be subject to claims that arise from activities prior to our emergence from bankruptcy in 2011. Q4, 2024

TRONOX Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (44)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$775.95M14.9710.22%8.54%-6.76%-3.19%
70
Outperform
$588.00M7.2611.26%2.92%6.03%5079.05%
59
Neutral
$17.72B75.91-5.59%10.98%-2.82%-186.06%
56
Neutral
$6.25B6.84-26.94%2.56%-5.98%-183.27%
54
Neutral
$890.56M-8.44%8.59%4.15%57.25%
53
Neutral
$1.89B-4.46%9.19%0.02%-43.65%
44
Neutral
AU$1.51B-6.04-41.37%3.88%-3.45%-43.04%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TROX
TRONOX
5.82
-9.50
-62.01%
CE
Celanese
58.70
-78.74
-57.29%
HUN
Huntsman
11.19
-10.83
-49.18%
WLKP
Westlake Chemical PRN
22.07
0.82
3.86%
ASIX
AdvanSix
21.93
-4.99
-18.54%
DOW
Dow Inc
25.51
-23.68
-48.14%

TRONOX Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Tronox Shareholders Approve Key Governance Proposals
Positive
May 9, 2025

On May 7, 2025, Tronox Holdings plc held its Annual General Meeting of Shareholders, where key decisions were made regarding the company’s governance and financial practices. Shareholders voted on several proposals, including the election of directors, approval of executive compensation, and the appointment of auditors. The meeting underscored strong shareholder support for the company’s current leadership and strategic direction, with most proposals receiving overwhelming approval. These decisions are likely to reinforce Tronox’s operational stability and enhance its industry positioning.

Dividends
Tronox Declares Quarterly Dividend for Shareholders
Positive
May 7, 2025

On May 7, 2025, Tronox Holdings plc announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.125 per share, payable on July 2, 2025, to shareholders recorded by May 19, 2025. This announcement underscores Tronox’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may enhance its attractiveness to investors, reinforcing its position as a leading player in the titanium dioxide market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 23, 2025