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Lsb Industries (LXU)
NYSE:LXU
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Lsb Industries (LXU) AI Stock Analysis

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LXU

Lsb Industries

(NYSE:LXU)

Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$7.50
▼(-2.98%Downside)
LSB Industries faces significant challenges in financial performance and valuation, which are the primary factors affecting the score. The technical analysis suggests short-term weakness, while the earnings call provides a slightly positive view with expectations of improved EBITDA. The overall score reflects a cautious outlook due to profitability and cash flow issues.

Lsb Industries (LXU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lsb Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLSB Industries, Inc. engages in the manufacture, marketing, and sale of chemical products. The company provides nitrogen-based fertilizers, such as ammonia, fertilizer grade ammonium nitrate (HDAN), and urea ammonia nitrate for fertilizer and fertilizer blends for corn and other crops, and NPK fertilizer blends applications. It also offers high purity and commercial grade ammonia, high purity ammonium nitrate, sulfuric acids, mixed nitrating acids, carbon dioxide, and diesel exhaust fluids, as well as concentrated, and blended and regular nitric acids for various applications, including semi-conductor and polyurethane intermediates; pulp and paper, alum, water treatment, metals, and vanadium processing; power plant emissions abatement, water treatment, refrigerants, and metals processing; exhaust stream additive, and horticulture/greenhouse applications; and refrigeration. In addition, the company provides industrial grade ammonium nitrate, ammonium nitrate, and HDAN solutions for ammonium nitrate fuel oil and specialty emulsions for mining, surface mining, quarries, and construction applications. It sells its products through distributors, as well as directly to end customers in the United States, Mexico, and Canada. The company serves to the agricultural, industrial, and mining markets. LSB Industries, Inc. was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
How the Company Makes MoneyLSB Industries makes money through the production and distribution of its nitrogen-based chemical products. The company's primary revenue streams are derived from the sale of fertilizers to agricultural customers and chemical products to industrial and mining clients. By operating manufacturing facilities strategically located to serve key markets efficiently, LSB Industries can optimize distribution costs and leverage economies of scale. Additionally, the company may engage in strategic partnerships and long-term supply agreements with key customers to secure a stable revenue base and enhance market reach. Fluctuations in commodity prices, agricultural demand, and industrial activity are significant factors influencing the company's earnings.

Lsb Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -11.25%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a mix of positive and negative elements. While there were significant achievements in sales volumes, safety, debt reduction, and favorable pricing, challenges such as decreased adjusted EBITDA, higher natural gas costs, and ongoing litigation with Leidos present concerns. However, the positive aspects, especially the anticipation of a year-over-year increase in EBITDA, slightly outweigh the negatives.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Sales Volumes
Sales volumes increased 6% year-over-year due to improvements in AN and UAN sales, driven by higher ammonia production and better plant performance.
Safety Achievements
Achieved 0 recordable injuries across the organization, showcasing excellent safety performance and adherence to the Goal Zero initiative.
Debt Reduction
Repurchased $32 million of debt during the quarter, highlighting effective capital allocation and debt management.
Robust Industrial Product Demand
Strong demand for industrial products, with copper and gold mining activity remaining strong, and progress in shifting sales mix to cost-plus contracts.
Favorable Pricing Trends
UAN prices increased by over 70% from the previous year, and ammonia prices also showed slight increases due to reduced supply from various regions.
Positive Financial Outlook
Anticipated healthy year-over-year increase in adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter, attributed to favorable pricing and increased sales volumes.
Negative Updates
Decreased Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA decreased from $42 million in Q2 2024 to $38 million in Q2 2025, primarily due to higher natural gas costs offsetting higher pricing and sales volumes.
Higher Natural Gas Costs
Natural gas costs averaged $3.25 per MMBtu in the quarter, a significant increase from the previous year's $2.40, impacting overall cost structure.
Leidos Lawsuit
Ongoing litigation with Leidos, with a trial scheduled for late October, indicating potential legal and financial risks.
Company Guidance
During the LSB Industries Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported a 6% year-over-year increase in sales volumes, driven by improved sales of AN and UAN. The company achieved this increase while maintaining a record of zero injuries. LSB Industries also repurchased $32 million of debt during the quarter and plans an additional $5 million reduction in the third quarter. The company anticipates a strong third quarter, with a continued rise in UAN and AN sales volumes, despite higher natural gas costs averaging $3.25 per MMBtu. The Tampa ammonia price for August settled at $487 per ton, a $70 increase over July, and NOLA UAN prices are trading around $350 per ton. LSB also focused on shifting sales to cost-plus contracts, targeting one-third of their sales to mitigate natural gas and fertilizer price volatility. They anticipate a healthy year-over-year increase in adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter.

Lsb Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The financial performance of LSB Industries shows challenges, with negative revenue growth and profitability issues. The company faces negative free cash flow, indicating struggles in cash management. The balance sheet is moderately leveraged, but overall financial stability and profitability need improvement.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement indicates challenges with profitability. The TTM gross profit margin is approximately 7.56%, and the net profit margin is -5.04%, both reflecting a decline in profitability from prior periods. Revenue growth is negative compared to previous years, indicating potential demand issues or competitive pressures.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderately leveraged position, with a debt-to-equity ratio of around 1.06 in TTM. The equity ratio is 41.7%, suggesting some reliance on debt but still a fair amount of equity financing. ROE has declined, indicating reduced return on shareholders' equity.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals negative free cash flow in TTM, indicating cash outflows surpassing inflows from operations and investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio shows operational cash generation, but free cash flow to net income is negative, highlighting cash management challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue527.63M522.40M593.71M901.71M556.24M351.32M
Gross Profit39.90M47.80M86.26M348.37M138.98M17.05M
EBITDA75.92M82.69M120.70M378.60M170.99M55.31M
Net Income-26.62M-19.35M27.92M230.35M43.55M-61.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.18B1.19B1.30B1.44B1.13B1.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments163.55M184.20M305.93M394.32M82.14M16.26M
Total Debt527.17M526.22M619.99M743.28M559.93M517.61M
Total Liabilities685.38M695.55M779.85M923.95M672.35M631.56M
Stockholders Equity490.56M491.64M518.33M515.87M460.49M421.74M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-26.35M-5.72M69.92M299.82M52.50M-32.98M
Operating Cash Flow68.53M86.58M137.52M345.65M87.63M-2.51M
Investing Cash Flow-106.25M-53.08M57.40M-369.74M-34.69M-28.43M
Financing Cash Flow-75.77M-114.30M-157.66M5.71M12.95M24.41M

Lsb Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.73
Price Trends
50DMA
8.06
Negative
100DMA
7.20
Positive
200DMA
7.79
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Positive
RSI
39.29
Neutral
STOCH
49.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LXU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.73 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.39, below the 50-day MA of 8.06, and below the 200-day MA of 7.79, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LXU.

Lsb Industries Risk Analysis

Lsb Industries disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lsb Industries reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lsb Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$569.50M6.8111.26%3.13%6.03%5079.05%
61
Neutral
$854.64M-127.59%245.97%-16.23%
59
Neutral
HK$16.83B4.60-5.52%4.39%-3.57%-61.41%
55
Neutral
$256.41M-10.12%2.20%34.71%
54
Neutral
$182.22M11.43-3.29%5.84%-33.92%-58.53%
51
Neutral
$626.06M-6.51%2.60%-1506.69%
45
Neutral
$874.71M-14.11%15.67%0.20%-292.54%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LXU
Lsb Industries
7.73
-0.84
-9.80%
FF
Futurefuel
4.05
-0.87
-17.68%
TROX
TRONOX
3.19
-9.37
-74.60%
RYAM
Rayonier Advanced Materials
3.84
-2.12
-35.57%
ASIX
AdvanSix
20.12
-6.50
-24.42%
ASPI
ASP Isotopes, Inc.
9.07
6.91
319.91%

Lsb Industries Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
LSB Industries Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Jul 30, 2025

On July 30, 2025, LSB Industries released its financial results for the second quarter ending June 30, 2025, highlighting a 4% increase in sales volumes compared to Q1 2024, despite higher natural gas costs impacting adjusted EBITDA. The company is progressing with its El Dorado low carbon ammonia project, which has achieved pre-certification status for low carbon ammonia production, and is on track for a late 2026 startup, reflecting its strategic focus on sustainable product offerings.

The most recent analyst rating on (LXU) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lsb Industries stock, see the LXU Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
LSB Industries Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 19, 2025

On May 15, 2025, LSB Industries, Inc. conducted its annual meeting of stockholders where key decisions were made, including the election of three directors to the board for terms ending in 2028, and the approval of a new long-term incentive plan. Additionally, Ernst & Young LLP was ratified as the company’s independent accounting firm for 2025, and a non-binding advisory vote approved the compensation for the company’s executive officers, reflecting shareholder support for the company’s strategic direction and governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (LXU) stock is a Buy with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lsb Industries stock, see the LXU Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2025