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Lsb Industries (LXU)
NYSE:LXU
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Lsb Industries (LXU) AI Stock Analysis

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LXU

Lsb Industries

(NYSE:LXU)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$8.50
▲(2.66% Upside)
The overall stock score of 58 reflects a mixed outlook for Lsb Industries. The most significant factor is the financial performance, which shows recovery signs but is hampered by profitability and cash flow challenges. The earnings call provided some optimism with strategic shifts and operational improvements, but technical analysis and valuation remain weak points, indicating caution for potential investors.

Lsb Industries (LXU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lsb Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLsb Industries, Inc. (LXU) is a leading manufacturer of chemical products and industrial solutions, primarily focused on the agricultural and industrial sectors. The company operates through two main segments: Chemical and Climate Control. Lsb Industries produces a variety of products, including ammonia, ammonium nitrate, and other nitrogen-based fertilizers, which are essential for agricultural productivity. Additionally, the Climate Control segment provides HVAC and other climate control solutions, catering to both commercial and residential markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyLsb Industries generates revenue primarily through the sale of its chemical products, particularly nitrogen fertilizers, which are sold to agricultural producers and distributors. The company benefits from a diversified customer base, which includes farmers, agricultural cooperatives, and industrial clients. Key revenue streams include the sale of ammonia, ammonium nitrate, and other nitrogen-based products that are critical for crop production. Additionally, the Climate Control segment contributes to revenue through the sale and servicing of HVAC equipment. The company's financial performance is influenced by factors such as commodity prices, agricultural demand, and production capacity. Strategic partnerships with agricultural distributors and participation in the agricultural supply chain further enhance its revenue generation capabilities.

Lsb Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook with strong pricing and demand in industrial markets, improved financial metrics, and strategic transitions. However, it also acknowledges some operational challenges and a tragic safety incident.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Pricing and Demand in Industrial Markets
Pricing for UAN averaged $336 per ton in Q3, up 65% over Q3 2024. Demand for AN for explosives is robust, particularly in the mining sector, with strong gold and copper prices boosting activity.
Significant Improvement in Adjusted EBITDA
Third quarter 2025 adjusted EBITDA increased to $40 million from $17 million in Q3 2024, driven by higher pricing and increased sales volumes.
Free Cash Flow Generation
After several quarters of heavy investment, the company is back to generating free cash flow, with approximately $20 million year-to-date and $36 million in the third quarter.
Healthy Ammonia Market
Tampa ammonia increased by $60 to $650 per metric ton for November, with a total increase of $260 per ton since June 2025.
Strategic Transition to Industrial Grade AN
Completed the transition from high-density AN for fertilizers to AN solution for explosives, optimizing sales mix and fulfilling 100% of contractual obligations.
Negative Updates
Fatal Accident at Pryor Facility
A contractor working at the Pryor facility was fatally injured, highlighting the importance of safety in operations.
Higher Operating Costs
Increased natural gas and maintenance costs impacted third quarter results, partly due to the transition out of the HDAN business.
Challenges in UAN Production
UAN production volumes missed expectations in the third quarter, with expectations to align with forecasts in the fourth quarter.
Company Guidance
During the LSB Industries Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating a strong financial position with several key metrics highlighted. The transition to generating free cash flow was emphasized, with approximately $20 million generated year-to-date and $36 million in the third quarter alone. Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was reported at $40 million, a significant increase from $17 million in Q3 2024, driven by higher pricing and sales volumes, despite increased natural gas and operational costs. The company maintained a solid balance sheet with $150 million in cash and a net leverage ratio of approximately 2x. Market dynamics showed favorable pricing trends, with UAN prices averaging $336 per ton, up 65% over the previous year, and Tampa ammonia prices increasing to $650 per metric ton. Looking forward, LSB Industries expects continued strength in both the industrial and agricultural markets, positioning the company well for further growth and profitability into 2026.

Lsb Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lsb Industries faces profitability challenges despite some revenue growth. The balance sheet shows improved leverage, but negative returns on equity and cash flow issues persist. The company needs to address operational inefficiencies and enhance cash flow management to improve its financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Lsb Industries shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data indicates a slight revenue growth of 2.13%, but profitability metrics such as gross profit margin (6.62%) and net profit margin (-6.15%) are weak. The negative EBIT margin (-1.60%) suggests operational challenges. Despite a positive EBITDA margin (13.09%), the overall profitability remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved significantly to 0.07 in the TTM, indicating reduced leverage. However, the return on equity is negative (-6.01%), highlighting profitability issues. The equity ratio is not provided, but the improvement in leverage is a positive sign.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges with free cash flow being negative, although it has shown significant growth (99.29%) in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.48, indicating some cash generation capability. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting cash flow management issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue585.07M522.40M593.71M901.71M556.24M351.32M
Gross Profit69.15M47.80M86.26M348.37M138.98M17.05M
EBITDA91.22M82.69M120.70M378.60M158.31M55.31M
Net Income-668.00K-19.35M27.92M230.35M43.55M-61.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.15B1.19B1.30B1.44B1.13B1.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments151.97M184.20M305.93M394.32M82.14M16.26M
Total Debt37.40M526.22M619.99M743.28M559.93M517.61M
Total Liabilities644.94M695.55M779.85M923.95M672.35M631.56M
Stockholders Equity504.61M491.64M518.33M515.87M460.49M421.74M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow53.34M-5.72M69.92M299.82M52.50M-32.98M
Operating Cash Flow81.55M86.58M137.52M345.65M87.63M-2.51M
Investing Cash Flow-51.64M-53.08M57.40M-369.74M-34.69M-28.43M
Financing Cash Flow-44.24M-114.30M-157.66M5.71M12.95M24.41M

Lsb Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price8.28
Price Trends
50DMA
8.43
Negative
100DMA
8.25
Positive
200DMA
7.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.17
Positive
RSI
43.97
Neutral
STOCH
46.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LXU, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 8.28 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.85, below the 50-day MA of 8.43, and above the 200-day MA of 7.70, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for LXU.

Lsb Industries Risk Analysis

Lsb Industries disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lsb Industries reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lsb Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$498.76M6.839.85%3.44%1.31%796.76%
$398.21M4.179.65%2.27%4.04%283.22%
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
$595.63M-940.91-0.13%12.49%96.03%
$1.42B-10.43%12.22%-1.56%-259.58%
$457.62M-81.36%-4.90%-458.80%
$577.03M-14.11%11.84%0.20%-292.54%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LXU
Lsb Industries
8.28
0.08
0.98%
HUN
Huntsman
8.18
-12.28
-60.02%
VHI
Valhi
14.07
-19.37
-57.92%
TROX
TRONOX
3.59
-7.76
-68.37%
RYAM
Rayonier Advanced Materials
6.83
-1.13
-14.20%
ASIX
AdvanSix
18.58
-9.04
-32.73%

Lsb Industries Corporate Events

LSB Industries Reports Strong Q3 2025 Performance
Oct 31, 2025

LSB Industries, Inc., headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, is a prominent player in the production of ammonia and ammonia-related products, serving agricultural and industrial markets with a focus on low and no carbon solutions. The company operates manufacturing facilities in Alabama, Arkansas, and Oklahoma.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
LSB Industries Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, LSB Industries released its financial results for the third quarter ending September 30, 2025, highlighting solid performance amidst a robust market environment. The company reported strong free cash flow generation and a positive outlook for its fertilizer and industrial end markets, driven by increased demand for ammonium nitrate and nitric acid. The company’s strategic initiatives, such as the Stockholder Rights Plan, aim to protect its net operating losses and tax attributes, while its ongoing investments in safety, reliability, and low carbon projects position it for long-term growth and shareholder value creation.

The most recent analyst rating on (LXU) stock is a Hold with a $9.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lsb Industries stock, see the LXU Stock Forecast page.

LSB Industries Reports Q2 2025 Earnings and Outlook
Jul 31, 2025

LSB Industries, Inc., headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, is a company focused on producing low and no carbon products for the agricultural, industrial, and mining sectors, with plans to expand into the energy market. The company operates several manufacturing facilities across the United States.

LSB Industries’ Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiments and Positive Outlook
Jul 31, 2025

In the recent earnings call, LSB Industries, Inc. presented a mixed sentiment, reflecting both achievements and challenges. The company reported significant progress in sales volumes, safety, debt reduction, and favorable pricing trends. However, concerns were raised due to decreased adjusted EBITDA, higher natural gas costs, and ongoing litigation with Leidos. Despite these challenges, the anticipation of a year-over-year increase in EBITDA offers a slightly positive outlook.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025