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AdvanSix
(NYSE:ASIX)
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Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$19.50
▼(-9.60% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/24/26
ASIX scores below-average primarily due to materially weakened profitability/returns and modest, inconsistent free cash flow, alongside a bearish technical picture (below key moving averages with negative MACD and weak RSI/Stoch). The earnings call adds some support via expected sequential recovery, H2 cash generation, and 45Q proceeds, but near-term input-cost pressure and the sharp EBITDA decline limit conviction. Valuation is also a headwind given a high P/E despite a decent dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Integrated manufacturing value chain
AdvanSix’s vertically integrated plants secure feedstock and create cost efficiencies versus standalone producers. That structural advantage supports production reliability, reduces margin exposure to spot feedstock shortages, and improves competitiveness in cyclical end markets over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Material margin compression
Profitability has deteriorated materially, leaving very thin margins and negligible returns on equity. Persistently low gross and net margins erode reinvestment capacity, weaken return profiles on new projects, and constrain the company’s ability to restore balance-sheet health if cost pressures persist.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Integrated manufacturing value chain
AdvanSix’s vertically integrated plants secure feedstock and create cost efficiencies versus standalone producers. That structural advantage supports production reliability, reduces margin exposure to spot feedstock shortages, and improves competitiveness in cyclical end markets over multiple quarters.
Read all positive factors
AdvanSix Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where AdvanSix is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where AdvanSix is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyAdvanSix (ASIX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$538.10M
Dividend Yield3.81%
Average Volume (3M)285.56K
Price to Earnings (P/E)52.2
Beta (1Y)0.76
Revenue Growth-0.63%
EPS Growth-87.72%
CountryUS
Employees1,450
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryChemicals
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.39
Shares Outstanding26,959,036
10 Day Avg. Volume207,186
30 Day Avg. Volume285,561
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.87
Price to Book (P/B)0.57
Price to Sales (P/S)0.31
P/FCF Ratio72.51
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.80
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.63
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit8.41
Enterprise Value/Ebitda10.13
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)1.48
Revenue Forecast (FY)$1.65B
AdvanSix Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
AdvanSix Inc. operates as a global manufacturer and supplier of polymer resins, serving markets across the United States and internationally. A key offering is Nylon 6, a versatile synthetic polymer resin utilized in the production of fibers, fila...
How the Company Makes Money
AdvanSix makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling chemical products, with revenue largely tied to sales volumes and market-based pricing for commodity and intermediate chemicals. Its key revenue streams include: (1) Nylon: sales of nylon...
AdvanSix Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a balanced picture: topline sales growth (~7% YoY), operational improvements, a strategic DEF expansion opportunity, disciplined capital plans, and anticipated tax-credit proceeds are positive signals. However, these positives were materially offset in the quarter by sharply higher input costs (notably sulfur and natural gas), a large year-over-year decline in adjusted EBITDA (down $47M to $5M), winter-storm impacts, and soft demand in select end markets. Management expects sequential recovery into Q2 and cash generation in the second half, but near-term margin pressure and cash-seasonality remain key risks.Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Sales increased approximately 7% year over year in Q1 2026, driven by ~6% volume growth and ~1% favorable pricing.
Negative Updates
Significant Adjusted EBITDA Decline
Adjusted EBITDA was $5 million in Q1 2026, down $47 million year over year, primarily driven by absence of prior-year $20 million insurance proceeds, higher sulfur and natural gas costs, higher utility expenses, and $11 million of winter-storm-related impacts.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Revenue Growth
Sales increased approximately 7% year over year in Q1 2026, driven by ~6% volume growth and ~1% favorable pricing.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
AdvanSix guided to full-year capital spending of $75–$95 million (with roughly 20% of CapEx targeted to high‑return growth), expects sequential earnings and cash‑flow improvement into Q2 with the second half of 2026 to be a source of cash to meet full‑year targets, and aims to finish the year with debt leverage near the low end of its 1.0–2.5x target range; management said it anticipates recouping a large portion of first‑quarter raw‑material passthrough shortfalls in Q2, reiterated a 20%+ IRR hurdle for growth projects, noted the DEF expansion is targeting an FID in 2027 with operational startup in 2029, and expected ~$18 million of additional 45Q proceeds in H2 (of a $20M total, $2M already received). For context, Q1 results included sales +7% YoY (6% volume, 1% price), market pricing +3%/pass‑through −2%, adjusted EBITDA $5M (down $47M YoY), a winter‑storm impact of $11M (offset in part by $3M of saved turnaround expense), sulfur settled at a record $655/long ton in 2026 (≈+30% sequential, ≈+140% YoY), and acetone spreads expected near cycle averages for 2026.AdvanSix Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.55B | 1.52B | 1.52B | 1.53B | 1.95B | 1.68B |
| Gross Profit | 115.27M | 173.64M | 152.94M | 165.09M | 314.48M | 274.12M |
| EBITDA | 95.71M | 142.65M | 133.06M | 149.72M | 297.93M | 255.48M |
| Net Income | 10.40M | 49.29M | 44.15M | 54.62M | 171.89M | 139.79M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.71B | 1.71B | 1.59B | 1.50B | 1.50B | 1.31B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 17.57M | 19.77M | 19.56M | 29.77M | 30.98M | 15.10M |
| Total Debt | 426.36M | 382.69M | 348.89M | 266.01M | 230.04M | 271.71M |
| Total Liabilities | 914.46M | 890.93M | 820.27M | 756.78M | 757.15M | 710.81M |
| Stockholders Equity | 796.29M | 815.22M | 774.65M | 739.24M | 738.18M | 601.19M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -22.23M | 6.42M | 1.69M | 10.17M | 184.15M | 162.04M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 96.09M | 122.86M | 135.41M | 117.55M | 273.60M | 218.85M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -121.98M | -122.61M | -142.90M | -110.90M | -189.27M | -67.56M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 35.13M | -47.00K | -2.71M | -7.87M | -68.44M | -146.79M |
AdvanSix Technical Analysis
Neutral
21.57
Price Trends
21.79
Negative
21.60
Negative
19.50
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.42
Negative
45.80
Neutral
43.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASIX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 21.57 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.44, below the 50-day MA of 21.79, and above the 200-day MA of 19.50, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ASIX.
AdvanSix Risk Analysis
AdvanSix disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. AdvanSix reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
AdvanSix Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
66 Neutral | $774.78M | 17.23 | 8.91% | ― | 21.54% | ― | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
51 Neutral | $538.10M | 52.21 | 1.28% | 3.81% | -0.63% | -87.72% | |
49 Neutral | $475.44M | -1.04 | -153.52% | ― | -10.59% | -571.99% | |
49 Neutral | $647.77M | -2.44 | -117.16% | ― | 511.23% | -240.64% | |
48 Neutral | $974.69M | -2.11 | -31.25% | 8.27% | -4.02% | -206.93% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
ASIX
AdvanSix
20.28
-2.21
-9.82%
LXU
Lsb Industries
10.91
2.39
28.05%
TROX
TRONOX
6.14
0.69
12.74%
RYAM
Rayonier Advanced Materials
7.31
2.98
68.82%
ASPI
ASP Isotopes, Inc.
5.01
-2.51
-33.38%
AdvanSix Corporate Events
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
AdvanSix Shareholders Back Board, Auditor and Pay Plans
Positive
Jun 23, 2026
AdvanSix Inc., a chemical and materials producer, reported that its stockholders held the company’s Annual Meeting on June 22, 2026, where they elected nine directors, including CEO Erin N. Kane, to serve terms ending at the 2027 Annual Meet...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDividendsFinancial Disclosures
AdvanSix Posts Q1 Loss But Raises Dividend, Plans Expansion
Negative
May 8, 2026
On May 8, 2026, AdvanSix reported first-quarter 2026 sales of $404 million, up 7% year over year, driven by higher Chemical Intermediates volumes and improved Plant Nutrients pricing, but posted a net loss of $15.5 million, or a diluted loss per s...
Executive/Board Changes
AdvanSix Names Patrick Day as New Chief Financial Officer
Positive
Apr 13, 2026
On April 13, 2026, AdvanSix announced that its board appointed Patrick C. Day as senior vice president and chief financial officer, effective April 27, 2026, succeeding interim CFO Christopher Gramm, who will return to his role as vice president o...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.