AdvanSix (ASIX)
NYSE:ASIX
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AdvanSix
(NYSE:ASIX)
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Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$24.50
▲(4.52% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/20/26
The score is driven primarily by middling financial performance (flat revenue, compressed margins, and modest/volatile free cash flow) balanced by a constructive but mixed earnings outlook (cost-savings and cash-improvement plans offset by near-term storm/turnaround and commodity-cost headwinds). Valuation is a notable positive (low P/E and solid yield), while technicals are moderately supportive near-term but still below the long-term trend.
Positive Factors
Plant nutrients demand
Stronger plant nutrients volumes and pricing represent a durable demand stream tied to agriculture, less correlated with cyclical industrial end markets. This diversification supports steadier revenue, improves utilization of integrated co‑product streams, and bolsters cash generation across business cycles.
Negative Factors
Extended Nylon demand trough
AdvanSix is exposed to a prolonged downturn in nylon end markets which reduces resin and caprolactam volumes and pricing. Structural weakness in automotive and construction demand can depress utilization, compress spreads, and keep revenue and margins subdued for multiple quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Plant nutrients demand
Stronger plant nutrients volumes and pricing represent a durable demand stream tied to agriculture, less correlated with cyclical industrial end markets. This diversification supports steadier revenue, improves utilization of integrated co‑product streams, and bolsters cash generation across business cycles.
Read all positive factors
AdvanSix (ASIX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$629.90M
Dividend Yield3.81%
Average Volume (3M)534.18K
Price to Earnings (P/E)9.4
Beta (1Y)1.08
Revenue Growth-5.05%
EPS Growth35.01%
CountryUS
Employees1,450
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryChemicals
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.03
Shares Outstanding26,872,911
10 Day Avg. Volume740,737
30 Day Avg. Volume534,181
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.87
Price to Book (P/B)0.57
Price to Sales (P/S)0.31
P/FCF Ratio72.51
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.58
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.65
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit6.02
Enterprise Value/Ebitda6.87
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$20.00Price Target Upside-14.68% Downside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)2.03
Revenue Forecast (FY)$1.58B
AdvanSix Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
AdvanSix Inc. manufactures and sells polymer resins in the United States and internationally. It offers Nylon 6, a polymer resin, which is a synthetic material used to produce fibers, filaments, engineered plastics and films. The company also prov...
How the Company Makes Money
AdvanSix makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling chemical products across three main product lines: (1) Nylon 6: the company sells Nylon 6 resin (a polymer used by customers to make engineered plastics, fibers, films, and packaging) as ...
AdvanSix Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where AdvanSix is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where AdvanSix is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyAdvanSix Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 20, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a constructive operational and financial picture with record production, improved full-year adjusted EBITDA ($157M) and disciplined capital allocation. Strong plant nutrients performance and a sizeable productivity program ($30M target) are notable positives. However, meaningful near-term headwinds remain: Nylon demand stays in a trough, acetone pricing has normalized lower, elevated sulfur and natural gas costs (sulfur near $500/ton) are pressuring margins, and Q1 2026 results will be negatively impacted by storm-related disruptions (~$8–10M) and planned turnarounds ($20–25M pretax). Pending tax-credit receipts and turnaround timing introduce some cash-timing uncertainty. On balance, highlights (profitability gains, record production, cost-savings program, healthy balance sheet) modestly outweigh the lowlights, but the mid-short-term outlook is mixed and dependent on commodity cost trends and market recoveries.Positive Updates
Full-Year Adjusted EBITDA and Margin Expansion
Delivered full-year adjusted EBITDA of $157,000,000 and expanded adjusted EBITDA margin by 90 basis points to 10.3% versus prior year.
Negative Updates
Continued Nylon Market Trough
Nylon Solutions remain in an extended trough with muted demand across construction, automotive, packaging and industrial end markets; company moderated caprolactam and resin production and domestic pricing is plateaued.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Full-Year Adjusted EBITDA and Margin Expansion
Delivered full-year adjusted EBITDA of $157,000,000 and expanded adjusted EBITDA margin by 90 basis points to 10.3% versus prior year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided to 2026 capital spending of $75–$95 million (versus $116 million in 2025 and a similar range expected for 2027), expects the pretax income impact of planned turnarounds to be $20–$25 million (with the majority of spend in Q2), and flagged a winter-storm Q1 earnings headwind of roughly $8–$10 million that management intends to fully offset over the year; other targets include driving approximately $30 million of annual run-rate non‑manpower cost savings from a productivity program, a cash tax rate below 10%, meaningful improvement in free cash flow (with typical first‑half cash use and second‑half cash generation), and maintaining conservative leverage (exiting 2025 at ~1.2x net debt/adjusted EBITDA); management also expects to recognize roughly $18 million of Section 45Q carbon credits in 2026 upon DOE approval (part of an estimated $100–$120 million of credits over the next several years).AdvanSix Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 1.52B | 1.52B | 1.53B | 1.95B | 1.68B |
| Gross Profit | 173.64M | 152.94M | 165.09M | 314.48M | 274.12M |
| EBITDA | 142.65M | 133.06M | 149.72M | 297.93M | 255.48M |
| Net Income | 49.29M | 44.15M | 54.62M | 171.89M | 139.79M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 1.71B | 1.59B | 1.50B | 1.50B | 1.31B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 19.77M | 19.56M | 29.77M | 30.98M | 15.10M |
| Total Debt | 382.69M | 348.89M | 266.01M | 230.04M | 271.71M |
| Total Liabilities | 890.93M | 820.27M | 756.78M | 757.15M | 710.81M |
| Stockholders Equity | 815.22M | 774.65M | 739.24M | 738.18M | 601.19M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 6.42M | 1.69M | 10.17M | 184.15M | 162.04M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 122.86M | 135.41M | 117.55M | 273.60M | 218.85M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -122.61M | -142.90M | -110.90M | -189.27M | -67.56M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -47.00K | -2.71M | -7.87M | -68.44M | -146.79M |
AdvanSix Technical Analysis
Positive
23.44
Price Trends
18.50
Positive
17.41
Positive
19.07
Positive
Market Momentum
1.11
Negative
71.54
Negative
94.85
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASIX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 23.44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.00, above the 50-day MA of 18.50, and above the 200-day MA of 19.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.54 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.85 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ASIX.
AdvanSix Risk Analysis
AdvanSix disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. AdvanSix reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
AdvanSix Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
67 Neutral | $1.14B | 25.00 | -0.13% | ― | 12.49% | 95.48% | |
64 Neutral | $629.90M | 9.44 | 6.06% | 3.81% | -5.05% | 35.01% | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
53 Neutral | $1.42B | -1.41 | -29.85% | 8.27% | -7.81% | -334.15% | |
52 Neutral | $751.80M | -0.94 | -99.73% | ― | -9.75% | -386.63% | |
49 Neutral | $630.55M | -16.54 | -187.23% | ― | 147.78% | -137.42% | |
40 Underperform | $17.13M | -1.18 | -21.95% | ― | -28.47% | 16.83% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
ASIX
AdvanSix
23.44
1.39
6.31%
LXU
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15.81
8.98
131.48%
TROX
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33.56%
RYAM
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11.22
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96.84%
ORGN
Origin Materials
3.31
-18.91
-85.10%
ASPI
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5.04
0.85
20.29%
AdvanSix Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
AdvanSix Reports 2025 Results and Maintains Dividend Payout
Positive
Feb 20, 2026
On February 20, 2026, AdvanSix reported fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results showing modest top-line growth and margin improvement despite challenging market conditions. Full-year 2025 sales were $1.52 billion, essentially flat year on year, ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.