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SkyWater Technology (SKYT)
NASDAQ:SKYT
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SkyWater Technology (SKYT) AI Stock Analysis

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SKYT

SkyWater Technology

(NASDAQ:SKYT)

Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$13.00
▲(13.94% Upside)
SkyWater Technology's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call insights and positive technical indicators, which are offset by significant financial challenges and valuation concerns. The company's strategic advancements and growth prospects in quantum computing and the Fab 25 acquisition provide optimism, but high leverage and profitability issues remain critical risks.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
The company's gross margin for the March quarter exceeded prior guidance, aided by a warranty reversal, and is expected to improve further as sales volumes increase.
Wafer Services Growth
New products drove 50% of wafer service revenue in the March '25 Q and are expected to represent upwards of 60% of CY25 WS revenue.
Negative Factors
Contract Timing Uncertainty
Limited visibility towards the timing of government ATS contracts.
Government Spending Delays
Federal budget negotiations have delayed R&D program funding, deferring the anticipated 2Q25 recovery in ATS to C2H25.

SkyWater Technology (SKYT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SkyWater Technology Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSkyWater Technology, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides semiconductor development and manufacturing services. The company offers engineering and process development support services to co-create technologies with customers; and semiconductor manufacturing services for various silicon-based analog and mixed-signal, power discrete, microelectromechanical systems, and rad-hard integrated circuits. It serves customers operating in the computation, aerospace and defense, automotive and transportation, bio-health, consumer, and industrial/internet of things industries. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Bloomington, Minnesota.
How the Company Makes MoneySkyWater Technology generates revenue primarily through its semiconductor manufacturing services. The company operates as a foundry, offering custom fabrication services for integrated circuits and other microelectronics. Its revenue streams include fabrication services, design services, and non-recurring engineering (NRE) fees associated with custom projects. SkyWater's business model involves partnering with customers to co-develop semiconductor solutions tailored to specific applications, which allows the company to secure long-term contracts and partnerships. Additionally, SkyWater benefits from collaborations with government entities and private sector clients who require secure and reliable semiconductor manufacturing capabilities. The company's strategic focus on niche markets and advanced technology nodes helps it differentiate from larger, commodity-driven semiconductor foundries, providing a competitive edge in the industry.

SkyWater Technology Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 28.64%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call expressed optimism with strong revenue achievements and strategic advancements, particularly in quantum computing and the successful acquisition of Fab 25. However, challenges remain in the aerospace and defense sector due to government funding delays, and gross margin compression is anticipated short-term due to the acquisition. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Achievement
Second quarter revenue of $59.1 million came in at the upper end of guidance, driven by stronger ATS revenues versus forecast.
Fab 25 Acquisition
Completed acquisition of Infineon's Fab 25, expected to double revenue scale and adjusted EBITDA immediately, with a $1 billion multiyear supply agreement.
Quantum Computing Growth
Revenue growth in the quantum computing segment is expected to exceed 30% in 2025, with continued expansion into 2026.
Advanced Packaging Progress
Advanced packaging operations in Florida are ahead of schedule, with a significant increase in ATS revenues expected towards year-end.
Negative Updates
Aerospace and Defense Challenges
Continued headwinds due to government funding delays, with DoD programs operating at current revenue levels through 2025.
Gross Margin Compression
Near-term gross margin compression expected due to the Fab 25 acquisition, with a projected non-GAAP gross margin of 4% to 6%.
Company Guidance
During the SkyWater Technology Second Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance. The second-quarter revenue reached just over $59 million, aligning with the upper end of their guidance. SkyWater completed the acquisition of Infineon's Fab 25 in Austin, Texas, with an upfront payment of $93 million, and expected this to double their revenue scale and adjusted EBITDA immediately. The acquisition is supported by a multiyear supply agreement with Infineon projected to exceed $1 billion. For the third quarter, SkyWater forecasted ATS revenues of approximately $50 million, with an additional $75 million to $80 million in revenue from Fab 25. They also anticipated a full-year revenue of $600 million and adjusted EBITDA of at least $60 million in 2026. The company noted strong momentum in quantum computing, expecting over 30% revenue growth in that segment for 2025. Additionally, they projected that the acquisition of Fab 25 could add $75 million to $80 million in quarterly revenue, contributing to significant top-line growth in both 2025 and 2026.

SkyWater Technology Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SkyWater Technology is experiencing gradual financial recovery, evidenced by improving operational margins and cash flow. However, the company continues to face profitability challenges, as reflected in its net losses and low return on equity. The reduction in debt levels is a positive sign of financial stabilization.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
SkyWater Technology's revenue has shown a fluctuating growth pattern, with a notable increase in 2023, but a decline in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Gross profit margins are improving, but net profit margins remain negative due to consistent net losses. The EBIT margin has improved from negative to positive territory in TTM, indicating operational improvements.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has decreased, reflecting reduced leverage. However, equity growth remains slow, and the equity ratio is relatively low. The return on equity remains negative, highlighting ongoing profitability challenges. The recent improvements in reducing debt are promising for financial stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
SkyWater Technology has shown strong improvement in operating cash flow, with a significant increase in free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio has improved, indicating better cash earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income remains constrained by persistent net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue289.66M342.27M286.68M212.94M162.85M140.44M
Gross Profit64.69M69.63M59.29M25.97M-7.47M22.69M
EBITDA12.51M25.25M14.14M-2.68M-23.28M9.57M
Net Income-16.49M-6.79M-30.76M-36.87M-47.40M-19.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets581.96M313.77M316.76M305.76M263.60M263.21M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments56.37M18.84M18.38M30.02M12.92M7.44M
Total Debt351.46M76.76M72.86M92.85M59.45M72.60M
Total Liabilities351.46M250.28M256.06M251.79M203.67M264.79M
Stockholders Equity45.24M57.61M53.74M53.67M61.13M-16.00K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow43.28M7.20M-408.00K-31.24M-87.66M6.34M
Operating Cash Flow67.34M18.46M10.08M-15.86M-50.97M96.19M
Investing Cash Flow-26.76M-11.21M-10.49M-15.38M-34.54M-88.18M
Financing Cash Flow-9.57M-6.79M-11.23M48.86M90.98M-5.19M

SkyWater Technology Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.41
Price Trends
50DMA
10.11
Positive
100DMA
8.88
Positive
200DMA
9.48
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.63
Negative
RSI
53.79
Neutral
STOCH
54.53
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SKYT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.41 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.77, above the 50-day MA of 10.11, and above the 200-day MA of 9.48, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.63 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SKYT.

SkyWater Technology Risk Analysis

SkyWater Technology disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SkyWater Technology reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SkyWater Technology Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
¥242.18B15.616.62%2.44%9.08%2.46%
67
Neutral
$306.43M21.0823.09%6.31%-9.22%-13.57%
61
Neutral
$1.31B-20.63%9.79%10.28%
58
Neutral
$568.96M-34.11%-10.53%36.86%
56
Neutral
$1.01B-36.20%-7.49%-64.33%
55
Neutral
$1.55B-32.05%-25.65%-130.95%
40
Underperform
$202.31M-180.49%-9.62%-30.36%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SKYT
SkyWater Technology
11.41
1.32
13.08%
WOLF
Wolfspeed
1.35
-10.83
-88.92%
NVEC
NVE
63.01
-13.57
-17.72%
LASR
nLIGHT
26.18
14.56
125.30%
INDI
indie Semiconductor
4.52
0.37
8.92%
NVTS
Navitas Semiconductor
6.92
3.82
123.23%

SkyWater Technology Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingM&A Transactions
SkyWater Technology Completes Acquisition of Spansion Fab 25
Neutral
Jul 3, 2025

On June 30, 2025, SkyWater Technology, Inc. amended its Membership Interest Purchase Agreement with Spansion LLC, increasing the purchase price by $18 million and eliminating a $25 million payment tied to a supply agreement. This amendment was part of SkyWater’s acquisition of Spansion Fab 25, LLC, which involved acquiring assets related to Infineon Technologies AG’s fab in Austin, Texas. Additionally, SkyWater entered into an Amended and Restated Loan and Security Agreement with several lenders, establishing a $350 million revolving line of credit. This agreement aims to refinance existing debts, fund the acquisition, and support working capital and equipment needs. The transaction was completed on June 30, 2025, with a total purchase price of approximately $93 million paid in cash.

The most recent analyst rating on (SKYT) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SkyWater Technology stock, see the SKYT Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
SkyWater Technology Elects Directors at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 22, 2025

SkyWater Technology, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders on May 21, 2025, where stockholders elected nine directors to serve until the 2026 annual meeting. Additionally, the appointment of KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for fiscal 2025 was ratified. These decisions are expected to impact the company’s governance and financial oversight, potentially influencing its strategic direction and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (SKYT) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SkyWater Technology stock, see the SKYT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025