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Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM)
NYSE:RYAM

Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM) AI Stock Analysis

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RYAM

Rayonier Advanced Materials

(NYSE:RYAM)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$7.00
▼(-2.64% Downside)
The score is primarily held back by weak financial performance (declining revenue, very negative net margins, and negative free cash flow). Technicals are supportive with the stock above major moving averages, but overbought RSI and a slightly negative MACD temper the signal. Valuation is difficult to justify on earnings due to a negative P/E, while the latest earnings call was mixed—guidance was cut, but cost actions and strategic projects provide some offsetting upside potential.
Positive Factors
High-margin Cellulose Specialties
The Cellulose Specialties segment delivering ~32% EBITDA margins indicates a structurally advantaged, higher-value product line. Durable margin recovery supports cash generation, funds reinvestment, and provides downside protection versus commoditized pulp segments over the next 2–6 months.
Biomaterials growth pipeline
Large-scale biomaterial projects diversify revenue into higher-ROI businesses and materially expand long-term EBITDA potential. A projected >$50M EBITDA contribution from AGE materially improves structural earnings power and supports management’s >$300M EBITDA target by 2027.
Cost reductions improving structural margins
A defined $30M cost program plus capital projects offering incremental EBITDA create sustainable margin upside. Coupled with already-positive operating cash flow coverage, these structural actions reduce burn, increase free-cash-flow probability, and improve resilience across cycles.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue and deep negative margins
Persistently declining revenue and a deeply negative net margin indicate fundamental demand or pricing issues and poor cost absorption. This undermines reinvestment capacity and makes multi-quarter recovery dependent on sustained volume/pricing improvements or structural costs cutting.
Negative free cash flow and working capital strain
Material negative adjusted FCF (-$83M YTD) constrains the firm’s ability to self-fund capex and biomaterial rollouts, increases reliance on external financing, and raises execution risk for multi-quarter projects unless cash conversion meaningfully improves.
Executive transition introduces execution risk
A CEO turnover during an active strategic pivot (biomaterials, cost programs, Temiscaming recovery) creates execution and continuity risk. New leadership may change priorities or timelines, which can delay structural initiatives critical to restoring profitability over the next several quarters.

Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rayonier Advanced Materials Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRayonier Advanced Materials Inc. manufactures and sells cellulose specialty products in the United States, China, Canada, Japan, Europe, Latin America, other Asian countries, and internationally. The company operates through High Purity Cellulose, Paperboard, and High-Yield Pulp segments. Its products include cellulose specialties, which are natural polymers that are used as raw materials to manufacture a range of consumer-oriented products, such as liquid crystal displays, impact-resistant plastics, thickeners for food products, pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, cigarette filters, high-tenacity rayon yarn for tires and industrial hoses, food casings, paints, and lacquers. The company also offers commodity products, such as commodity viscose pulp used in woven applications, including rayon textiles for clothing and other fabrics, as well as in non-woven applications comprising baby wipes, cosmetic and personal wipes, industrial wipes, and mattress ticking; and absorbent materials consisting of fluff fibers that are used as an absorbent medium in disposable baby diapers, feminine hygiene products, incontinence pads, convalescent bed pads, industrial towels and wipes, and non-woven fabrics. In addition, it provides paperboards for packaging, printing documents, brochures, promotional materials, paperback books or catalog covers, file folders, tags, and tickets; and high-yield pulps to produce paperboard and packaging products, printing and writing papers, and various other paper products. The company was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyRayonier Advanced Materials generates revenue through the sale of its cellulose specialties and high-purity cellulose products. The company operates on a business model that focuses on both volume sales and pricing strategies tailored to the demands of various industries. Key revenue streams include contracts with major customers in the textile and chemical industries, where consistent product quality and supply reliability are critical. Additionally, RYAM benefits from strategic partnerships with manufacturers and distributors that enhance its market reach. Factors contributing to its earnings include fluctuations in demand for cellulose-based products, innovations in product applications, and the company’s ability to manage production costs effectively.

Rayonier Advanced Materials Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed sentiment with significant progress in strategic initiatives, cost reduction efforts, and operational stability, but faced challenges in market conditions leading to revised guidance and negative cash flow.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Cellulose Specialties Performance
Cellulose Specialties business performed near expectations and returned to normalized EBITDA margins in Q3, with adjusted EBITDA of $66 million and margins increasing to 32% from 28%.
Biomaterial Projects Progress
Progress on biomaterial projects includes the Altamaha Green Energy project and the BioNova Fernandina Beach project, expected to generate significant returns with high ROI on equity.
Cost Reduction Initiatives
Successfully implemented $30 million cost reduction program for 2026, with additional $20 million of EBITDA benefit expected for 2027 from strategic capital projects.
Positive Operational Developments
Operational challenges at Tartas are stabilizing, with key technical roles filled, and Jesup and Fernandina performing to expectations.
Trade Developments Favorable
No tariffs on Cellulose Specialties and dissolving wood pulp products into China, U.S., and EU. The U.S. ITC's determination on antidumping cases is a significant step toward fair trade conditions.
Negative Updates
Lowered EBITDA Guidance
Full year adjusted EBITDA guidance was lowered to $135 million to $140 million from the prior $150 million to $160 million range due to market weakness and proactive downtime.
Paperboard and High-Yield Pulp Challenges
Operational challenges led to an EBITDA loss of about $14 million in Temiscaming. Lower paperboard prices and volumes, increased competition, and economic shutdowns adversely affected performance.
Fluff Business Headwinds
Increased competition in non-China markets due to China’s 10% tariffs on U.S. fluff exports, impacting market dynamics.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Year-to-date adjusted free cash flow was negative $83 million, driven by working capital timing expected to improve in Q4.
Revenue Decline
Quarterly revenue was $353 million, down $48 million year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA decreasing by $9 million compared to Q3 2024.
Company Guidance
During the RYAM Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics and guidance updates were provided. The full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance was revised to $135 million to $140 million, down from the previous $150 million to $160 million range, due to strategic downtime of noncore paperboard and high-yield pulp production, offset by FX tailwinds. The company is targeting to increase its EBITDA to over $300 million by the end of 2027. The Cellulose Specialties segment achieved normalized EBITDA margins in Q3, and the company plans a significant pricing reset in 2026 to recapture lost inflation value, with a target of a 1% higher rate of increase on pricing than inflation. Additionally, ongoing efforts at the Temiscaming site aim to restore profitability, including a $10 million cost reduction initiative, paperboard line improvements, and new product development, with a potential EBITDA turnaround of $14 million. The biomaterial projects, notably the Altamaha Green Energy project, are expected to contribute significant EBITDA, with RYAM's share from the AGE project alone projected to exceed $50 million annually.

Rayonier Advanced Materials Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rayonier Advanced Materials is experiencing financial difficulties, with declining revenues and significant net losses. While there is some operational cash flow strength, the overall financial health is concerning due to negative profitability and high leverage.
Income Statement
Rayonier Advanced Materials shows declining revenue with a negative growth rate of -3.17% TTM. The gross profit margin is low at 8.06%, and the net profit margin is significantly negative at -28.22%, indicating substantial losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also weak, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
The company has a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.79 TTM, showing some leverage but not excessively high. However, the return on equity is negative at -60.48%, indicating poor profitability. The equity ratio is not provided, but the overall balance sheet suggests financial instability.
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow is positive, with a coverage ratio of 1.56 TTM, indicating some ability to cover net income losses. However, free cash flow is negative, though it has shown significant growth. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some cash flow resilience despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.47B1.63B1.64B1.72B1.41B1.34B
Gross Profit118.64M165.58M88.15M123.08M74.72M63.43M
EBITDA151.13M173.69M81.32M176.94M121.82M102.72M
Net Income-415.39M-39.00M-101.83M-14.92M66.41M555.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.80B2.13B2.18B2.35B2.45B2.53B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments77.03M125.22M75.77M151.80M291.82M93.65M
Total Debt822.24M729.82M777.46M853.13M928.71M1.08B
Total Liabilities1.44B1.41B1.44B1.52B1.63B1.83B
Stockholders Equity338.21M713.88M746.45M829.31M814.34M695.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-80.38M95.67M8.60M-69.41M140.01M62.60M
Operating Cash Flow46.57M203.61M136.27M68.81M233.22M124.47M
Investing Cash Flow-125.45M-107.94M-127.28M-94.17M85.39M-77.82M
Financing Cash Flow14.94M-42.48M-86.95M-73.11M-156.66M-19.39M

Rayonier Advanced Materials Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.19
Price Trends
50DMA
6.21
Positive
100DMA
6.40
Positive
200DMA
5.35
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.23
Negative
RSI
80.00
Negative
STOCH
91.54
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RYAM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.13, above the 50-day MA of 6.21, and above the 200-day MA of 5.35, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 80.00 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.54 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RYAM.

Rayonier Advanced Materials Risk Analysis

Rayonier Advanced Materials disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rayonier Advanced Materials reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rayonier Advanced Materials Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
58
Neutral
$637.43M-875.47-0.13%12.49%95.48%
58
Neutral
$477.11M9.466.62%3.81%-5.05%35.01%
57
Neutral
$805.45M-18.65%8.27%-7.81%-334.15%
52
Neutral
$492.49M-1.21-78.11%-9.75%-386.63%
51
Neutral
$141.92M-4.13-18.09%7.12%-49.82%-195.74%
40
Underperform
$34.94M-0.45-21.13%-28.47%16.83%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RYAM
Rayonier Advanced Materials
7.50
>-0.01
-0.13%
FF
Futurefuel
3.26
-1.57
-32.51%
LXU
Lsb Industries
9.28
1.84
24.73%
TROX
TRONOX
5.31
-3.14
-37.18%
ASIX
AdvanSix
18.18
-7.47
-29.11%
ORGN
Origin Materials
0.21
-0.94
-81.74%

Rayonier Advanced Materials Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Rayonier Advanced Materials CEO Announces Retirement Plan
Neutral
Dec 10, 2025

On December 10, 2025, Rayonier Advanced Materials announced that its President and CEO, De Lyle W. Bloomquist, will retire by the company’s 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders in May. The Board has initiated a search for his successor, engaging a leading executive search firm, reflecting their commitment to governance and long-term value creation. Bloomquist’s leadership over the past four years has been pivotal in advancing the company’s BioFuture vision and positioning it for sustainable growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAM) stock is a Hold with a $6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rayonier Advanced Materials stock, see the RYAM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 06, 2026