tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
AdvanSix (ASIX)
:ASIX
Advertisement

AdvanSix (ASIX) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
343 Followers

Top Page

ASIX

AdvanSix

(NYSE:ASIX)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$15.50
▼(-20.63% Downside)
AdvanSix's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges and bearish technical indicators, which are partially offset by attractive valuation metrics. The mixed sentiment from the earnings call further impacts the score, highlighting both strategic achievements and operational challenges. Investors should be cautious but may find value given the low P/E ratio and high dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation indicates the company's ability to efficiently convert income into cash, supporting long-term financial stability and investment capacity.
Strategic Investments
Strategic investments below budget enhance operational efficiency and future growth potential, strengthening the company's competitive position.
Board of Directors Strength
The addition of experienced board members enhances corporate governance and strategic oversight, supporting long-term business resilience and decision-making.
Negative Factors
Demand Softness
Continued demand softness in key segments can hinder revenue growth and operational efficiency, posing challenges to maintaining market position.
Operational Disruptions
Operational disruptions can lead to production inefficiencies and increased costs, affecting profitability and reliability of supply to customers.
Increased Raw Material Costs
Rising raw material costs can compress margins and reduce profitability, challenging the company's ability to maintain competitive pricing and financial health.

AdvanSix (ASIX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AdvanSix Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAdvanSix (ASIX) is a leading U.S.-based manufacturer of nylon and chemical products, primarily serving the industrial and consumer markets. The company operates in the chemicals sector, specializing in the production of caprolactam, nylon 6 resins, and ammonium sulfate. AdvanSix leverages its advanced manufacturing capabilities to produce high-quality materials that are essential in applications such as textiles, automotive, and consumer goods.
How the Company Makes MoneyAdvanSix generates revenue primarily through the sale of its nylon and chemical products. Key revenue streams include the production and sale of caprolactam, which is a precursor for nylon production, and nylon resins utilized in a variety of applications. Additionally, the company earns revenue from ammonium sulfate, a byproduct of its manufacturing processes, which is sold as a fertilizer. AdvanSix benefits from strategic partnerships with various customers across different industries, enabling it to secure long-term contracts that provide stable income. Fluctuations in raw material prices and global demand for nylon and related products also significantly impact its earnings.

AdvanSix Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

AdvanSix Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 07, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While there were notable achievements in ammonium sulfate revenue, successful plant turnarounds, and strategic investments, there were also significant challenges such as demand softness in key segments, operational disruptions, and increased raw material costs. The company is focused on navigating these challenges through disciplined cash management and strategic growth initiatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Ammonium Sulfate Revenue
Third quarter revenue for ammonium sulfate was the highest ever, with granular volume up 20% year-over-year, driven by strong fall fill program and favorable market conditions.
Successful Plant Turnaround
The fourth quarter planned plant turnaround was completed successfully at the low end of the target range, enhancing operational efficiency.
Strong Board of Directors Additions
Dana O'Brien and Daryl Roberts joined the Board of Directors, bringing deep industry and professional backgrounds to strengthen corporate governance.
Sustained Growth Program Progress
The program is favorably tracking roughly 15% below its capital budget, with continued progress on strategic investments for growth.
ERP System Upgrade
The planned investment to upgrade the enterprise resource planning system was successfully implemented, streamlining key processes and enhancing management tools.
Negative Updates
Nylon Solutions and Chemical Intermediates Demand Softness
Protracted downturn in nylon solutions and demand softness in chemical intermediates resulted in moderated production rates and a focus on managing inventory levels.
Electrical Outage and Fire Impact
An electrical outage at the Chesterfield nylon plant and a subsequent fire impacted operations, with an expected negative impact on 4Q EBITDA by $7 million to $9 million.
Sales and Earnings Decline
Third-quarter sales decreased approximately 6% year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA down $28 million from last year, primarily due to reduced acetone price spreads and higher utility costs.
Increased Raw Material Costs
Higher raw material input costs, particularly in sulfur and natural gas, are expected to continue impacting financial performance.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, AdvanSix faced challenging industry dynamics but maintained a strategic focus on optimizing operational and commercial performance. Utilization across their integrated value chain decreased by approximately 4 percentage points sequentially, while a site incident at their Chesterfield nylon plant is expected to impact fourth-quarter EBITDA by $7 million to $9 million due to unabsorbed fixed costs. Despite the downturn in nylon solutions and demand softness in chemical intermediates, the company reported third-quarter sales of $374 million, a 6% decline from the previous year, and adjusted EBITDA of $25 million, down $28 million year-over-year with a margin of 6.6%. AdvanSix continues to prioritize cash management and plans to reduce 2025 capital expenditures to $120 million to $125 million. The company anticipates capital expenditures of $125 million to $135 million in 2026 and expects a cash tax rate below 10% over the next few years, supported by 45Q carbon tax credits and recent tax legislation.

AdvanSix Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AdvanSix is experiencing financial difficulties, with declining revenue and profitability impacting its income statement. The balance sheet is stable but shows increased leverage, and cash flow analysis indicates potential liquidity issues. The company needs to address operational inefficiencies and improve cash generation to enhance its financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
AdvanSix's income statement shows a concerning trend with declining revenue and profitability. The TTM data reveals a negative revenue growth rate of -1.57%, and the gross profit margin has significantly decreased from previous years. The net profit margin is slightly positive at 3.52%, but the EBIT margin is negative, indicating operational challenges. The EBITDA margin remains positive, suggesting some operational efficiency, but overall, the income statement reflects a challenging financial environment.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates moderate financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.50, which is manageable and shows a slight increase from previous years. Return on equity (ROE) has decreased to 6.53% in the TTM period, reflecting reduced profitability. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced capital structure. Overall, the balance sheet is relatively stable but shows signs of increased leverage.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth, with a significant drop of -64.2% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.37, indicating that operating cash flows are covering net income adequately. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.22, suggesting limited cash available after capital expenditures. The cash flow statement highlights potential liquidity challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.49B1.52B1.53B1.95B1.68B1.16B
Gross Profit148.87M152.94M165.09M314.48M274.12M133.75M
EBITDA132.26M133.06M149.72M297.93M255.48M123.66M
Net Income52.43M44.15M54.62M171.89M139.79M46.08M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.69B1.59B1.50B1.50B1.31B1.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments23.70M19.56M29.77M30.98M15.10M10.61M
Total Debt406.62M348.89M266.01M230.04M271.71M389.88M
Total Liabilities870.12M820.27M756.78M757.15M710.81M819.28M
Stockholders Equity818.23M774.65M739.24M738.18M601.19M444.12M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow108.00K1.69M10.17M184.15M162.04M28.93M
Operating Cash Flow123.31M135.41M117.55M273.60M218.85M111.85M
Investing Cash Flow-132.48M-142.90M-110.90M-189.27M-67.56M-84.10M
Financing Cash Flow15.57M-2.71M-7.87M-68.44M-146.79M-24.19M

AdvanSix Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price19.53
Price Trends
50DMA
18.22
Negative
100DMA
19.38
Negative
200DMA
21.32
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.14
Negative
RSI
35.28
Neutral
STOCH
36.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASIX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 19.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.11, above the 50-day MA of 18.22, and below the 200-day MA of 21.32, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 35.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ASIX.

AdvanSix Risk Analysis

AdvanSix disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. AdvanSix reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

AdvanSix Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
60
Neutral
$587.07M-769.81-0.13%12.49%95.48%
53
Neutral
$405.38M7.856.62%4.24%-5.05%35.01%
47
Neutral
$70.28M-21.13%-28.47%16.83%
46
Neutral
$629.45M-18.65%8.82%-7.81%-334.15%
45
Neutral
$436.88M-78.11%-9.75%-386.63%
43
Neutral
$656.17M-187.23%147.78%-137.42%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ASIX
AdvanSix
15.09
-16.33
-51.97%
LXU
Lsb Industries
8.85
0.02
0.23%
TROX
TRONOX
3.97
-7.31
-64.80%
RYAM
Rayonier Advanced Materials
6.52
-2.29
-25.99%
ORGN
Origin Materials
0.46
-0.78
-62.90%
ASPI
ASP Isotopes, Inc.
5.92
0.37
6.67%

AdvanSix Corporate Events

AdvanSix Reports Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results
Nov 8, 2025

AdvanSix is a diversified chemistry company that produces essential materials for a variety of end markets, including building and construction, fertilizers, agrochemicals, and electronics. The company operates five U.S.-based manufacturing facilities and is known for its integrated value chain and commitment to innovation.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
AdvanSix Declares Cash Dividend Amid Sales Decline
Neutral
Nov 7, 2025

On November 7, 2025, AdvanSix announced a cash dividend of $0.16 per share, payable on December 2, 2025. The company reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, showing a 6% decrease in sales to $374 million compared to the previous year. Despite challenging market conditions, particularly in Nylon Solutions and Chemical Intermediates, AdvanSix focused on optimizing operational performance and managing inventory levels. The company anticipates continued strength in Plant Nutrients and is strategically moderating production rates to enhance free cash flow, while also preparing for future financial benefits from tax credits.

The most recent analyst rating on (ASIX) stock is a Hold with a $21.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AdvanSix stock, see the ASIX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
AdvanSix Amends Credit Agreement for Financial Flexibility
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

On October 23, 2025, AdvanSix Inc. amended its existing credit agreement initially dated October 27, 2021. The amendment extends the maturity date of $452 million in revolving credit commitments to October 27, 2027, while $48 million will mature by October 27, 2026. This strategic financial adjustment aims to enhance AdvanSix’s financial flexibility and stability, potentially impacting its operational capabilities and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (ASIX) stock is a Hold with a $21.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AdvanSix stock, see the ASIX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
AdvanSix Expands Board with Two New Directors
Positive
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, AdvanSix appointed Dana O’Brien and Daryl Roberts as independent directors to its Board, expanding it to nine members, with eight being independent. O’Brien, with a background in legal leadership across various industries, will serve on the Nominating and Governance Committee and the Compensation and Leadership Development Committee, while Roberts, with extensive experience in global manufacturing, will join the Health, Safety and Environmental Committee and the Compensation and Leadership Development Committee. These appointments are expected to enhance AdvanSix’s corporate governance and strategic oversight, supporting the company’s growth and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (ASIX) stock is a Hold with a $21.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AdvanSix stock, see the ASIX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025