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Lsb Industries (LXU)
NYSE:LXU
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Lsb Industries (LXU) AI Stock Analysis

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LXU

Lsb Industries

(NYSE:LXU)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
▲(19.73% Upside)
Lsb Industries' overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and a positive earnings call outlook, highlighting improved pricing and demand in industrial markets. However, significant profitability challenges reflected in the valuation score and ongoing operational issues temper the overall score.

Lsb Industries (LXU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lsb Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLSB Industries, Inc. engages in the manufacture, marketing, and sale of chemical products. The company provides nitrogen-based fertilizers, such as ammonia, fertilizer grade ammonium nitrate (HDAN), and urea ammonia nitrate for fertilizer and fertilizer blends for corn and other crops, and NPK fertilizer blends applications. It also offers high purity and commercial grade ammonia, high purity ammonium nitrate, sulfuric acids, mixed nitrating acids, carbon dioxide, and diesel exhaust fluids, as well as concentrated, and blended and regular nitric acids for various applications, including semi-conductor and polyurethane intermediates; pulp and paper, alum, water treatment, metals, and vanadium processing; power plant emissions abatement, water treatment, refrigerants, and metals processing; exhaust stream additive, and horticulture/greenhouse applications; and refrigeration. In addition, the company provides industrial grade ammonium nitrate, ammonium nitrate, and HDAN solutions for ammonium nitrate fuel oil and specialty emulsions for mining, surface mining, quarries, and construction applications. It sells its products through distributors, as well as directly to end customers in the United States, Mexico, and Canada. The company serves to the agricultural, industrial, and mining markets. LSB Industries, Inc. was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
How the Company Makes MoneyLsb Industries generates revenue primarily through the sale of its nitrogen-based fertilizers and industrial chemicals. The company’s key revenue streams include the production and distribution of ammonia, urea, and other related nitrogen products, which are sold to agricultural producers and industrial customers. Additionally, the Climate Control segment contributes to revenue through the sale of HVAC systems and related services. Significant factors affecting its earnings include the fluctuating prices of raw materials, demand for agricultural products, and the overall economic conditions affecting the construction and industrial sectors. Partnerships with agricultural cooperatives and distributors also enhance its market reach and sales volume.

Lsb Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook with strong pricing and demand in industrial markets, improved financial metrics, and strategic transitions. However, it also acknowledges some operational challenges and a tragic safety incident.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Pricing and Demand in Industrial Markets
Pricing for UAN averaged $336 per ton in Q3, up 65% over Q3 2024. Demand for AN for explosives is robust, particularly in the mining sector, with strong gold and copper prices boosting activity.
Significant Improvement in Adjusted EBITDA
Third quarter 2025 adjusted EBITDA increased to $40 million from $17 million in Q3 2024, driven by higher pricing and increased sales volumes.
Free Cash Flow Generation
After several quarters of heavy investment, the company is back to generating free cash flow, with approximately $20 million year-to-date and $36 million in the third quarter.
Healthy Ammonia Market
Tampa ammonia increased by $60 to $650 per metric ton for November, with a total increase of $260 per ton since June 2025.
Strategic Transition to Industrial Grade AN
Completed the transition from high-density AN for fertilizers to AN solution for explosives, optimizing sales mix and fulfilling 100% of contractual obligations.
Negative Updates
Fatal Accident at Pryor Facility
A contractor working at the Pryor facility was fatally injured, highlighting the importance of safety in operations.
Higher Operating Costs
Increased natural gas and maintenance costs impacted third quarter results, partly due to the transition out of the HDAN business.
Challenges in UAN Production
UAN production volumes missed expectations in the third quarter, with expectations to align with forecasts in the fourth quarter.
Company Guidance
During the LSB Industries Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating a strong financial position with several key metrics highlighted. The transition to generating free cash flow was emphasized, with approximately $20 million generated year-to-date and $36 million in the third quarter alone. Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was reported at $40 million, a significant increase from $17 million in Q3 2024, driven by higher pricing and sales volumes, despite increased natural gas and operational costs. The company maintained a solid balance sheet with $150 million in cash and a net leverage ratio of approximately 2x. Market dynamics showed favorable pricing trends, with UAN prices averaging $336 per ton, up 65% over the previous year, and Tampa ammonia prices increasing to $650 per metric ton. Looking forward, LSB Industries expects continued strength in both the industrial and agricultural markets, positioning the company well for further growth and profitability into 2026.

Lsb Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lsb Industries shows signs of financial recovery with improved revenue growth and reduced leverage. However, persistent profitability challenges and declining free cash flow growth highlight areas of concern. The company must focus on enhancing operational efficiency and cash flow management to sustain its financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows a mixed performance. Gross profit margin improved to 11.82% in TTM, up from 9.15% in 2024, indicating better cost management. However, the net profit margin remains negative at -0.11%, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges. Revenue growth is positive at 8.58% TTM, recovering from a decline in 2024. The EBIT margin improved slightly to 2.25% TTM, but remains low, suggesting operational efficiency issues. Overall, the company shows signs of recovery but still faces profitability hurdles.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a strong equity position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07 TTM, significantly reduced from 1.07 in 2024. This suggests improved financial stability and reduced leverage risk. However, the return on equity is negative at -0.12% TTM, highlighting profitability challenges. The equity ratio is strong, indicating a solid capital structure. Overall, the balance sheet reflects improved financial health but with ongoing profitability concerns.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth at -201.60% TTM, indicating cash generation issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.48, suggesting moderate cash flow efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting cash flow challenges relative to profitability. Despite a strong operating cash flow in previous years, the recent decline in free cash flow growth is concerning.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue585.07M522.40M593.71M901.71M556.24M351.32M
Gross Profit69.15M47.80M86.26M348.37M138.98M17.05M
EBITDA111.94M82.69M120.70M378.60M158.31M55.31M
Net Income-668.00K-19.35M27.92M230.35M43.55M-61.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.15B1.19B1.30B1.44B1.13B1.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments151.97M184.20M305.93M394.32M82.14M16.26M
Total Debt486.36M526.22M619.99M743.28M559.93M517.61M
Total Liabilities644.94M695.55M779.85M923.95M672.35M631.56M
Stockholders Equity504.61M491.64M518.33M515.87M460.49M421.74M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.98M-5.72M69.92M299.82M52.50M-32.98M
Operating Cash Flow81.55M86.58M137.52M345.65M87.63M-2.51M
Investing Cash Flow-51.64M-53.08M57.40M-369.74M-34.69M-28.43M
Financing Cash Flow-44.24M-114.30M-157.66M5.71M12.95M24.41M

Lsb Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.77
Price Trends
50DMA
8.65
Positive
100DMA
8.38
Positive
200DMA
7.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.19
Positive
RSI
47.31
Neutral
STOCH
50.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LXU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.77 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.05, above the 50-day MA of 8.65, and above the 200-day MA of 7.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LXU.

Lsb Industries Risk Analysis

Lsb Industries disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lsb Industries reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lsb Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$587.07M-769.81-0.13%12.49%95.48%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
53
Neutral
$386.04M7.446.62%4.48%-5.05%35.01%
52
Neutral
$356.89M3.661.78%2.42%-0.65%-79.35%
48
Neutral
$1.46B-10.65%13.48%-3.46%-191.77%
45
Neutral
$374.56M-78.11%-9.75%-386.63%
43
Neutral
$470.90M-18.65%11.78%-7.81%-334.15%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LXU
Lsb Industries
8.77
-0.04
-0.45%
HUN
Huntsman
8.41
-9.84
-53.92%
VHI
Valhi
11.95
-14.38
-54.61%
TROX
TRONOX
2.97
-8.32
-73.69%
RYAM
Rayonier Advanced Materials
5.59
-3.32
-37.26%
ASIX
AdvanSix
14.37
-15.76
-52.31%

Lsb Industries Corporate Events

LSB Industries Q3 2025 Earnings Call Highlights
Nov 1, 2025

LSB Industries, Inc. recently held its third-quarter 2025 earnings call, which was marked by a generally positive sentiment. The company highlighted strong pricing and demand in industrial markets, improved financial metrics, and strategic transitions. However, the call also addressed some operational challenges and a tragic safety incident, reflecting a balanced view of the company’s current situation.

LSB Industries Reports Strong Q3 2025 Performance
Oct 31, 2025

LSB Industries, Inc., headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, is a prominent player in the production of ammonia and ammonia-related products, serving agricultural and industrial markets with a focus on low and no carbon solutions. The company operates manufacturing facilities in Alabama, Arkansas, and Oklahoma.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
LSB Industries Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, LSB Industries released its financial results for the third quarter ending September 30, 2025, highlighting solid performance amidst a robust market environment. The company reported strong free cash flow generation and a positive outlook for its fertilizer and industrial end markets, driven by increased demand for ammonium nitrate and nitric acid. The company’s strategic initiatives, such as the Stockholder Rights Plan, aim to protect its net operating losses and tax attributes, while its ongoing investments in safety, reliability, and low carbon projects position it for long-term growth and shareholder value creation.

The most recent analyst rating on (LXU) stock is a Hold with a $9.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lsb Industries stock, see the LXU Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 12, 2025