tiprankstipranks
Skywater Technology Inc (SKYT)
NASDAQ:SKYT
US Market

SkyWater Technology (SKYT) AI Stock Analysis

1,074 Followers

Top Page

SKYT

SkyWater Technology

(NASDAQ:SKYT)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$29.00
▲(0.76% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/28/26
The score is primarily driven by mixed fundamentals: strong revenue growth and a sharply improved balance sheet are offset by volatile operating results and weak, inconsistent cash generation. Technical indicators are currently soft, while valuation appears attractive on a low P/E and corporate events are supportive due to the pending IonQ acquisition.
Positive Factors
Trusted onshore foundry and domestic supply chain
SkyWater’s specialization in onshore, trusted manufacturing aligns with long-term government and defense demand for secure supply chains and long‑lifecycle products. That niche supports repeatable contract opportunities, higher switching costs, and steady demand versus commodity logic foundries over multiple years.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent operating profitability
Recurring swings in operating profitability indicate underlying cost or utilization volatility and limit predictability of core earnings. When operating margins are inconsistent, reported net income can be driven by non‑operating items, weakening confidence in sustainable cash returns and ROI forecasting.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Trusted onshore foundry and domestic supply chain
SkyWater’s specialization in onshore, trusted manufacturing aligns with long-term government and defense demand for secure supply chains and long‑lifecycle products. That niche supports repeatable contract opportunities, higher switching costs, and steady demand versus commodity logic foundries over multiple years.
Read all positive factors

SkyWater Technology (SKYT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SkyWater Technology Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
SkyWater Technology, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides semiconductor development and manufacturing services. The company offers engineering and process development support services to co-create technologies with customers; and semicon...
How the Company Makes Money
SkyWater makes money primarily by providing semiconductor foundry manufacturing and related services to customers that need specialty process nodes and domestic manufacturing. Key revenue streams include: (1) Wafer manufacturing/foundry revenue: c...

SkyWater Technology Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
SkyWater had a strong quarter with record revenues and significant growth in the Quantum computing segment. The acquisition of Fab 25 has been successfully integrated and is contributing positively. However, challenges in A&D revenues and potential additional costs in Q4 pose some risks.
Positive Updates
Record Q3 Revenues
SkyWater reported record Q3 revenues of nearly $151 million, which exceeded expectations by more than $9 million.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Aerospace and Defense (A&D) Revenue
A&D-related ATS revenues are expected to decline in Q4 due to government budget dynamics and a shutdown of the U.S. government.
Read all updates
Q3-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Q3 Revenues
SkyWater reported record Q3 revenues of nearly $151 million, which exceeded expectations by more than $9 million.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, SkyWater Technology reported exceptional financial results, surpassing expectations across all metrics. The company achieved record Q3 revenues of nearly $151 million, exceeding the forecast by over $9 million, driven largely by the revenue from Fab 25 in Texas and higher-than-anticipated ATS revenues which reached over $54 million. The company also saw its strongest quarter for quantum computing-related revenue, positioning it to exceed 30% revenue growth in this segment for fiscal 2025. The gross margin for Q3 stood at 24.6%, facilitated by an $8 million benefit expected to continue into Q4. For the fourth quarter, SkyWater anticipates revenues between $155 million and $165 million, with a gross margin of 17% to 20% and adjusted EBITDA projected between $16 million and $22 million. The upcoming year is expected to see revenue and adjusted EBITDA performance exceeding prior conservative estimates of at least $600 million and $60 million, respectively, as the company continues to leverage its strategic investments and customer engagements.

SkyWater Technology Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth and improved gross margin support the business trend, and the 2025 balance sheet deleveraging is a major positive. Offsetting this, operating profitability is inconsistent and 2025 earnings quality looks weaker due to negative operating cash flow and significantly negative free cash flow.
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
44
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue442.14M342.27M286.68M212.94M162.85M
Gross Profit88.33M69.63M59.29M25.97M-7.47M
EBITDA34.50M25.25M14.14M-2.68M-23.28M
Net Income118.92M-6.79M-30.76M-39.59M-50.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets733.78M313.77M316.76M305.76M263.60M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments23.22M18.84M18.38M30.02M12.92M
Total Debt250.34M76.76M72.86M103.04M61.84M
Total Liabilities537.96M250.28M256.06M251.79M203.67M
Stockholders Equity187.82M57.61M53.74M53.67M61.13M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-53.20M7.20M-408.00K-31.75M-87.66M
Operating Cash Flow-24.15M18.46M10.08M-14.30M-55.68M
Investing Cash Flow-118.00M-11.21M-10.49M-17.45M-29.82M
Financing Cash Flow146.52M-6.79M-11.23M48.86M90.98M

SkyWater Technology Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price28.78
Price Trends
50DMA
28.86
Negative
100DMA
25.32
Positive
200DMA
19.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Negative
RSI
53.46
Neutral
STOCH
71.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SKYT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 28.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.97, below the 50-day MA of 28.86, and above the 200-day MA of 19.41, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SKYT.

SkyWater Technology Risk Analysis

SkyWater Technology disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SkyWater Technology reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SkyWater Technology Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$1.41B7.4799.25%0.19%
62
Neutral
$1.99B-12.29-7.72%16.86%-26.89%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
56
Neutral
$1.36B16.342.07%2.25%0.96%-85.27%
55
Neutral
$1.75B-14.78-9.07%-4.50%-45.79%
48
Neutral
$773.19M-11.11-12.29%5.81%-376.55%
47
Neutral
$650.85M-4.89-37.84%-4.99%-12.11%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SKYT
SkyWater Technology
28.78
21.94
320.76%
AOSL
Alpha and Omega
25.98
6.59
33.99%
IMOS
ChipMOS Technologies
40.91
25.76
169.96%
COHU
Cohu
37.34
23.02
160.75%
ICHR
Ichor Holdings
57.50
39.72
223.40%
INDI
indie Semiconductor
2.91
0.91
45.50%

SkyWater Technology Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
SkyWater Approves Retention Awards Amid IonQ Merger Plans
Positive
Mar 26, 2026
On March 20, 2026, SkyWater Technology’s board compensation committee approved a cash retention program for key employees, granting awards of $579,145 to CEO Thomas Sonderman, $347,975 to executive John Sakamoto, and $337,840 to executive St...
Delistings and Listing ChangesM&A Transactions
SkyWater Technology to Be Acquired by IonQ in Merger
Positive
Jan 26, 2026
On January 25, 2026, SkyWater Technology, Inc. entered into a merger agreement with quantum computing company IonQ, Inc. under which SkyWater will be acquired in a two-step merger and become an indirect, wholly owned subsidiary of IonQ. Under the ...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
SkyWater Technology to Be Acquired by IonQ
Positive
Jan 26, 2026
On January 25, 2026, SkyWater Technology entered into a definitive agreement to be acquired by quantum computing company IonQ in a cash-and-stock transaction valued at approximately $1.8 billion, offering SkyWater shareholders $35.00 per share, a ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 28, 2026