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Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM)
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Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM) AI Stock Analysis

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RYAM

Rayonier Advanced Materials

(NYSE:RYAM)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$6.00
▼(-16.55% Downside)
Rayonier Advanced Materials' overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance and bearish technical indicators. The company's profitability challenges and negative valuation metrics weigh heavily on the score. While there are some positive strategic initiatives and cost reduction efforts, these are not enough to offset the current financial and market challenges.

Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rayonier Advanced Materials Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM) is a leading global supplier of high-performance cellulose specialties and other innovative materials derived from renewable resources. The company operates primarily in the chemical and materials sectors, focusing on the production of products such as cellulose acetate, absorbent materials, and specialty chemicals used in various applications, including personal care, pharmaceuticals, and food. With a commitment to sustainability and innovation, RYAM leverages its advanced technologies and manufacturing capabilities to serve diverse markets around the world.
How the Company Makes MoneyRayonier Advanced Materials generates revenue through the production and sale of cellulose specialties and other wood-based materials. The company's primary revenue streams include the sale of cellulose acetate, which is used in products such as cigarette filters and photographic films, as well as absorbent materials used in hygiene products. RYAM also earns income from specialty chemicals used in pharmaceuticals and food applications. Significant partnerships with major industrial clients and continuous investment in research and development enable the company to enhance product offerings and expand its market reach, contributing to its overall earnings. Additionally, the trend toward renewable and sustainable materials presents ongoing growth opportunities for RYAM as industries increasingly seek eco-friendly alternatives.

Rayonier Advanced Materials Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed sentiment with significant progress in strategic initiatives, cost reduction efforts, and operational stability, but faced challenges in market conditions leading to revised guidance and negative cash flow.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Cellulose Specialties Performance
Cellulose Specialties business performed near expectations and returned to normalized EBITDA margins in Q3, with adjusted EBITDA of $66 million and margins increasing to 32% from 28%.
Biomaterial Projects Progress
Progress on biomaterial projects includes the Altamaha Green Energy project and the BioNova Fernandina Beach project, expected to generate significant returns with high ROI on equity.
Cost Reduction Initiatives
Successfully implemented $30 million cost reduction program for 2026, with additional $20 million of EBITDA benefit expected for 2027 from strategic capital projects.
Positive Operational Developments
Operational challenges at Tartas are stabilizing, with key technical roles filled, and Jesup and Fernandina performing to expectations.
Trade Developments Favorable
No tariffs on Cellulose Specialties and dissolving wood pulp products into China, U.S., and EU. The U.S. ITC's determination on antidumping cases is a significant step toward fair trade conditions.
Negative Updates
Lowered EBITDA Guidance
Full year adjusted EBITDA guidance was lowered to $135 million to $140 million from the prior $150 million to $160 million range due to market weakness and proactive downtime.
Paperboard and High-Yield Pulp Challenges
Operational challenges led to an EBITDA loss of about $14 million in Temiscaming. Lower paperboard prices and volumes, increased competition, and economic shutdowns adversely affected performance.
Fluff Business Headwinds
Increased competition in non-China markets due to China’s 10% tariffs on U.S. fluff exports, impacting market dynamics.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Year-to-date adjusted free cash flow was negative $83 million, driven by working capital timing expected to improve in Q4.
Revenue Decline
Quarterly revenue was $353 million, down $48 million year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA decreasing by $9 million compared to Q3 2024.
Company Guidance
During the RYAM Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics and guidance updates were provided. The full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance was revised to $135 million to $140 million, down from the previous $150 million to $160 million range, due to strategic downtime of noncore paperboard and high-yield pulp production, offset by FX tailwinds. The company is targeting to increase its EBITDA to over $300 million by the end of 2027. The Cellulose Specialties segment achieved normalized EBITDA margins in Q3, and the company plans a significant pricing reset in 2026 to recapture lost inflation value, with a target of a 1% higher rate of increase on pricing than inflation. Additionally, ongoing efforts at the Temiscaming site aim to restore profitability, including a $10 million cost reduction initiative, paperboard line improvements, and new product development, with a potential EBITDA turnaround of $14 million. The biomaterial projects, notably the Altamaha Green Energy project, are expected to contribute significant EBITDA, with RYAM's share from the AGE project alone projected to exceed $50 million annually.

Rayonier Advanced Materials Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rayonier Advanced Materials faces significant profitability challenges with declining revenues and negative net income impacting financial performance. While the balance sheet shows a stable capital structure, the company must address its operational inefficiencies to improve returns. Positive cash flow trends provide some optimism, but sustained profitability improvements are crucial for long-term stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Rayonier Advanced Materials has faced declining revenue over recent periods, with a TTM revenue growth rate of -3.17%. The company struggles with profitability, evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -28.22% and a low gross profit margin of 8.06%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also weak, indicating operational challenges. Despite these issues, there is a slight improvement in gross profit margin compared to historical data.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.79, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is significantly negative at -71.67%, indicating poor returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 55.77%, reflecting a stable capital structure but highlighting the need for improved profitability to enhance shareholder value.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a strong free cash flow growth rate of 109.55% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.56, suggesting efficient cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.20, reflecting reliance on cash flow rather than profitability for financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.47B1.63B1.64B1.72B1.41B1.34B
Gross Profit118.64M165.58M88.15M123.08M74.72M63.43M
EBITDA151.13M173.69M81.32M176.94M121.82M102.72M
Net Income-415.39M-39.00M-101.83M-14.92M66.41M555.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.80B2.13B2.18B2.35B2.45B2.53B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments77.03M125.22M75.77M151.80M291.82M93.65M
Total Debt822.24M729.82M777.46M853.13M928.71M1.08B
Total Liabilities1.44B1.41B1.44B1.52B1.63B1.83B
Stockholders Equity338.21M713.88M746.45M829.31M814.34M695.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-80.38M95.67M8.60M-69.41M140.01M62.60M
Operating Cash Flow46.57M203.61M136.27M68.81M233.22M124.47M
Investing Cash Flow-125.45M-107.94M-127.28M-94.17M85.39M-77.82M
Financing Cash Flow14.94M-42.48M-86.95M-73.11M-156.66M-19.39M

Rayonier Advanced Materials Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.19
Price Trends
50DMA
6.83
Negative
100DMA
5.76
Negative
200DMA
5.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.36
Positive
RSI
28.44
Positive
STOCH
16.33
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RYAM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.39, above the 50-day MA of 6.83, and above the 200-day MA of 5.42, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.36 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.44 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.33 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RYAM.

Rayonier Advanced Materials Risk Analysis

Rayonier Advanced Materials disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rayonier Advanced Materials reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rayonier Advanced Materials Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
60
Neutral
$587.07M-769.81-0.13%12.49%95.48%
54
Neutral
$135.79M-18.09%7.74%-49.82%-195.74%
53
Neutral
$386.04M7.446.62%4.45%-5.05%35.01%
45
Neutral
$374.56M-78.11%-9.75%-386.63%
45
Neutral
$470.90M-18.65%11.78%-7.81%-334.15%
44
Neutral
$69.54M-21.13%-28.47%16.83%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RYAM
Rayonier Advanced Materials
5.59
-3.32
-37.26%
FF
Futurefuel
3.10
-1.76
-36.21%
LXU
Lsb Industries
8.77
-0.04
-0.45%
TROX
TRONOX
2.97
-8.32
-73.69%
ASIX
AdvanSix
14.37
-15.76
-52.31%
ORGN
Origin Materials
0.46
-0.73
-61.34%

Rayonier Advanced Materials Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Rayonier Advanced Materials Announces New Chief Accounting Officer
Neutral
Sep 19, 2025

Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. announced the resignation of Gabriela Garcia, the Chief Accounting Officer and Vice President, Corporate Controller, effective October 10, 2025. Her resignation was not due to any disagreements with the company. Concurrently, Jared Rollins has been appointed to fill her position, bringing extensive experience from his roles in tax reporting and financial planning within the company and previous positions at Deloitte & Touche LLP and Wells Real Estate Funds.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAM) stock is a Hold with a $5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rayonier Advanced Materials stock, see the RYAM Stock Forecast page.

Legal ProceedingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Rayonier Files Trade Petitions Against Brazil and Norway
Negative
Aug 12, 2025

On August 12, 2025, Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc., in collaboration with the United Steel Workers, filed antidumping and countervailing duty petitions with the U.S. Department of Commerce and the U.S. International Trade Commission against Brazil and Norway. The petitions claim that these countries are selling High-Purity Dissolving Pulp in the U.S. at unfair prices, harming the domestic industry. The petitions highlight significant dumping margins and potential subsidies, aiming to protect U.S. producers and workers from unfair trade practices. If the investigations confirm these allegations, duties will be imposed to counteract the unfair practices, with preliminary determinations expected soon.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAM) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rayonier Advanced Materials stock, see the RYAM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Rayonier Advanced Materials Faces Challenges but Maintains Long-Term Optimism
Neutral
Aug 7, 2025

Rayonier Advanced Materials reported a challenging second quarter of 2025, with net sales of $340 million and a loss from continuing operations of $366 million, primarily due to a significant non-cash Canadian deferred tax asset write-off. Despite these setbacks, the company remains optimistic about its long-term strategic plan, expecting to deliver over $300 million in run-rate EBITDA by the end of 2027, and has revised its 2025 Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $150 to $160 million, indicating signs of stabilization and recovery in the latter half of the year.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAM) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rayonier Advanced Materials stock, see the RYAM Stock Forecast page.

Rayonier Advanced Materials Faces Challenges, Eyes Growth
Aug 7, 2025

Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. is a global leader in cellulose-based technologies, producing cellulose specialties, biomaterials, and products for the paper and packaging markets with operations in the U.S., Canada, and France. In its second quarter of 2025, RYAM reported net sales of $340 million but faced a significant loss from continuing operations of $366 million, largely due to a $337 million non-cash Canadian deferred tax asset write-off. The company achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $28 million, with total debt standing at $746 million. Despite these challenges, RYAM remains optimistic about its long-term strategy, aiming to achieve over $300 million in run-rate EBITDA by 2027. The company is focusing on stabilizing its operations and capturing growth opportunities in cellulose specialties and biomaterials. Management is confident in overcoming recent headwinds and is committed to executing its strategic initiatives to enhance shareholder value.

Rayonier Advanced Materials: Earnings Call Highlights and Future Outlook
Aug 7, 2025

Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM) Navigates Challenges with Optimism for Future Growth

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025