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Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM)
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Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM) AI Stock Analysis

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RYAM

Rayonier Advanced Materials

(NYSE:RYAM)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$7.50
▲(4.31% Upside)
Rayonier Advanced Materials faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues and profitability, which heavily impact its overall score. While technical indicators suggest some positive momentum, the company's valuation remains unattractive due to negative earnings. The earnings call provides a mixed outlook, with long-term growth potential but immediate financial pressures. These factors collectively result in a moderate overall stock score.

Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rayonier Advanced Materials Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM) is a leading global supplier of high-performance cellulose specialties and other innovative materials derived from renewable resources. The company operates primarily in the chemical and materials sectors, focusing on the production of products such as cellulose acetate, absorbent materials, and specialty chemicals used in various applications, including personal care, pharmaceuticals, and food. With a commitment to sustainability and innovation, RYAM leverages its advanced technologies and manufacturing capabilities to serve diverse markets around the world.
How the Company Makes MoneyRayonier Advanced Materials generates revenue through the production and sale of cellulose specialties and other wood-based materials. The company's primary revenue streams include the sale of cellulose acetate, which is used in products such as cigarette filters and photographic films, as well as absorbent materials used in hygiene products. RYAM also earns income from specialty chemicals used in pharmaceuticals and food applications. Significant partnerships with major industrial clients and continuous investment in research and development enable the company to enhance product offerings and expand its market reach, contributing to its overall earnings. Additionally, the trend toward renewable and sustainable materials presents ongoing growth opportunities for RYAM as industries increasingly seek eco-friendly alternatives.

Rayonier Advanced Materials Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant future growth potential through strategic investments and operational recoveries. However, it also detailed current financial challenges, including reduced EBITDA guidance and negative free cash flow. While the long-term outlook is promising, near-term financial performance is under pressure.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Future EBITDA Growth
RYAM anticipates nearly doubling EBITDA over the next two years, projecting a normalized core EBITDA run rate of approximately $308 million by the end of 2027.
Operational Recovery and Strategic Investments
Operational disruptions and environmental charges that impacted EBITDA by $18 million and $12 million respectively, have been addressed. Strategic growth investments are expected to expand revenue and margins significantly.
Biomaterials Initiative
RYAM's biomaterials strategy, with projects like the Tartas bioethanol plant, is expected to generate $8-10 million annually with a high return on investment.
Tariff and Trade Improvements
Tariff-related disruptions are largely resolved, with potential tailwinds from current U.S. tariffs on EU and Brazilian imports enhancing competitive positioning.
Liquidity and Financial Position
RYAM maintains strong liquidity with approximately $202 million, including $71 million cash on hand, and is well below covenant thresholds.
Negative Updates
EBITDA Guidance Reduction
2025 EBITDA guidance was lowered from $215-235 million to $150-160 million due to $59 million in headwinds, including $21 million from tariff-related issues.
Revenue Decline and Operational Loss
Q2 2025 revenue was $340 million, down $79 million year-over-year, with an operating loss of $1 million.
Foreign Exchange and Market Challenges
RYAM experienced $8 million in foreign exchange losses and softness in the paperboard and high-yield pulp segments.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Year-to-date adjusted free cash flow was negative $52 million, with a revised full-year guidance of negative $10 million to $25 million.
Company Guidance
During the RYAM Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company revised its full-year 2025 EBITDA guidance to a range of $150 million to $160 million, down from the initial guidance of $215 million to $235 million. This adjustment reflects approximately $59 million in EBITDA headwinds, attributed to nonrecurring challenges such as $21 million from tariff-related uncertainties, $8 million from foreign exchange losses, $18 million from operational disruptions, and $12 million in noncash environmental charges. The company anticipates 2025 to be its trough year, with expectations to nearly double its EBITDA over the next two years, supported by recovery from these issues, cost-saving initiatives, and strategic growth investments. RYAM plans to divest noncore paperboard and high-yield pulp segments, projecting a normalized core EBITDA run-rate of approximately $308 million by 2027, further increasing to about $338 million with the Altamaha Green Energy project in 2028.

Rayonier Advanced Materials Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rayonier Advanced Materials is facing financial challenges with declining revenues, negative profitability, and cash flow constraints. While there is some improvement in leverage, the company needs to address operational inefficiencies and enhance cash generation to improve its financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Rayonier Advanced Materials has faced declining revenue and profitability. The TTM data shows a negative net profit margin of -4.34% and a gross profit margin of 9.56%, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability. Revenue growth has been negative, with a decline of 4.94% in the TTM period. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also low, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.042 in the TTM period, which is an improvement from previous years, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity remains negative at -9.61%, suggesting that the company is not generating sufficient returns on its equity base. The equity ratio is relatively stable, showing a reasonable proportion of equity financing.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates a significant decline in free cash flow growth by 58.60% in the TTM period, highlighting potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.57, suggesting that operating cash flows are not fully covering net income losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.67, indicating some ability to generate cash relative to net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.52B1.63B1.64B1.72B1.41B1.74B
Gross Profit128.21M165.58M88.15M123.00M75.00M138.00M
EBITDA78.66M173.69M81.32M172.33M121.82M92.99M
Net Income-443.82M-38.74M-101.83M-25.00M-48.00M1.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.75B2.13B2.18B2.35B2.44B2.53B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments70.68M125.22M75.77M152.00M253.00M94.00M
Total Debt775.41M761.46M796.62M853.00M929.00M1.08B
Total Liabilities1.40B1.41B1.44B1.52B1.63B1.83B
Stockholders Equity342.32M713.88M746.45M829.00M814.00M695.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow26.80M95.67M8.60M-69.00M137.00M47.00M
Operating Cash Flow114.19M203.61M136.27M69.00M232.00M124.00M
Investing Cash Flow-124.90M-108.00M-127.28M-94.00M86.00M-78.00M
Financing Cash Flow-40.46M-42.48M-86.95M-73.00M-156.00M-19.00M

Rayonier Advanced Materials Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.19
Price Trends
50DMA
6.71
Positive
100DMA
5.45
Positive
200DMA
5.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Positive
RSI
42.51
Neutral
STOCH
15.65
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RYAM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.19 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.31, above the 50-day MA of 6.71, and above the 200-day MA of 5.55, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.65 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RYAM.

Rayonier Advanced Materials Risk Analysis

Rayonier Advanced Materials disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rayonier Advanced Materials reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rayonier Advanced Materials Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$498.76M6.839.85%3.30%1.31%796.76%
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
$595.63M-940.91-0.13%12.49%96.03%
$170.39M-6.44-13.48%6.17%-51.14%-165.98%
$457.62M-1.03-81.36%-4.90%-458.80%
$93.69M-25.50%-15.84%-605.38%
$577.03M-14.11%11.68%0.20%-292.54%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RYAM
Rayonier Advanced Materials
6.83
-1.13
-14.20%
FF
Futurefuel
3.89
-1.82
-31.87%
LXU
Lsb Industries
8.28
0.08
0.98%
TROX
TRONOX
3.59
-7.76
-68.37%
ASIX
AdvanSix
18.58
-9.04
-32.73%
ORGN
Origin Materials
0.58
-0.81
-58.27%

Rayonier Advanced Materials Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Rayonier Advanced Materials Announces New Chief Accounting Officer
Neutral
Sep 19, 2025

Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. announced the resignation of Gabriela Garcia, the Chief Accounting Officer and Vice President, Corporate Controller, effective October 10, 2025. Her resignation was not due to any disagreements with the company. Concurrently, Jared Rollins has been appointed to fill her position, bringing extensive experience from his roles in tax reporting and financial planning within the company and previous positions at Deloitte & Touche LLP and Wells Real Estate Funds.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAM) stock is a Hold with a $5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rayonier Advanced Materials stock, see the RYAM Stock Forecast page.

Legal ProceedingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Rayonier Files Trade Petitions Against Brazil and Norway
Negative
Aug 12, 2025

On August 12, 2025, Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc., in collaboration with the United Steel Workers, filed antidumping and countervailing duty petitions with the U.S. Department of Commerce and the U.S. International Trade Commission against Brazil and Norway. The petitions claim that these countries are selling High-Purity Dissolving Pulp in the U.S. at unfair prices, harming the domestic industry. The petitions highlight significant dumping margins and potential subsidies, aiming to protect U.S. producers and workers from unfair trade practices. If the investigations confirm these allegations, duties will be imposed to counteract the unfair practices, with preliminary determinations expected soon.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAM) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rayonier Advanced Materials stock, see the RYAM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Rayonier Advanced Materials Faces Challenges but Maintains Long-Term Optimism
Neutral
Aug 7, 2025

Rayonier Advanced Materials reported a challenging second quarter of 2025, with net sales of $340 million and a loss from continuing operations of $366 million, primarily due to a significant non-cash Canadian deferred tax asset write-off. Despite these setbacks, the company remains optimistic about its long-term strategic plan, expecting to deliver over $300 million in run-rate EBITDA by the end of 2027, and has revised its 2025 Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $150 to $160 million, indicating signs of stabilization and recovery in the latter half of the year.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAM) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rayonier Advanced Materials stock, see the RYAM Stock Forecast page.

Rayonier Advanced Materials Faces Challenges, Eyes Growth
Aug 7, 2025

Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. is a global leader in cellulose-based technologies, producing cellulose specialties, biomaterials, and products for the paper and packaging markets with operations in the U.S., Canada, and France. In its second quarter of 2025, RYAM reported net sales of $340 million but faced a significant loss from continuing operations of $366 million, largely due to a $337 million non-cash Canadian deferred tax asset write-off. The company achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $28 million, with total debt standing at $746 million. Despite these challenges, RYAM remains optimistic about its long-term strategy, aiming to achieve over $300 million in run-rate EBITDA by 2027. The company is focusing on stabilizing its operations and capturing growth opportunities in cellulose specialties and biomaterials. Management is confident in overcoming recent headwinds and is committed to executing its strategic initiatives to enhance shareholder value.

Rayonier Advanced Materials: Earnings Call Highlights and Future Outlook
Aug 7, 2025

Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM) Navigates Challenges with Optimism for Future Growth

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025