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AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX)
NYSE:ASIX

AdvanSix (ASIX) AI Stock Analysis

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ASIX

AdvanSix

(NYSE:ASIX)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$26.00
▲(12.95% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/14/26
The score is driven mainly by middling financial performance—flat revenue, compressed margins, and volatile/low free-cash-flow conversion—partly offset by a moderate balance sheet. Technicals are supportive with a clear uptrend and healthy (not stretched) momentum. Valuation is attractive (low P/E plus dividend), while the latest earnings call points to improving cash generation and cost savings but with meaningful near-term operational and cost headwinds.
Positive Factors
Diversified integrated manufacturing
AdvanSix’s vertically integrated model produces Nylon 6, chemical intermediates and ammonium sulfate, allowing multiple co‑product streams to be monetized across different end markets. This structural diversification smooths revenue cycles, supports margin resilience when one commodity softens, and enhances long‑term cash generation potential.
Negative Factors
Prolonged Nylon demand trough
Extended weakness in Nylon end markets is a structural headwind for the company’s largest segment: depressed resin and caprolactam demand compresses pricing and utilization. Prolonged low volumes force strategic production moderation, reducing operating leverage and making multi‑quarter margin recovery dependent on a cyclical rebound rather than company actions alone.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified integrated manufacturing
AdvanSix’s vertically integrated model produces Nylon 6, chemical intermediates and ammonium sulfate, allowing multiple co‑product streams to be monetized across different end markets. This structural diversification smooths revenue cycles, supports margin resilience when one commodity softens, and enhances long‑term cash generation potential.
Read all positive factors

AdvanSix (ASIX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AdvanSix Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
AdvanSix Inc. manufactures and sells polymer resins in the United States and internationally. It offers Nylon 6, a polymer resin, which is a synthetic material used to produce fibers, filaments, engineered plastics and films. The company also prov...
How the Company Makes Money
AdvanSix makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling chemical products across three main product lines: (1) Nylon 6: the company sells Nylon 6 resin (a polymer used by customers to make engineered plastics, fibers, films, and packaging) as ...

AdvanSix Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where AdvanSix is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsAdvanSix's revenue in the United States shows volatility with a recent uptick, while international revenue remains subdued. The earnings call highlights challenges such as demand softness in nylon solutions and chemical intermediates, impacting overall performance. Despite these hurdles, the company is focusing on cash management and strategic growth initiatives, including successful plant turnarounds and record ammonium sulfate revenue. However, operational disruptions and increased raw material costs pose ongoing risks, which may affect future revenue stability, especially in international markets.
Data provided by:The Fly

AdvanSix Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 20, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a constructive operational and financial picture with record production, improved full-year adjusted EBITDA ($157M) and disciplined capital allocation. Strong plant nutrients performance and a sizeable productivity program ($30M target) are notable positives. However, meaningful near-term headwinds remain: Nylon demand stays in a trough, acetone pricing has normalized lower, elevated sulfur and natural gas costs (sulfur near $500/ton) are pressuring margins, and Q1 2026 results will be negatively impacted by storm-related disruptions (~$8–10M) and planned turnarounds ($20–25M pretax). Pending tax-credit receipts and turnaround timing introduce some cash-timing uncertainty. On balance, highlights (profitability gains, record production, cost-savings program, healthy balance sheet) modestly outweigh the lowlights, but the mid-short-term outlook is mixed and dependent on commodity cost trends and market recoveries.
Positive Updates
Full-Year Adjusted EBITDA and Margin Expansion
Delivered full-year adjusted EBITDA of $157,000,000 and expanded adjusted EBITDA margin by 90 basis points to 10.3% versus prior year.
Negative Updates
Continued Nylon Market Trough
Nylon Solutions remain in an extended trough with muted demand across construction, automotive, packaging and industrial end markets; company moderated caprolactam and resin production and domestic pricing is plateaued.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Full-Year Adjusted EBITDA and Margin Expansion
Delivered full-year adjusted EBITDA of $157,000,000 and expanded adjusted EBITDA margin by 90 basis points to 10.3% versus prior year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided to 2026 capital spending of $75–$95 million (versus $116 million in 2025 and a similar range expected for 2027), expects the pretax income impact of planned turnarounds to be $20–$25 million (with the majority of spend in Q2), and flagged a winter-storm Q1 earnings headwind of roughly $8–$10 million that management intends to fully offset over the year; other targets include driving approximately $30 million of annual run-rate non‑manpower cost savings from a productivity program, a cash tax rate below 10%, meaningful improvement in free cash flow (with typical first‑half cash use and second‑half cash generation), and maintaining conservative leverage (exiting 2025 at ~1.2x net debt/adjusted EBITDA); management also expects to recognize roughly $18 million of Section 45Q carbon credits in 2026 upon DOE approval (part of an estimated $100–$120 million of credits over the next several years).

AdvanSix Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating profile is stable but muted: TTM revenue is flat (~$1.52B) and profitability is compressed versus 2021–2022 (TTM ~10% gross margin and ~3.5% net margin, with ~9% EBITDA margin). Balance sheet leverage is moderate (debt-to-equity ~0.50) but has risen from prior lows. Cash flow is the key concern—operating cash flow is solid (~$123M) but free cash flow is modest (~$34M) and has been uneven.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.52B1.52B1.53B1.95B1.68B
Gross Profit173.64M152.94M165.09M314.48M274.12M
EBITDA142.65M133.06M149.72M297.93M255.48M
Net Income49.29M44.15M54.62M171.89M139.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.71B1.59B1.50B1.50B1.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.77M19.56M29.77M30.98M15.10M
Total Debt382.69M348.89M266.01M230.04M271.71M
Total Liabilities890.93M820.27M756.78M757.15M710.81M
Stockholders Equity815.22M774.65M739.24M738.18M601.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.42M1.69M10.17M184.15M162.04M
Operating Cash Flow122.86M135.41M117.55M273.60M218.85M
Investing Cash Flow-122.61M-142.90M-110.90M-189.27M-67.56M
Financing Cash Flow-47.00K-2.71M-7.87M-68.44M-146.79M

AdvanSix Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price23.02
Price Trends
50DMA
20.44
Positive
100DMA
18.39
Positive
200DMA
19.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.09
Positive
RSI
55.28
Neutral
STOCH
23.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASIX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 23.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.33, above the 50-day MA of 20.44, and above the 200-day MA of 19.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ASIX.

AdvanSix Risk Analysis

AdvanSix disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. AdvanSix reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

AdvanSix Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$1.02B25.004.90%12.49%95.48%
65
Neutral
$618.61M9.446.06%3.81%-5.05%35.01%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
53
Neutral
$1.48B-1.41-29.85%8.27%-7.81%-334.15%
52
Neutral
$675.96M-0.94-99.69%-9.75%-386.63%
49
Neutral
$677.36M-2.54-222.58%147.78%-137.42%
40
Underperform
$11.83M-3,758.94-97.45%-28.47%16.83%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ASIX
AdvanSix
23.02
3.76
19.53%
LXU
Lsb Industries
14.15
9.08
179.09%
TROX
TRONOX
9.28
4.41
90.52%
RYAM
Rayonier Advanced Materials
10.03
5.59
125.90%
ORGN
Origin Materials
2.18
-15.64
-87.77%
ASPI
ASP Isotopes, Inc.
5.38
-0.31
-5.45%

AdvanSix Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
AdvanSix Names Patrick Day as New Chief Financial Officer
Positive
Apr 13, 2026
On April 13, 2026, AdvanSix announced that its board appointed Patrick C. Day as senior vice president and chief financial officer, effective April 27, 2026, succeeding interim CFO Christopher Gramm, who will return to his role as vice president o...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
AdvanSix Reports 2025 Results and Maintains Dividend Payout
Positive
Feb 20, 2026
On February 20, 2026, AdvanSix reported fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results showing modest top-line growth and margin improvement despite challenging market conditions. Full-year 2025 sales were $1.52 billion, essentially flat year on year, ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 14, 2026