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SkyWater Technology (SKYT)
NASDAQ:SKYT
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SkyWater Technology (SKYT) AI Stock Analysis

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SKYT

SkyWater Technology

(NASDAQ:SKYT)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$20.00
▲(6.89% Upside)
SkyWater Technology's overall stock score reflects a mix of strong technical indicators and positive earnings call highlights, counterbalanced by significant financial challenges. The company's undervaluation presents an opportunity, but high leverage and profitability issues remain concerns.
Positive Factors
Quantum Computing Growth
The significant growth in quantum computing revenues positions SkyWater as a leader in an emerging market, enhancing its competitive edge and long-term revenue potential.
Successful Acquisition
The successful integration of Fab 25 boosts production capacity and revenue, strengthening SkyWater's market position and operational capabilities.
Record Q3 Revenues
Achieving record revenues indicates robust demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term growth and financial stability.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can strain financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues may hinder reinvestment in the business and affect long-term financial health and shareholder value.
Aerospace and Defense Revenue Decline
Declining A&D revenues could reduce diversification and stability, impacting overall revenue streams and growth potential.

SkyWater Technology (SKYT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SkyWater Technology Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSkyWater Technology, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides semiconductor development and manufacturing services. The company offers engineering and process development support services to co-create technologies with customers; and semiconductor manufacturing services for various silicon-based analog and mixed-signal, power discrete, microelectromechanical systems, and rad-hard integrated circuits. It serves customers operating in the computation, aerospace and defense, automotive and transportation, bio-health, consumer, and industrial/internet of things industries. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Bloomington, Minnesota.
How the Company Makes MoneySkyWater Technology generates revenue primarily through its semiconductor manufacturing services, which include contract manufacturing agreements with various clients across different industries. The company operates under a foundry model, where it charges customers for the fabrication of their semiconductor designs. Key revenue streams include fees for wafer fabrication, engineering services, and product development support. Additionally, SkyWater has established significant partnerships with government entities and private companies that enhance its capabilities and market reach, contributing to its earnings. The focus on specialized manufacturing processes, including those for defense and high-reliability applications, allows the company to command premium pricing and secure long-term contracts, further bolstering its financial performance.

SkyWater Technology Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
SkyWater had a strong quarter with record revenues and significant growth in the Quantum computing segment. The acquisition of Fab 25 has been successfully integrated and is contributing positively. However, challenges in A&D revenues and potential additional costs in Q4 pose some risks.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Q3 Revenues
SkyWater reported record Q3 revenues of nearly $151 million, which exceeded expectations by more than $9 million.
Strong Performance in Quantum Computing
SkyWater reported its strongest-ever quarter for quantum computing-related revenue, with expectations to exceed 30% revenue growth in fiscal 2025.
Successful Acquisition of Fab 25
The acquisition of Fab 25 in Texas contributed nearly $87 million in wafer services revenue for Q3, which was well ahead of expectations.
Four New Quantum Customer Engagements
SkyWater signed four new Quantum customer engagements, including Silicon Quantum Computing (SQC) and QuamCore.
Positive Adjusted EBITDA Performance
Q3 adjusted EBITDA was $25.8 million, significantly exceeding the expected range of $10 million to $12 million.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Aerospace and Defense (A&D) Revenue
A&D-related ATS revenues are expected to decline in Q4 due to government budget dynamics and a shutdown of the U.S. government.
Potential Tools Charge in Q4
There is a risk of a tools charge in Q4 if additional funding is not secured to cover inflation-related cost charges, potentially impacting financial results.
Increased Operating Expenses
The total operating expenses exceeded expectations by $4.5 million, reflecting increased overhead costs post-acquisition of Fab 25.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, SkyWater Technology reported exceptional financial results, surpassing expectations across all metrics. The company achieved record Q3 revenues of nearly $151 million, exceeding the forecast by over $9 million, driven largely by the revenue from Fab 25 in Texas and higher-than-anticipated ATS revenues which reached over $54 million. The company also saw its strongest quarter for quantum computing-related revenue, positioning it to exceed 30% revenue growth in this segment for fiscal 2025. The gross margin for Q3 stood at 24.6%, facilitated by an $8 million benefit expected to continue into Q4. For the fourth quarter, SkyWater anticipates revenues between $155 million and $165 million, with a gross margin of 17% to 20% and adjusted EBITDA projected between $16 million and $22 million. The upcoming year is expected to see revenue and adjusted EBITDA performance exceeding prior conservative estimates of at least $600 million and $60 million, respectively, as the company continues to leverage its strategic investments and customer engagements.

SkyWater Technology Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SkyWater Technology faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenue and profitability, high leverage, and mixed cash flow performance. While there are some operational improvements, the company needs to address its high debt levels and improve profitability to enhance its financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
SkyWater Technology's income statement reveals challenges in profitability, with negative net profit margins and declining revenue growth in the TTM period. The gross profit margin has improved over the years, indicating some operational efficiency. However, the negative EBIT and net income margins highlight ongoing profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio, particularly in the TTM period, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. The negative return on equity suggests that the company is not generating sufficient returns on its equity base. The equity ratio is low, reflecting a higher reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis indicates a decrease in free cash flow growth in the TTM period, although the operating cash flow remains positive. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, suggesting that cash generation is not fully covering net losses. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively healthy, indicating some ability to generate cash relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2020Dec 2019Dec 2018
Income Statement
Total Revenue214.18M342.27M286.68M140.44M136.72M132.17M
Gross Profit45.39M69.63M59.29M22.69M25.35M31.34M
EBITDA7.03M25.25M14.14M9.57M3.23M28.97M
Net Income-15.81M-6.79M-30.76M-19.71M-16.42M-65.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets334.69M313.77M316.76M263.21M190.44M148.27M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments56.37M18.84M18.38M7.44M4.61M498.00K
Total Debt74.60M76.76M72.86M72.60M47.99M35.85M
Total Liabilities282.73M250.28M256.06M264.79M166.27M109.67M
Stockholders Equity45.24M57.61M53.74M-16.00K24.17M38.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow38.60M7.20M-408.00K6.34M1.96M7.04M
Operating Cash Flow68.62M18.46M10.08M96.19M10.92M12.59M
Investing Cash Flow-31.35M-11.21M-10.49M-88.18M-7.37M-4.28M
Financing Cash Flow-4.42M-6.79M-11.23M-5.19M552.00K-7.82M

SkyWater Technology Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price18.71
Price Trends
50DMA
15.45
Positive
100DMA
13.02
Positive
200DMA
10.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.20
Positive
RSI
55.82
Neutral
STOCH
56.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SKYT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18.71 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.77, above the 50-day MA of 15.45, and above the 200-day MA of 10.70, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.20 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SKYT.

SkyWater Technology Risk Analysis

SkyWater Technology disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SkyWater Technology reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SkyWater Technology Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$708.67M7.27101.23%0.19%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$806.79M164.340.66%3.75%0.15%-92.08%
59
Neutral
$1.06B-14.47-8.53%-4.50%-45.79%
49
Neutral
$1.04B-34.90%-4.99%-12.11%
48
Neutral
$814.17M-11.17%5.81%-376.55%
45
Neutral
$574.22M-5.94%16.86%-26.89%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SKYT
SkyWater Technology
18.00
9.01
100.22%
AOSL
Alpha and Omega
20.32
-6.17
-23.29%
IMOS
ChipMOS Technologies
21.91
1.86
9.28%
COHU
Cohu
23.93
-4.34
-15.35%
ICHR
Ichor Holdings
14.97
-18.71
-55.55%
INDI
indie Semiconductor
4.68
-0.80
-14.60%

SkyWater Technology Corporate Events

SkyWater Technology’s Earnings Call: Record Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 7, 2025

SkyWater Technology Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a strong quarter characterized by record revenues and significant growth in its Quantum computing segment. The integration of Fab 25 has been successful, contributing positively to the company’s performance. However, there are challenges ahead, particularly in the Aerospace and Defense (A&D) sector, with potential additional costs in Q4 posing some risks.

SkyWater Technology Reports Record Q3 2025 Results
Nov 6, 2025

SkyWater Technology, Inc., a leading U.S.-based semiconductor foundry, specializes in advanced technology services and manufacturing for quantum computing and other emerging technologies. In its latest earnings report, SkyWater Technology announced record-breaking financial results for the third quarter of 2025, driven by robust growth in quantum computing revenues and the successful integration of its newly acquired Texas operations. The company reported a significant increase in total consolidated revenue, reaching $150.7 million, a 60.7% rise compared to the same quarter last year. This growth was bolstered by the acquisition of Fab 25 in Texas, which contributed $86.6 million in wafer services revenue. The company’s gross profit also saw a substantial increase, with a reported $36.2 million, up from $20.2 million in the previous year. SkyWater’s strategic focus on quantum computing has resulted in the signing of four new customers, contributing to a projected 30% growth in ATS revenues from this sector for the fiscal year. Additionally, the company’s operations in Texas have exceeded expectations, contributing positively to both revenue and profitability. Looking ahead, SkyWater Technology remains optimistic about its growth trajectory, with expectations of continued momentum in quantum computing and advanced packaging initiatives. The company anticipates further revenue growth in the coming quarters, supported by its strategic investments and expanding customer base.

SkyWater Technology’s Optimistic Earnings Call Highlights Growth
Aug 8, 2025

SkyWater Technology Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a generally optimistic outlook despite some challenges. The company reported strong revenue achievements and strategic advancements, particularly in the quantum computing sector and the successful acquisition of Fab 25. However, it acknowledged challenges in the aerospace and defense sector due to government funding delays and anticipated short-term gross margin compression due to the acquisition. Overall, the positive developments significantly outweigh the negatives.

SkyWater Technology’s Strategic Moves and Q2 2025 Results
Aug 7, 2025

SkyWater Technology, Inc., a U.S.-based semiconductor manufacturer, is recognized for its Technology as a Service model, which facilitates the production of innovative technologies across various sectors including aerospace, defense, and quantum computing. In its latest earnings report for the second quarter of 2025, SkyWater Technology announced financial results that met the upper end of their expectations, alongside the completion of its acquisition of Infineon’s U.S. fab, Fab 25, in Austin, Texas. This acquisition is expected to significantly boost the company’s revenue and cash flow starting in the third quarter, with Fab 25 projected to contribute at least $300 million annually.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025