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Tanger Inc. (SKT)
:SKT
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Tanger (SKT) AI Stock Analysis

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SKT

Tanger

(NYSE:SKT)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$36.00
▲(11.49% Upside)
Tanger's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment. The company's strategic initiatives and effective cash flow management are significant strengths. However, the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation, and the high debt level remains a concern. The positive corporate events further support the stock's potential, but careful monitoring of debt and valuation is advised.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
The company's core funds from operations per share exceeded expectations, driven by strong growth in same-store net operating income and a rebound in occupancy.
Guidance and Forecasts
Annual guidance for funds from operations was raised, indicating confidence in future performance.
Risk Management
SKT has successfully lowered its exposure to weaker tenants, reducing potential risks.
Negative Factors
Debt and Risks
There is a need to examine potential bad debt related to Forever 21, indicating some areas of concern.
Occupancy Challenges
SS sequential occupancy dipped -230bps which is about -100bps worse than SKT's historical average.
Valuation Concerns
A 12-month price target of $40.00 is based on a target Q5-Q8 AFFO multiple of 21.3x.

Tanger (SKT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tanger Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTanger Inc. (NYSE: SKT) is a leading owner and operator of outlet and open-air retail shopping destinations, with over 43 years of expertise in the retail and outlet shopping industries. Tanger's portfolio of 38 outlet centers, one adjacent managed center and one open-air lifestyle center comprises over 15 million square feet well positioned across tourist destinations and vibrant markets in 20 U.S. states and Canada. A publicly traded REIT since 1993, Tanger continues to innovate the retail experience for its shoppers with over 3,000 stores operated by more than 700 different brand name companies.
How the Company Makes MoneyTanger Factory Outlet Centers, Inc. generates revenue primarily through leasing retail space to a diverse array of tenants, including brand-name and designer retailers. The company's revenue model is based on collecting rental income from these retail tenants, which typically consists of fixed minimum rents, percentage rents based on tenant sales, and various tenant reimbursements for property-level expenses such as maintenance, insurance, and real estate taxes. Additionally, Tanger may earn income from selling real estate assets or leasing space for short-term events and pop-up shops. The company's ability to attract high-quality tenants, maintain high occupancy rates, and strategically expand its portfolio contributes significantly to its earnings. Furthermore, Tanger's partnerships with well-known retail brands and its reputation for providing premium shopping experiences at competitive prices are crucial factors in maintaining its revenue streams.

Tanger Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.97%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Tanger's robust financial performance with increased core FFO, improved same-center NOI, and strategic acquisitions. However, challenges such as higher expenses, a non-cash impairment charge, and occupancy declines were noted. The overall sentiment is cautiously optimistic with a focus on strategic growth amidst some uncertainties.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Core FFO Growth
Core FFO increased to $0.53 per share, compared to $0.52 per share in the first quarter of the prior year.
Same-Center NOI Increase
Same-center NOI increased by 2.3% for the quarter, driven by higher rental revenues and strong retailer demand.
Strong Leasing Activity
Executed 2.5 million square feet over the trailing 12-month period, representing nearly 550 transactions with 13 consecutive quarters of positive rent spreads.
Occupancy and Portfolio Strategy
Ended the quarter with occupancy at 95.8%, reflecting strategic re-merchandising and expansion into new categories.
Acquisition and Portfolio Improvement
Acquired Pinecrest in Cleveland for $167 million, using cash on hand and line of credit.
Dividend Increase
Board of Directors approved a 6.4% increase in the dividend from $1.10 to $1.17 per share on an annualized basis.
Negative Updates
Higher Snow Expenses
First quarter same-center NOI growth was impacted by higher snow expenses this year.
Non-Cash Impairment Charge
Recognized a non-cash impairment charge of $4.2 million related to the sale of a non-core center in Howell, Michigan.
Seasonal Occupancy Decline
Occupancy reflected an anticipated seasonal decline and timing between old tenants leaving and new tenants taking possession.
Challenges in Re-Merchandising
Re-merchandising strategy led to temporary lower occupancy rates, although positioned for future growth.
Impact of Tariff Uncertainty
Concerns were raised about potential impacts of tariff uncertainty on foot traffic and consumer confidence.
Company Guidance
During Tanger, Inc.'s First Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company reaffirmed its full-year guidance, projecting same-center NOI growth in the range of 2% to 4% and core FFO of $2.22 to $2.30 per share, reflecting a growth of 4% to 8%. The first-quarter core FFO increased to $0.53 per share, with a 2.3% rise in same-center NOI, despite challenges like higher snow expenses. The company reported strong leasing activity, executing 2.5 million square feet of leases over the trailing 12 months. Tanger's occupancy stood at 95.8%, reflecting strategic re-merchandising efforts. The company also highlighted continued expansion, including the acquisition of Pinecrest for $167 million. With a robust balance sheet, Tanger remains confident in leveraging its assets to drive growth.

Tanger Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tanger exhibits solid financial health with strong profitability and efficient cash flow management. The company has shown positive revenue and cash flow growth trends, although it maintains a high level of debt. Continued focus on managing debt levels while sustaining revenue and cash flow growth will be key to maintaining financial strength.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Tanger's income statement shows a solid performance with a gross profit margin of 62.93% and a net profit margin of 17.72% for TTM, indicating strong profitability. The revenue growth rate has been positive, with a TTM increase of approximately 2.28% over the previous year. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 41.99% and 68.57% respectively, highlighting effective cost management and operational efficiency. However, the gross profit margin has slightly declined from the previous year, which could be an area to monitor.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.07, suggesting significant leverage and potential risk if interest rates rise. However, the return on equity is a healthy 14.45% for TTM, indicating efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is moderate at 26.64%, reflecting a balanced approach to financing between debt and equity. Overall, while the company is leveraged, it is managing to generate good returns on equity.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Tanger's cash flow position is strong, with a free cash flow growth rate of 14.21% TTM, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high at 2.83, showcasing the company's ability to convert its earnings into cash efficiently. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also favorable at 3.12, underscoring robust cash flow relative to net earnings. These metrics highlight strong cash flow management, supporting ongoing operations and potential debt reduction.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue538.05M526.06M464.41M442.61M426.52M389.99M
Gross Profit338.80M367.33M318.86M298.68M285.79M252.86M
EBITDA330.25M302.09M242.73M241.77M227.28M207.17M
Net Income95.38M98.59M99.15M38.03M-51.06M-101.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.48B2.38B2.32B2.22B2.16B2.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.16M46.99M21.96M264.57M161.25M84.83M
Total Debt1.65B1.51B1.53B1.52B1.49B1.66B
Total Liabilities1.82B1.70B1.73B1.70B1.66B1.83B
Stockholders Equity633.89M652.37M566.78M491.64M477.93M341.39M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow296.89M253.07M229.61M166.60M171.80M136.74M
Operating Cash Flow270.03M260.68M229.61M213.96M217.72M164.75M
Investing Cash Flow-326.48M-178.01M-409.56M-98.82M-22.74M-18.77M
Financing Cash Flow58.70M-48.34M-19.28M-64.16M-118.38M-77.59M

Tanger Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price32.29
Price Trends
50DMA
30.40
Positive
100DMA
30.71
Positive
200DMA
32.18
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Positive
RSI
62.54
Neutral
STOCH
49.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SKT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 32.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.14, above the 50-day MA of 30.40, and above the 200-day MA of 32.18, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 62.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SKT.

Tanger Risk Analysis

Tanger disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tanger reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tanger Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$3.65B36.6316.78%3.84%10.59%-1.83%
72
Outperform
$2.15B19.356.67%3.43%8.63%1412.68%
70
Neutral
$2.54B114.440.95%4.22%7.09%2591.94%
69
Neutral
$0.0027.805.53%4.88%4.03%
68
Neutral
$4.71B64.573.01%3.65%10.31%14.39%
62
Neutral
$4.51B-4.79%3.98%9.58%-3.85%
53
Neutral
$1.19B3.49-2.19%6.01%-2.24%-167.40%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SKT
Tanger
32.29
5.92
22.45%
MAC
Macerich
17.10
2.73
19.00%
AKR
Acadia Realty
19.10
-1.56
-7.55%
KRG
Kite Realty Group
21.93
-1.14
-4.94%
IVT
InvenTrust Properties
27.67
0.78
2.90%
PECO
Phillips Edison & Company
34.02
0.43
1.28%

Tanger Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Tanger Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 4, 2025

On August 4, 2025, Tanger reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with net income and funds from operations showing significant growth compared to the previous year. The company raised its full-year guidance, driven by effective leasing, operating, and marketing strategies, which have increased shopper engagement and traffic. Tanger’s occupancy rates and average tenant sales per square foot have improved, reflecting successful portfolio management and tenant remerchandising efforts. The company’s robust leasing activity and strong balance sheet provide a solid foundation for continued growth and flexibility in pursuing long-term opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (SKT) stock is a Buy with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tanger stock, see the SKT Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tanger Announces New $200 Million Share Repurchase Plan
Positive
May 12, 2025

On May 9, 2025, Tanger‘s Board of Directors approved a new share repurchase program, increasing the authorization to $200 million, replacing the previous $100 million plan set to expire on May 31, 2025. This strategic move allows flexibility in managing the company’s capital structure and potentially enhances shareholder value, although it does not obligate the company to buy back a specific amount of shares and can be adjusted or terminated as needed.

The most recent analyst rating on (SKT) stock is a Hold with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tanger stock, see the SKT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2025