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Tanger Inc. (SKT)
NYSE:SKT

Tanger (SKT) AI Stock Analysis

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SKT

Tanger

(NYSE:SKT)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$38.00
▲(16.49% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid underlying financial performance (strong margins and cash conversion) and constructive technical trend. Positive earnings-call updates and recent financing actions that improve liquidity support the outlook, while a relatively high P/E and elevated leverage keep the overall score in the low-70 range.
Positive Factors
High occupancy and robust leasing
Sustained 97.4% occupancy and record 2.9M sqft leasing show durable tenant demand, reducing vacancy risk and stabilizing base rent cash flows. Persistent leasing momentum and positive rent spreads support longer-term same-center NOI and predictable rental income over the next several quarters.
Strong margins and cash generation
High gross and net margins combined with operating cash flow to net income of 2.66x and FCF to net income of 1.20x indicate efficient cost structure and robust cash conversion. This cash generation underpins dividend capacity, capital spending and debt servicing over the medium term.
Refinancing extends maturities, boosts liquidity
The $550M term loan package, with draws and delayed draws to 2030/2033, plus plans to repay credit lines and near-term notes, materially reduces near-term refinancing risk and improves liquidity. Extended maturities and lower pricing materially enhance capital flexibility for growth or deleveraging.
Negative Factors
High balance-sheet leverage
A 3.75 debt-to-equity ratio signals significant leverage that elevates refinancing, interest and credit risks if macro or retail conditions weaken. Even with strong returns, high leverage constrains financial flexibility and increases sensitivity to rent or occupancy shocks over the next several quarters.
Declining free cash flow growth
A double-digit decline in free cash flow growth reduces the company’s internal capacity to repay debt, fund acquisitions or increase distributions. Despite solid operating cash, the negative FCF trend is a structural headwind that can limit strategic options over the 2–6 month horizon without offsetting actions.
Tenant-specific retail risk (Oshkosh)
Concentrated exposure to underperforming retailers like Oshkosh creates re-tenanting, sales-based rent and collection risks. If retail tenant performance deteriorates, it can depress tenant sales metrics, percentage rents and require leasing concessions, pressuring NOI and cash flow durability.

Tanger (SKT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tanger Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTanger Inc. (NYSE: SKT) is a leading owner and operator of outlet and open-air retail shopping destinations, with over 43 years of expertise in the retail and outlet shopping industries. Tanger's portfolio of 38 outlet centers, one adjacent managed center and one open-air lifestyle center comprises over 15 million square feet well positioned across tourist destinations and vibrant markets in 20 U.S. states and Canada. A publicly traded REIT since 1993, Tanger continues to innovate the retail experience for its shoppers with over 3,000 stores operated by more than 700 different brand name companies.
How the Company Makes MoneyTanger generates revenue primarily through leasing space to retailers in its outlet centers. The company earns rental income from long-term leases, which typically include a base rent along with percentage rent based on the sales performance of tenants. Additionally, Tanger benefits from management fees related to its outlet centers and may engage in co-marketing initiatives with tenants that can further enhance its revenue streams. Significant partnerships with well-known retail brands and strategic site locations contribute to its earnings, as these factors attract a steady flow of shoppers and enhance tenant sales, ultimately benefiting Tanger's rental income.

Tanger Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Tanger Inc. reported strong financial and operating results, marked by record leasing volumes, high sales productivity, and strategic acquisitions. Financial stability and increased guidance further support a positive outlook. However, potential challenges with specific retailers and upcoming debt maturity require attention.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Core FFO was $0.60 per share, an 11% increase over the prior year period, driven by solid same-center NOI growth of 4%.
Record Leasing Volume
Achieved record leasing volume with more than 600 transactions totaling 2.9 million square feet over the trailing 12 months, contributing to a quarter-end occupancy of 97.4%, an 80 basis point sequential increase.
All-Time High Sales Productivity
Portfolio reached sales productivity at an all-time high of $475 per square foot.
Strategic Acquisition
Acquired Legends Outlets in Kansas City for $130 million, expected to deliver an 8% return during the first year.
Financial Stability
Strong balance sheet with conservative leverage metrics; net debt to adjusted EBITDA at 5x, expected to be approximately 4.7x post acquisition.
Increased Full Year Guidance
Raised full-year guidance for core FFO per share to $2.28 to $2.32, representing core FFO growth of 7% to 9%.
Negative Updates
Potential Retailer Challenges
Oshkosh may face downward pressure due to multiple stores with landlords in a center.
Debt Maturity Considerations
Next significant debt maturity will be unsecured bonds in September 2026, requiring attention for refinancing.
Company Guidance
During Tanger Inc.'s Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company reported strong financial and operational results, leading to an increase in their full-year guidance. Key metrics highlighted include a core FFO of $0.60 per share, marking an 11% increase from the previous year, and a same-center NOI growth of 4%. The company achieved record leasing volume with over 600 transactions, covering 2.9 million square feet, resulting in an occupancy rate of 97.4%, an 80 basis point increase from the previous quarter. Sales productivity reached an all-time high of $475 per square foot, with blended rent spreads exceeding 10%, marking the 15th consecutive quarter of positive rent spreads. Tanger also completed its 2025 lease roll, focusing on increased re-tenanting activity and an 80% renewal target. Additionally, the company advanced its external growth strategy with the acquisition of Legends Outlets in Kansas City, Kansas, for $130 million, expecting an 8% return in the first year. Tanger's financial strength is underscored by a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 5x and liquidity of $581 million at quarter-end, with 97% of their debt at fixed rates and a weighted average interest rate of 4.1%. The company raised its full-year core FFO guidance to $2.28-$2.32 per share, indicating a growth of 7%-9%.

Tanger Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tanger demonstrates a solid financial performance with strong profitability and cash flow metrics. The company shows consistent revenue growth and effective cost management, contributing to healthy profit margins. However, the high leverage indicated by the debt-to-equity ratio poses potential risks, requiring careful management. Despite the decline in free cash flow growth, the company maintains strong cash flow relative to earnings, supporting its financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Tanger's income statement shows a solid performance with a consistent revenue growth rate of 2.22% TTM, indicating a stable upward trajectory. The gross profit margin of 69.49% and net profit margin of 19.18% TTM are strong, reflecting effective cost management and profitability. However, the EBIT margin of 21.92% TTM suggests room for improvement in operational efficiency. Overall, the income statement reflects a healthy financial position with potential for further growth.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.75 TTM, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. The return on equity of 16.25% TTM is commendable, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio of 27.77% TTM suggests a lower proportion of equity financing, which may affect financial stability. Overall, the balance sheet reflects a leveraged position with strong returns but potential risks due to high debt levels.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Tanger's cash flow statement shows a decline in free cash flow growth by 13.56% TTM, indicating potential challenges in cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.66 TTM and free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.20 TTM demonstrate strong cash flow relative to earnings, highlighting efficient cash management. Despite the decline in free cash flow growth, the company maintains robust cash flow metrics, supporting its financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue562.00M526.06M464.41M442.61M426.52M389.99M
Gross Profit390.53M367.33M318.86M298.68M285.79M252.86M
EBITDA322.12M302.09M260.70M244.70M172.43M142.27M
Net Income107.80M98.59M99.15M82.06M9.12M-36.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.64B2.38B2.32B2.22B2.16B2.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.03M46.99M21.96M264.57M161.25M84.83M
Total Debt1.70B1.51B1.53B1.52B1.49B1.66B
Total Liabilities1.90B1.70B1.73B1.70B1.66B1.83B
Stockholders Equity703.65M652.37M566.78M491.64M477.93M341.39M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow248.25M156.40M229.61M166.60M171.80M136.74M
Operating Cash Flow291.98M264.44M229.61M213.96M217.72M164.75M
Investing Cash Flow-334.86M-181.69M-409.56M-98.82M-22.74M-18.77M
Financing Cash Flow82.08M-48.41M-19.28M-64.16M-118.38M-77.59M

Tanger Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price32.62
Price Trends
50DMA
33.58
Positive
100DMA
33.35
Positive
200DMA
31.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Positive
RSI
48.21
Neutral
STOCH
46.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SKT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 32.62 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.97, below the 50-day MA of 33.58, and above the 200-day MA of 31.92, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SKT.

Tanger Risk Analysis

Tanger disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tanger reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tanger Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$4.85B57.413.62%3.52%10.58%37.97%
71
Outperform
$2.60B22.597.56%6.10%8.28%1.49%
71
Outperform
$2.80B167.280.74%3.83%8.85%27.38%
70
Outperform
$3.86B35.7116.81%3.38%9.59%8.34%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
61
Neutral
$5.06B208.014.71%4.55%3.67%
55
Neutral
$4.88B-79.29-18.43%3.61%8.06%74.26%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SKT
Tanger
33.51
1.74
5.48%
MAC
Macerich
18.30
-0.54
-2.87%
AKR
Acadia Realty
21.01
-0.78
-3.58%
KRG
Kite Realty Group
23.38
1.83
8.48%
FCPT
Four Corners Property
24.48
-1.58
-6.06%
PECO
Phillips Edison & Company
35.03
0.72
2.09%

Tanger Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackPrivate Placements and Financing
Tanger Issues Exchangeable Notes to Refinance Debt Obligations
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

On January 12, 2026, Tanger Properties Limited Partnership, the operating partnership of Tanger Inc., privately issued $250 million of 2.375% exchangeable senior notes due 2031 to qualified institutional buyers, guaranteed on a senior unsecured basis by the REIT. The deal generated net proceeds of about $243 million, of which roughly $9 million was used to fund capped call transactions designed to limit share dilution upon exchange of the notes, and about $20 million was used to repurchase approximately 0.6 million common shares at $33.92 per share, with the balance earmarked alongside term-loan proceeds to refinance unsecured credit lines and fully repay $350 million of 3.125% senior notes maturing on September 1, 2026, as well as for general corporate purposes including further debt reduction. The notes, which carry an initial exchange rate equivalent to an exchange price of about $41.55 per share and include customary anti-dilution, redemption and fundamental change protections, form part of a broader liability management strategy that extends Tanger’s debt maturity profile, preserves REIT status through conditional redemption rights, and provides flexibility to manage leverage while mitigating potential equity dilution via the capped call structure and a registration rights framework for future resales of any exchange shares.

The most recent analyst rating on (SKT) stock is a Hold with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tanger stock, see the SKT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackPrivate Placements and Financing
Tanger Announces Upsized Exchangeable Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

On January 6, 2026, Tanger Properties Limited Partnership, the operating partnership of Tanger Inc., launched a private Rule 144A offering of exchangeable senior notes initially sized at $200 million and, following strong demand, priced on January 8, 2026, at an upsized $220 million of 2.375% exchangeable senior notes due 2031, guaranteed on a senior unsecured basis by Tanger Inc., with closing expected on January 12, 2026. The company plans to use approximately $8 million of the net proceeds to fund capped call transactions intended to limit potential dilution from future note exchanges, allocate about $20 million to repurchase roughly 0.6 million common shares, and deploy the remainder, together with term loan proceeds, to repay its unsecured lines of credit, retire $350 million of 3.125% senior notes maturing September 1, 2026, and for general corporate purposes, steps that are set to refinance near-term debt, support balance sheet management, and may influence the trading dynamics of its common shares and notes through share repurchases and related hedging activity.

The most recent analyst rating on (SKT) stock is a Hold with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tanger stock, see the SKT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Tanger boosts liquidity with new unsecured term loans
Positive
Jan 6, 2026

On January 6, 2026, Tanger’s operating partnership closed on $550 million of unsecured term loan facilities, increasing total term loan capacity by $225 million to enhance liquidity, extend debt maturities and expand its lending group. The package includes an amended $350 million term loan maturing in December 2030 and a new $200 million term loan maturing in January 2033, both featuring delayed draw components totaling $150 million, alongside amendments to its revolving credit facility and liquidity line that remove a SOFR credit adjustment spread and align terms across its financing arrangements. Tanger drew $400 million at closing and plans to use $75 million of incremental proceeds to pay down borrowings under its unsecured credit lines and for working capital, with management highlighting that the new structure lowers pricing, improves financial flexibility, and further strengthens the company’s balance sheet for long-term growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (SKT) stock is a Hold with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tanger stock, see the SKT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Tanger Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Tanger reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showing strong performance with net income and funds from operations both increasing compared to the previous year. The company achieved record leasing volume and high sales productivity, driven by robust tenant demand and strategic acquisitions, such as the addition of Tanger Kansas City at Legends. The company’s occupancy rate was 97.4% as of September 30, 2025, and average tenant sales per square foot increased, reflecting successful portfolio management. Tanger raised its full-year guidance, indicating confidence in continued growth and value creation for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (SKT) stock is a Hold with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tanger stock, see the SKT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026